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Navigating Sequence Risk in Retirement: Lessons and Strategies for Donaldson Employees

Healthcare Provider Update: Healthcare Provider for Donaldson Donaldson Company, a renowned global manufacturer of filtration systems, primarily relies on UnitedHealthcare as their healthcare provider. Potential Healthcare Cost Increases in 2026 As we look ahead to 2026, healthcare costs are anticipated to rise significantly, particularly in the context of the Affordable Care Act (ACA). Factors contributing to these increases include the potential expiration of enhanced federal premium subsidies and the overall surge in medical costs, with some states experiencing hikes exceeding 60%. A striking analysis indicates that more than 22 million marketplace enrollees could face an eye-popping 75% rise in out-of-pocket premiums if these subsidies are not renewed. The combination of higher medical expenses and aggressive rate increases from major insurers paints a concerning picture for consumers navigating their healthcare coverage decisions in the near future. Click here to learn more

'Donaldson employees approaching retirement should recognize that the sequence of market returns in their early years can influence the longevity of their income far more than the average return itself, making disciplined withdrawal strategies and diversified income planning essential.' – Brent Wolf, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

'Donaldson employees nearing retirement can benefit from understanding how market downturns early in retirement may have lasting effects, and from adopting flexible, research-based withdrawal and allocation strategies to help sustain their income over time.' – Paul Bergeron, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

In this article we will discuss:

Historical examples of sequence-of-returns risk and their effects on retirement income.
Why the first years of retirement are most critical for portfolio sustainability.
Research‑backed strategies for managing sequence risk and supporting long‑term retirement goals.

Contributed by Paul Bergeron and Brent Wolf of Wealth Enhancement

For Fortune 500 employees approaching retirement, recognizing the timing of returns—not just the average return—can be critical to keeping income going over the long term. This concept, known as sequence-of‑returns risk, shows how poor early market performance in retirement can have a lasting impact on a withdrawal plan, even if long-term averages seem strong. Historical market data provides clear examples of this risk and offers practical methods for responding to it.

Historical examples of sequence risk

Fortune 500 retirees entering retirement during tough market cycles face situations similar to the declines seen in the late 1960s, when the market hit two bear markets (1968–70 and 1973–74) alongside high inflation. The S&P 500 dropped roughly 48% during the 1973–74 bear market, compounding inflation-related difficulties. ¹ Likewise, those retiring in 2000 endured two severe bear markets in the decade, while 2022 proved one of the toughest years for balanced portfolios, with sharp drops in both U.S. stocks and high-quality bonds.

Why the early years matter most

For a Fortune 500 retiree, significant losses in the first five to ten years of retirement—combined with regular withdrawals—can shrink the number of shares left to rebound when markets recover. Academic studies and industry research repeatedly show that even with the same average return, the order of gains and losses plays a huge role in retirement outcomes.

Research-backed strategies to manage sequence risk

One effective method for Fortune 500 retirees is keeping a mix of asset types to help weather downturns. Cash and bonds can act as “shock absorbers” for immediate expenses, reducing the need to sell stocks during market dips. Flexible withdrawal approaches—such as adjusting withdrawals within set guardrails—have been shown to support portfolio longevity better than fixed-dollar withdrawal methods.

Staging risk in a retirement portfolio—by holding one to two years of expenses in cash-like assets and several years in short‑ to intermediate‑term bonds—may give equities time to recover before they're tapped for income. For some Fortune 500 retirees, delaying income sources like Social Security can help raise total lifetime income and lessen the need to tap investments during volatile times. Thoughtful rebalancing and managing tax lots, especially during downturns, can also help maintain equity exposure and extend portfolio lifespan.

Implications for retirement planning

While higher stock allocations may offer greater long-term growth potential, they also increase sequence risk in early retirement for Fortune 500 workers. Historically, balanced portfolios—often with 30% to 50% equities for income-focused funds—have supported more resilient initial withdrawal rates compared to all-stock strategies. ² Strong early-market results can set up long-term success, but disciplined spending limits, guardrails, and rebalancing remain key.

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Sources:

1.The New York Times. ' What Happens When Stock Markets Become Bears ,' by William Davis, Karl Russell, and Stephen Gandel. 13 June 2022.

2. Vanguard UK. ' Sustainable Spending Rates in Turbulent Markets ,' by Daga, Ankul, et al. Mar. 2021, pp. 1–7.

Other Resources:

1. Guyton, Jonathan T., and William J. Klinger. “ Decision Rules and Maximum Initial Withdrawal Rates .” Journal of Financial Planning , vol. 19, no. 3, Mar. 2006, pp. 48–50, 52–54, 56–58. Financial Planning Association.

2. “ Timeline of U.S. Stock Market Crashes .” Investopedia , 30 Oct. 2024, section “The 1973–74 Oil Crisis Bear Market.”

