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Navigating Sequence Risk in Retirement: Lessons and Strategies for EQT Employees

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'EQT employees approaching retirement should recognize that the sequence of market returns in their early years can influence the longevity of their income far more than the average return itself, making disciplined withdrawal strategies and diversified income planning essential.' – Brent Wolf, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

'EQT employees nearing retirement can benefit from understanding how market downturns early in retirement may have lasting effects, and from adopting flexible, research-based withdrawal and allocation strategies to help sustain their income over time.' – Paul Bergeron, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

In this article we will discuss:

Historical examples of sequence-of-returns risk and their effects on retirement income.
Why the first years of retirement are most critical for portfolio sustainability.
Research‑backed strategies for managing sequence risk and supporting long‑term retirement goals.

Contributed by Paul Bergeron and Brent Wolf of Wealth Enhancement

For Fortune 500 employees approaching retirement, recognizing the timing of returns—not just the average return—can be critical to keeping income going over the long term. This concept, known as sequence-of‑returns risk, shows how poor early market performance in retirement can have a lasting impact on a withdrawal plan, even if long-term averages seem strong. Historical market data provides clear examples of this risk and offers practical methods for responding to it.

Historical examples of sequence risk

Fortune 500 retirees entering retirement during tough market cycles face situations similar to the declines seen in the late 1960s, when the market hit two bear markets (1968–70 and 1973–74) alongside high inflation. The S&P 500 dropped roughly 48% during the 1973–74 bear market, compounding inflation-related difficulties. ¹ Likewise, those retiring in 2000 endured two severe bear markets in the decade, while 2022 proved one of the toughest years for balanced portfolios, with sharp drops in both U.S. stocks and high-quality bonds.

Why the early years matter most

For a Fortune 500 retiree, significant losses in the first five to ten years of retirement—combined with regular withdrawals—can shrink the number of shares left to rebound when markets recover. Academic studies and industry research repeatedly show that even with the same average return, the order of gains and losses plays a huge role in retirement outcomes.

Research-backed strategies to manage sequence risk

One effective method for Fortune 500 retirees is keeping a mix of asset types to help weather downturns. Cash and bonds can act as “shock absorbers” for immediate expenses, reducing the need to sell stocks during market dips. Flexible withdrawal approaches—such as adjusting withdrawals within set guardrails—have been shown to support portfolio longevity better than fixed-dollar withdrawal methods.

Staging risk in a retirement portfolio—by holding one to two years of expenses in cash-like assets and several years in short‑ to intermediate‑term bonds—may give equities time to recover before they're tapped for income. For some Fortune 500 retirees, delaying income sources like Social Security can help raise total lifetime income and lessen the need to tap investments during volatile times. Thoughtful rebalancing and managing tax lots, especially during downturns, can also help maintain equity exposure and extend portfolio lifespan.

Implications for retirement planning

While higher stock allocations may offer greater long-term growth potential, they also increase sequence risk in early retirement for Fortune 500 workers. Historically, balanced portfolios—often with 30% to 50% equities for income-focused funds—have supported more resilient initial withdrawal rates compared to all-stock strategies. ² Strong early-market results can set up long-term success, but disciplined spending limits, guardrails, and rebalancing remain key.

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Sources:

1.The New York Times. ' What Happens When Stock Markets Become Bears ,' by William Davis, Karl Russell, and Stephen Gandel. 13 June 2022.

2. Vanguard UK. ' Sustainable Spending Rates in Turbulent Markets ,' by Daga, Ankul, et al. Mar. 2021, pp. 1–7.

Other Resources:

1. Guyton, Jonathan T., and William J. Klinger. “ Decision Rules and Maximum Initial Withdrawal Rates .” Journal of Financial Planning , vol. 19, no. 3, Mar. 2006, pp. 48–50, 52–54, 56–58. Financial Planning Association.

2. “ Timeline of U.S. Stock Market Crashes .” Investopedia , 30 Oct. 2024, section “The 1973–74 Oil Crisis Bear Market.”

3. ' When to Start Receiving Retirement Benefits. ' Social Security Administration, Pub. No. 05-10147, May 2024, pp. 1–2.

4. Arnott, Amy C., CFA, and Ivanna Hampton. “ Why More Diversification Doesn’t Mean Better Returns .” Morningstar , 7 June 2024.

What is the purpose of EQT's 401(k) Savings Plan?

The purpose of EQT's 401(k) Savings Plan is to help employees save for retirement by allowing them to contribute a portion of their salary on a pre-tax or after-tax basis.

How can EQT employees enroll in the 401(k) Savings Plan?

