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Revisiting the 4% Withdrawal Rule for Verizon Employees

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Healthcare Provider Update: Verizon collaborates with Aetna as its primary healthcare provider, offering a range of health plans and services to its employees and their families. Looking ahead to 2026, the healthcare landscape is poised for significant change, as record hikes in Affordable Care Act (ACA) premiums are anticipated. With some states facing increases exceeding 60%, many individuals could see their out-of-pocket premiums rise by more than 75%, particularly if enhanced federal premium subsidies are not extended. This scenario could create an additional burden for Verizon employees, emphasizing the importance of strategic planning for healthcare coverage amidst such dramatic shifts in costs. Click here to learn more

After leaving Verizon, it can be difficult to save for retirement, and it can be equally challenging to use those savings prudently. How much can you withdraw annually from your savings? This is an important issue that many of our Verizon clients frequently ask, and with good reason: if you withdraw too much, you risk running out of money, but if you withdraw too little, you may lose out on a comfortable Verizon retirement.

The '4% rule' has been the most prevalent guideline for over 25 years. This rule suggests that a withdrawal equal to 4% of the portfolio's initial value, with annual adjustments for inflation, is sustainable over a 30-year retirement period. This guideline can assist Verizon employees in establishing a savings objective and providing a realistic picture of the annual income their savings could generate. For example, a $1 million portfolio could generate $40,000 in the first year, followed by inflation-adjusted withdrawals.

Over the years, the 4% rule has generated substantial debate, with some experts contending that 4% is too low and others arguing that it is too high. Due to the allegations, we believe it is necessary to analyze both the original and most recent research regarding the 4% rule with our Verizon customers. The rule's creator, financial expert William Bengen, believes it has been misconstrued and provides new insights based on recent research. Determine whether he is right. 

Original research

Bengen published his findings for the first time in 1994, after analyzing data for retirements from 1926 to 1976 — a total of 50 years of data. He considered a hypothetical conservative portfolio consisting of fifty percent large-cap equities and fifty percent intermediate-term Treasury bonds held in a tax-advantaged account and rebalanced annually. In the worst-case scenario, retirement in October 1968, a 4% inflation-adjusted withdrawal rate was the greatest sustainable rate. This marked the onset of a prolonged bear market and high inflation. All other retirement years featured higher sustainable rates, with some exceeding 10%.[1]

Obviously, no one can predict the future, which is why Bengen proposed a sustainable rate based on the worst-case scenario. Based on a more diversified portfolio of 30% large-cap equities, 20% small-cap stocks, and 50% intermediate-term Treasuries, he later increased it to 4.5%.[2]

New research

Now that we comprehend Bengen's original research, we'd like to examine a more recent analysis conducted with Verizon clients. Bengen published new research in October 2020 that attempts to project a sustainable withdrawal rate based on the valuation of the stock market and inflation (the annual change in the Consumer Price Index) at the time of retirement. Theoretically, when the market is expensive, it has less potential for growth, and it may be more difficult to sustain increased withdrawals over time. Lower inflation, on the other hand, results in lower inflation-adjusted withdrawals, allowing for a higher initial rate. A first-year withdrawal of $40,000 becomes $84,000 after 20 years with a 4% annual inflation increase, but only $58,000 with a 2% increase.

Bengen used Shiller CAPE, the cyclically adjusted price-earnings ratio for the S&P 500 index devised by Nobel laureate Robert Shiller, to measure market valuation. The price-earnings (P/E) ratio of a stock is the share price divided by the stock's 12-month earnings per share. For instance, if the price per share of a stock is $100 and its earnings per share is $4, the P/E ratio would be 25. The Shiller CAPE is calculated by dividing the total share price of S&P 500 equities by their 10-year average inflation-adjusted earnings.

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5% Rule?

Bengen utilized historical data once more, this time for over sixty years of retirement. Bengen discovered a correlation between market valuation and inflation at the time of retirement and the utmost sustainable withdrawal rate by analyzing retirement dates from 1926 to 1990. Historically, rates ranged from as low as 4.5 percent to as high as 13 percent, but the scenarios that supported high rates were rare, involving extremely low market valuations and/or deflation rather than inflation.[3]

Since the Great Recession, the United States has experienced low inflation and high market valuations for the majority of the last 25 years.[4-5] Bengen found that a 5% initial withdrawal rate was sustainable for 30 years in a high-valuation, low-inflation scenario at the time of retirement.[6] While this is not a substantial deviation from the 4% rule, it does suggest that retirees could make larger initial withdrawals, particularly in an environment with low inflation. However, when inflation is significant, withdrawals should decrease. 

