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Navigating Sequence Risk in Retirement: Lessons and Strategies for Consolidated Edison Employees

Healthcare Provider Update: Healthcare Provider for Consolidated Edison: Consolidated Edison (Con Edison) primarily utilizes Empire BlueCross BlueShield as its healthcare provider for employee health insurance plans. This offers a range of services including medical, pharmaceutical, and behavioral health benefits for its employees and their families. Potential Healthcare Cost Increases for Consolidated Edison in 2026: As the healthcare landscape changes, Consolidated Edison faces potential challenges with rising health insurance premiums expected in 2026. Experts predict that without the continuation of enhanced federal subsidies, individuals enrolled in ACA marketplace plans may see premium increases exceeding 75%. This surge is driven by escalating medical costs, including hospital and drug prices, which are increasing faster than overall inflation. With major insurers seeking double-digit rate hikes and a significant number of enrollees expected to face higher out-of-pocket costs, Consolidated Edison employees may need to prepare for heightened financial pressures related to their healthcare coverage in the upcoming year. Click here to learn more

'Consolidated Edison employees approaching retirement should recognize that the sequence of market returns in their early years can influence the longevity of their income far more than the average return itself, making disciplined withdrawal strategies and diversified income planning essential.' – Brent Wolf, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

'Consolidated Edison employees nearing retirement can benefit from understanding how market downturns early in retirement may have lasting effects, and from adopting flexible, research-based withdrawal and allocation strategies to help sustain their income over time.' – Paul Bergeron, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

In this article we will discuss:

Historical examples of sequence-of-returns risk and their effects on retirement income.
Why the first years of retirement are most critical for portfolio sustainability.
Research‑backed strategies for managing sequence risk and supporting long‑term retirement goals.

Contributed by Paul Bergeron and Brent Wolf of Wealth Enhancement

For Fortune 500 employees approaching retirement, recognizing the timing of returns—not just the average return—can be critical to keeping income going over the long term. This concept, known as sequence-of‑returns risk, shows how poor early market performance in retirement can have a lasting impact on a withdrawal plan, even if long-term averages seem strong. Historical market data provides clear examples of this risk and offers practical methods for responding to it.

Historical examples of sequence risk

Fortune 500 retirees entering retirement during tough market cycles face situations similar to the declines seen in the late 1960s, when the market hit two bear markets (1968–70 and 1973–74) alongside high inflation. The S&P 500 dropped roughly 48% during the 1973–74 bear market, compounding inflation-related difficulties. ¹ Likewise, those retiring in 2000 endured two severe bear markets in the decade, while 2022 proved one of the toughest years for balanced portfolios, with sharp drops in both U.S. stocks and high-quality bonds.

Why the early years matter most

For a Fortune 500 retiree, significant losses in the first five to ten years of retirement—combined with regular withdrawals—can shrink the number of shares left to rebound when markets recover. Academic studies and industry research repeatedly show that even with the same average return, the order of gains and losses plays a huge role in retirement outcomes.

Research-backed strategies to manage sequence risk

One effective method for Fortune 500 retirees is keeping a mix of asset types to help weather downturns. Cash and bonds can act as “shock absorbers” for immediate expenses, reducing the need to sell stocks during market dips. Flexible withdrawal approaches—such as adjusting withdrawals within set guardrails—have been shown to support portfolio longevity better than fixed-dollar withdrawal methods.

Staging risk in a retirement portfolio—by holding one to two years of expenses in cash-like assets and several years in short‑ to intermediate‑term bonds—may give equities time to recover before they're tapped for income. For some Fortune 500 retirees, delaying income sources like Social Security can help raise total lifetime income and lessen the need to tap investments during volatile times. Thoughtful rebalancing and managing tax lots, especially during downturns, can also help maintain equity exposure and extend portfolio lifespan.

Implications for retirement planning

While higher stock allocations may offer greater long-term growth potential, they also increase sequence risk in early retirement for Fortune 500 workers. Historically, balanced portfolios—often with 30% to 50% equities for income-focused funds—have supported more resilient initial withdrawal rates compared to all-stock strategies. ² Strong early-market results can set up long-term success, but disciplined spending limits, guardrails, and rebalancing remain key.

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Sources:

1.The New York Times. ' What Happens When Stock Markets Become Bears ,' by William Davis, Karl Russell, and Stephen Gandel. 13 June 2022.

2. Vanguard UK. ' Sustainable Spending Rates in Turbulent Markets ,' by Daga, Ankul, et al. Mar. 2021, pp. 1–7.

Other Resources:

1. Guyton, Jonathan T., and William J. Klinger. “ Decision Rules and Maximum Initial Withdrawal Rates .” Journal of Financial Planning , vol. 19, no. 3, Mar. 2006, pp. 48–50, 52–54, 56–58. Financial Planning Association.

2. “ Timeline of U.S. Stock Market Crashes .” Investopedia , 30 Oct. 2024, section “The 1973–74 Oil Crisis Bear Market.”

3. ' When to Start Receiving Retirement Benefits. ' Social Security Administration, Pub. No. 05-10147, May 2024, pp. 1–2.

