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Navigating Sequence Risk in Retirement: Lessons and Strategies for Equifax Employees

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'Equifax employees approaching retirement should recognize that the sequence of market returns in their early years can influence the longevity of their income far more than the average return itself, making disciplined withdrawal strategies and diversified income planning essential.' – Brent Wolf, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

'Equifax employees nearing retirement can benefit from understanding how market downturns early in retirement may have lasting effects, and from adopting flexible, research-based withdrawal and allocation strategies to help sustain their income over time.' – Paul Bergeron, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

In this article we will discuss:

Historical examples of sequence-of-returns risk and their effects on retirement income.
Why the first years of retirement are most critical for portfolio sustainability.
Research‑backed strategies for managing sequence risk and supporting long‑term retirement goals.

Contributed by Paul Bergeron and Brent Wolf of Wealth Enhancement

For Fortune 500 employees approaching retirement, recognizing the timing of returns—not just the average return—can be critical to keeping income going over the long term. This concept, known as sequence-of‑returns risk, shows how poor early market performance in retirement can have a lasting impact on a withdrawal plan, even if long-term averages seem strong. Historical market data provides clear examples of this risk and offers practical methods for responding to it.

Historical examples of sequence risk

Fortune 500 retirees entering retirement during tough market cycles face situations similar to the declines seen in the late 1960s, when the market hit two bear markets (1968–70 and 1973–74) alongside high inflation. The S&P 500 dropped roughly 48% during the 1973–74 bear market, compounding inflation-related difficulties. ¹ Likewise, those retiring in 2000 endured two severe bear markets in the decade, while 2022 proved one of the toughest years for balanced portfolios, with sharp drops in both U.S. stocks and high-quality bonds.

Why the early years matter most

For a Fortune 500 retiree, significant losses in the first five to ten years of retirement—combined with regular withdrawals—can shrink the number of shares left to rebound when markets recover. Academic studies and industry research repeatedly show that even with the same average return, the order of gains and losses plays a huge role in retirement outcomes.

Research-backed strategies to manage sequence risk

One effective method for Fortune 500 retirees is keeping a mix of asset types to help weather downturns. Cash and bonds can act as “shock absorbers” for immediate expenses, reducing the need to sell stocks during market dips. Flexible withdrawal approaches—such as adjusting withdrawals within set guardrails—have been shown to support portfolio longevity better than fixed-dollar withdrawal methods.

Staging risk in a retirement portfolio—by holding one to two years of expenses in cash-like assets and several years in short‑ to intermediate‑term bonds—may give equities time to recover before they're tapped for income. For some Fortune 500 retirees, delaying income sources like Social Security can help raise total lifetime income and lessen the need to tap investments during volatile times. Thoughtful rebalancing and managing tax lots, especially during downturns, can also help maintain equity exposure and extend portfolio lifespan.

Implications for retirement planning

While higher stock allocations may offer greater long-term growth potential, they also increase sequence risk in early retirement for Fortune 500 workers. Historically, balanced portfolios—often with 30% to 50% equities for income-focused funds—have supported more resilient initial withdrawal rates compared to all-stock strategies. ² Strong early-market results can set up long-term success, but disciplined spending limits, guardrails, and rebalancing remain key.

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Sources:

1.The New York Times. ' What Happens When Stock Markets Become Bears ,' by William Davis, Karl Russell, and Stephen Gandel. 13 June 2022.

2. Vanguard UK. ' Sustainable Spending Rates in Turbulent Markets ,' by Daga, Ankul, et al. Mar. 2021, pp. 1–7.

Other Resources:

1. Guyton, Jonathan T., and William J. Klinger. “ Decision Rules and Maximum Initial Withdrawal Rates .” Journal of Financial Planning , vol. 19, no. 3, Mar. 2006, pp. 48–50, 52–54, 56–58. Financial Planning Association.

2. “ Timeline of U.S. Stock Market Crashes .” Investopedia , 30 Oct. 2024, section “The 1973–74 Oil Crisis Bear Market.”

3. ' When to Start Receiving Retirement Benefits. ' Social Security Administration, Pub. No. 05-10147, May 2024, pp. 1–2.

4. Arnott, Amy C., CFA, and Ivanna Hampton. “ Why More Diversification Doesn’t Mean Better Returns .” Morningstar , 7 June 2024.

What type of retirement savings plan does Equifax offer to its employees?

Equifax offers a 401(k) retirement savings plan to help employees save for retirement.

How can employees at Equifax enroll in the 401(k) plan?

