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Navigating Sequence Risk in Retirement: Lessons and Strategies for Fastenal Employees

Healthcare Provider Update: Healthcare Provider for Fastenal Fastenal, a leading distributor of industrial and construction supplies, typically offers employee healthcare benefits through a self-funded plan, managed by a third-party administrator. This allows them to customize their health benefits while controlling costs, with the objective of improving employee health and productivity. Potential Healthcare Cost Increases in 2026 As we approach 2026, Fastenal and its employees may face significant healthcare cost increases. Premiums in the Affordable Care Act (ACA) marketplace are projected to rise sharply-by as much as 66% in some states-due to various factors such as rising medical costs and the potential expiration of enhanced federal subsidies. This situation could result in many employees seeing out-of-pocket premium payments increase by over 75%, impacting their overall financial well-being and suggesting that Fastenal might need to adapt its healthcare strategies to mitigate employee healthcare expenses in the coming year. Click here to learn more

'Fastenal employees approaching retirement should recognize that the sequence of market returns in their early years can influence the longevity of their income far more than the average return itself, making disciplined withdrawal strategies and diversified income planning essential.' – Brent Wolf, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

'Fastenal employees nearing retirement can benefit from understanding how market downturns early in retirement may have lasting effects, and from adopting flexible, research-based withdrawal and allocation strategies to help sustain their income over time.' – Paul Bergeron, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

In this article we will discuss:

Historical examples of sequence-of-returns risk and their effects on retirement income.
Why the first years of retirement are most critical for portfolio sustainability.
Research‑backed strategies for managing sequence risk and supporting long‑term retirement goals.

Contributed by Paul Bergeron and Brent Wolf of Wealth Enhancement

For Fortune 500 employees approaching retirement, recognizing the timing of returns—not just the average return—can be critical to keeping income going over the long term. This concept, known as sequence-of‑returns risk, shows how poor early market performance in retirement can have a lasting impact on a withdrawal plan, even if long-term averages seem strong. Historical market data provides clear examples of this risk and offers practical methods for responding to it.

Historical examples of sequence risk

Fortune 500 retirees entering retirement during tough market cycles face situations similar to the declines seen in the late 1960s, when the market hit two bear markets (1968–70 and 1973–74) alongside high inflation. The S&P 500 dropped roughly 48% during the 1973–74 bear market, compounding inflation-related difficulties. ¹ Likewise, those retiring in 2000 endured two severe bear markets in the decade, while 2022 proved one of the toughest years for balanced portfolios, with sharp drops in both U.S. stocks and high-quality bonds.

Why the early years matter most

For a Fortune 500 retiree, significant losses in the first five to ten years of retirement—combined with regular withdrawals—can shrink the number of shares left to rebound when markets recover. Academic studies and industry research repeatedly show that even with the same average return, the order of gains and losses plays a huge role in retirement outcomes.

Research-backed strategies to manage sequence risk

One effective method for Fortune 500 retirees is keeping a mix of asset types to help weather downturns. Cash and bonds can act as “shock absorbers” for immediate expenses, reducing the need to sell stocks during market dips. Flexible withdrawal approaches—such as adjusting withdrawals within set guardrails—have been shown to support portfolio longevity better than fixed-dollar withdrawal methods.

Staging risk in a retirement portfolio—by holding one to two years of expenses in cash-like assets and several years in short‑ to intermediate‑term bonds—may give equities time to recover before they're tapped for income. For some Fortune 500 retirees, delaying income sources like Social Security can help raise total lifetime income and lessen the need to tap investments during volatile times. Thoughtful rebalancing and managing tax lots, especially during downturns, can also help maintain equity exposure and extend portfolio lifespan.

Implications for retirement planning

While higher stock allocations may offer greater long-term growth potential, they also increase sequence risk in early retirement for Fortune 500 workers. Historically, balanced portfolios—often with 30% to 50% equities for income-focused funds—have supported more resilient initial withdrawal rates compared to all-stock strategies. ² Strong early-market results can set up long-term success, but disciplined spending limits, guardrails, and rebalancing remain key.

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Sources:

1.The New York Times. ' What Happens When Stock Markets Become Bears ,' by William Davis, Karl Russell, and Stephen Gandel. 13 June 2022.

2. Vanguard UK. ' Sustainable Spending Rates in Turbulent Markets ,' by Daga, Ankul, et al. Mar. 2021, pp. 1–7.

Other Resources:

1. Guyton, Jonathan T., and William J. Klinger. “ Decision Rules and Maximum Initial Withdrawal Rates .” Journal of Financial Planning , vol. 19, no. 3, Mar. 2006, pp. 48–50, 52–54, 56–58. Financial Planning Association.

