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'For Fox employees, the rapid market rebound in 2025 reinforces the value of disciplined, research-driven decision-making—especially when considering sector trends like tech's recovery and the structural challenges in consumer staples.” – Michael Corgiat, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.
'The 2025 market turnaround highlights how Fox employees can benefit from focusing on long-term sector dynamics—such as technology’s renewed potential—rather than reacting to short-term volatility.” – Brent Wolf, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.
In this article we will discuss:
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How the rebound in U.S. equities may still offer opportunities for long-term investors.
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Why technology stocks are regaining momentum following a valuation reset.
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The structural challenges facing consumer staples despite their traditional defensive appeal.
The first seven months of 2025 showcased how difficult it can be to time investment decisions during a year of sharp economic pivots and sudden market reversals. Early in the year, global tariff announcements sent shockwaves through markets, causing the S&P 500® to fall 19% from its mid-February highs, 1 narrowly sidestepping bear market territory. But recovery followed quickly. The index rebounded roughly 30% from its April 8 low. 2 For Fox employees with exposure to equity markets, this swift rebound highlights the challenge of reacting to short-term volatility instead of maintaining a long-term perspective.
While trade-related uncertainty remains, a broader question has emerged: Has the rebound outpaced fundamental growth? Some analysts believe market valuations are stretched, while others—such as Fidelity’s Denise Chisholm—suggest that specific sectors, particularly technology, still present potential opportunities. Chisholm, Fidelity’s Director of Quantitative Market Strategy, points to three investing themes that could help Fox retirees and employees make more informed decisions as the year continues. 3
1. U.S. Stocks Could Keep Outperforming
Following the April rally, many began scrutinizing market valuations. Despite concerns that stocks were overvalued before the downturn and may be even more so now, Chisholm’s historical analysis of 19%+ declines shows limited connection between elevated valuations during pullbacks and future performance. This insight may be particularly useful for Fox employees with retirement accounts invested in broad-market indexes.
A more revealing factor is corporate earnings expectations. “Net earnings revisions”—the difference between upward and downward analyst estimates—fell into the bottom 25% of their historical range in April. 4 Historically, this has been followed by an average 12% S&P 500 gain over the next 12 months, according to Haver Analytics and Fidelity data from 1977 through May 2025. 4
Another encouraging sign is the increase in real personal income earlier this year. For those at Fox planning their post-career financial strategies, rising consumer income tends to support stronger corporate earnings. In fact, when real personal income rises, corporate earnings growth over the following year is similarly positive 85% of the time. 4
Credit markets offer another signal. The narrow spread between high-yield corporate bonds and U.S. Treasuries—often viewed as a proxy for investor sentiment—suggests continued optimism. For Fox stakeholders tracking market health, this may reflect investor confidence in corporate profitability and credit conditions.
2. Technology Stocks May Take the Lead Again
Tech stocks experienced a correction in early 2025 after years of strong performance. This adjustment pushed their valuations—based on the forward price-to-earnings ratio relative to the broader S&P 500—into the historical median range. Historically, when this level is reached, tech stocks have outperformed the S&P 500 by 5% over the following 12 months. 4
For Fox professionals considering sector allocation, this valuation reset may indicate an opening in technology. According to research from Fidelity and FactSet, when speculative tech names—typically viewed as high-risk—drop into the lowest 25% of historical valuations, the entire tech sector has a 79% chance of outperforming the broader market over the following year. 4
This combination of historical probability and relative value makes the tech sector worth close attention. The reset in prices could renew investor interest, especially if upcoming earnings results outperform expectations. Fox employees managing portfolios may discover longer-term growth potential in parts of the market that have experienced recalibrated valuations.
3. The Underperformance of Consumer Staples
Consumer staples—companies producing essentials like food and household items—are often considered more stable holdings. During the early 2025 market dip, many investors shifted toward these stocks in search of consistency. However, Fox retirees evaluating income-focused portfolios may want to reassess the sector’s outlook.
