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Navigating Sequence Risk in Retirement: Lessons and Strategies for Ford Motor Employees

Healthcare Provider Update: Healthcare Provider for Ford Motor Company: Ford Motor Company primarily offers health insurance through major providers such as UnitedHealthcare and Anthem Blue Cross Blue Shield for its employees. These partnerships provide a range of health insurance plans, including both individual and family coverage options tailored to the workforce needs of the company. Potential Healthcare Cost Increases in 2026: As the healthcare landscape evolves, Ford Motor is anticipated to face significant increases in healthcare costs in 2026. With projections indicating an overall rise of approximately 8.5% in employer-sponsored insurance costs, Ford may need to adjust its strategy to manage these mounting expenses. Factors such as rising medical claims, inflationary pressures on healthcare services, and the potential loss of enhanced federal subsidies are anticipated to contribute to higher out-of-pocket costs for employees. This evolving cost environment may lead the company to explore options such as increasing deductibles, altering coverage plans, or implementing new health initiatives to mitigate financial impacts on both the organization and its workforce. Click here to learn more

'Ford Motor employees approaching retirement should recognize that the sequence of market returns in their early years can influence the longevity of their income far more than the average return itself, making disciplined withdrawal strategies and diversified income planning essential.' – Brent Wolf, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

'Ford Motor employees nearing retirement can benefit from understanding how market downturns early in retirement may have lasting effects, and from adopting flexible, research-based withdrawal and allocation strategies to help sustain their income over time.' – Paul Bergeron, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

In this article we will discuss:

Historical examples of sequence-of-returns risk and their effects on retirement income.
Why the first years of retirement are most critical for portfolio sustainability.
Research‑backed strategies for managing sequence risk and supporting long‑term retirement goals.

Contributed by Paul Bergeron and Brent Wolf of Wealth Enhancement

For Fortune 500 employees approaching retirement, recognizing the timing of returns—not just the average return—can be critical to keeping income going over the long term. This concept, known as sequence-of‑returns risk, shows how poor early market performance in retirement can have a lasting impact on a withdrawal plan, even if long-term averages seem strong. Historical market data provides clear examples of this risk and offers practical methods for responding to it.

Historical examples of sequence risk

Fortune 500 retirees entering retirement during tough market cycles face situations similar to the declines seen in the late 1960s, when the market hit two bear markets (1968–70 and 1973–74) alongside high inflation. The S&P 500 dropped roughly 48% during the 1973–74 bear market, compounding inflation-related difficulties. ¹ Likewise, those retiring in 2000 endured two severe bear markets in the decade, while 2022 proved one of the toughest years for balanced portfolios, with sharp drops in both U.S. stocks and high-quality bonds.

Why the early years matter most

For a Fortune 500 retiree, significant losses in the first five to ten years of retirement—combined with regular withdrawals—can shrink the number of shares left to rebound when markets recover. Academic studies and industry research repeatedly show that even with the same average return, the order of gains and losses plays a huge role in retirement outcomes.

Research-backed strategies to manage sequence risk

One effective method for Fortune 500 retirees is keeping a mix of asset types to help weather downturns. Cash and bonds can act as “shock absorbers” for immediate expenses, reducing the need to sell stocks during market dips. Flexible withdrawal approaches—such as adjusting withdrawals within set guardrails—have been shown to support portfolio longevity better than fixed-dollar withdrawal methods.

Staging risk in a retirement portfolio—by holding one to two years of expenses in cash-like assets and several years in short‑ to intermediate‑term bonds—may give equities time to recover before they're tapped for income. For some Fortune 500 retirees, delaying income sources like Social Security can help raise total lifetime income and lessen the need to tap investments during volatile times. Thoughtful rebalancing and managing tax lots, especially during downturns, can also help maintain equity exposure and extend portfolio lifespan.

Implications for retirement planning

While higher stock allocations may offer greater long-term growth potential, they also increase sequence risk in early retirement for Fortune 500 workers. Historically, balanced portfolios—often with 30% to 50% equities for income-focused funds—have supported more resilient initial withdrawal rates compared to all-stock strategies. ² Strong early-market results can set up long-term success, but disciplined spending limits, guardrails, and rebalancing remain key.

