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3 Surprising Investing Ideas for CUNA Mutual Group Employees in 2025

'For CUNA Mutual Group employees, the rapid market rebound in 2025 reinforces the value of disciplined, research-driven decision-making—especially when considering sector trends like tech's recovery and the structural challenges in consumer staples.” – Michael Corgiat, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

'The 2025 market turnaround highlights how CUNA Mutual Group employees can benefit from focusing on long-term sector dynamics—such as technology’s renewed potential—rather than reacting to short-term volatility.” – Brent Wolf, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

In this article we will discuss:

How the rebound in U.S. equities may still offer opportunities for long-term investors.
Why technology stocks are regaining momentum following a valuation reset.
The structural challenges facing consumer staples despite their traditional defensive appeal.

The first seven months of 2025 showcased how difficult it can be to time investment decisions during a year of sharp economic pivots and sudden market reversals. Early in the year, global tariff announcements sent shockwaves through markets, causing the S&P 500® to fall 19% from its mid-February highs, ¹ narrowly sidestepping bear market territory. But recovery followed quickly. The index rebounded roughly 30% from its April 8 low. ² For CUNA Mutual Group employees with exposure to equity markets, this swift rebound highlights the challenge of reacting to short-term volatility instead of maintaining a long-term perspective.

While trade-related uncertainty remains, a broader question has emerged: Has the rebound outpaced fundamental growth? Some analysts believe market valuations are stretched, while others—such as Fidelity’s Denise Chisholm—suggest that specific sectors, particularly technology, still present potential opportunities. Chisholm, Fidelity’s Director of Quantitative Market Strategy, points to three investing themes that could help CUNA Mutual Group retirees and employees make more informed decisions as the year continues. ³

1. U.S. Stocks Could Keep Outperforming

Following the April rally, many began scrutinizing market valuations. Despite concerns that stocks were overvalued before the downturn and may be even more so now, Chisholm’s historical analysis of 19%+ declines shows limited connection between elevated valuations during pullbacks and future performance. This insight may be particularly useful for CUNA Mutual Group employees with retirement accounts invested in broad-market indexes.

A more revealing factor is corporate earnings expectations. “Net earnings revisions”—the difference between upward and downward analyst estimates—fell into the bottom 25% of their historical range in April. ⁴ Historically, this has been followed by an average 12% S&P 500 gain over the next 12 months, according to Haver Analytics and Fidelity data from 1977 through May 2025. ⁴

Another encouraging sign is the increase in real personal income earlier this year. For those at CUNA Mutual Group planning their post-career financial strategies, rising consumer income tends to support stronger corporate earnings. In fact, when real personal income rises, corporate earnings growth over the following year is similarly positive 85% of the time. ⁴

Credit markets offer another signal. The narrow spread between high-yield corporate bonds and U.S. Treasuries—often viewed as a proxy for investor sentiment—suggests continued optimism. For CUNA Mutual Group stakeholders tracking market health, this may reflect investor confidence in corporate profitability and credit conditions.

2. Technology Stocks May Take the Lead Again

Tech stocks experienced a correction in early 2025 after years of strong performance. This adjustment pushed their valuations—based on the forward price-to-earnings ratio relative to the broader S&P 500—into the historical median range. Historically, when this level is reached, tech stocks have outperformed the S&P 500 by 5% over the following 12 months. ⁴

For CUNA Mutual Group professionals considering sector allocation, this valuation reset may indicate an opening in technology. According to research from Fidelity and FactSet, when speculative tech names—typically viewed as high-risk—drop into the lowest 25% of historical valuations, the entire tech sector has a 79% chance of outperforming the broader market over the following year. ⁴

This combination of historical probability and relative value makes the tech sector worth close attention. The reset in prices could renew investor interest, especially if upcoming earnings results outperform expectations. CUNA Mutual Group employees managing portfolios may discover longer-term growth potential in parts of the market that have experienced recalibrated valuations.