Although valuations have returned to historical medians, consumer staples have not historically outperformed unless valuations reach the lower quartile. Data since 2000 show weak performance from mid-range valuation levels, especially compared to the tech sector’s behavior.
In addition, profit margins in the sector have steadily declined. By early 2025, margins were near two-decade lows, which may limit earnings growth. For Fox employees reviewing income strategies in retirement, these long-term pressures may reduce the appeal of the sector—even if consumer demand remains relatively consistent during downturns.
A Prospective View for Fox Employee Portfolios
After a dramatic rebound in 2025, many investors are weighing their next steps. For Fox employees balancing growth potential and downside exposure, historical trends may offer useful insights. The mid-range valuations in technology, rising real income, and contrarian earnings signals suggest that U.S. equities may still provide room for further advancement.
Sector allocation decisions may play an increasingly important role. Technology could benefit from valuation resets and performance trends, while consumer staples may face continued margin pressure. Fox retirees exploring future-focused allocations may want to pay attention to these sector-specific developments.
Chisholm’s findings offer a research-based perspective to assess these shifts. She emphasizes evaluating valuation resets, earnings expectations, and credit spreads rather than reacting to market headlines. For Fox stakeholders, this measured approach may offer a clearer path through ongoing market uncertainty.
In June 2025, J.P. Morgan Asset Management highlighted dividend-paying stocks—particularly in health care and utilities—as appealing options during late-cycle environments due to their consistent cash flow. 5 They also noted that infrastructure investments may help offset inflation risks, and that short-duration bonds yielding over 5% can provide income while limiting interest rate sensitivity. These three ideas—dividends, infrastructure, and short-term bonds—may contribute to a more balanced approach for Fox retiree portfolios.
Key Takeaway for Fox Employees
Explore the major investment themes of 2025: U.S. stock momentum, shifting tech valuations, and structural concerns in consumer staples. Learn how trends in net earnings revisions, bond spreads, and income growth can inform longer-term planning. Historical data from Haver Analytics, FactSet, and Bloomberg, along with Chisholm’s sector analysis, may provide meaningful context for Fox employees navigating today’s complex market environment.
Analogy:
Today’s investment environment for Fox employees is like planning a well-balanced retirement meal: short-duration bonds are the refreshing drink—low volatility and steady; infrastructure funds are the hearty side—resilient in tough economic climates; and dividend stocks serve as the main course—reliable and consistent. Like a nourishing plate, each component plays a distinct role in adjusting to evolving market conditions.
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Sources:
1. Yahoo!Finance. ' Analyst resets S&P 500 forecast for rest of 2025 ,' by Todd Campbell, 20 July 2025.
2. Quoniam. ' Market commentary equities: Low single-digit returns in 2025, but massive undercurrents ,' by Mark Frielinghaus, 10 July 2025.
3. Fidelity. ' 4 investing ideas for the rest of 2025 ,' by Denise Chisolm, 4 June 2025.
4. Fidelity. ' Q3 2025 Quarterly Sector and Investment Research Update ,' by Denise Chisolm, 28 July 2025.
5. J.P. Morgan Asset Management. ' Mid-Year Investment Outlook 2025: Comfortably Uncomfortable ,' by J.P. Morgan Chase & Co., 5 May 2025.
How does 21st Century Fox America Inc. determine the funding status of its pension plan, and what key metrics are utilized in evaluating its financial health? Employees may want to understand the significance of the Funding Target Attainment Percentage and how it influences their retirement benefits, especially as it pertains to both the general and specific circumstances affecting funding levels.
Funding Status and Metrics: 21st Century Fox America Inc. determines the funding status of its pension plan by calculating the Funding Target Attainment Percentage (FTAP), which divides the plan’s net assets by its liabilities. For the 2022 plan year, the FTAP was 125.79%. This metric is crucial because it indicates how well the plan is funded. A high FTAP suggests that the plan is well-funded and capable of meeting its obligations, which directly influences employees' retirement security(21st Century Fox Americ…).
