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ConocoPhillips Lump Sum Payments Likely to Decrease in Q4 With Rates Continuing to Increase

May 25, 2022 9:52:28 AM
written by The Retirement Group

ConocoPhillips employees considering the lump sum option on their pension payment may have an opportunity to take advantage of lower interest rates in Q2 2022. With higher interest rates taking effect in Q3, and Q4 projecting to have even higher rates, retiring during Q2 may be the last opportunity to avoid a reduced lump-sum. April's segment rates were just released and they are 3.00%/4.22%/4.17%. These rates increased by about 0.5% (in the second segment) since March, which is a very large increase for a single month. 

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posted in Pension, Interest rates, ConocoPhillips, Inflation

KP Lump Sum Payments Drop, As Interest Rates, Continue to Climb

May 24, 2022 12:37:38 PM
written by The Retirement Group

Many KP employees who are waiting to commence their pension lump-sums, are now seeing a significant decrease in their value. New segment rates have been released and there was a 0.5% increase in the second segment over the previous month. The second segment is the most impactful so if you have a pension of $1,000,000 you could see a reduction of about $50,000 simply by commencing your benefit in June as opposed to May. This is because when KP employees elect the month they would like to begin their pension, KP looks back two months to calculate the rates for the pension disbursement. When these interest rates move up or down, your lump sum amount will move in an inverse direction, so if interest rates increase, your lump sum amount will decrease and vice versa. Through the pandemic, interest rates dropped dramatically which greatly increased many lump sum payments. This trend culminated in record lows for individuals who commenced their benefits in December of 2020. However, since then this trend has shifted, as interest rates have been increasing rapidly, causing a large reduction in pension lump-sums values.


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posted in Pension, Interest rates, Inflation, KP

Chevron Lump Sums Fall as Interest Rates Continue to Rise

May 24, 2022 12:33:18 PM
written by The Retirement Group

Many Chevron employees who are waiting to commence their pension lump-sums, will now see a significant decrease in their value. With short, medium, and long-term rates rising significantly over the last month, the higher average rates will result in lower lump-sums for those retiring in July of 2022. This is because when Chevron employees elect the month they would like to begin their pension, Chevron looks back at the third, fourth, and fifth months' rates to calculate the pension disbursement. When these interest rates move up or down, your lump sum amount will move in an inverse direction, so if interest rates increase, your lump sum amount will decrease and vice versa.

Through the pandemic, interest rates dropped dramatically which greatly increased many lump sum payments. This trend culminated in record lows for individuals who commenced their benefits in December of 2020. However, since then this trend has shifted, as interest rates have been increasing quickly, there has been a large reduction in pension lump-sum values.


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posted in Pension, Interest rates, Chevron, Inflation

KP Lump Sum Payments Fall, As Interest Rates Sharply Rise

Apr 21, 2022 3:28:05 PM
written by The Retirement Group

Many KP employees who are waiting to commence their pension lump-sums, are now seeing a significant decrease in their value. With short, medium, and long-term rates rising significantly over the last month, the higher average rates will result in lower lump-sums for those retiring in April of 2022. This is because when KP employees elect the month they would like to begin their pension, KP looks back two months to calculate the rates for the pension disbursement. When these interest rates move up or down, your lump sum amount will move in an inverse direction, so if interest rates increase, your lump sum amount will decrease and vice versa. Through the pandemic, interest rates dropped dramatically which greatly increased many lump sum payments. This trend culminated in record lows for individuals who commenced their benefits in December of 2020. However, since then this trend has shifted, as interest rates have been increasing rapidly, causing a large reduction in pension lump-sums values.


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posted in Pension, Interest rates, Inflation, KP

ConocoPhillips' Lump Sum Payments Continue to Decline in Value With Rising Segment Rates

Apr 21, 2022 2:59:45 PM
written by The Retirement Group

ConocoPhillips employees considering the lump sum option on their pension payment, may have an opportunity to take advantage of lower interest rates in Q2 2022 before higher rates take into effect for the Q3 2022. Over the course of 2020, interest rates dropped dramatically, which greatly increased many lump sum payments. However, interest rates spiked modestly through 2021. While the overall trajectory of interest rates has been higher, Conoco Philips employees who retired in the first quarter might have seen their lump sums increase, but any increases in lump sums going forward will be entirely diminished due to rising rates now in effect for Q3.

