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Navigating Sequence Risk in Retirement: Lessons and Strategies for Copart Employees

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'Copart employees approaching retirement should recognize that the sequence of market returns in their early years can influence the longevity of their income far more than the average return itself, making disciplined withdrawal strategies and diversified income planning essential.' – Brent Wolf, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

'Copart employees nearing retirement can benefit from understanding how market downturns early in retirement may have lasting effects, and from adopting flexible, research-based withdrawal and allocation strategies to help sustain their income over time.' – Paul Bergeron, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

In this article we will discuss:

Historical examples of sequence-of-returns risk and their effects on retirement income.
Why the first years of retirement are most critical for portfolio sustainability.
Research‑backed strategies for managing sequence risk and supporting long‑term retirement goals.

Contributed by Paul Bergeron and Brent Wolf of Wealth Enhancement

For Fortune 500 employees approaching retirement, recognizing the timing of returns—not just the average return—can be critical to keeping income going over the long term. This concept, known as sequence-of‑returns risk, shows how poor early market performance in retirement can have a lasting impact on a withdrawal plan, even if long-term averages seem strong. Historical market data provides clear examples of this risk and offers practical methods for responding to it.

Historical examples of sequence risk

Fortune 500 retirees entering retirement during tough market cycles face situations similar to the declines seen in the late 1960s, when the market hit two bear markets (1968–70 and 1973–74) alongside high inflation. The S&P 500 dropped roughly 48% during the 1973–74 bear market, compounding inflation-related difficulties. ¹ Likewise, those retiring in 2000 endured two severe bear markets in the decade, while 2022 proved one of the toughest years for balanced portfolios, with sharp drops in both U.S. stocks and high-quality bonds.

Why the early years matter most

For a Fortune 500 retiree, significant losses in the first five to ten years of retirement—combined with regular withdrawals—can shrink the number of shares left to rebound when markets recover. Academic studies and industry research repeatedly show that even with the same average return, the order of gains and losses plays a huge role in retirement outcomes.

Research-backed strategies to manage sequence risk

One effective method for Fortune 500 retirees is keeping a mix of asset types to help weather downturns. Cash and bonds can act as “shock absorbers” for immediate expenses, reducing the need to sell stocks during market dips. Flexible withdrawal approaches—such as adjusting withdrawals within set guardrails—have been shown to support portfolio longevity better than fixed-dollar withdrawal methods.

Staging risk in a retirement portfolio—by holding one to two years of expenses in cash-like assets and several years in short‑ to intermediate‑term bonds—may give equities time to recover before they're tapped for income. For some Fortune 500 retirees, delaying income sources like Social Security can help raise total lifetime income and lessen the need to tap investments during volatile times. Thoughtful rebalancing and managing tax lots, especially during downturns, can also help maintain equity exposure and extend portfolio lifespan.

Implications for retirement planning

While higher stock allocations may offer greater long-term growth potential, they also increase sequence risk in early retirement for Fortune 500 workers. Historically, balanced portfolios—often with 30% to 50% equities for income-focused funds—have supported more resilient initial withdrawal rates compared to all-stock strategies. ² Strong early-market results can set up long-term success, but disciplined spending limits, guardrails, and rebalancing remain key.

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Articles you may find interesting:

Sources:

1.The New York Times. ' What Happens When Stock Markets Become Bears ,' by William Davis, Karl Russell, and Stephen Gandel. 13 June 2022.

2. Vanguard UK. ' Sustainable Spending Rates in Turbulent Markets ,' by Daga, Ankul, et al. Mar. 2021, pp. 1–7.

Other Resources:

1. Guyton, Jonathan T., and William J. Klinger. “ Decision Rules and Maximum Initial Withdrawal Rates .” Journal of Financial Planning , vol. 19, no. 3, Mar. 2006, pp. 48–50, 52–54, 56–58. Financial Planning Association.

2. “ Timeline of U.S. Stock Market Crashes .” Investopedia , 30 Oct. 2024, section “The 1973–74 Oil Crisis Bear Market.”

3. ' When to Start Receiving Retirement Benefits. ' Social Security Administration, Pub. No. 05-10147, May 2024, pp. 1–2.

4. Arnott, Amy C., CFA, and Ivanna Hampton. “ Why More Diversification Doesn’t Mean Better Returns .” Morningstar , 7 June 2024.

What is the Copart 401(k) plan?

The Copart 401(k) plan is a retirement savings plan that allows employees to save for their future by contributing a portion of their salary on a pre-tax or after-tax basis.

How can I enroll in Copart's 401(k) plan?