What considerations does 21st Century Fox America Inc. take into account when deciding the investment strategies for its pension plan? Employees should be informed about the policy guidelines that govern the allocation of the plan's assets, including which asset classes are prioritized and the expected outcomes from such investment decisions.
Investment Strategy Considerations: The company follows specific investment policies that establish guidelines for asset allocation within the pension plan. These policies ensure that assets are allocated among major categories like equities, fixed income, and cash. The fiduciaries of the plan determine the target ranges for each category, aiming for stable returns and long-term viability(21st Century Fox Americ…).
How can employees of 21st Century Fox America Inc. assess their rights and the processes involved should the pension plan terminate? This includes evaluating the stipulations provided by federal laws that dictate what happens to vested benefits upon termination and what steps participants can take to secure their entitlements.
Rights and Pension Termination: Should the pension plan terminate, federal law requires 21st Century Fox America Inc. to follow certain procedures. If fully funded, the plan would undergo a standard termination, where an insurance company provides annuities, or a lump sum may be offered. In underfunded cases, a distress termination could occur, where the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC) takes over(21st Century Fox Americ…).
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Impact of Federal Regulations: Recent changes in federal regulations, including the American Rescue Plan Act of 2021, adjusted the methodologies for calculating pension liabilities. Plans now incorporate a 25-year interest rate average, which typically results in higher interest rates and lower liabilities, affecting the funding status and employer contributions(21st Century Fox Americ…).
In the context of 21st Century Fox America Inc., what is the role of the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC) in guaranteeing pension benefits, and what are the criteria for ensuring benefits remain secure? Understanding how the PBGC functions and its limits is critical for employees planning their retirements.
Role of PBGC: The PBGC provides a guarantee for vested pension benefits in the event of plan termination. The guarantee is subject to legal limits, which vary depending on the participant’s age and the plan’s termination date. For 2023, the maximum annual benefit for a 65-year-old retiree was $81,000(21st Century Fox Americ…).
What steps can employees take to access information related to their pension plan from 21st Century Fox America Inc., and how can they ensure they receive timely updates regarding their benefits? Details about the channels available for inquiries and the importance of keeping informed about funding levels and benefits are crucial.
Accessing Pension Information: Employees can access information about their pension plan through the Disney Benefits Center by calling (800) 354-3970. Staying informed about the plan’s funding levels and benefits is essential, and employees are encouraged to review the annual funding notice for updates(21st Century Fox Americ…).
How does 21st Century Fox America Inc. manage the risks associated with its pension investments, particularly in a volatile market climate? Employees could benefit from insights into risk management strategies and how they affect long-term pension viability.
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In what ways can a participant's years of service and salary history with 21st Century Fox America Inc. affect their retirement benefits, and what mechanisms are in place to ensure accurate benefit calculations? Exploring the relationship between service, salary, and pension outcomes can help clarify employee expectations.
Service and Salary Impact on Benefits: The pension plan is structured to account for employees' years of service and salary history in calculating their retirement benefits. These factors directly affect the benefit amount, and the plan ensures that accurate records are maintained to reflect this information(21st Century Fox Americ…).
What unique benefits does 21st Century Fox America Inc. offer that may enhance its pension plan, and how can employees maximize their advantages while planning for retirement? Understanding available supplemental benefits can empower employees in their retirement planning journeys.
Enhancing Pension Benefits: Employees of 21st Century Fox America Inc. may benefit from supplemental retirement benefits, including early retirement options or disability benefits. Understanding and maximizing these options can significantly impact long-term retirement planning(21st Century Fox Americ…).
How can employees of 21st Century Fox America Inc. get in touch with the Disney Benefits Center to inquire further about their employee benefits or to clarify any aspects of the pension plan? Having clear contact information and the process for accessing support can greatly assist employees in navigating their retirement preparation.
Contacting the Disney Benefits Center: Employees can reach out to the Disney Benefits Center at (800) 354-3970 for any inquiries related to their pension plan or other employee benefits. This resource is crucial for clarifying benefit details and addressing any concerns(21st Century Fox Americ…).