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Sources:

1.The New York Times. ' What Happens When Stock Markets Become Bears ,' by William Davis, Karl Russell, and Stephen Gandel. 13 June 2022.

2. Vanguard UK. ' Sustainable Spending Rates in Turbulent Markets ,' by Daga, Ankul, et al. Mar. 2021, pp. 1–7.

Other Resources:

1. Guyton, Jonathan T., and William J. Klinger. “ Decision Rules and Maximum Initial Withdrawal Rates .” Journal of Financial Planning , vol. 19, no. 3, Mar. 2006, pp. 48–50, 52–54, 56–58. Financial Planning Association.

2. “ Timeline of U.S. Stock Market Crashes .” Investopedia , 30 Oct. 2024, section “The 1973–74 Oil Crisis Bear Market.”

3. ' When to Start Receiving Retirement Benefits. ' Social Security Administration, Pub. No. 05-10147, May 2024, pp. 1–2.

4. Arnott, Amy C., CFA, and Ivanna Hampton. “ Why More Diversification Doesn’t Mean Better Returns .” Morningstar , 7 June 2024.

How does the Ford Motor Company General Retirement Plan (GRP) structure determine retirement eligibility and benefits? As an employee of Ford Motor Company, understanding the nuances of how your credited service impacts your retirement eligibility and the types of retirement (such as Normal Retirement, Early Retirement, and Deferred Vested Retirement) is crucial. This question seeks to explore the various factors that influence benefits calculation and how employees can maximize their retirement income through contributory participation.

Ford Motor Company General Retirement Plan (GRP) Structure and Eligibility: The GRP determines retirement eligibility based on Credited Service. Employees can retire with Normal Retirement at age 65 with at least one year of service, Early Retirement from age 55 with 10 years of service, or with 30 years of Credited Service regardless of age. Disability and Deferred Vested benefits are also available under certain conditions(Ford_Motor_Company_2023…).

In what ways can Ford Motor Company employees optimize their pension benefits through participation in the contributory aspect of the General Retirement Plan? A deep dive into how contributions affect retirement income, alongside understanding the implications of opting for different benefit payment forms, can significantly influence an employee's financial stability in retirement. This analysis must consider current IRS limits and relevant tax implications for the year 2024 as they pertain to pension contributions.

Optimizing Pension Benefits: Ford employees can optimize their pension benefits by contributing to the Contributory part of the GRP. Contributions increase the Contributory benefit, which is based on Final Average Pay and credited service. Employees who contribute during their service can significantly enhance their retirement income, as non-contributory periods provide only Flat-Rate benefits(Ford_Motor_Company_2023…).

What are the specific procedures Ford Motor Company employees must follow regarding claims for retirement benefits under the General Retirement Plan? This question examines the administrative processes involved in filing for retirement benefits and appeals, emphasizing the importance of understanding rights under ERISA (Employee Retirement Income Security Act) as well as addressing any disputes that may arise during the claims process.

Procedures for Filing Retirement Claims: To claim retirement benefits, employees must file an application with the National Employee Services Center (NESC). Under ERISA, employees have rights to appeal denied claims. If a claim is denied, the employee must follow the outlined appeal process, ensuring they adhere to the claims timeline(Ford_Motor_Company_2023…).

How does the merger of retirement plans, such as the former FERCO Plan and Granite Plan into the Ford Motor Company GRP, affect current employees' benefits? Employees need clarification on how their historical benefits transition into the current plan structure, particularly regarding eligibility, accrued benefits, and contribution histories. This question targets understanding the implications of past participation on future pension outcomes at Ford Motor Company.

Impact of Merged Plans on Benefits: Employees who participated in plans that merged into the GRP, such as the FERCO and Granite plans, retain their accrued benefits. These benefits are paid in addition to any GRP benefits earned after the merger. The combined benefits from the merged plans and GRP determine future pension payouts(Ford_Motor_Company_2023…).

