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Navigating Sequence Risk in Retirement: Lessons and Strategies for Elanco Animal Health Employees

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'Elanco Animal Health employees approaching retirement should recognize that the sequence of market returns in their early years can influence the longevity of their income far more than the average return itself, making disciplined withdrawal strategies and diversified income planning essential.' – Brent Wolf, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

'Elanco Animal Health employees nearing retirement can benefit from understanding how market downturns early in retirement may have lasting effects, and from adopting flexible, research-based withdrawal and allocation strategies to help sustain their income over time.' – Paul Bergeron, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

In this article we will discuss:

Historical examples of sequence-of-returns risk and their effects on retirement income.
Why the first years of retirement are most critical for portfolio sustainability.
Research‑backed strategies for managing sequence risk and supporting long‑term retirement goals.

Contributed by Paul Bergeron and Brent Wolf of Wealth Enhancement

For Fortune 500 employees approaching retirement, recognizing the timing of returns—not just the average return—can be critical to keeping income going over the long term. This concept, known as sequence-of‑returns risk, shows how poor early market performance in retirement can have a lasting impact on a withdrawal plan, even if long-term averages seem strong. Historical market data provides clear examples of this risk and offers practical methods for responding to it.

Historical examples of sequence risk

Fortune 500 retirees entering retirement during tough market cycles face situations similar to the declines seen in the late 1960s, when the market hit two bear markets (1968–70 and 1973–74) alongside high inflation. The S&P 500 dropped roughly 48% during the 1973–74 bear market, compounding inflation-related difficulties. ¹ Likewise, those retiring in 2000 endured two severe bear markets in the decade, while 2022 proved one of the toughest years for balanced portfolios, with sharp drops in both U.S. stocks and high-quality bonds.

Why the early years matter most

For a Fortune 500 retiree, significant losses in the first five to ten years of retirement—combined with regular withdrawals—can shrink the number of shares left to rebound when markets recover. Academic studies and industry research repeatedly show that even with the same average return, the order of gains and losses plays a huge role in retirement outcomes.

Research-backed strategies to manage sequence risk

One effective method for Fortune 500 retirees is keeping a mix of asset types to help weather downturns. Cash and bonds can act as “shock absorbers” for immediate expenses, reducing the need to sell stocks during market dips. Flexible withdrawal approaches—such as adjusting withdrawals within set guardrails—have been shown to support portfolio longevity better than fixed-dollar withdrawal methods.

Staging risk in a retirement portfolio—by holding one to two years of expenses in cash-like assets and several years in short‑ to intermediate‑term bonds—may give equities time to recover before they're tapped for income. For some Fortune 500 retirees, delaying income sources like Social Security can help raise total lifetime income and lessen the need to tap investments during volatile times. Thoughtful rebalancing and managing tax lots, especially during downturns, can also help maintain equity exposure and extend portfolio lifespan.

Implications for retirement planning

While higher stock allocations may offer greater long-term growth potential, they also increase sequence risk in early retirement for Fortune 500 workers. Historically, balanced portfolios—often with 30% to 50% equities for income-focused funds—have supported more resilient initial withdrawal rates compared to all-stock strategies. ² Strong early-market results can set up long-term success, but disciplined spending limits, guardrails, and rebalancing remain key.

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Articles you may find interesting:

Sources:

1.The New York Times. ' What Happens When Stock Markets Become Bears ,' by William Davis, Karl Russell, and Stephen Gandel. 13 June 2022.

2. Vanguard UK. ' Sustainable Spending Rates in Turbulent Markets ,' by Daga, Ankul, et al. Mar. 2021, pp. 1–7.

Other Resources:

1. Guyton, Jonathan T., and William J. Klinger. “ Decision Rules and Maximum Initial Withdrawal Rates .” Journal of Financial Planning , vol. 19, no. 3, Mar. 2006, pp. 48–50, 52–54, 56–58. Financial Planning Association.

2. “ Timeline of U.S. Stock Market Crashes .” Investopedia , 30 Oct. 2024, section “The 1973–74 Oil Crisis Bear Market.”

3. ' When to Start Receiving Retirement Benefits. ' Social Security Administration, Pub. No. 05-10147, May 2024, pp. 1–2.

4. Arnott, Amy C., CFA, and Ivanna Hampton. “ Why More Diversification Doesn’t Mean Better Returns .” Morningstar , 7 June 2024.

