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The volatility of recent markets forces us to remind Sears Holdings employees to be proactive about portfolio management,' says Michael Corgiat, a financial expert with the Retirement Group. Regular portfolio reviews and rebalancing could protect retirement savings against sudden market downturns and help you stay on track with your long-term financial goals,' he added.
With all the volatility in the markets, Sears Holdings employees need to create a resilient investment strategy, says Brent Wolf of the Retirement Group. A diversified portfolio that can ride economic cycles is essential for retirement financial security,' said Dr.
In this article we will discuss:
1. Market Volatility and Retirement Savings: Market fluctuations and how they affect retirement income challenge retirees. Factors
2. driving Market Volatility in 2021 & 2022: Exploring how the pandemic, economic policies and global events shaped market
3. changes. Strategies for Investors During Volatility: Advice on diversification and holding investment strategies during turbulent times.
Several studies suggest that extreme market volatility may be especially difficult for retirees or those approaching retirement age to recover from possible losses. According to a report in October 2021 from Fidelity Investments, market volatility could wipe out retirement savings of up to 26% for those in their 60s. That underscores the need for a diversified investment portfolio and a solid retirement plan that reflects possible market volatility.
During the extremely volatile first 100 trading days of 2022, the constituent equities of the S&P 500 continued to fall, and the benchmark index entered a bear market on June 13, 2022 - a decline of at least 20% in stock prices. The S&P 500 was down 21.8% from its January 3 peak and the tech-heavy NASDAQ, already in bear territory, was down 32.7% from its November 19, 2021 zenith.
Some investors nervous about the future of their portfolios seem to have gone defensive and sold riskier assets like growth-oriented technology stocks.
What drives market volatility? In 2021, companies throughout the US, including Sears Holdings, dealt with unpredictable demand shifts and supply shocks from the pandemic. Near zero interest rates and trillions in pandemic relief bolstered consumer spending, economic growth and record corporate profits. Profits from S&P 500 companies in 2021 were 75% higher than in 2020 and 33% higher than in 2019 - a nearly 29% total market return. (3-4)
In early 2022, however, investors feared that a planned loosening of monetary policy - meant to cool stubbornly high inflation - would choke economic growth and cause a recession. Demand, supply-chain issues and a labor shortage in the spring of 2021 drove prices up and wages went up. China's COVID-19 lockdowns impacted product supplies in the first quarter of 2022 and Russia's invasion of Ukraine pushed already high world food and fuel prices skyrocketing. May 2022 saw the fastest annual rate of increase in forty years, 8.6% (5).
The seemingly unstoppable acceleration of price increases puts pressure on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), which meets June 14 and 15, to act aggressively against inflation. In May, the federal Open Market Committee raised the benchmark Federal funds rate by 0.5% (from 0.75-1.0%). That's the first half-percent increase since May 2000 and Fed forecasters expect more. (6)
High interest rate bond yields rise and higher returns from lower-risk bond investments make higher-risk stock investments less attractive. Stock investors also buy a component of a company's future cash flows that lose value in an inflationary environment. Higher financing costs may also depress the purchasing power of consumers and profits of debt-intensive businesses.
The downside of domination The S&P Information Technology Sector Index has fallen 29.2% more than the S&P 500 as a whole from its January 3 peak. Also, like most benchmarks, the S&P 500 is weighted by market capitalization - the value of a company's outstanding shares. This gives the largest companies - mostly technology - a disproportionate drag on index performance. As at May 31 the information technology sector had 27.1% of the market capitalization of the S&P 500, followed by 14.4% for health care and 11.2% for financials, the next two largest sectors. The four most valuable companies are Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet & Amazon; Nvidia is ranked ninth while Meta dropped to 11. (7)
The past few years saw tech stock gains lift the market. However, falling share prices of these companies dragged down broader stock indexes. In analyzing market data through May 17, just eight of the largest U.S. companies accounted for 46% of the 2022 losses (total return) of the S&P 500. (8)
Those famous technology companies have grown into huge multinational corporations affecting every day life. Some companies are so dominant in their fields - social media, smartphones, online search and advertising, e-commerce and cloud computing - that antitrust investigations and calls for tougher rules have been made in the US and abroad. And they do have plenty of cash on board to help them weather an economic slowdown better than their smaller rivals (8).