A caveat is that the market's current valuation is extremely high: At the end of 2020, the S&P 500 index had a CAPE of 34.19, a level only attained (and surpassed) during the late-1990s dot-com boom and higher than any of Bengen's research scenarios.[7] His range for a 5% withdrawal rate is a CAPE of at least 23 and an inflation rate between 0% and 2.5%.[8] (Inflation in November 2020 was 1.2%.)[9] Bengen's research suggests that a 6% withdrawal rate may be sustainable if inflation is 5% or less and market valuation falls to near the historical mean of 16.77. Alternatively, if valuation remains high and inflation exceeds 2.5%, the utmost sustainable rate could reach 4.5%.[10]

Verizon employees must remember that these projections are based on historical scenarios and a notional portfolio, and there is no assurance that their portfolio will perform similarly. Verizon employees must also keep in mind that these calculations are based on annual withdrawals adjusted for inflation, and you may choose not to increase withdrawals in certain years or use other criteria, such as market performance, to make adjustments.

Although there is no guarantee that working with a financial professional will improve investment performance, a professional can evaluate your objectives and available resources and help you consider appropriate long-term financial strategies, such as your withdrawal strategy.

We would like to remind our Verizon clients that all investments are subject to market volatility, risk, and principal loss. Investments may sell for more or less than their initial cost upon sale. The timely payment of principal and interest on U.S. Treasury securities is guaranteed by the federal government. Treasury securities' principal value fluctuates with market conditions. They may be worth more or less than the amount paid if not held to maturity. Allocation of assets and diversification are techniques used to manage investment risk; they do not guarantee a profit or guard against investment loss. Rebalancing requires the sale of some investments in order to purchase others; the sale of investments in a taxable account may result in a tax liability.

The S&P 500 index is an unmanaged collection of stocks that is representative of the U.S. stock market as a whole. The performance of an unmanaged index is not indicative of any particular investment's performance. Individuals cannot invest in an index directly. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. The actual outcomes will differ.

Conclusion

Imagine you are on a road trip, driving through unfamiliar terrain. You come across a fork in the road, with one path leading towards a beautiful and scenic destination, while the other path looks rocky and uncertain. The decision you make at this juncture could have a significant impact on your journey and your ultimate destination. Similarly, retirement is like a fork in the road of life. One path leads to a comfortable and enjoyable retirement, while the other path could lead to financial difficulties and hardship. This article provides guidance on how to navigate this fork in the road, with tips on how to save and invest wisely, how to plan for unexpected events, and how to ensure a comfortable retirement. Whether you are a Verizon worker looking to retire or an already existing retiree, the information in this article is pertinent to you and will help you make the best decision for your retirement journey.

1-2) Forbes Advisor, October 12, 2020
3-4, 6, 8, 10) Financial Advisor, October 2020
5, 9) U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2020
7) multpl.com, December 31, 2020

How does the Verizon Pension Plan facilitate retirement income for long-term employees, and what specific benefits can employees expect when enrolling in the retirement program provided by Verizon? What unique features does the Verizon Pension Plan offer compared to other retirement plans an employee might have encountered, and how can employees maximize the benefits of these features throughout their career at Verizon?

Verizon Pension Plan Benefits: Verizon's Pension Plan offers substantial benefits aimed at facilitating a secure retirement for long-term employees. Upon enrolling in the retirement program, employees can expect defined benefits that are based on their salary and years of service, ensuring a predictable and stable income after retirement. Unique to Verizon, compared to some other plans, may include options for early retirement under certain conditions and a choice between annuity payments or a lump-sum distribution upon retirement. Employees can maximize these features by planning for long-term service and considering their retirement income needs early in their careers.

In what ways can employees at Verizon strategize their rollover decisions when transitioning from the Verizon Pension Plan to other retirement savings plans upon leaving the company? What factors should be considered by Verizon employees to ensure they are making informed choices regarding rolling over funds to a traditional IRA or another qualified employer plan?