EQT employees can enroll in the 401(k) Savings Plan by accessing the enrollment portal through the employee benefits website or by contacting the HR department for assistance.

What types of contributions can EQT employees make to their 401(k) account?

EQT employees can make pre-tax contributions, Roth (after-tax) contributions, and possibly catch-up contributions if they are age 50 or older.

Does EQT offer a company match on 401(k) contributions?

Yes, EQT offers a company match on employee contributions to the 401(k) Savings Plan, which helps employees grow their retirement savings.

What is the maximum contribution limit for EQT employees in the 401(k) Savings Plan?

The maximum contribution limit for EQT employees is determined by IRS guidelines, which may change annually. Employees should check the latest limits for the current year.

When can EQT employees start withdrawing funds from their 401(k) Savings Plan?

EQT employees can start withdrawing funds from their 401(k) Savings Plan without penalties at age 59½, though they may have options for loans or hardship withdrawals before that age.

Are there any fees associated with EQT's 401(k) Savings Plan?

Yes, EQT's 401(k) Savings Plan may have administrative fees and investment-related fees, which are disclosed in the plan documents provided to employees.

How often can EQT employees change their contribution amounts to the 401(k) Savings Plan?

EQT employees can change their contribution amounts to the 401(k) Savings Plan at any time, subject to the plan's rules and procedures.

Can EQT employees take loans against their 401(k) Savings Plan balance?

Yes, EQT allows employees to take loans against their 401(k) Savings Plan balance, subject to certain limits and repayment terms outlined in the plan.

What investment options are available in EQT's 401(k) Savings Plan?

EQT's 401(k) Savings Plan offers a variety of investment options, including mutual funds, target-date funds, and possibly company stock, allowing employees to diversify their portfolios.

With the current political climate we are in it is important to keep up with current news and remain knowledgeable about your benefits.

EQT Corporation provides a comprehensive retirement plan for its employees, including a 401(k) plan and a defined benefit pension plan. The 401(k) plan is notable for offering up to a 9% employer contribution, which includes a 6% company contribution regardless of employee contributions, plus an additional 3% company match (50 cents to every dollar contributed by the employee). In 2023, EQT introduced a Roth 401(k) option to offer employees more flexibility and tax advantages in their retirement savings strategies. The defined benefit pension plan at EQT requires employees to meet specific years of service and age qualifications, though detailed specifics such as the pension formula and the exact name of the pension plan were not disclosed in the sources reviewed. However, EQT emphasizes its commitment to providing robust retirement benefits as part of its broader employee engagement and retention strategy. This plan is managed by an independent administrator who offers online resources and personalized advice to help employees navigate their retirement options.

Restructuring Layoffs and Operational Changes: In 2024, EQT Corporation announced significant restructuring efforts, including layoffs primarily resulting from their acquisition of Tug Hill and XcL Midstream. These efforts were part of a broader strategy to streamline operations and reduce costs. The company also adjusted its capital expenditures and production forecasts, emphasizing operational efficiency. Importance: It is crucial to address this news due to the current economic uncertainties, fluctuating investment environments, and evolving tax and political landscapes, which can significantly impact employee job security and financial planning.

Stock Options and RSUs at EQT: EQT Corporation offers its employees stock options under its Long-Term Incentive Plan (LTIP). These stock options are granted with a specific exercise price, typically equivalent to the market price on the grant date. Employees can exercise these options after a vesting period, usually over three years, allowing them to purchase company shares at the predetermined price. RSUs are also a significant component of EQT's compensation strategy. RSUs represent the right to receive shares upon vesting, usually over three years. They are awarded under EQT's equity-for-all program, which began in 2021, ensuring that all permanent employees are eligible for these equity awards. The fair market value of these RSUs is determined on the grant date, and the employees must remain with the company throughout the vesting period to receive the shares.

EQT Corporation offers a comprehensive set of health benefits designed to support its employees’ well-being, particularly through robust safety and wellness programs. The company has emphasized health and safety through extensive employee training and emergency preparedness initiatives, especially in high-risk areas like their field operations. Their training programs include safety protocols, proper use of personal protective equipment, and specific guidance on chemical handling, crucial for their operations in the oil and gas industry. EQT also provides a variety of health management programs that include wellness information and health education sessions conducted by medical professionals. These programs are part of their broader strategy to minimize health risks and enhance employee engagement, especially during the remote working conditions that many employees experienced in 2023. Additionally, EQT’s health benefits include support for employees nearing retirement, helping them transition smoothly by providing resources such as financial planning and retirement options, along with assistance in navigating the digital health insurance marketplace

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For more information you can reach the plan administrator for EQT at , ; or by calling them at .

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