Takeaways for investors Stocks are often spread across the eleven S&P 500 sectors. Yet a once-diversified stock portfolio can become overly concentrated in a sector that has outperformed the market as a whole over time. TECH-sector equities posted huge total returns of about 50% for 2019, 44% for 2020 and 35% for 2021; therefore, some Sears Holdings employees and retirees may wish to rebalance if they are overexposed to this volatile sector. This involves selling some investments to buy others. Remember that the sale of investments from a taxable account may be taxed. (10)
Should you feel lost after more than five months of market volatility? our Sears Holdings clients should get perspective. Several market analysts see recent price declines as a painful but long overdue repricing of equities at overpriced valuations and a reality check from dwindling growth expectations. That ratio of forward price to earnings (P/E) ratio of S&P 500 companies fell from 23.3 at the end of 2021 to 17.8 in May 2022, closer to the 10-year average of 16.9.11-12.
It could be some time before investors can assess how the economy and corporate profits will fare with rising inflation and higher borrowing costs - and the stock market does not like uncertainty. Downward economic data and company earnings reports could fuel volatility in the months to come.
If you have a sufficiently diversified, all-weather investment strategy, sticking with it is often the best course of action amid grim headlines. When the market goes down, panic and leave it - you can't profit from its upswings. And if you still invest regularly to fund a long-term goal like retirement, a market decline could let you buy additional shares at a discount.
Stocks' return and principal value vary depending on market conditions. If sold, shares might fetch more or less than their original price. Investments that seek greater return usually involve greater risk. We recommend diversification as a risk management technique to our Sears Holdings clients. But that does not mean diversification guarantees a profit or protects against investment loss for Sears Holdings employees. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index of stocks representative of the U.S. stock market in general. An unmanaged index does not represent any investment performance.
No one can own an index directly. The past does not predict future performance. The real results will differ. Dollar-cost averaging does not guarantee or prevent a profit or loss. These programs involve ongoing investments in securities irrespective of price movements. Sears Holdings employees and retirees should ask themselves whether they can afford to keep buying during low and high prices. But this may be a good way for investors to get shares to fund long-term goals.
A stock market investment is like planting a tree in your backyard. Just as you choose the location, type of tree, and soil conditions for your tree, you choose your investment strategy, stocks, and market conditions. And you also need to water and fertilize your investment just as you would your tree. With patience and an investment that grows over time, you can enjoy a healthy tree that produces shade and fruit for many years to come, just as your investment can provide retirement for you and your family.
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- How Are Workers Impacted by Inflation & Rising Interest Rates?
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Sources:
1. 'Market Volatility - Fidelity Can Help.' Fidelity Investments , 2021, www.fidelity.com/misc/buffers/market-volatility.shtml .
2. Lannan, Kelly. 'Fidelity® Q3 2021 Retirement Analysis: Retirement Savers 'Stay the Course' in Spite of Stock Market Swings and Ongoing Economic Uncertainty.' Business Wire , 2021, www.businesswire.com/news/home/20211011005389/en/Fidelity%C2%AE-Q3-2021-Retirement-Analysis-Retirement-Savers-%E2%80%9CStay-the-Course%E2%80%9D-in-Spite-of-Stock-Market-Swings-and-Ongoing-Economic-Uncertainty .
3. Barry, Kevin. '401k Savers 'Stay the Course' Despite Market Volatility.' 401k Specialist Magazine , 2022, www.401kspecialistmag.com/401k-savers-stay-the-course-despite-market-volatility/ .
4. 'Retiring in a Recession, Downturn, or Period of Market Volatility? Things to Consider.' Fidelity Investments , 2021, www.fidelity.com/viewpoints/retirement/retiring-in-a-recession .
5. 'Fidelity® Q3 2021 Retirement Analysis: Retirement Savers 'Stay the Course' in Spite of Stock Market Swings and Ongoing Economic Uncertainty.' Fidelity Investments , 2021, www.fidelity.com/viewpoints/retirement/q3-2021-retirement-analysis .
How does the Sears Holdings Pension Plan differentiate between normal retirement, early retirement, and late retirement options for Kmart participants? In what ways do these options influence the retirement planning process for employees of Sears Holdings, and what specific considerations should Kmart employees be aware of when choosing one of these retirement paths, particularly in relation to their vested status?
Differentiation of Retirement Options: The Sears Holdings Pension Plan offers distinct options for normal, early, and late retirement. Normal retirement is available at age 65 or after five years of plan participation, whichever is later. Early retirement can be taken from age 55 but before 65, provided the employee is vested, with benefits subject to actuarial reduction unless certain conditions are met (like having at least 90 points, which is a sum of age and years of credited service). Late retirement pertains to any retirement after the normal retirement age, with pensions recalculated to reflect the delay in benefit commencement.
Considering the frozen status of the Sears Holdings Pension Plan, how does this impact the benefits eligibility for Kmart employees, and what implications does it have for their retirement savings strategies? In what ways should current employees factor in this frozen status when evaluating their overall retirement readiness and potential alternatives outside of the company plan?
