<img height="1" width="1" style="display:none" src="https://www.facebook.com/tr?id=314834185700910&amp;ev=PageView&amp;noscript=1">

New Update: Healthcare Costs Increasing by Over 60% in Some States. Will you be impacted?

Learn More

Navigating Sequence Risk in Retirement: Lessons and Strategies for CUNA Mutual Group Employees

image-table

'CUNA Mutual Group employees approaching retirement should recognize that the sequence of market returns in their early years can influence the longevity of their income far more than the average return itself, making disciplined withdrawal strategies and diversified income planning essential.' – Brent Wolf, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

'CUNA Mutual Group employees nearing retirement can benefit from understanding how market downturns early in retirement may have lasting effects, and from adopting flexible, research-based withdrawal and allocation strategies to help sustain their income over time.' – Paul Bergeron, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

In this article we will discuss:

  1. Historical examples of sequence-of-returns risk and their effects on retirement income.

  2. Why the first years of retirement are most critical for portfolio sustainability.

  3. Research‑backed strategies for managing sequence risk and supporting long‑term retirement goals.

Contributed by Paul Bergeron and Brent Wolf of Wealth Enhancement

For Fortune 500 employees approaching retirement, recognizing the timing of returns—not just the average return—can be critical to keeping income going over the long term. This concept, known as sequence-of‑returns risk, shows how poor early market performance in retirement can have a lasting impact on a withdrawal plan, even if long-term averages seem strong. Historical market data provides clear examples of this risk and offers practical methods for responding to it.

Historical examples of sequence risk

Fortune 500 retirees entering retirement during tough market cycles face situations similar to the declines seen in the late 1960s, when the market hit two bear markets (1968–70 and 1973–74) alongside high inflation. The S&P 500 dropped roughly 48% during the 1973–74 bear market, compounding inflation-related difficulties. 1  Likewise, those retiring in 2000 endured two severe bear markets in the decade, while 2022 proved one of the toughest years for balanced portfolios, with sharp drops in both U.S. stocks and high-quality bonds.

Why the early years matter most

For a Fortune 500 retiree, significant losses in the first five to ten years of retirement—combined with regular withdrawals—can shrink the number of shares left to rebound when markets recover. Academic studies and industry research repeatedly show that even with the same average return, the order of gains and losses plays a huge role in retirement outcomes.

Research-backed strategies to manage sequence risk

One effective method for Fortune 500 retirees is keeping a mix of asset types to help weather downturns. Cash and bonds can act as “shock absorbers” for immediate expenses, reducing the need to sell stocks during market dips. Flexible withdrawal approaches—such as adjusting withdrawals within set guardrails—have been shown to support portfolio longevity better than fixed-dollar withdrawal methods.

Staging risk in a retirement portfolio—by holding one to two years of expenses in cash-like assets and several years in short‑ to intermediate‑term bonds—may give equities time to recover before they're tapped for income. For some Fortune 500 retirees, delaying income sources like Social Security can help raise total lifetime income and lessen the need to tap investments during volatile times. Thoughtful rebalancing and managing tax lots, especially during downturns, can also help maintain equity exposure and extend portfolio lifespan.

Implications for retirement planning

While higher stock allocations may offer greater long-term growth potential, they also increase sequence risk in early retirement for Fortune 500 workers. Historically, balanced portfolios—often with 30% to 50% equities for income-focused funds—have supported more resilient initial withdrawal rates compared to all-stock strategies. 2  Strong early-market results can set up long-term success, but disciplined spending limits, guardrails, and rebalancing remain key.

Featured Video

Articles you may find interesting:

Loading...

Sources:

1.The New York Times. ' What Happens When Stock Markets Become Bears ,' by William Davis, Karl Russell, and Stephen Gandel. 13 June 2022. 

2. Vanguard UK. ' Sustainable Spending Rates in Turbulent Markets ,' by Daga, Ankul, et al. Mar. 2021, pp. 1–7. 

Other Resources:

1. Guyton, Jonathan T., and William J. Klinger. “ Decision Rules and Maximum Initial Withdrawal Rates .”  Journal of Financial Planning , vol. 19, no. 3, Mar. 2006, pp. 48–50, 52–54, 56–58. Financial Planning Association.

2. “ Timeline of U.S. Stock Market Crashes .”  Investopedia , 30 Oct. 2024, section “The 1973–74 Oil Crisis Bear Market.”

