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The Q1 2026 energy market upheaval has significant implications for Oneok employees managing investment portfolios that may include concentrated energy sector positions or company stock.

2026 Q1 Oil Market Update (March 2026): Oneok (OKE) shares are up approximately +22% over the past 90 days, with an approximate March 2026 average price of ~$112. Midstream operators are seeing elevated throughput and pipeline utilization as the U.S.-Israel joint strikes on Iran and the near-closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which carries approximately 20% of global oil and 21% of global LNG supply redirect energy flows toward North American infrastructure, boosting fee-based revenues.

In Q1 2026, Brent crude has surged to approximately ~$107/barrel and WTI to ~$94/barrel, as the ongoing Middle East conflict has restricted critical energy supply routes and strained global petroleum inventories.

The natural gas complex has moved sharply alongside crude, with Henry Hub at approximately ~$2.94/MMBtu and European TTF near ~$16.90/MMBtu, reflecting Iran's successful strikes on Gulf LNG facilities that crippled nearly a fifth of global LNG supply.

The extraordinary Q1 2026 performance of energy stocks has enriched many Oneok professionals' portfolios, but has also created new diversification challenges as company stock and sector positions may now represent an outsized share of overall wealth.

'For Oneok employees, the rapid market rebound reinforces the value of disciplined, research-driven decision-making, especially when considering sector trends like tech's recovery and the structural challenges in consumer staples." - Michael Corgiat, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

'The evolving market landscape heading into 2026 highlights how Oneok employees can benefit from focusing on long-term sector dynamics, such as technology's renewed potential, rather than reacting to short-term volatility." - Brent Wolf, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

In this article we will discuss:

How the rebound in U.S. equities may still offer opportunities for long-term investors.
Why technology stocks are regaining momentum following a valuation reset.
The structural challenges facing consumer staples despite their traditional defensive appeal.

In 2026, investment markets continue to reward patience and discipline over reactive decision-making. Geopolitical developments, elevated oil prices, and evolving trade and monetary policy have created a complex environment, yet corporate earnings have remained resilient. Q1 2026 S&P 500 earnings growth is estimated at 13% year-over-year, with Wall Street consensus targets suggesting further upside potential through the year. ¹ For Oneok employees with exposure to equity markets, these conditions underscore the enduring value of a long-term, research-driven approach over short-term market timing.

While uncertainty around trade policy and geopolitics remains, a broader question continues to emerge: Have valuations kept pace with fundamental growth? Some analysts believe market valuations are stretched, while others, such as Fidelity's Denise Chisholm, suggest that specific sectors, particularly technology, still present potential opportunities. Chisholm, Fidelity's Director of Quantitative Market Strategy, points to three investing themes that could help Oneok retirees and employees make more informed decisions in today's evolving market environment. ³

1. U.S. Stocks Could Keep Outperforming

Scrutinizing market valuations is always tempting after a significant move higher. Chisholm's historical research across multiple market cycles shows limited connection between elevated valuations during pullbacks and subsequent forward performance. This insight may be particularly useful for Oneok employees with retirement accounts invested in broad-market indexes.

A more revealing factor is corporate earnings expectations. "Net earnings revisions", the difference between upward and downward analyst estimates, fell into the bottom 25% of their historical range during a recent pullback period. ⁴ Historically, this has been followed by an average 12% S&P 500 gain over the next 12 months, according to Haver Analytics and Fidelity data covering more than four decades of market cycles. ⁴

Another encouraging sign is the increase in real personal income earlier this year. For those at Oneok planning their post-career financial strategies, rising consumer income tends to support stronger corporate earnings. In fact, when real personal income rises, corporate earnings growth over the following year is similarly positive 85% of the time. ⁴

Credit markets offer another signal. The narrow spread between high-yield corporate bonds and U.S. Treasuries, often viewed as a proxy for investor sentiment, suggests continued optimism. For Oneok stakeholders tracking market health, this may reflect investor confidence in corporate profitability and credit conditions.

