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3 Surprising Investing Ideas for TIAA Employees in 2025

'For TIAA employees, the rapid market rebound in 2025 reinforces the value of disciplined, research-driven decision-making—especially when considering sector trends like tech's recovery and the structural challenges in consumer staples.” – Michael Corgiat, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

'The 2025 market turnaround highlights how TIAA employees can benefit from focusing on long-term sector dynamics—such as technology’s renewed potential—rather than reacting to short-term volatility.” – Brent Wolf, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

In this article we will discuss:

How the rebound in U.S. equities may still offer opportunities for long-term investors.
Why technology stocks are regaining momentum following a valuation reset.
The structural challenges facing consumer staples despite their traditional defensive appeal.

The first seven months of 2025 showcased how difficult it can be to time investment decisions during a year of sharp economic pivots and sudden market reversals. Early in the year, global tariff announcements sent shockwaves through markets, causing the S&P 500® to fall 19% from its mid-February highs, ¹ narrowly sidestepping bear market territory. But recovery followed quickly. The index rebounded roughly 30% from its April 8 low. ² For TIAA employees with exposure to equity markets, this swift rebound highlights the challenge of reacting to short-term volatility instead of maintaining a long-term perspective.

While trade-related uncertainty remains, a broader question has emerged: Has the rebound outpaced fundamental growth? Some analysts believe market valuations are stretched, while others—such as Fidelity’s Denise Chisholm—suggest that specific sectors, particularly technology, still present potential opportunities. Chisholm, Fidelity’s Director of Quantitative Market Strategy, points to three investing themes that could help TIAA retirees and employees make more informed decisions as the year continues. ³

1. U.S. Stocks Could Keep Outperforming

Following the April rally, many began scrutinizing market valuations. Despite concerns that stocks were overvalued before the downturn and may be even more so now, Chisholm’s historical analysis of 19%+ declines shows limited connection between elevated valuations during pullbacks and future performance. This insight may be particularly useful for TIAA employees with retirement accounts invested in broad-market indexes.

A more revealing factor is corporate earnings expectations. “Net earnings revisions”—the difference between upward and downward analyst estimates—fell into the bottom 25% of their historical range in April. ⁴ Historically, this has been followed by an average 12% S&P 500 gain over the next 12 months, according to Haver Analytics and Fidelity data from 1977 through May 2025. ⁴

Another encouraging sign is the increase in real personal income earlier this year. For those at TIAA planning their post-career financial strategies, rising consumer income tends to support stronger corporate earnings. In fact, when real personal income rises, corporate earnings growth over the following year is similarly positive 85% of the time. ⁴

Credit markets offer another signal. The narrow spread between high-yield corporate bonds and U.S. Treasuries—often viewed as a proxy for investor sentiment—suggests continued optimism. For TIAA stakeholders tracking market health, this may reflect investor confidence in corporate profitability and credit conditions.

2. Technology Stocks May Take the Lead Again

Tech stocks experienced a correction in early 2025 after years of strong performance. This adjustment pushed their valuations—based on the forward price-to-earnings ratio relative to the broader S&P 500—into the historical median range. Historically, when this level is reached, tech stocks have outperformed the S&P 500 by 5% over the following 12 months. ⁴

For TIAA professionals considering sector allocation, this valuation reset may indicate an opening in technology. According to research from Fidelity and FactSet, when speculative tech names—typically viewed as high-risk—drop into the lowest 25% of historical valuations, the entire tech sector has a 79% chance of outperforming the broader market over the following year. ⁴

This combination of historical probability and relative value makes the tech sector worth close attention. The reset in prices could renew investor interest, especially if upcoming earnings results outperform expectations. TIAA employees managing portfolios may discover longer-term growth potential in parts of the market that have experienced recalibrated valuations.

3. The Underperformance of Consumer Staples

Consumer staples—companies producing essentials like food and household items—are often considered more stable holdings. During the early 2025 market dip, many investors shifted toward these stocks in search of consistency. However, TIAA retirees evaluating income-focused portfolios may want to reassess the sector’s outlook.

Although valuations have returned to historical medians, consumer staples have not historically outperformed unless valuations reach the lower quartile. Data since 2000 show weak performance from mid-range valuation levels, especially compared to the tech sector’s behavior.