3. ' When to Start Receiving Retirement Benefits. ' Social Security Administration, Pub. No. 05-10147, May 2024, pp. 1–2.

4. Arnott, Amy C., CFA, and Ivanna Hampton. “ Why More Diversification Doesn’t Mean Better Returns .”  Morningstar , 7 June 2024.

What are the key differences between defined benefit plans and defined contribution plans offered by CUNA Mutual Group, and how might these differences affect my retirement benefits? As an employee of CUNA Mutual Group, understanding the nuances of defined benefit plans versus defined contribution plans is critical for effective retirement planning. Defined benefit plans typically promise a specific payout at retirement based on factors such as salary history and duration of employment. In contrast, defined contribution plans, like 401(k) plans, depend more on employee contributions and investment performance. Given the volatility in investment returns and changing employment patterns, employees might find themselves at a crossroad between predictable retirement income versus self-directed savings and investment risks. It's vital to explore how these plans could impact long-term financial security at retirement.

A defined benefit plan at CUNA Mutual Group offers predictable retirement payouts, typically based on salary history and years of service, ensuring employees a guaranteed income in retirement. In contrast, defined contribution plans, such as a 401(k), rely heavily on individual contributions and investment performance. Employees may face risks with defined contribution plans due to market volatility but benefit from greater control over their retirement savings. Depending on your financial situation and retirement goals, these differences can impact how secure your future income will be, either through guaranteed payouts or potential growth in investments.

How are pension costs determined in a defined benefit plan at CUNA Mutual Group, and what factors can influence these costs over time? The cost structure of a defined benefit plan at CUNA Mutual Group is predicated on various components, including service costs, interest costs, expected returns on assets, and amortization of gains and losses. Understanding these factors helps in managing potential burden changes on the organization's budget and employees' retirement expectations. For instance, factors such as fluctuating interest rates can significantly alter the present value of future liabilities, affecting the costs that CUNA Mutual Group bears. Employees should be versed in these aspects to contextualize their retirement benefits.

Pension costs at CUNA Mutual Group are influenced by factors such as service cost (new benefit accruals), interest cost (growth on past benefits), expected return on plan assets, and the amortization of gains or losses. Changes in these factors, like fluctuations in interest rates or salary adjustments, can affect the overall cost of the plan. Employees should be aware of how these variables impact their future pension benefits and how changes to the company's funding strategy could alter expectations.

What strategies can CUNA Mutual Group adopt to manage the costs and benefits of its defined benefit plan without drastically impacting employees' retirement security? CUNA Mutual Group faces the challenge of balancing cost management for its defined benefit plan while also ensuring that employees have adequate retirement benefits. Options like freezing benefit accruals, amending contribution formulas, or shifting to defined contribution plans can be explored. However, such strategies must be handled delicately to avoid significant disruptions to employees' retirement planning. Understanding employee concerns and the potential ramifications of these strategies is crucial to formulating a balanced approach.

CUNA Mutual Group can adopt strategies such as freezing benefit accruals, transitioning to cash balance designs, or reducing benefit formulas to manage costs. These strategies may lower expenses but must be carefully balanced to avoid significantly affecting employees' long-term retirement benefits. Clear communication about potential changes and their impact on retirement income is crucial for employees to adjust their retirement planning.

In what ways could regulatory changes influence the CUNA Mutual Group's pension plan design and its offerings to employees after retirement? Regulatory bodies frequently revise guidelines that govern employee benefit plans, potentially impacting how CUNA Mutual Group structures its pension offerings. For instance, changes to tax policies or pension funding requirements could affect administrative decisions regarding contribution levels or payout structures for defined benefit plans. It is imperative for employees to stay apprised of these regulations so they can understand any changes that might occur in their future benefits and what steps CUNA Mutual Group might take to adapt to new compliance needs.

Regulatory changes, such as adjustments in pension funding requirements or tax policies, can have a substantial impact on CUNA Mutual Group’s pension plan design. Changes in laws may require adjustments to benefit levels, contribution structures, or funding strategies. Employees should monitor such regulatory shifts to understand how they could influence future pension payouts and retirement strategies.