Employees at Equifax can enroll in the 401(k) plan through the company's benefits portal during the enrollment period or after they meet eligibility requirements.

Does Equifax provide any matching contributions to the 401(k) plan?

Yes, Equifax offers a matching contribution to the 401(k) plan, which helps employees boost their retirement savings.

What is the vesting schedule for matching contributions at Equifax?

The vesting schedule for matching contributions at Equifax typically follows a graded vesting formula, allowing employees to gradually gain ownership of the contributions over time.

Can employees at Equifax take loans against their 401(k) savings?

Yes, Equifax allows employees to take loans against their 401(k) savings, subject to certain conditions and limits.

What investment options are available in Equifax's 401(k) plan?

Equifax's 401(k) plan offers a variety of investment options, including mutual funds, target-date funds, and other investment vehicles to suit different risk tolerances.

How often can employees at Equifax change their 401(k) contribution amounts?

Employees at Equifax can change their 401(k) contribution amounts at any time, subject to the plan's guidelines.

Is there an automatic enrollment feature in Equifax's 401(k) plan?

Yes, Equifax has an automatic enrollment feature that enrolls eligible employees in the 401(k) plan unless they choose to opt out.

What is the minimum contribution percentage for Equifax's 401(k) plan?

The minimum contribution percentage for Equifax's 401(k) plan may vary, but typically it starts at 1% of the employee's eligible pay.

Are there any fees associated with Equifax's 401(k) plan?

Yes, there may be fees associated with Equifax's 401(k) plan, such as administrative fees or investment fees, which are disclosed in the plan documents.

With the current political climate we are in it is important to keep up with current news and remain knowledgeable about your benefits.

Equifax, as part of its employee benefits structure, offers both a pension plan and a 401(k) plan. In 2009, Equifax froze its defined benefit pension plan for many of its employees. This freeze impacted approximately 4,000 U.S. employees, though about 300 employees who met certain grandfathering criteria continued to participate in the pension plan. The defined benefit pension plan remains active for these grandfathered employees, while the remainder of the workforce transitioned to an enhanced 401(k) plan. Equifax's pension plan had over $606 million in assets as of 2007 (Workforce.com) (Equifax Inc.). For the employees transitioned to the enhanced 401(k) plan, Equifax introduced automatic contributions ranging from 1.5% to 4% of salary based on years of service. This contribution is made regardless of employee participation. Additionally, Equifax provides a 100% match on employee contributions up to 4% of pay. The company also offers investment options to maximize retirement benefits through its 401(k) plan

Restructuring and Layoffs: In early 2024, Equifax announced a strategic restructuring plan aimed at streamlining operations and improving efficiency. This move included a reduction in the workforce, affecting approximately 10% of its employees globally. The restructuring is part of a broader initiative to focus on core areas and reduce operational costs. Importance: It is crucial to monitor these developments due to the current economic climate, which is characterized by increased volatility and changing investment conditions. Companies are adjusting their strategies to stay competitive, and understanding these changes can provide insights into broader market trends and potential impacts on investment and tax strategies.

Equifax (EFX) offers stock options as part of its employee compensation packages. Employees at Equifax are granted stock options to align their interests with those of the company's shareholders. Stock options at Equifax generally vest over a period of time, encouraging long-term employment. Specific details on the vesting schedule and eligibility can be found in Equifax’s employee handbook or compensation plan documents. As of 2022-2024, Equifax has periodically updated its stock option plans to stay competitive and reward high-performing employees. Restricted Stock Units (RSUs): Equifax (EFX) provides Restricted Stock Units (RSUs) to employees, which are typically used to retain talent and incentivize performance. RSUs at Equifax vest based on time or performance metrics. RSUs at Equifax are usually granted to senior executives and high-performing employees. The vesting schedule for RSUs is detailed in Equifax's equity compensation plan. For the years 2022, 2023, and 2024, Equifax has adjusted its RSU grants to align with market trends and company performance goals.

Health Benefits Overview (2023): Equifax provides a range of health benefits including medical, dental, and vision coverage. They offer both HMO and PPO plans, with some plans featuring Health Savings Accounts (HSAs) or Flexible Spending Accounts (FSAs). Acronyms: HMO (Health Maintenance Organization), PPO (Preferred Provider Organization), HSA (Health Savings Account), FSA (Flexible Spending Account). Recent Updates: As of 2023, Equifax has continued to enhance its health benefits offerings, focusing on mental health support and expanding telemedicine services. They also introduced new wellness programs aimed at improving overall employee health and well-being.