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posted in Pension, Interest rates, ConocoPhillips, Inflation

Chevron Lump Sums Decrease as Interest Rates Soar

Apr 21, 2022 2:16:23 PM
written by The Retirement Group

Want to see are most update to date blog on Chevron interest rates, click here.

Many Chevron employees who are waiting to commence their pension lump-sums, will now see a significant decrease in their value. With short, medium, and long-term rates rising significantly over the last month, the higher average rates will result in lower lump-sums for those retiring in June of 2022. This is because when Chevron employees elect the month they would like to begin their pension, Chevron looks back at the third, fourth, and fifth months' rates to calculate the pension disbursement. When these interest rates move up or down, your lump sum amount will move in an inverse direction, so if interest rates increase, your lump sum amount will decrease and vice versa.


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posted in Pension, Interest rates, Chevron, Inflation

Managing Bond Risks When Interest Rates Rise

Apr 6, 2022 2:23:01 PM
written by The Retirement Group

After dropping the benchmark federal funds rate to a rock-bottom range of 0%–0.25% early in the pandemic, the Federal Open Market Committee has begun raising the rate toward more typical historical levels in response to high inflation. At its March 2022 meeting, the Committee raised the funds rate to 0.25%–0.50% and projected the equivalent of six more quarter-percentage-point increases in 2022 and three or four more in 2023.1


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posted in Interest rates, Bond

Interest Rates at KP Rise Significantly, Lowering Lump-Sums

Mar 28, 2022 1:23:33 PM
written by The Retirement Group

Lump-sums are decreasing for KP employees who wait to commence their pensions lump-sum.  With both short, medium, and long-term rates rising over the last month, the higher average rate will result in lower lump-sums for those retiring in March of 2022. When KP employees elect the month they would like to begin their pension, KP looks back to two months to calculate the rates used for the pension disbursement. When interest rates move up or down, your pension lump sum amount will move in an inverse relationship. Through the pandemic, interest rates dropped dramatically which has greatly increased many lump sum payments. However, rates have increased significantly over 2021 and 2022, causing a reduction in pension lump-sums.


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posted in Pension, Interest rates, KP

Lump Sum Payments May Have Peaked With ConocoPhillips Due to Rising Interest Rates

Mar 24, 2022 1:57:11 PM
written by The Retirement Group

ConocoPhillips employees considering the lump sum option on their pension payment, may have an opportunity to take advantage of lower interest rates in Q1 2022 before higher rates go into effect for Q2 2022. Over the course of 2020, interest rates dropped dramatically, which greatly increased many lump sum payments. However, interest rates spiked modestly through 2021. While the overall trajectory of interest rates has been higher, the slight drop in ConocoPhillips rates for Q4 2021 and Q1 2022 should have the effect of increasing lump sum amounts, momentarily, or at the very least delaying decreases.

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posted in Pension, Interest rates, ConocoPhillips

What Do Rising Interest Rates Mean for Your Money?

Mar 24, 2022 10:26:07 AM
written by The Retirement Group

On March 16, 2022, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) of the Federal Reserve raised the benchmark federal funds rate by 0.25% to a target range of 0.25% to 0.50%. This is the beginning of a series of increases that the FOMC expects to carry out over the next two years to combat high inflation.1

Along with announcing the current increase, the FOMC released economic projections that suggest the equivalent of six additional 0.25% increases in 2022, followed by three or four more increases in 2023.2 Keep in mind that these are only projections, based on current conditions, and may not come to pass. However, they provide a helpful picture of the potential direction of U.S. interest rates.

What is the federal funds rate?
The federal funds rate is the interest rate at which banks lend funds to each other overnight to maintain legally required reserves within the Federal Reserve System. The FOMC sets a target range, usually a 0.25% spread, and then sets two specific rates that act as a floor and a ceiling to push the funds rate into that target range. The rate may vary slightly from day to day, but it generally stays within the target range.

Although the federal funds rate is an internal rate within the Federal Reserve System, it serves as a benchmark for many short-term rates set by banks and can influence longer-term rates as well.