Impact of Frozen Status: The freezing of the Sears Holdings Pension Plan on January 31, 1996, means that there have been no new accruals of benefits or participants since that date. For Kmart employees, this impacts their benefits eligibility by capping the pension benefits at levels earned up to the freeze date. Employees need to consider this stagnation in benefits when planning for retirement, potentially seeking additional retirement savings avenues to bridge any shortfall.
What are the essential calculations involved in determining the retirement benefits under the Sears Holdings Pension Plan for Kmart employees? Specifically, how do the Career Average Pay and Final Average Pay formulas come into play, and what factors should employees consider when estimating their future retirement payouts?
Essential Calculations for Retirement Benefits: Pension benefits for Kmart employees under the Sears Holdings Pension Plan are calculated using either the Career Average Pay or the Final Average Pay formulas. These calculations take into account an employee's years of credited service and compensation up to the freeze date. Factors like estimated Social Security benefits and specific formulas (such as a deduction based on Social Security benefits under the Final Average Pay formula) play crucial roles in determining the final pension payout.
How can Sears Holdings employees best navigate the process of applying for benefits under the Pension Plan? What specific steps should participants take to ensure their applications are processed correctly, and what important deadlines should they be aware of to avoid any negative consequences on their retirement benefits?
Navigating the Benefits Application Process: To apply for pension benefits, employees must submit a formal application, ideally 30 to 90 days before the intended commencement date. It is crucial to ensure all personal information, including marital status and spouse details, is up-to-date to avoid delays or inaccuracies in benefit processing. Missing application deadlines can lead to postponed benefit payments or unwanted default options.
In what situations can Kmart employees expect to receive a Deferred Vested Pension, and how is the calculation for this pension affected by their previous employment and vesting service? Employees should be aware of the important factors influencing their eligibility and the steps necessary to maintain their retirement benefits after leaving the company.
Eligibility and Calculation for Deferred Vested Pension: A Deferred Vested Pension is available to employees who leave the company after becoming vested but prior to qualifying for retirement. The calculation mirrors that of a normal retirement pension, with possible early commencement reductions. Understanding the timing of benefit commencement and the potential reductions for early start is vital for planning.
How does the Sears Holdings Pension Plan address tax considerations for employees receiving both monthly payments and lump sum payments upon retirement? What tax implications should Kmart participants be aware of, particularly in relation to IRS rules for distributions and potential penalties for early withdrawal?
Tax Implications of Pension Receipt: Pension payments, whether monthly or lump sum, are subject to federal taxes. Monthly benefits are taxed as ordinary income, while lump sums might be eligible for special tax treatments or rollover options to defer taxes. It’s important for Kmart employees to consider these implications and possibly consult with a tax advisor to optimize tax liability.
What are the rights and protections afforded to Kmart participants under the Employee Retirement Income Security Act (ERISA) as they navigate their retirement benefits with the Sears Holdings Pension Plan? How can employees leverage these rights to ensure they are receiving all the benefits to which they are entitled?
ERISA Rights and Protections: Under ERISA, Kmart employees are entitled to certain rights including the ability to appeal denied benefits, access to plan information, and assurances of fair and equitable treatment of their benefits. Leveraging these protections ensures that employees receive all due benefits.
What steps should Kmart employees take to update their personal information to ensure they continue receiving their benefits without interruption, especially in the context of missing participants or uncashed checks? What resources and contacts at Sears Holdings are available to assist with these updates?
Updating Personal Information: Maintaining accurate personal information with the pension plan is crucial for uninterrupted benefit payments. Employees should promptly update changes such as address, marital status, or beneficiaries to prevent issues with benefit distributions or lost checks.
How does the process of transferring between affiliated employers impact pension benefits for Kmart employees under the Sears Holdings Pension Plan? What considerations should be taken into account concerning Credited Service and Vesting Service during such transfers, and how can employees ensure they do not lose any entitled benefits?
Impact of Transfers Between Affiliated Employers: Transferring between Sears Holdings’ affiliated employers can affect pension benefits differently depending on whether the employer participates in the pension plan. It's essential to understand how such transfers impact credited and vesting service accruals.
For Kmart employees seeking more information about their benefits under the Sears Holdings Pension Plan, what is the best way to contact company representatives? How can they effectively communicate their questions or concerns to ensure they receive accurate and timely information regarding their retirement benefits?
Contacting Plan Representatives: Kmart employees seeking clarity on their pension benefits should contact the Sears Holdings Pension Service Center. Effective communication, including prepared questions and necessary documentation, will aid in obtaining accurate and comprehensive information.
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