In addition, profit margins in the sector have steadily declined. By early 2025, margins were near two-decade lows, which may limit earnings growth. For TIAA employees reviewing income strategies in retirement, these long-term pressures may reduce the appeal of the sector—even if consumer demand remains relatively consistent during downturns.

A Prospective View for TIAA Employee Portfolios

After a dramatic rebound in 2025, many investors are weighing their next steps. For TIAA employees balancing growth potential and downside exposure, historical trends may offer useful insights. The mid-range valuations in technology, rising real income, and contrarian earnings signals suggest that U.S. equities may still provide room for further advancement.

Sector allocation decisions may play an increasingly important role. Technology could benefit from valuation resets and performance trends, while consumer staples may face continued margin pressure. TIAA retirees exploring future-focused allocations may want to pay attention to these sector-specific developments.

Chisholm’s findings offer a research-based perspective to assess these shifts. She emphasizes evaluating valuation resets, earnings expectations, and credit spreads rather than reacting to market headlines. For TIAA stakeholders, this measured approach may offer a clearer path through ongoing market uncertainty.

In June 2025, J.P. Morgan Asset Management highlighted dividend-paying stocks—particularly in health care and utilities—as appealing options during late-cycle environments due to their consistent cash flow. ⁵ They also noted that infrastructure investments may help offset inflation risks, and that short-duration bonds yielding over 5% can provide income while limiting interest rate sensitivity. These three ideas—dividends, infrastructure, and short-term bonds—may contribute to a more balanced approach for TIAA retiree portfolios.

Key Takeaway for TIAA Employees

Explore the major investment themes of 2025: U.S. stock momentum, shifting tech valuations, and structural concerns in consumer staples. Learn how trends in net earnings revisions, bond spreads, and income growth can inform longer-term planning. Historical data from Haver Analytics, FactSet, and Bloomberg, along with Chisholm’s sector analysis, may provide meaningful context for TIAA employees navigating today’s complex market environment.

Analogy:

Today’s investment environment for TIAA employees is like planning a well-balanced retirement meal: short-duration bonds are the refreshing drink—low volatility and steady; infrastructure funds are the hearty side—resilient in tough economic climates; and dividend stocks serve as the main course—reliable and consistent. Like a nourishing plate, each component plays a distinct role in adjusting to evolving market conditions.

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Sources:

1. Yahoo!Finance. ' Analyst resets S&P 500 forecast for rest of 2025 ,' by Todd Campbell, 20 July 2025.

2. Quoniam. ' Market commentary equities: Low single-digit returns in 2025, but massive undercurrents ,' by Mark Frielinghaus, 10 July 2025.

3. Fidelity. ' 4 investing ideas for the rest of 2025 ,' by Denise Chisolm, 4 June 2025.

4. Fidelity. ' Q3 2025 Quarterly Sector and Investment Research Update ,' by Denise Chisolm, 28 July 2025.

5. J.P. Morgan Asset Management. ' Mid-Year Investment Outlook 2025: Comfortably Uncomfortable ,' by J.P. Morgan Chase & Co., 5 May 2025.

How does TIAA-CREF's current approach to retirement benefits reflect the changing landscape of retiree health care support, and what implications does this have for employees planning for their retirement? How can TIAA-CREF employees leverage available resources to ensure that they are maximizing their retirement readiness?

TIAA-CREF is adapting to the evolving landscape of retiree health care by integrating defined contribution retirement and health care plans, thereby increasing benefits while maintaining cost control. This shift is crucial for employees planning for retirement as it allows for more predictable and sustainable benefits management. Employees should leverage TIAA-CREF’s educational resources, online tools, and direct consultation with wealth advisors to maximize their retirement readiness, ensuring they understand how to optimize their savings and benefits.

In what ways has the transition from traditional defined benefit plans to defined contribution plans impacted TIAA-CREF employees in terms of financial security during retirement? What strategies can employees employ to manage their defined contribution savings effectively to ensure they meet their retirement needs?

The transition from defined benefit plans to defined contribution plans at TIAA-CREF has significant implications for financial security during retirement, potentially increasing the responsibility on employees to manage their retirement savings. Employees can enhance their financial security by taking advantage of TIAA-CREF's automatic enrollment, lifestyle funds, and matching contributions strategies. Additionally, they should consider utilizing financial planning services offered by TIAA-CREF to effectively manage and plan their retirement savings.

