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Navigating Sequence Risk in Retirement: Lessons and Strategies for Fiserv Employees

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'Fiserv employees approaching retirement should recognize that the sequence of market returns in their early years can influence the longevity of their income far more than the average return itself, making disciplined withdrawal strategies and diversified income planning essential.' – Brent Wolf, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

'Fiserv employees nearing retirement can benefit from understanding how market downturns early in retirement may have lasting effects, and from adopting flexible, research-based withdrawal and allocation strategies to help sustain their income over time.' – Paul Bergeron, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

In this article we will discuss:

Historical examples of sequence-of-returns risk and their effects on retirement income.
Why the first years of retirement are most critical for portfolio sustainability.
Research‑backed strategies for managing sequence risk and supporting long‑term retirement goals.

Contributed by Paul Bergeron and Brent Wolf of Wealth Enhancement

For Fortune 500 employees approaching retirement, recognizing the timing of returns—not just the average return—can be critical to keeping income going over the long term. This concept, known as sequence-of‑returns risk, shows how poor early market performance in retirement can have a lasting impact on a withdrawal plan, even if long-term averages seem strong. Historical market data provides clear examples of this risk and offers practical methods for responding to it.

Historical examples of sequence risk

Fortune 500 retirees entering retirement during tough market cycles face situations similar to the declines seen in the late 1960s, when the market hit two bear markets (1968–70 and 1973–74) alongside high inflation. The S&P 500 dropped roughly 48% during the 1973–74 bear market, compounding inflation-related difficulties. ¹ Likewise, those retiring in 2000 endured two severe bear markets in the decade, while 2022 proved one of the toughest years for balanced portfolios, with sharp drops in both U.S. stocks and high-quality bonds.

Why the early years matter most

For a Fortune 500 retiree, significant losses in the first five to ten years of retirement—combined with regular withdrawals—can shrink the number of shares left to rebound when markets recover. Academic studies and industry research repeatedly show that even with the same average return, the order of gains and losses plays a huge role in retirement outcomes.

Research-backed strategies to manage sequence risk

One effective method for Fortune 500 retirees is keeping a mix of asset types to help weather downturns. Cash and bonds can act as “shock absorbers” for immediate expenses, reducing the need to sell stocks during market dips. Flexible withdrawal approaches—such as adjusting withdrawals within set guardrails—have been shown to support portfolio longevity better than fixed-dollar withdrawal methods.

Staging risk in a retirement portfolio—by holding one to two years of expenses in cash-like assets and several years in short‑ to intermediate‑term bonds—may give equities time to recover before they're tapped for income. For some Fortune 500 retirees, delaying income sources like Social Security can help raise total lifetime income and lessen the need to tap investments during volatile times. Thoughtful rebalancing and managing tax lots, especially during downturns, can also help maintain equity exposure and extend portfolio lifespan.

Implications for retirement planning

While higher stock allocations may offer greater long-term growth potential, they also increase sequence risk in early retirement for Fortune 500 workers. Historically, balanced portfolios—often with 30% to 50% equities for income-focused funds—have supported more resilient initial withdrawal rates compared to all-stock strategies. ² Strong early-market results can set up long-term success, but disciplined spending limits, guardrails, and rebalancing remain key.

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Sources:

1.The New York Times. ' What Happens When Stock Markets Become Bears ,' by William Davis, Karl Russell, and Stephen Gandel. 13 June 2022.

2. Vanguard UK. ' Sustainable Spending Rates in Turbulent Markets ,' by Daga, Ankul, et al. Mar. 2021, pp. 1–7.

Other Resources:

1. Guyton, Jonathan T., and William J. Klinger. “ Decision Rules and Maximum Initial Withdrawal Rates .” Journal of Financial Planning , vol. 19, no. 3, Mar. 2006, pp. 48–50, 52–54, 56–58. Financial Planning Association.

2. “ Timeline of U.S. Stock Market Crashes .” Investopedia , 30 Oct. 2024, section “The 1973–74 Oil Crisis Bear Market.”

3. ' When to Start Receiving Retirement Benefits. ' Social Security Administration, Pub. No. 05-10147, May 2024, pp. 1–2.

4. Arnott, Amy C., CFA, and Ivanna Hampton. “ Why More Diversification Doesn’t Mean Better Returns .” Morningstar , 7 June 2024.

What is the primary purpose of Fiserv's 401(k) plan?

The primary purpose of Fiserv's 401(k) plan is to help employees save for retirement by providing a tax-advantaged savings vehicle.