2. Technology Stocks May Take the Lead Again

Technology stocks have emerged from their 2025 valuation reset with renewed momentum in 2026, driven largely by accelerating AI infrastructure investment. Research from FactSet and Fidelity suggests that when tech valuations return to historical median ranges, the sector has outperformed the broader S&P 500 by approximately 5% over the following 12 months. ⁴

For Oneok professionals considering sector allocation, this valuation reset may indicate an opening in technology. According to research from Fidelity and FactSet, when speculative tech names, typically viewed as high-risk, drop into the lowest 25% of historical valuations, the entire tech sector has a 79% chance of outperforming the broader market over the following year. ⁴

This combination of historical probability and relative value makes the tech sector worth close attention. The reset in prices could renew investor interest, especially if upcoming earnings results outperform expectations. Oneok employees managing portfolios may discover longer-term growth potential in parts of the market that have experienced recalibrated valuations.

3. The Underperformance of Consumer Staples

Consumer staples, companies producing essentials like food and household items, are often considered more stable holdings. During periods of market volatility, many investors shift toward these stocks in search of consistency. However, Oneok retirees evaluating income-focused portfolios may want to reassess the sector's outlook.

Although valuations have returned to historical medians, consumer staples have not historically outperformed unless valuations reach the lower quartile. Data since 2000 show weak performance from mid-range valuation levels, especially compared to the tech sector's behavior.

In addition, profit margins in the sector have steadily declined. Sector margins have faced sustained pressure in recent years, approaching multi-decade lows, which may continue to constrain earnings growth. For Oneok employees reviewing income strategies in retirement, these long-term pressures may reduce the appeal of the sector, even if consumer demand remains relatively consistent during downturns.

A Prospective View for Oneok Employee Portfolios

After a dramatic rebound, many investors are weighing their next steps. For Oneok employees balancing growth potential and downside exposure, historical trends may offer useful insights. The mid-range valuations in technology, rising real income, and contrarian earnings signals suggest that U.S. equities may still provide room for further advancement.

Sector allocation decisions may play an increasingly important role. Technology could benefit from valuation resets and performance trends, while consumer staples may face continued margin pressure. Oneok retirees exploring future-focused allocations may want to pay attention to these sector-specific developments.

Chisholm's findings offer a research-based perspective to assess these shifts. She emphasizes evaluating valuation resets, earnings expectations, and credit spreads rather than reacting to market headlines. For Oneok stakeholders, this measured approach may offer a clearer path through ongoing market uncertainty.

For 2026, J.P. Morgan Asset Management continues to highlight dividend-paying stocks, particularly in health care and utilities, as appealing options during late-cycle environments due to their consistent cash flow. ⁵ They also noted that infrastructure investments may help offset inflation risks, and that short-duration bonds yielding over 5% can provide income while limiting interest rate sensitivity. These three ideas, dividends, infrastructure, and short-term bonds, may contribute to a more balanced approach for Oneok retiree portfolios.

Key Takeaway for Oneok Employees

Explore the major investment themes shaping markets in 2026: U.S. stock momentum, technology's AI-driven leadership potential, and structural concerns in consumer staples. Learn how trends in net earnings revisions, bond spreads, and income growth can inform longer-term planning. Historical data from Haver Analytics, FactSet, and Bloomberg, along with Chisholm's sector analysis, may provide meaningful context for Oneok employees navigating today's complex market environment.

Analogy:

Today's investment environment for Oneok employees is like planning a well-balanced retirement meal: short-duration bonds are the refreshing drink, low volatility and steady; infrastructure funds are the hearty side, resilient in tough economic climates; and dividend stocks serve as the main course, reliable and consistent. Like a nourishing plate, each component plays a distinct role in adjusting to evolving market conditions.

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Sources:

1. J.P. Morgan Asset Management. ' 2026 Market Outlook: Navigating Global Uncertainty .' J.P. Morgan, Jan. 2026.

2. Fidelity. ' Sector Outlook 2026: Where the Opportunities May Be .' Fidelity.com, 2026.

3. FactSet. ' Earnings Insight Q1 2026 .' FactSet Research Systems, Mar. 2026.

4. Morgan Stanley. ' Investment Outlook 2026: U.S. Stock Market to Guide Growth .' Morgan Stanley, 2026.

5. Vanguard. ' Economic and Market Outlook for 2026 .' Vanguard.com, Dec. 2025.

What specific factors does ONEOK, Inc. consider when determining an employee's eligibility for retirement benefits, and how do these factors align with commonly understood retirement planning principles in the context of the ONEOK, Inc. Retirement Plan?

