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Navigating Sequence Risk in Retirement: Lessons and Strategies for Expeditors Intl. of Washington Employees

Healthcare Provider Update: Healthcare Provider for Expeditors International of Washington Expeditors International of Washington primarily partners with major healthcare providers to offer employee health benefits. Typically, these include national insurers such as UnitedHealthcare, Anthem (Elevance Health), and Kaiser Permanente, among others. Employees are encouraged to choose plans that fit their specific healthcare needs. Potential Healthcare Cost Increases in 2026 As we approach 2026, healthcare costs are expected to surge significantly for employees of Expeditors International of Washington, largely driven by the anticipated expiration of enhanced premiums under the Affordable Care Act. Without these subsidies, many individuals could face premium increases exceeding 75%, impacting affordability and access to care. Coupled with rising medical costs and higher drug spending, these changes may create substantial financial burdens for employees and retirees alike, necessitating proactive budgeting and health planning. Click here to learn more

'Expeditors Intl. of Washington employees approaching retirement should recognize that the sequence of market returns in their early years can influence the longevity of their income far more than the average return itself, making disciplined withdrawal strategies and diversified income planning essential.' – Brent Wolf, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

'Expeditors Intl. of Washington employees nearing retirement can benefit from understanding how market downturns early in retirement may have lasting effects, and from adopting flexible, research-based withdrawal and allocation strategies to help sustain their income over time.' – Paul Bergeron, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

In this article we will discuss:

Historical examples of sequence-of-returns risk and their effects on retirement income.
Why the first years of retirement are most critical for portfolio sustainability.
Research‑backed strategies for managing sequence risk and supporting long‑term retirement goals.

Contributed by Paul Bergeron and Brent Wolf of Wealth Enhancement

For Fortune 500 employees approaching retirement, recognizing the timing of returns—not just the average return—can be critical to keeping income going over the long term. This concept, known as sequence-of‑returns risk, shows how poor early market performance in retirement can have a lasting impact on a withdrawal plan, even if long-term averages seem strong. Historical market data provides clear examples of this risk and offers practical methods for responding to it.

Historical examples of sequence risk

Fortune 500 retirees entering retirement during tough market cycles face situations similar to the declines seen in the late 1960s, when the market hit two bear markets (1968–70 and 1973–74) alongside high inflation. The S&P 500 dropped roughly 48% during the 1973–74 bear market, compounding inflation-related difficulties. ¹ Likewise, those retiring in 2000 endured two severe bear markets in the decade, while 2022 proved one of the toughest years for balanced portfolios, with sharp drops in both U.S. stocks and high-quality bonds.

Why the early years matter most

For a Fortune 500 retiree, significant losses in the first five to ten years of retirement—combined with regular withdrawals—can shrink the number of shares left to rebound when markets recover. Academic studies and industry research repeatedly show that even with the same average return, the order of gains and losses plays a huge role in retirement outcomes.

Research-backed strategies to manage sequence risk

One effective method for Fortune 500 retirees is keeping a mix of asset types to help weather downturns. Cash and bonds can act as “shock absorbers” for immediate expenses, reducing the need to sell stocks during market dips. Flexible withdrawal approaches—such as adjusting withdrawals within set guardrails—have been shown to support portfolio longevity better than fixed-dollar withdrawal methods.

Staging risk in a retirement portfolio—by holding one to two years of expenses in cash-like assets and several years in short‑ to intermediate‑term bonds—may give equities time to recover before they're tapped for income. For some Fortune 500 retirees, delaying income sources like Social Security can help raise total lifetime income and lessen the need to tap investments during volatile times. Thoughtful rebalancing and managing tax lots, especially during downturns, can also help maintain equity exposure and extend portfolio lifespan.

Implications for retirement planning

While higher stock allocations may offer greater long-term growth potential, they also increase sequence risk in early retirement for Fortune 500 workers. Historically, balanced portfolios—often with 30% to 50% equities for income-focused funds—have supported more resilient initial withdrawal rates compared to all-stock strategies. ² Strong early-market results can set up long-term success, but disciplined spending limits, guardrails, and rebalancing remain key.

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Sources:

1.The New York Times. ' What Happens When Stock Markets Become Bears ,' by William Davis, Karl Russell, and Stephen Gandel. 13 June 2022.

2. Vanguard UK. ' Sustainable Spending Rates in Turbulent Markets ,' by Daga, Ankul, et al. Mar. 2021, pp. 1–7.

Other Resources:

1. Guyton, Jonathan T., and William J. Klinger. “ Decision Rules and Maximum Initial Withdrawal Rates .” Journal of Financial Planning , vol. 19, no. 3, Mar. 2006, pp. 48–50, 52–54, 56–58. Financial Planning Association.