You can enroll in Copart's 401(k) plan by completing the enrollment process through the company’s benefits portal or by contacting the HR department for assistance.

Does Copart match employee contributions to the 401(k) plan?

Yes, Copart offers a matching contribution to the 401(k) plan, which helps employees maximize their retirement savings.

What is the maximum contribution limit for Copart's 401(k) plan?

The maximum contribution limit for Copart's 401(k) plan is determined by the IRS and may change annually; employees should check the latest IRS guidelines for the current limit.

When can I start contributing to Copart's 401(k) plan?

Employees at Copart can start contributing to the 401(k) plan after completing their eligibility period, which is typically outlined in the employee handbook.

What investment options are available in Copart's 401(k) plan?

Copart's 401(k) plan offers a variety of investment options, including mutual funds, stocks, and bonds, allowing employees to choose based on their risk tolerance and retirement goals.

Can I take a loan from my Copart 401(k) account?

Yes, Copart allows employees to take loans from their 401(k) accounts under certain conditions, but it’s important to review the specific terms and repayment requirements.

What happens to my Copart 401(k) if I leave the company?

If you leave Copart, you have several options for your 401(k), including rolling it over to a new employer's plan, transferring it to an IRA, or cashing it out (though this may incur taxes and penalties).

How often can I change my contribution amount to Copart's 401(k) plan?

Employees can typically change their contribution amount to Copart's 401(k) plan at any time, subject to the plan's specific rules regarding frequency and timing.

Is there a vesting schedule for Copart's 401(k) matching contributions?

Yes, Copart has a vesting schedule for matching contributions, meaning that employees must work for a certain period before they fully own the employer contributions.

With the current political climate we are in it is important to keep up with current news and remain knowledgeable about your benefits.

Copart offers a cash balance pension plan, which is a type of defined benefit plan. In this plan, participants' benefits are defined in terms of a stated account balance that grows annually with company contributions and interest credits. The cash balance plan credits each participant's account with a percentage of their annual compensation and an interest credit based on either a fixed rate or a variable rate linked to an index such as the one-year treasury bill rate. Eligibility for this plan typically includes full-time employees who meet certain tenure requirements, ensuring they receive a predictable retirement benefit based on their cumulative account balance at retirement. In recent years, Copart has adapted its cash balance plan to comply with updated tax laws and economic conditions. The company employs interest rate strategies that consider both stability and potential returns, such as using a fixed interest rate for simplicity and better funding predictability. Specifically, Copart has leveraged options like the 5% fixed rate, which helps in achieving consistent funding levels without yearly recalculations, making it advantageous for both the company and employees. This approach aligns with recent tax laws, ensuring that contributions and benefits are optimized within legal limits, benefiting both the company and its workforce.

Restructuring Layoffs: As of November 2023, Copart has announced significant financial growth with substantial increases in revenue and net income, which has mitigated the need for extensive layoffs. However, like many companies in the current economic climate, Copart has taken steps to optimize its workforce, primarily through natural attrition and selective hiring freezes rather than widespread layoffs. This strategic approach aims to maintain financial stability while preparing for potential market volatility in 2024

Stock Options: Copart offers employee stock options which provide employees the right to purchase company stock at a predetermined price, known as the exercise price. These options are generally available to senior executives and key employees, designed to incentivize performance and align employee interests with those of shareholders. Restricted Stock Units (RSUs): Copart grants RSUs which represent a promise to deliver shares of stock at a future date, subject to vesting conditions. These units are typically awarded to executives and high-performing employees, providing them with a stake in the company's success.

Health Insurance Plans: Copart offers its employees a choice of four medical plans to accommodate different healthcare needs. These plans include coverage for dental, vision, and mental health services. Employees can also take advantage of disability insurance and flexible spending accounts (FSAs) (Copart) (Built In). Specific Healthcare Terms and Acronyms: FSA (Flexible Spending Account): Allows employees to set aside pre-tax dollars for eligible healthcare expenses. HMO (Health Maintenance Organization): A plan that requires members to use a network of doctors and hospitals. PPO (Preferred Provider Organization): A plan offering more flexibility in choosing healthcare providers and does not require a referral to see a specialist. Recent Employee Healthcare News: In 2024, Copart has continued to enhance its healthcare benefits to better support employees' mental health and overall wellness. The company provides 24/7 access to physicians through phone and video consultations at no additional cost to employees enrolled in their medical plans (Copart).

Additional Articles

Check Out Articles for Copart employees

For more information you can reach the plan administrator for Copart at 14185 Dallas Pkwy. Dallas, TX 75254; or by calling them at 972-391-5400.

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