Could you explain the process employees at CUNA Mutual Group would need to undertake to access their retirement benefits upon leaving the company? For employees transitioning from CUNA Mutual Group to other ventures, it’s essential to understand the process involved in accessing retirement benefits. This process may involve determining eligibility for pension payouts, selecting between lump-sum distributions or annuitized payments, and understanding how past contribution levels affect final benefits. Employees are encouraged to seek guidance from the HR department or pension plan administrators to navigate this process thoroughly.

When leaving CUNA Mutual Group, employees need to assess their eligibility for pension benefits, choose between lump-sum payouts or annuities, and understand how their years of service and contributions affect the final payout. It's advisable to consult with HR or a plan administrator to navigate the options and ensure that the benefits are accessed appropriately.

What tools and resources does CUNA Mutual Group provide to assist employees in planning for retirement effectively? CUNA Mutual Group offers various resources designed to support employees in their retirement planning journey. These might include access to financial planning tools, informational webinars about defined benefit and contribution options, or one-on-one consultations with benefits specialists. Employees should actively participate in these offerings as a means of optimizing their retirement readiness and ensuring they are leveraging all available benefits to the fullest extent.

CUNA Mutual Group offers several resources for retirement planning, such as access to financial planning tools, retirement webinars, and consultations with benefits specialists. These resources are designed to help employees make informed decisions about their defined benefit and defined contribution options, ensuring they optimize their retirement strategies.

How does the CUNA Mutual Group approach the issue of pension funding, and what implications does this have for current and future employees? The funding strategy for the pension plan at CUNA Mutual Group has significant implications for the benefits that employees can expect. A well-funded pension plan can provide assurance for employees about the stability and security of their retirement income. Conversely, fluctuations in the funding status could lead the organization to consider changes in benefit formulas or contribution strategies. Employees should be aware of how funding levels could affect their future benefits and the overall health of the pension plan.

CUNA Mutual Group’s pension funding strategy is critical to maintaining the stability of retirement benefits. A well-funded plan assures employees of predictable payouts, while underfunded plans may lead to changes in benefit formulas or contributions. Employees should stay informed about the funding status, as it could affect the future security of their pension income.

What should employees at CUNA Mutual Group know about the potential risks and benefits associated with their defined benefit plan? Employees should have a clear understanding of the inherent risks and benefits linked to CUNA Mutual Group's defined benefit plan. While these plans offer predictable retirement income, they are subject to various risks such as underfunding issues, market volatility, and regulatory changes. This understanding equips employees with knowledge about their eventual retirement income and helps them plan strategically alongside their professional developments or transitions within their careers.

Employees need to understand that defined benefit plans at CUNA Mutual Group provide predictable retirement income but come with risks such as underfunding, economic fluctuations, and regulatory changes. By staying informed about these risks, employees can better plan for their financial security in retirement, potentially supplementing their pension with other savings strategies.

What happens to my retirement benefits if CUNA Mutual Group decides to freeze its defined benefit plan? The implications of freezing a defined benefit plan at CUNA Mutual Group would be substantial for employees. Understanding the details surrounding such a freeze, including whether it would impact future accruals or merely limit new benefits for incoming participants, is crucial. Employees should consider consulting HR for comprehensive information regarding their specific situations and how a freeze could influence their expected retirement payouts.

If CUNA Mutual Group freezes its defined benefit plan, employees may no longer accrue new benefits, though they retain previously earned benefits. A freeze could impact future retirement income, particularly for employees nearing retirement, as they could miss out on years of service accruals or salary increases factored into their final benefit calculation.

How can employees contact CUNA Mutual Group to inquire further about their retirement benefits and related services? To learn more about retirement benefits, employees should reach out directly to CUNA Mutual Group’s HR department or designated pension plan administrators. The organization provides channels such as in-person meetings, phone consultations, and online resources which are specifically structured to assist employees with inquiries related to their retirement benefits and participant obligations. Employees can also explore dedicated web portals for additional information and updates on their pension plans.

Employees can contact CUNA Mutual Group directly through their retirement solutions division at 1-800-356-2644 or visit the website at CUNA Mutual Retirement Solutions for more information about retirement planning services and personalized assistance with their retirement benefits.

New call-to-action

Additional Articles

Check Out Articles for CUNA Mutual Group employees

Loading...

For more information you can reach the plan administrator for CUNA Mutual Group at 5910 Mineral Point Rd Madison, WI 53705; or by calling them at (608) 238-5851.

*Please see disclaimer for more information

Relevant Articles

Check Out Articles for CUNA Mutual Group employees