How can Fiserv employees enroll in the 401(k) plan?

Fiserv employees can enroll in the 401(k) plan through the company’s HR portal or by contacting the HR department for assistance.

Does Fiserv offer matching contributions to its 401(k) plan?

Yes, Fiserv offers matching contributions to its 401(k) plan, which helps employees increase their retirement savings.

What types of investment options are available in Fiserv's 401(k) plan?

Fiserv's 401(k) plan typically offers a range of investment options, including mutual funds, target-date funds, and company stock.

What is the vesting schedule for Fiserv's 401(k) matching contributions?

The vesting schedule for Fiserv's 401(k) matching contributions may vary, so employees should refer to the plan documents for specific details.

Can Fiserv employees take loans against their 401(k) savings?

Yes, Fiserv employees may have the option to take loans against their 401(k) savings, subject to the plan's terms and conditions.

What is the minimum contribution percentage for Fiserv employees participating in the 401(k) plan?

The minimum contribution percentage for Fiserv employees is typically set at 1%, but employees are encouraged to contribute more to maximize their savings.

Are there any fees associated with Fiserv's 401(k) plan?

Yes, there may be fees associated with Fiserv's 401(k) plan, including administrative fees and investment management fees, which are disclosed in the plan documents.

How often can Fiserv employees change their contribution amounts?

Fiserv employees can change their contribution amounts at any time, subject to the plan's guidelines.

What happens to Fiserv employees' 401(k) savings if they leave the company?

If Fiserv employees leave the company, they can roll over their 401(k) savings to another retirement account, withdraw the funds, or leave the savings in the Fiserv plan if allowed.

With the current political climate we are in it is important to keep up with current news and remain knowledgeable about your benefits.

Fiserv offers a comprehensive retirement program for its employees, which includes both a 401(k) plan and a pension plan. The 401(k) plan allows employees to contribute on a pre-tax basis, or on a post-tax basis through the Roth 401(k) feature. Fiserv matches 100% of the first 1% of an employee's contribution, and 50% of the next 4% of eligible compensation, providing a potential match up to 3% (Working at Fiserv, Inc.). This 401(k) plan, named the Fiserv Employee Savings Plan, is administered through Vanguard (Working at Fiserv, Inc.). In addition to the 401(k), Fiserv also offers a defined benefit pension plan for long-serving employees, depending on their hire date (Working at Fiserv, Inc.). This plan typically includes employees who were part of First Data Corporation before its acquisition by Fiserv. The pension plan's eligibility criteria involve a combination of years of service and age qualification; typically, employees need at least five years of service and must be of retirement age, which is usually defined as 65 (Working at Fiserv, Inc.). However, specific details regarding the pension formula and years of service requirements were not explicitly stated on the documents accessed.

Restructuring and Layoffs: In early 2024, Fiserv announced a significant restructuring plan, which included a workforce reduction affecting approximately 5% of its global employees. This move was part of a broader effort to streamline operations and focus on core business areas amid challenging economic conditions. The decision to reduce the workforce reflects the company's strategy to adapt to shifting market demands and improve operational efficiency.

Fiserv provides stock options and RSUs as part of its compensation package. Fiserv issues stock options under the acronym SO and RSUs under the acronym RSU. In 2022, 2023, and 2024, Fiserv employees, especially executives and key personnel, are eligible for these benefits. The specifics are detailed in the company's compensation sections of annual reports.

Fiserv Health Benefits Overview 1. Official Fiserv Website: Health Insurance: Fiserv provides a range of health insurance options, including medical, dental, and vision plans. These options include PPO (Preferred Provider Organization) and HDHP (High Deductible Health Plan) plans. Health Savings Accounts (HSAs) and Flexible Spending Accounts (FSAs): Available for employees to save on out-of-pocket expenses. Wellness Programs: Includes resources for mental health support, fitness programs, and preventive health services. 2. Glassdoor: Employee Reviews: Employees appreciate the comprehensive benefits package which includes a range of health insurance plans and wellness incentives. Some have noted that while the benefits are robust, they may come with high deductibles depending on the plan chosen. 3. Indeed: Health Benefits: Reviews indicate that Fiserv’s health benefits are competitive, offering multiple plan choices with various coverage levels. Employees also mention access to telemedicine services as a plus. 4. LinkedIn: Benefits Overview: Includes detailed information on Fiserv’s health benefits such as medical, dental, and vision plans. Also highlights their emphasis on work-life balance and employee wellness programs.