3. ' When to Start Receiving Retirement Benefits. ' Social Security Administration, Pub. No. 05-10147, May 2024, pp. 1–2.

4. Arnott, Amy C., CFA, and Ivanna Hampton. “ Why More Diversification Doesn’t Mean Better Returns .” Morningstar , 7 June 2024.

What is the 401(k) plan offered by Donaldson?

The 401(k) plan offered by Donaldson is a retirement savings plan that allows employees to save a portion of their paycheck before taxes are taken out.

How does Donaldson match employee contributions to the 401(k) plan?

Donaldson matches employee contributions to the 401(k) plan up to a certain percentage, which helps employees grow their retirement savings.

When can employees at Donaldson start participating in the 401(k) plan?

Employees at Donaldson can start participating in the 401(k) plan after completing a specified period of employment, typically within the first year.

What investment options are available in Donaldson's 401(k) plan?

Donaldson's 401(k) plan offers a variety of investment options, including mutual funds, stocks, and bonds, allowing employees to choose based on their risk tolerance.

Can employees at Donaldson take loans against their 401(k) savings?

Yes, employees at Donaldson may have the option to take loans against their 401(k) savings, subject to specific terms and conditions outlined in the plan.

How often can employees change their contributions to the Donaldson 401(k) plan?

Employees can change their contributions to the Donaldson 401(k) plan at designated times throughout the year, typically during open enrollment periods.

Does Donaldson offer financial education resources for employees regarding the 401(k) plan?

Yes, Donaldson provides financial education resources and tools to help employees understand their 401(k) options and make informed investment decisions.

What happens to my 401(k) savings if I leave Donaldson?

If you leave Donaldson, you have several options for your 401(k) savings, including rolling it over to another retirement account, cashing out, or leaving it in the plan, depending on the plan's rules.

Is there a vesting schedule for employer contributions in Donaldson's 401(k) plan?

Yes, Donaldson's 401(k) plan includes a vesting schedule for employer contributions, meaning employees must work for a certain period before they fully own those contributions.

Can employees at Donaldson contribute to the 401(k) plan if they are part-time workers?

Yes, part-time employees at Donaldson may be eligible to contribute to the 401(k) plan, depending on the specific eligibility criteria set by the company.

With the current political climate we are in it is important to keep up with current news and remain knowledgeable about your benefits.

Identify Relevant Documents: Search for official documents such as the Annual Report, Form 10-K, Form 10-Q, and the Summary Plan Description (SPD) on Donaldson's official website and other reliable sources. Review Multiple Sources: Examine at least four credible websites or documents to ensure accuracy and comprehensiveness. This will include financial filings, company reports, and regulatory filings.

Restructuring and Layoffs: In 2023, Donaldson Company announced a major restructuring plan to streamline operations and reduce costs. This included a reduction in workforce by approximately 5%, primarily affecting its manufacturing and administrative departments. The restructuring is aimed at improving efficiency and competitiveness in a challenging economic environment. The move comes as companies across various sectors are adjusting their strategies to navigate inflationary pressures and supply chain disruptions. Addressing these changes is crucial due to their impact on employment and operational stability, which can affect investment strategies and market confidence. Company Benefit Changes: In early 2024, Donaldson implemented changes to its employee benefits program, including modifications to health insurance coverage and adjustments to retirement plan contributions. The company reduced its matching contributions to 401(k) plans as part of its cost-cutting measures. This shift is significant for employees planning their retirement, as changes in benefits and pension plans can have substantial long-term financial implications. Understanding these adjustments is important for financial planning and retirement preparation, especially given the current economic uncertainties and evolving tax policies.

Specific Company Information on Stock Options and RSUs Donaldson: Donaldson's stock options and RSUs are outlined in their annual reports and proxy statements. For 2022, Donaldson offered stock options and RSUs to senior management and key employees. The stock options were vested over four years, while RSUs had performance-based vesting criteria. Donaldson: In 2023, Donaldson continued its practice of granting stock options and RSUs to senior staff and executives. The grants were tied to performance metrics and included revised vesting schedules based on company performance. Donaldson: For 2024, Donaldson updated its stock option and RSU plans, expanding eligibility to include more mid-level managers. The changes aimed to align compensation with company performance and retention goals.

Donaldson has made updates to its health benefits offerings, including enhancements to their wellness programs and adjustments to coverage options in response to employee feedback. Telemedicine Integration: Recent news indicates Donaldson has increased its focus on telemedicine services as part of its health benefits, allowing employees more access to remote healthcare options. Mental Health Support: Donaldson has expanded its mental health support services, including better access to counseling and mental health resources through its EAP. Cost Adjustments:

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For more information you can reach the plan administrator for Donaldson at 1400 West 94th St Bloomington, MN 55431; or by calling them at (952) 887-3131.

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