What is the 401(k) plan offered by Elanco Animal Health?

The 401(k) plan at Elanco Animal Health is a retirement savings plan that allows employees to save a portion of their paycheck before taxes are taken out.

Does Elanco Animal Health offer matching contributions to the 401(k) plan?

Yes, Elanco Animal Health offers matching contributions to the 401(k) plan, which helps employees maximize their retirement savings.

How can employees enroll in the 401(k) plan at Elanco Animal Health?

Employees can enroll in the 401(k) plan at Elanco Animal Health through the company’s benefits portal during the enrollment period or after a qualifying event.

What are the eligibility requirements for the 401(k) plan at Elanco Animal Health?

To be eligible for the 401(k) plan at Elanco Animal Health, employees typically need to meet certain criteria, such as age and length of service.

Can employees take loans against their 401(k) at Elanco Animal Health?

Yes, Elanco Animal Health allows employees to take loans against their 401(k) balance under certain conditions.

What investment options are available in the Elanco Animal Health 401(k) plan?

The 401(k) plan at Elanco Animal Health offers a variety of investment options, including mutual funds, stocks, and bonds, allowing employees to customize their investment strategy.

How often can employees change their contribution percentage to the Elanco Animal Health 401(k) plan?

Employees at Elanco Animal Health can change their contribution percentage to the 401(k) plan at any time, subject to company policies.

Is there a vesting schedule for the matching contributions at Elanco Animal Health?

Yes, Elanco Animal Health has a vesting schedule for matching contributions, which means employees must work for the company for a certain period before they fully own the matching funds.

What happens to an employee's 401(k) account if they leave Elanco Animal Health?

If an employee leaves Elanco Animal Health, they can choose to roll over their 401(k) balance to another retirement account, cash out, or leave it in the Elanco plan if eligible.

Are there any fees associated with the Elanco Animal Health 401(k) plan?

Yes, there may be administrative fees associated with the Elanco Animal Health 401(k) plan, which are disclosed in the plan documents.

With the current political climate we are in it is important to keep up with current news and remain knowledgeable about your benefits.

Pension Plan: Elanco's pension plan is structured as a defined benefit plan, meaning that employees receive a guaranteed payout upon retirement. The exact benefits are calculated based on years of service, age at retirement, and the average of the highest earnings during a specific period. Employees need to meet certain years of service and age qualifications to be eligible for this pension plan. The plan is aimed at long-term employees, ensuring that those who dedicate a significant portion of their career to Elanco are rewarded with secure retirement income. 401(k) Plan: Elanco offers a 401(k) plan to its employees, which is part of their broader retirement savings offerings. The plan allows employees to contribute a portion of their salary on a pre-tax basis, which Elanco matches up to a certain percentage, though the exact match percentage may vary each year. The plan is designed to provide flexibility and financial security, enabling employees to manage their retirement savings effectively. The company’s 401(k) plan is part of their commitment to employee well-being, emphasizing financial benefits as a key component of their compensation package.

Restructuring and Layoffs: In August 2023, Elanco Animal Health announced a restructuring plan aimed at improving operational efficiency. The company planned to lay off approximately 200 employees globally as part of this restructuring. This move is part of a broader effort to streamline operations and focus on core business areas. It's crucial to stay updated on this news due to the current economic environment, which impacts job security and corporate strategies. Understanding these changes helps employees and investors navigate the shifting landscape effectively.

Elanco Animal Health offers stock options and RSUs to its employees as part of its compensation and incentive programs. In 2022, the company provided stock options and RSUs to its senior executives and key employees. For 2023 and 2024, Elanco Animal Health has continued this practice, with a focus on aligning incentives with the company's performance.

Review Elanco Animal Health's official website for their health benefits information, including any recent updates or changes for 2022, 2023, or 2024. Reliable Sources: Look for specific terms and acronyms used by Elanco in their health benefits information, such as types of health plans, coverage details, and any new initiatives.

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For more information you can reach the plan administrator for Elanco Animal Health at 2500 Innovation Way Greenfield, IN 46140; or by calling them at (877) 352-6261.

https://www.thelayoff.com/ https://benefitslink.com/ https://www.federalregister.gov/ https://www.benefitspro.com/?slreturn=2024081195633 https://www.businessinsider.com/ https://www.elanco.com/en-us https://www.sec.gov/ https://pensionrights.org/ https://www.fidelity.com/ https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/benefits