What options do Ford Motor Company employees have regarding payment forms for their retirement benefits, and how do these options impact long-term financial planning? It is essential to examine the monthly payment options versus lump sum payouts and the potential financial repercussions of each choice. Employees can benefit from comprehensively evaluating their retirement plans while considering their individual financial goals.

Retirement Payment Options: Ford offers various payment options, including monthly annuities or lump sum payouts. The decision between a monthly pension and a lump sum should consider long-term financial goals. Monthly payments provide consistent income, whereas a lump sum offers immediate access to the full pension, but may require careful financial management(Ford_Motor_Company_2023…).

What key changes to the General Retirement Plan have been enacted that may affect Ford Motor Company employees hired after January 1, 2004? Understanding how eligibility and participation differ for these employees, which might include provisions related to vesting and benefit calculations, will help them navigate their retirement planning effectively.

Changes for Employees Hired After January 1, 2004: Employees hired after January 1, 2004, are subject to different vesting and participation rules under the GRP. They participate in a separate Ford Retirement Plan (FRP), and their benefits may differ from those hired before 2004, especially concerning service accrual limits(Ford_Motor_Company_2023…).

How can Ford Motor Company employees ensure they comply with the necessary paperwork after employment changes, such as retirement, rehire, or disability, to avoid impacting their retirement benefits? This inquiry emphasizes the importance of maintaining proper documentation and beneficiary designations and understanding how employment status changes can directly affect vested benefits under the GRP.

Impact of Employment Changes: Changes in employment status, such as rehiring or disability, require employees to update their retirement records with the NESC. Proper documentation ensures that employees' vested benefits are not affected by changes in employment, such as temporary disability or rehire after a break in service(Ford_Motor_Company_2023…).

What benefits are preserved for Ford Motor Company employees under the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC) insurance, and what limitations exist? Employees must understand the extent of PBGC coverage in safeguarding their pension benefits, especially in the context of plan termination and the differences between guaranteed and non-guaranteed benefits.

PBGC Insurance and Coverage: The Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC) provides insurance coverage for Ford pension benefits. However, PBGC has limits, especially in cases of plan termination, and not all benefits may be fully covered if the pension plan is underfunded(Ford_Motor_Company_2023…).

What are the implications for an employee's retirement benefits if their marital or employment status changes after retirement at Ford Motor Company? This question explores how significant life events, such as divorce or death of a spouse, impact eligibility and benefit levels under the GRP, affecting the financial landscape for retirees.

Changes in Marital or Employment Status After Retirement: Retirement benefits may be adjusted due to marital status changes, such as divorce or the death of a spouse. Ford employees need to update their beneficiary designations to ensure that survivor benefits are properly allocated in case of such events(Ford_Motor_Company_2023…).

How can Ford Motor Company employees contact the National Employee Services Center for more information regarding their retirement benefits? This question seeks to outline the most effective channels for retrieving assistance and guidance on navigating retirement benefits, enhancing employees' understanding of their rights and the support available through company resources.

Contacting NESC for Retirement Information: Employees can contact the National Employee Services Center (NESC) at 1-800-248-4444 or through the myfordbenefits.com website for assistance with retirement planning, benefits claims, and other pension-related inquiries(Ford_Motor_Company_2023…).

With the current political climate we are in it is important to keep up with current news and remain knowledgeable about your benefits.

Ford Motor Company offers both a traditional defined benefit pension plan and a defined contribution 401(k) plan. The defined benefit plan provides retirement income based on years of service and final average pay. The 401(k) plan features company matching contributions and various investment options, including target-date funds and mutual funds. Ford provides financial planning resources and tools to help employees manage their retirement savings.

Ford is laying off thousands of employees as part of its cost-cutting measures in June 2024. The company has also announced plans to contribute $1 billion to its pension plans in 2024 and is shifting its 401(k) plan to Fidelity from Comerica for added flexibility and cost savings. Ford's layoffs are primarily targeting engineers in the US and Canada. Knowledge of these changes is important in the current political and economic environment, especially for understanding trends in automotive sector employment and benefits.

Ford Motor Company offers both RSUs and stock options to employees. RSUs vest over time and convert into shares, while stock options allow employees to buy shares at a fixed price.