Rollover Strategies: When transitioning from the Verizon Pension Plan to other retirement savings options upon leaving the company, employees should strategize their rollover decisions carefully. Factors to consider include the tax implications, the investment options available in the rollover destination, and the timing of the transfer to avoid penalties. Verizon employees should evaluate the benefits of rolling over to a traditional IRA or another employer's plan, considering their future financial needs and retirement goals.

What are the implications of the recent IRS limits for 2024 concerning contributions to retirement plans for Verizon employees, and how does Verizon align its offerings with these federal regulations? Additionally, how can Verizon employees best take advantage of these limits to enhance their retirement savings while adhering to tax regulations?

IRS Contribution Limits: The implications of IRS limits for 2024 are critical for Verizon employees as these limits dictate how much can be contributed tax-deferred into retirement plans. Verizon aligns its offerings with these federal regulations by adjusting contribution limits in their plans accordingly. Employees are encouraged to maximize their contributions to take full advantage of tax-deferred growth, especially when IRS limits increase, thereby enhancing their retirement savings while adhering to tax regulations.

How does the special tax treatment for lump sum distributions from the Verizon Pension Plan affect employees who receive their benefits early or have specific circumstances, such as being born before 1936? What options do these employees have to manage their tax burden effectively, and how can they best navigate these complicated rules while planning for their retirement?

Tax Treatment of Lump Sum Distributions: The special tax treatment for lump sum distributions from the Verizon Pension Plan can significantly affect employees who opt to receive their benefits early or under specific circumstances like being born before 1936. These employees have options to manage their tax burden effectively by opting for ten-year averaging or capital gain treatment on eligible distributions, allowing for a potentially lower tax rate on their pension benefits.

For surviving spouses and alternate payees of Verizon employees, what are the specific benefits available under the Verizon Pension Plan? How do these benefits compare to those available to employees, and what steps must surviving spouses or alternate payees take to ensure they receive their entitled benefits without delays or complications?

Benefits for Surviving Spouses and Alternate Payees: For surviving spouses and alternate payees, the Verizon Pension Plan offers benefits similar to those available to employees, such as annuity payments or lump-sum options. These beneficiaries must take certain steps to ensure they receive their benefits without delays, such as providing necessary documentation and adhering to plan rules. The plan details and processes for claiming benefits should be clearly understood to avoid complications.

How can Verizon employees utilize the resources available through the Verizon Benefits Center to better understand and manage their retirement benefits? What specific tools and services does the Benefits Center provide, and how can these resources assist employees in making informed decisions regarding their pension plan options?

Utilizing Resources at the Verizon Benefits Center: Verizon employees can utilize various tools and services provided by the Verizon Benefits Center to manage and understand their retirement benefits. The Benefits Center offers personalized consultations, detailed plan documentation, and tools for estimating pension benefits and planning retirement income, assisting employees in making informed decisions about their pension plan options.

What challenges might Verizon employees face regarding eligibility and tax withholding when receiving their pension payments, and how can they mitigate these issues? It's crucial for employees to understand the mechanics of eligibility regarding rollovers and payment processing; what key pieces of information should they be aware of to avoid unexpected taxes?

Challenges in Eligibility and Tax Withholding: Verizon employees might face challenges regarding eligibility and tax withholding when receiving pension payments. Understanding the plan's criteria for eligibility, the implications of rollovers, and the impact of mandatory withholding on distributions is crucial. Employees can mitigate these issues by consulting with the Verizon Benefits Center or a tax advisor to ensure compliance and avoid unexpected taxes.

What is the process for Verizon employees wishing to initiate a direct rollover from the Verizon Pension Plan, and what documentation will they need to prepare? Can employees receive assistance from the Verizon Benefits Center during this process, and how does using a direct rollover benefit them compared to other forms of payment?

Direct Rollover Process: The process for initiating a direct rollover involves deciding the destination of the rollover (traditional IRA or another employer plan), completing necessary documentation, and potentially seeking assistance from the Verizon Benefits Center. A direct rollover helps in avoiding immediate taxes and maintaining the tax-deferred status of retirement savings.