TIAA-CREF promotes a robust wellness program alongside its retirement benefits. How can the wellness initiatives offered by TIAA-CREF contribute to an employee's overall preparation for retirement? What measures should employees take to integrate wellness into their retirement planning?

TIAA-CREF’s wellness programs are integral to helping employees prepare for retirement by promoting physical and financial well-being. Engaging in these wellness initiatives can lead to reduced long-term health care costs and improve overall health, which is vital for a secure retirement. Employees should actively participate in these programs and integrate wellness into their retirement planning to ensure they remain healthy and financially prepared for their post-working years.

As employees approach retirement, understanding health care costs becomes essential. What resources does TIAA-CREF provide to help employees estimate their future health care expenses, and why is it crucial for employees to factor these costs into their retirement planning?

TIAA-CREF provides several resources to help employees estimate future health care expenses, which is essential for comprehensive retirement planning. Utilizing tools like health savings accounts and retirement health savings plans can aid employees in planning for these costs effectively. Understanding the specifics of Medicare and supplemental insurance options available through TIAA-CREF can also help employees make informed decisions about their health care in retirement.

Facing the challenges of an aging workforce and rising health care costs, how is TIAA-CREF adapting its retiree health care strategies to remain sustainable? What can current employees learn from these changes as they prepare for their future?

Facing an aging workforce and rising health care costs, TIAA-CREF is adapting its strategies by shifting towards health reimbursement arrangements (HRAs) and providing access to Medicare Advantage plans through private exchanges. These changes help sustain the financial viability of retiree health benefits. Employees should stay informed about these shifts and plan accordingly to utilize the evolving benefits effectively as they prepare for retirement.

The retirement health savings plan (RHSP) at TIAA-CREF offers unique benefits. How does this plan specifically support employees in managing their health care costs post-retirement, and what should employees consider when contributing to this plan while employed?

TIAA-CREF’s RHSP offers unique benefits by allowing employees to save for health care costs with tax advantages. Understanding and contributing to this plan during their employment can significantly aid employees in managing health care expenses post-retirement. Employees should consider maximizing their contributions to take full advantage of TIAA-CREF’s matching offerings and the tax-free growth of these assets.

TIAA-CREF has moved towards providing financial support for retirees through health reimbursement arrangements (HRAs) instead of traditional retiree health benefits. What should TIAA-CREF employees know about the HRA structure, and how can they plan to utilize these funds effectively to cover medical expenses in retirement?

TIAA-CREF’s move to provide financial support through HRAs instead of traditional health benefits requires employees to understand the structure and benefits of HRAs. Planning how to use these funds effectively, including covering medical expenses and insurance premiums in retirement, is crucial. Employees should educate themselves about the terms and optimal uses of their HRA to maximize its value for their retirement health care needs.

Considering recent changes in accounting standards like FAS 106, how has TIAA-CREF adjusted its benefits structure? How can employees understand the implications of these standards when it comes to their retiree benefits and overall financial planning?

With changes in accounting standards like FAS 106 affecting the reporting and funding of retiree benefits, TIAA-CREF has adjusted its benefits structure accordingly. Employees need to understand these changes and their implications on their retiree benefits to plan their finances and retiree benefits more effectively. Awareness of these accounting standards and proactive engagement with HR can help employees navigate these changes.

The rising costs of health care naturally impact retirement planning. How is TIAA-CREF preparing its employees to navigate these rising costs in their retirement? What proactive steps should employees take to mitigate health care costs during their retirement years?

TIAA-CREF is preparing employees for rising health care costs by providing tools and resources to estimate and manage these expenses effectively. Employees should proactively use these resources and consider increasing their health savings contributions to mitigate the impact of medical inflation on their retirement savings.

If TIAA-CREF employees have further questions or need detailed information regarding their retirement benefits, what is the best way to contact TIAA-CREF for assistance? What resources are available through TIAA-CREF's communication channels to ensure employees have comprehensive support during their retirement planning process?

For TIAA-CREF employees seeking further assistance or detailed information regarding their retirement benefits, contacting TIAA-CREF through their dedicated support channels, including customer service lines and online portals, is advisable. Utilizing workshops, webinars, and one-on-one advisement can also provide comprehensive support and guidance in navigating retirement planning effectively.