4. Arnott, Amy C., CFA, and Ivanna Hampton. “ Why More Diversification Doesn’t Mean Better Returns .” Morningstar , 7 June 2024.

What is the 401(k) plan offered by Consolidated Edison?

The 401(k) plan offered by Consolidated Edison is a retirement savings plan that allows employees to save a portion of their salary on a tax-deferred basis.

How can employees enroll in the Consolidated Edison 401(k) plan?

Employees can enroll in the Consolidated Edison 401(k) plan by completing the enrollment process through the company’s HR portal or by contacting the HR department for assistance.

Does Consolidated Edison offer a matching contribution to the 401(k) plan?

Yes, Consolidated Edison offers a matching contribution to the 401(k) plan, which helps employees increase their retirement savings.

What is the maximum contribution limit for the Consolidated Edison 401(k) plan?

The maximum contribution limit for the Consolidated Edison 401(k) plan is in line with IRS guidelines, which are updated annually. Employees should check the current limits for the year.

Can employees take loans against their 401(k) savings at Consolidated Edison?

Yes, Consolidated Edison allows employees to take loans against their 401(k) savings, subject to certain terms and conditions.

What investment options are available in the Consolidated Edison 401(k) plan?

The Consolidated Edison 401(k) plan offers a variety of investment options, including mutual funds, target-date funds, and other investment vehicles, allowing employees to choose based on their risk tolerance.

Is there a vesting schedule for the employer match in the Consolidated Edison 401(k) plan?

Yes, there is a vesting schedule for the employer match in the Consolidated Edison 401(k) plan, which determines how much of the employer contributions employees are entitled to based on their years of service.

How can employees check their 401(k) balance with Consolidated Edison?

Employees can check their 401(k) balance with Consolidated Edison by logging into the retirement plan portal or by contacting the plan administrator.

What happens to the 401(k) savings if an employee leaves Consolidated Edison?

If an employee leaves Consolidated Edison, they have several options for their 401(k) savings, including rolling it over to another retirement account, cashing it out, or leaving it in the Consolidated Edison plan if eligible.

Are there any fees associated with the Consolidated Edison 401(k) plan?

Yes, there may be fees associated with the Consolidated Edison 401(k) plan, which can include administrative fees and investment-related fees. Employees should review the plan documents for detailed information.

With the current political climate we are in it is important to keep up with current news and remain knowledgeable about your benefits.

Consolidated Edison offers a traditional pension plan under the Final Average Pay and CECONY Career Average formulas, which include a Cost-of-Living Adjustment (COLA) to help protect retirement income against inflation. Employees who retired under these formulas receive an automatic COLA, but this does not apply to those under the cash balance formula or hired after June 26, 2005, in certain unions. The pension plan details, including service years and age qualifications, are outlined in the company’s retirement plan documents. Consolidated Edison’s 401(k) plan is managed by Vanguard, offering various investment options. The plan includes employer contributions and is available to all eligible employees. For detailed specifics, refer to the company's 2023 retirement plan documents

Restructuring Layoffs and Company Changes: Consolidated Edison has been actively managing its workforce and financial strategies in response to the evolving energy market. In early 2024, the company announced various structural adjustments, including potential layoffs, to streamline operations and adapt to clean energy initiatives. These actions are critical to address due to the current economic conditions, political pressures to shift towards sustainable energy, and the necessity of maintaining investor confidence amidst market fluctuations. Addressing these workforce adjustments is essential in the current investment climate.

Stock Options: Con Edison provides its employees with stock options, allowing them to purchase shares at a predetermined price. This option becomes valuable if the company's stock price increases over time. The acronym commonly used for these options within the company is ESO (Employee Stock Options). Restricted Stock Units (RSUs): RSUs are awarded to employees as a form of compensation. These units represent a promise to deliver company shares to employees upon meeting certain conditions, such as continued employment over a specific period. The RSUs granted by Con Edison typically vest over a few years, ensuring long-term employee commitment. The RSUs are denoted internally with the acronym RSU.

Healthcare Plans: Con Edison offers comprehensive health benefits through providers like Cigna and CVS Health. For 2024, the Cigna Open Access Plus Copay Plan is a prominent option for retirees under 65 and those who are Medicare-eligible. This plan includes coverage for hospital stays, outpatient services, routine preventive care, and emergency room visits. The benefits also extend to vision care, with coverage for routine eye exams and glasses every 24 months. Cost Management: To manage increasing healthcare costs, especially under Medicare, Con Edison has emphasized the importance of selecting appropriate coverage during open enrollment periods. The company has adjusted its offerings over the years, such as discontinuing the Aetna Non-Medicare plan after 2023 and limiting new enrollments in certain HMOs. Healthcare-Related Acronyms: Specific terms used by Con Edison include "HMO" (Health Maintenance Organization), "PPO" (Preferred Provider Organization), and "FSA" (Flexible Spending Account), which are essential for understanding the various health plan options and associated benefits.

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For more information you can reach the plan administrator for Consolidated Edison at 4 Irving Place New York, NY 10003; or by calling them at (212) 460-4600.

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