2. “ Timeline of U.S. Stock Market Crashes .” Investopedia , 30 Oct. 2024, section “The 1973–74 Oil Crisis Bear Market.”

3. ' When to Start Receiving Retirement Benefits. ' Social Security Administration, Pub. No. 05-10147, May 2024, pp. 1–2.

4. Arnott, Amy C., CFA, and Ivanna Hampton. “ Why More Diversification Doesn’t Mean Better Returns .” Morningstar , 7 June 2024.

What type of retirement plan does Fastenal offer to its employees?

Fastenal offers a 401(k) savings plan to help employees save for retirement.

How can Fastenal employees enroll in the 401(k) plan?

Employees can enroll in Fastenal's 401(k) plan through the company's benefits portal or by contacting the HR department for assistance.

Does Fastenal match employee contributions to the 401(k) plan?

Yes, Fastenal provides a matching contribution to employee 401(k) contributions, subject to certain limits.

What is the maximum contribution limit for Fastenal's 401(k) plan?

The maximum contribution limit for Fastenal's 401(k) plan is in line with IRS guidelines, which may change annually.

When can Fastenal employees start contributing to their 401(k) plan?

Fastenal employees can start contributing to the 401(k) plan after completing their eligibility period, typically within their first year of employment.

Are there any fees associated with Fastenal's 401(k) plan?

Yes, Fastenal's 401(k) plan may have certain fees, which are disclosed in the plan documents provided to employees.

Can Fastenal employees take loans against their 401(k) savings?

Yes, Fastenal allows employees to take loans against their 401(k) savings, subject to the plan's terms and conditions.

What investment options are available in Fastenal's 401(k) plan?

Fastenal's 401(k) plan offers a variety of investment options, including mutual funds and target-date funds, to suit different risk tolerances.

How often can Fastenal employees change their 401(k) contribution amount?

Fastenal employees can change their 401(k) contribution amount at any time, subject to the plan's guidelines.

What happens to Fastenal employees' 401(k) savings if they leave the company?

If Fastenal employees leave the company, they can roll over their 401(k) savings to another retirement account or withdraw the funds, subject to tax implications.

With the current political climate we are in it is important to keep up with current news and remain knowledgeable about your benefits.

Fastenal offers a robust retirement plan for its employees, including the Fastenal Company & Subsidiaries 401(k) and Employee Stock Ownership Plan. This plan allows employees to save for retirement through salary deferrals and includes discretionary matching contributions from the company. Employees can contribute both pre-tax and Roth 401(k) deferrals. Fastenal offers an automatic enrollment feature, enrolling employees with a 5% pre-tax deferral unless they opt out (SEC.gov). Fastenal's 401(k) plan includes various investment options, including mutual funds and company stock. Employees are permitted to invest up to 25% of their incoming contributions in Fastenal common stock, although subsequent transfers are restricted (SEC.gov). The plan also allows participants to make catch-up contributions if they are over 50 years old. Fastenal also has an Employee Stock Ownership Plan (ESOP) incorporated into its 401(k) plan, which enhances employees' retirement savings. Upon retirement or termination, participants can choose to receive distributions in lump sums, partial payments, or installments

Restructuring and Layoffs: Fastenal announced a restructuring plan in early 2024 aimed at streamlining its operations and reducing overhead costs. The company will be consolidating some of its distribution centers and implementing workforce reductions. This move is part of a broader strategy to enhance operational efficiency and adapt to evolving market conditions. The decision to reduce headcount and close certain facilities reflects Fastenal's response to the pressures of a changing economic landscape, highlighting the need for companies to remain agile amidst economic uncertainties. Company Benefits and 401k Changes: Fastenal has made adjustments to its employee benefits and 401k plans in response to the shifting economic environment. The company has modified its 401k matching contributions and adjusted health benefits to better align with its financial goals. These changes are significant as they impact employees' long-term financial planning and retirement readiness. Given the current investment climate and tax considerations, it is crucial for employees to stay informed about these changes to effectively manage their retirement savings and benefits.

Fastenal provides stock options and RSUs to eligible employees as part of their compensation and benefits package. Stock options are granted based on performance and tenure. RSUs are typically awarded to senior management and key employees.

Company's Official Website: Check Fastenal’s official website for their health benefits section, which often includes details about plans, coverage options, and recent updates. Reliable News Sources: Look for news articles, press releases, and reports from reputable sources that mention Fastenal’s health benefits. HR and Benefits Sites: Explore sites that specialize in employee benefits information or HR industry insights, which might have detailed information about Fastenal's health plans. Employee Reviews: Check platforms like Glassdoor or Indeed for employee reviews that might mention specifics about health benefits. Industry Publications: Find articles in industry-specific publications or websites that discuss trends and changes in employee benefits at Fastenal.