Why does the Fed adjust the federal funds rate?
The Federal Reserve and the FOMC operate under a dual mandate to conduct monetary policies that foster maximum employment and price stability. Adjusting the federal funds rate is the Fed's primary tool to influence economic growth and inflation.

The FOMC lowers the federal funds rate to stimulate the economy by making it easier for businesses and consumers to borrow, and raises the rate to combat inflation by making borrowing more expensive. In March 2020, when the U.S. economy was devastated by the pandemic, the Committee quickly dropped the rate to its rock-bottom level of 0.00%–0.25% and has kept it there for two years as the economy recovered.

The FOMC has set a 2% annual inflation goal as consistent with healthy economic growth. The Committee considered it appropriate for inflation to run above 2% for some time in order to balance the extended period when it ran below 2% and give the economy more time to grow in a low-rate environment. However, the steadily increasing inflation levels over the last year — with no sign of easing — have forced the Fed to change course and tighten monetary policy.

How will consumer interest rates be affected?
The prime rate, which commercial banks charge their best customers, is tied directly to the federal funds rate and generally runs about 3% above it. Though actual rates can vary widely, small-business loans, adjustable-rate mortgages, home-equity lines of credit, auto loans, credit cards, and other forms of consumer credit are often linked to the prime rate, so the rates on these types of loans typically increase with the federal funds rate. Fed rate hikes might also put upward pressure on interest rates for new fixed-rate home mortgages, but these rates are not tied directly to the federal funds rate or the prime rate.

Although rising interest rates make it more expensive for consumers and businesses to borrow, retirees and others who seek income could eventually benefit from higher yields on savings accounts and certificates of deposit (CDs). Banks typically raise rates charged on loans more quickly than they raise rates paid on deposits, but an extended series of rate increases should filter down to savers over time.

What about bond investments?
Interest-rate changes can have a broad effect on investments, but the impact tends to be more pronounced in the short term as markets adjust to the new level.

When interest rates rise, the value of existing bonds typically falls. Put simply, investors would prefer a newer bond paying a higher interest rate than an existing bond paying a lower rate. Longer-term bonds tend to fluctuate more than those with shorter maturities because investors may be reluctant to tie up their money for an extended period if they anticipate higher yields in the future.

Bonds redeemed prior to maturity may be worth more or less than their original value, but when a bond is held to maturity, the bond owner would receive the face value and interest, unless the issuer defaults. Thus, rising interest rates should not affect the return on a bond you hold to maturity, but may affect the price of a bond you want to sell on the secondary market before it reaches maturity.

Although the rising-rate environment may have a negative impact on bonds you currently hold and want to sell, it might also offer more appealing rates for future bond purchases.

Bond funds are subject to the same inflation, interest rate, and credit risks associated with their underlying bonds. Thus, falling bond values due to rising rates can adversely affect a bond fund's performance. However, as underlying bonds mature and are replaced by higher-yielding bonds within a rising interest-rate environment, the fund's yield and/or share value could potentially increase over the long term.

How will the stock market react?
Equities may also be affected by rising rates, though not as directly as bonds. Stock prices are closely tied to earnings growth, so many corporations stand to benefit from a more robust economy, even with higher interest rates. On the other hand, companies that rely on heavy borrowing will likely face higher costs going forward, which could affect their bottom lines.

The stock market reacted positively to the initial rate hike and the projected path forward, but investors will be watching closely to see how the economy performs as interest rates adjust — and whether the increases are working to tame inflation.3

The market may continue to react, positively or negatively, to the government's inflation reports or the Fed's interest-rate decisions, but any reaction is typically temporary. As always, it's important to maintain a long-term perspective and make sound investment decisions based on your own financial goals, time horizon, and risk tolerance.

The FDIC insures CDs and bank savings accounts, which generally provide a fixed rate of return, up to $250,000 per depositor, per insured institution. The return and principal value of stocks and investment funds fluctuate with market conditions. Shares, when sold, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Investments offering the potential for higher rates of return also involve higher risk.

Investment funds are sold by prospectus. Please consider the fund's objectives, risks, charges, and expenses carefully before investing. The prospectus, which contains this and other information about the investment company, can be obtained from your financial professional. Be sure to read the prospectus carefully before deciding whether to invest.

1–2) Federal Reserve, March 16, 2022
3) The Wall Street Journal, March 17, 2022


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posted in Interest rates, Money

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