3. The Underperformance of Consumer Staples

Consumer staples—companies producing essentials like food and household items—are often considered more stable holdings. During the early 2025 market dip, many investors shifted toward these stocks in search of consistency. However, CUNA Mutual Group retirees evaluating income-focused portfolios may want to reassess the sector’s outlook.

Although valuations have returned to historical medians, consumer staples have not historically outperformed unless valuations reach the lower quartile. Data since 2000 show weak performance from mid-range valuation levels, especially compared to the tech sector’s behavior.

In addition, profit margins in the sector have steadily declined. By early 2025, margins were near two-decade lows, which may limit earnings growth. For CUNA Mutual Group employees reviewing income strategies in retirement, these long-term pressures may reduce the appeal of the sector—even if consumer demand remains relatively consistent during downturns.

A Prospective View for CUNA Mutual Group Employee Portfolios

After a dramatic rebound in 2025, many investors are weighing their next steps. For CUNA Mutual Group employees balancing growth potential and downside exposure, historical trends may offer useful insights. The mid-range valuations in technology, rising real income, and contrarian earnings signals suggest that U.S. equities may still provide room for further advancement.

Sector allocation decisions may play an increasingly important role. Technology could benefit from valuation resets and performance trends, while consumer staples may face continued margin pressure. CUNA Mutual Group retirees exploring future-focused allocations may want to pay attention to these sector-specific developments.

Chisholm’s findings offer a research-based perspective to assess these shifts. She emphasizes evaluating valuation resets, earnings expectations, and credit spreads rather than reacting to market headlines. For CUNA Mutual Group stakeholders, this measured approach may offer a clearer path through ongoing market uncertainty.

In June 2025, J.P. Morgan Asset Management highlighted dividend-paying stocks—particularly in health care and utilities—as appealing options during late-cycle environments due to their consistent cash flow. ⁵ They also noted that infrastructure investments may help offset inflation risks, and that short-duration bonds yielding over 5% can provide income while limiting interest rate sensitivity. These three ideas—dividends, infrastructure, and short-term bonds—may contribute to a more balanced approach for CUNA Mutual Group retiree portfolios.

Key Takeaway for CUNA Mutual Group Employees

Explore the major investment themes of 2025: U.S. stock momentum, shifting tech valuations, and structural concerns in consumer staples. Learn how trends in net earnings revisions, bond spreads, and income growth can inform longer-term planning. Historical data from Haver Analytics, FactSet, and Bloomberg, along with Chisholm’s sector analysis, may provide meaningful context for CUNA Mutual Group employees navigating today’s complex market environment.

Analogy:

Today’s investment environment for CUNA Mutual Group employees is like planning a well-balanced retirement meal: short-duration bonds are the refreshing drink—low volatility and steady; infrastructure funds are the hearty side—resilient in tough economic climates; and dividend stocks serve as the main course—reliable and consistent. Like a nourishing plate, each component plays a distinct role in adjusting to evolving market conditions.

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Sources:

1. Yahoo!Finance. ' Analyst resets S&P 500 forecast for rest of 2025 ,' by Todd Campbell, 20 July 2025.

2. Quoniam. ' Market commentary equities: Low single-digit returns in 2025, but massive undercurrents ,' by Mark Frielinghaus, 10 July 2025.

3. Fidelity. ' 4 investing ideas for the rest of 2025 ,' by Denise Chisolm, 4 June 2025.

4. Fidelity. ' Q3 2025 Quarterly Sector and Investment Research Update ,' by Denise Chisolm, 28 July 2025.

5. J.P. Morgan Asset Management. ' Mid-Year Investment Outlook 2025: Comfortably Uncomfortable ,' by J.P. Morgan Chase & Co., 5 May 2025.