In terms of retirement preparedness, how does the pension plan at Verizon accommodate employees’ needs for financial security in their senior years? What additional education or resources does Verizon provide to assure that employees fully understand their retirement options and the importance of planning ahead?

Retirement Preparedness: Verizon's pension plan is designed to accommodate the financial security needs of employees in their senior years. In addition to the pension benefits, Verizon provides educational resources and planning tools to ensure employees understand their retirement options and the importance of early and consistent retirement planning.

How can employees reach out to the Verizon Benefits Center for further information about the pension plan and other retirement benefits? What specific contact methods are available to employees, and how can these interactions enhance their understanding and management of retirement benefits provided by Verizon?

Contacting the Verizon Benefits Center: Verizon employees seeking more information about their pension plan and other retirement benefits can reach out to the Verizon Benefits Center through various contact methods such as phone, email, or online portals. These interactions are crucial for enhancing understanding and effective management of retirement benefits, ensuring employees make the most of the benefits available to them.

With the current political climate we are in it is important to keep up with current news and remain knowledgeable about your benefits.
Verizon offers both a traditional defined benefit pension plan and a defined contribution 401(k) plan. The defined benefit plan includes a cash balance component, where benefits grow based on years of service and compensation, with interest credits added annually. The 401(k) plan features company matching contributions, providing employees with various investment options such as target-date funds and mutual funds. Verizon provides financial planning resources and tools to help employees manage their retirement savings.
Layoffs and Restructuring: In May 2023, Verizon informed over 6,000 customer service employees of impending layoffs as part of restructuring and streamlining measures. The company is likely ramping up its overseas customer service department to save on costs and leveraging AI to improve efficiency (Sources: Tech.co, Reuters). Operational Strategy: The restructuring aligns with Verizon's need to manage costs amidst subscriber losses and unmet Wall Street predictions. This also includes exploring technological advancements to enhance customer service (Source: Tech.co). Financial Performance: Despite the layoffs, Verizon reported robust financial results, focusing on expanding its 5G network and maintaining strong market positioning (Source: CRN).
Verizon provides both RSUs and stock options as part of its employee compensation. RSUs vest over time, providing shares upon vesting, while stock options allow employees to buy shares at a set price.
Verizon offers a robust set of healthcare benefits aimed at supporting its employees' well-being. In 2022 and 2023, Verizon maintained comprehensive medical, dental, and vision insurance plans starting from the first day of employment. These benefits include flexible spending accounts (FSAs) and health savings accounts (HSAs) to help manage out-of-pocket expenses. Additionally, Verizon provides extensive mental health resources and wellness programs, ensuring that employees have access to support for both physical and mental health needs. The company also offers generous parental leave, adoption assistance, and childcare benefits to support family health and work-life balance. For 2024, Verizon continues to enhance its healthcare offerings. Employees can take advantage of personalized health resources through the WellConnect portal, which provides tools and information for preventive care, weight management, tobacco cessation, and more. The company has also streamlined the enrollment process, allowing for changes in coverage to be made at any time during the year. This flexibility is crucial in the current economic and political environment, where healthcare needs and financial planning are increasingly complex. Verizon's commitment to comprehensive and adaptable healthcare benefits helps ensure that employees are well-supported in maintaining their health and financial security.
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For more information you can reach the plan administrator for Verizon at one verizon way Basking Ridge, NJ 7920; or by calling them at 908-559-3342.

https://www.verizon.com/documents/pension-plan-2022.pdf - Page 5, https://www.verizon.com/documents/pension-plan-2023.pdf - Page 12, https://www.verizon.com/documents/pension-plan-2024.pdf - Page 15, https://www.verizon.com/documents/401k-plan-2022.pdf - Page 8, https://www.verizon.com/documents/401k-plan-2023.pdf - Page 22, https://www.verizon.com/documents/401k-plan-2024.pdf - Page 28, https://www.verizon.com/documents/rsu-plan-2022.pdf - Page 20, https://www.verizon.com/documents/rsu-plan-2023.pdf - Page 14, https://www.verizon.com/documents/rsu-plan-2024.pdf - Page 17, https://www.verizon.com/documents/healthcare-plan-2022.pdf - Page 23

*Please see disclaimer for more information

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