Eligibility Factors: ONEOK, Inc. considers several factors when determining eligibility for its retirement plan, such as date of hire, age, and participation in certain programs like the Profit Sharing Plan. Employees must have been hired before January 1, 2005, and must meet the minimum age of 21 to be eligible(ONEOK_Inc_Retirement_Pl…). These factors align with common retirement planning principles, such as ensuring long-term employment and participation in benefit programs.

How does the structure of the ONEOK, Inc. Retirement Plan impact the financial planning strategies of employees who are nearing retirement age, particularly in relation to their final average earnings and years of credited service?

Plan Structure and Financial Planning: The ONEOK Retirement Plan uses a formula based on Final Average Earnings and Years of Credited Service. This structure impacts employees' financial planning, as it encourages maximizing years of service and optimizing earnings in the final years before retirement(ONEOK_Inc_Retirement_Pl…). Employees nearing retirement should focus on maximizing both variables for a stronger financial outcome.

In what ways can changes to the IRS limits in 2024 affect the retirement planning of employees participating in the ONEOK, Inc. Retirement Plan, and how can they adapt their strategies to accommodate these changes?

IRS Limits and Impact on Planning: Changes to IRS limits, such as increases in contribution caps or income thresholds, could affect employees’ ability to defer taxes and maximize savings(ONEOK_Inc_Retirement_Pl…). Employees can adapt by adjusting their contributions to their 401(k) or other retirement accounts in line with new limits, ensuring they stay within allowable tax advantages.

For employees considering early retirement, what are the implications of selecting this option under the ONEOK, Inc. Retirement Plan compared to waiting for normal retirement benefits, and what should they consider regarding potential reductions in benefits?

Early Retirement vs. Normal Retirement: Opting for early retirement under the ONEOK Plan can lead to a reduction in benefits, as payments are reduced based on the Early Retirement Benefit Reduction Schedule(ONEOK_Inc_Retirement_Pl…). Employees should consider their financial needs and health before making this decision, as waiting until normal retirement age results in higher monthly benefits.

How does the process for applying for retirement benefits at ONEOK, Inc. work, and what specific documentation and timelines should employees be prepared to navigate in order to ensure a smooth transition into retirement?

Retirement Application Process: Employees must request a retirement estimate online or through HR, and submit retirement forms and documentation to initiate benefits(ONEOK_Inc_Retirement_Pl…). Timely submission is key to ensure a smooth transition, and benefits usually begin the first of the month after retirement.

What options are available to employees of ONEOK, Inc. if they wish to change their designated beneficiaries in the retirement plan, and how can they ensure that these changes are executed properly?

Changing Beneficiaries: Employees can change their designated beneficiaries by submitting a pre-retirement death beneficiary form(ONEOK_Inc_Retirement_Pl…). Spousal consent is required for changes that involve someone other than the spouse, and notarization is needed to ensure proper execution.

How does ONEOK, Inc. manage the investment of its retirement plan assets, and what guidelines are in place to ensure that participants' funds are invested prudently and in alignment with their retirement goals?

Investment Management: ONEOK manages its retirement plan assets in a trust, with investments overseen by plan fiduciaries following an investment policy(ONEOK_Inc_Retirement_Pl…). This policy ensures that funds are invested prudently, balancing risk and returns in alignment with participants' retirement goals.

In terms of employee rights under ERISA, what recourse do employees of ONEOK, Inc. have if they believe their benefits are being mismanaged or if they encounter issues when filing claims related to their retirement benefits?

ERISA Rights and Recourse: Employees have rights under ERISA, including the ability to file claims and appeals if they believe their benefits are being mismanaged(ONEOK_Inc_Retirement_Pl…). If claims are denied, they can appeal and ultimately take legal action under Section 502(a) of ERISA if necessary.

What procedures does ONEOK, Inc. have in place for communicating changes to the retirement plan, and how can employees stay informed about updates that may affect their benefits or retirement planning?

Plan Updates and Communication: ONEOK communicates changes to its retirement plan through electronic and physical notices(ONEOK_Inc_Retirement_Pl…). Employees are encouraged to stay updated by regularly reviewing these communications and contacting HR if they need clarification.

How can employees of ONEOK, Inc. reach out for additional information regarding the retirement plan, and what are the best practices for utilizing the resources available for retirement planning assistance?

Accessing Retirement Information: Employees can contact ONEOK HR Solutions or access the Employee Self-Service platform for detailed information about their retirement plan(ONEOK_Inc_Retirement_Pl…). Best practices include regular consultations with HR to stay informed and plan effectively for retirement.