What are the key differences between defined benefit plans and defined contribution plans offered by CUNA Mutual Group, and how might these differences affect my retirement benefits? As an employee of CUNA Mutual Group, understanding the nuances of defined benefit plans versus defined contribution plans is critical for effective retirement planning. Defined benefit plans typically promise a specific payout at retirement based on factors such as salary history and duration of employment. In contrast, defined contribution plans, like 401(k) plans, depend more on employee contributions and investment performance. Given the volatility in investment returns and changing employment patterns, employees might find themselves at a crossroad between predictable retirement income versus self-directed savings and investment risks. It's vital to explore how these plans could impact long-term financial security at retirement.

A defined benefit plan at CUNA Mutual Group offers predictable retirement payouts, typically based on salary history and years of service, ensuring employees a guaranteed income in retirement. In contrast, defined contribution plans, such as a 401(k), rely heavily on individual contributions and investment performance. Employees may face risks with defined contribution plans due to market volatility but benefit from greater control over their retirement savings. Depending on your financial situation and retirement goals, these differences can impact how secure your future income will be, either through guaranteed payouts or potential growth in investments.

How are pension costs determined in a defined benefit plan at CUNA Mutual Group, and what factors can influence these costs over time? The cost structure of a defined benefit plan at CUNA Mutual Group is predicated on various components, including service costs, interest costs, expected returns on assets, and amortization of gains and losses. Understanding these factors helps in managing potential burden changes on the organization's budget and employees' retirement expectations. For instance, factors such as fluctuating interest rates can significantly alter the present value of future liabilities, affecting the costs that CUNA Mutual Group bears. Employees should be versed in these aspects to contextualize their retirement benefits.

Pension costs at CUNA Mutual Group are influenced by factors such as service cost (new benefit accruals), interest cost (growth on past benefits), expected return on plan assets, and the amortization of gains or losses. Changes in these factors, like fluctuations in interest rates or salary adjustments, can affect the overall cost of the plan. Employees should be aware of how these variables impact their future pension benefits and how changes to the company's funding strategy could alter expectations.

What strategies can CUNA Mutual Group adopt to manage the costs and benefits of its defined benefit plan without drastically impacting employees' retirement security? CUNA Mutual Group faces the challenge of balancing cost management for its defined benefit plan while also ensuring that employees have adequate retirement benefits. Options like freezing benefit accruals, amending contribution formulas, or shifting to defined contribution plans can be explored. However, such strategies must be handled delicately to avoid significant disruptions to employees' retirement planning. Understanding employee concerns and the potential ramifications of these strategies is crucial to formulating a balanced approach.

CUNA Mutual Group can adopt strategies such as freezing benefit accruals, transitioning to cash balance designs, or reducing benefit formulas to manage costs. These strategies may lower expenses but must be carefully balanced to avoid significantly affecting employees' long-term retirement benefits. Clear communication about potential changes and their impact on retirement income is crucial for employees to adjust their retirement planning.

In what ways could regulatory changes influence the CUNA Mutual Group's pension plan design and its offerings to employees after retirement? Regulatory bodies frequently revise guidelines that govern employee benefit plans, potentially impacting how CUNA Mutual Group structures its pension offerings. For instance, changes to tax policies or pension funding requirements could affect administrative decisions regarding contribution levels or payout structures for defined benefit plans. It is imperative for employees to stay apprised of these regulations so they can understand any changes that might occur in their future benefits and what steps CUNA Mutual Group might take to adapt to new compliance needs.

Regulatory changes, such as adjustments in pension funding requirements or tax policies, can have a substantial impact on CUNA Mutual Group’s pension plan design. Changes in laws may require adjustments to benefit levels, contribution structures, or funding strategies. Employees should monitor such regulatory shifts to understand how they could influence future pension payouts and retirement strategies.

Could you explain the process employees at CUNA Mutual Group would need to undertake to access their retirement benefits upon leaving the company? For employees transitioning from CUNA Mutual Group to other ventures, itâ€™s essential to understand the process involved in accessing retirement benefits. This process may involve determining eligibility for pension payouts, selecting between lump-sum distributions or annuitized payments, and understanding how past contribution levels affect final benefits. Employees are encouraged to seek guidance from the HR department or pension plan administrators to navigate this process thoroughly.