2. “ Timeline of U.S. Stock Market Crashes .” Investopedia , 30 Oct. 2024, section “The 1973–74 Oil Crisis Bear Market.”

3. ' When to Start Receiving Retirement Benefits. ' Social Security Administration, Pub. No. 05-10147, May 2024, pp. 1–2.

4. Arnott, Amy C., CFA, and Ivanna Hampton. “ Why More Diversification Doesn’t Mean Better Returns .” Morningstar , 7 June 2024.

What type of retirement savings plan does Expeditors Intl. of Washington offer to its employees?

Expeditors Intl. of Washington offers a 401(k) retirement savings plan to help employees save for their future.

How can I enroll in the 401(k) plan at Expeditors Intl. of Washington?

Employees can enroll in the 401(k) plan at Expeditors Intl. of Washington by completing the enrollment form available through the HR portal.

Does Expeditors Intl. of Washington match employee contributions to the 401(k) plan?

Yes, Expeditors Intl. of Washington provides a matching contribution to employee 401(k) contributions, subject to certain limits.

What is the maximum contribution limit for the 401(k) plan at Expeditors Intl. of Washington?

The maximum contribution limit for the 401(k) plan at Expeditors Intl. of Washington follows the IRS guidelines, which are updated annually.

Can I change my contribution percentage to the 401(k) plan at Expeditors Intl. of Washington?

Yes, employees can change their contribution percentage at any time through the HR portal or by contacting HR at Expeditors Intl. of Washington.

When can I start withdrawing from my 401(k) plan at Expeditors Intl. of Washington?

Employees can typically start withdrawing from their 401(k) plan at Expeditors Intl. of Washington after reaching the age of 59½, subject to plan rules.

Are there any penalties for early withdrawal from the 401(k) plan at Expeditors Intl. of Washington?

Yes, early withdrawals from the 401(k) plan at Expeditors Intl. of Washington may incur penalties and taxes, as per IRS regulations.

What investment options are available in the 401(k) plan at Expeditors Intl. of Washington?

The 401(k) plan at Expeditors Intl. of Washington offers a variety of investment options, including mutual funds and target-date funds.

How often can I change my investment options in the 401(k) plan at Expeditors Intl. of Washington?

Employees can change their investment options in the 401(k) plan at Expeditors Intl. of Washington as often as they wish, typically with no restrictions on frequency.

Is there a vesting schedule for the employer match in the 401(k) plan at Expeditors Intl. of Washington?

Yes, Expeditors Intl. of Washington has a vesting schedule for employer matching contributions, which employees should review in the plan documents.

With the current political climate we are in it is important to keep up with current news and remain knowledgeable about your benefits.

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. offers a robust 401(k) plan with automatic enrollment and company matching contributions. At the end of 2022, Expeditors' 401(k) plan had total assets of $839,061,386, with 9,224 participants. The average retirement account value per participant in 2022 was $90,965. Employees contributed an average of $6,619 annually, with the company matching approximately $1,947 per employee, amounting to 30.92% of employee contributions (Smart 40K Plus). The plan includes automatic enrollment and default investments for employees who do not actively manage their account allocations. Expeditors does not appear to have a defined benefit pension plan but operates a defined contribution plan, making the 401(k) plan their primary retirement vehicle. The company encourages long-term saving by offering a straightforward employer match, providing employees with additional retirement security. Expeditors' matching contributions totaled $17,965,349 in 2022. The investment growth rate in 2022 was notably affected by market fluctuations, showing a -14.04% growth rate

Restructuring and Layoffs: In 2023, Expeditors International of Washington announced a strategic restructuring plan aimed at streamlining operations and improving efficiency. This plan included a reduction in workforce across several departments. The decision was driven by the need to adapt to shifting market conditions and optimize operational costs. It is crucial to follow this news due to the current economic environment, which is characterized by volatility and uncertainty in global trade and logistics. Understanding these changes can provide insights into broader industry trends and potential impacts on job security and organizational stability.

Expeditors International of Washington offers stock options and RSUs to certain employees. Stock options are granted based on performance and tenure, while RSUs are typically awarded to senior management and key employees. According to the 2023 Proxy Statement (page 45), the company provides these incentives to align employee interests with company performance.

Health Benefits Section: The website should provide detailed information about the health insurance plans, types of coverage, and any recent changes for 2022-2024. Business and Financial News Websites: Recent Articles: Search for any news articles on employee benefits changes, cost adjustments, or healthcare-related updates. Job Review Sites: Employee Feedback: Review employee testimonials and ratings for insights into healthcare benefits and satisfaction. Industry News Websites: Trends and Comparisons: Investigate if there are any reports on how Expeditors' benefits compare with industry standards. Healthcare Benefit Platforms: Benefit Analysis: Look for any detailed reports or reviews on healthcare plans provided by Expeditors International.