When leaving CUNA Mutual Group, employees need to assess their eligibility for pension benefits, choose between lump-sum payouts or annuities, and understand how their years of service and contributions affect the final payout. It's advisable to consult with HR or a plan administrator to navigate the options and ensure that the benefits are accessed appropriately.

What tools and resources does CUNA Mutual Group provide to assist employees in planning for retirement effectively? CUNA Mutual Group offers various resources designed to support employees in their retirement planning journey. These might include access to financial planning tools, informational webinars about defined benefit and contribution options, or one-on-one consultations with benefits specialists. Employees should actively participate in these offerings as a means of optimizing their retirement readiness and ensuring they are leveraging all available benefits to the fullest extent.

CUNA Mutual Group offers several resources for retirement planning, such as access to financial planning tools, retirement webinars, and consultations with benefits specialists. These resources are designed to help employees make informed decisions about their defined benefit and defined contribution options, ensuring they optimize their retirement strategies.

How does the CUNA Mutual Group approach the issue of pension funding, and what implications does this have for current and future employees? The funding strategy for the pension plan at CUNA Mutual Group has significant implications for the benefits that employees can expect. A well-funded pension plan can provide assurance for employees about the stability and security of their retirement income. Conversely, fluctuations in the funding status could lead the organization to consider changes in benefit formulas or contribution strategies. Employees should be aware of how funding levels could affect their future benefits and the overall health of the pension plan.

CUNA Mutual Group’s pension funding strategy is critical to maintaining the stability of retirement benefits. A well-funded plan assures employees of predictable payouts, while underfunded plans may lead to changes in benefit formulas or contributions. Employees should stay informed about the funding status, as it could affect the future security of their pension income.

What should employees at CUNA Mutual Group know about the potential risks and benefits associated with their defined benefit plan? Employees should have a clear understanding of the inherent risks and benefits linked to CUNA Mutual Group's defined benefit plan. While these plans offer predictable retirement income, they are subject to various risks such as underfunding issues, market volatility, and regulatory changes. This understanding equips employees with knowledge about their eventual retirement income and helps them plan strategically alongside their professional developments or transitions within their careers.

Employees need to understand that defined benefit plans at CUNA Mutual Group provide predictable retirement income but come with risks such as underfunding, economic fluctuations, and regulatory changes. By staying informed about these risks, employees can better plan for their financial security in retirement, potentially supplementing their pension with other savings strategies.

What happens to my retirement benefits if CUNA Mutual Group decides to freeze its defined benefit plan? The implications of freezing a defined benefit plan at CUNA Mutual Group would be substantial for employees. Understanding the details surrounding such a freeze, including whether it would impact future accruals or merely limit new benefits for incoming participants, is crucial. Employees should consider consulting HR for comprehensive information regarding their specific situations and how a freeze could influence their expected retirement payouts.

If CUNA Mutual Group freezes its defined benefit plan, employees may no longer accrue new benefits, though they retain previously earned benefits. A freeze could impact future retirement income, particularly for employees nearing retirement, as they could miss out on years of service accruals or salary increases factored into their final benefit calculation.

How can employees contact CUNA Mutual Group to inquire further about their retirement benefits and related services? To learn more about retirement benefits, employees should reach out directly to CUNA Mutual Groupâ€™s HR department or designated pension plan administrators. The organization provides channels such as in-person meetings, phone consultations, and online resources which are specifically structured to assist employees with inquiries related to their retirement benefits and participant obligations. Employees can also explore dedicated web portals for additional information and updates on their pension plans.

Employees can contact CUNA Mutual Group directly through their retirement solutions division at 1-800-356-2644 or visit the website at CUNA Mutual Retirement Solutions for more information about retirement planning services and personalized assistance with their retirement benefits.

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For more information you can reach the plan administrator for CUNA Mutual Group at 5910 Mineral Point Rd Madison, WI 53705; or by calling them at (608) 238-5851.