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Navigating Sequence Risk in Retirement: Lessons and Strategies for Franchise Group Employees

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Healthcare Provider Update: Healthcare Provider for Franchise Group The Franchise Group, a company operating several retail and service brands, typically partners with major health insurance providers to offer healthcare coverage to its employees. While the exact provider may vary, large national insurers such as UnitedHealthcare, Anthem, and Aetna are commonly chosen by companies in similar industries for their comprehensive plan offerings. Potential Healthcare Cost Increases in 2026 As we look ahead to 2026, healthcare costs are anticipated to surge significantly, primarily driven by the expiration of enhanced federal premium subsidies associated with the Affordable Care Act (ACA). Many states are bracing for substantial rate hikes, with some insurers proposing increases of over 60%. The Kaiser Family Foundation highlights that without congressional intervention, nearly 92% of marketplace enrollees could face out-of-pocket premiums climbing by as much as 75%. Combined with rising medical costs, these factors are likely to put considerable financial pressure on consumers and companies alike in the coming year. Click here to learn more

'Franchise Group employees approaching retirement should recognize that the sequence of market returns in their early years can influence the longevity of their income far more than the average return itself, making disciplined withdrawal strategies and diversified income planning essential.' – Brent Wolf, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

'Franchise Group employees nearing retirement can benefit from understanding how market downturns early in retirement may have lasting effects, and from adopting flexible, research-based withdrawal and allocation strategies to help sustain their income over time.' – Paul Bergeron, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

In this article we will discuss:

  1. Historical examples of sequence-of-returns risk and their effects on retirement income.

  2. Why the first years of retirement are most critical for portfolio sustainability.

  3. Research‑backed strategies for managing sequence risk and supporting long‑term retirement goals.

Contributed by Paul Bergeron and Brent Wolf of Wealth Enhancement

For Fortune 500 employees approaching retirement, recognizing the timing of returns—not just the average return—can be critical to keeping income going over the long term. This concept, known as sequence-of‑returns risk, shows how poor early market performance in retirement can have a lasting impact on a withdrawal plan, even if long-term averages seem strong. Historical market data provides clear examples of this risk and offers practical methods for responding to it.

Historical examples of sequence risk

Fortune 500 retirees entering retirement during tough market cycles face situations similar to the declines seen in the late 1960s, when the market hit two bear markets (1968–70 and 1973–74) alongside high inflation. The S&P 500 dropped roughly 48% during the 1973–74 bear market, compounding inflation-related difficulties. 1  Likewise, those retiring in 2000 endured two severe bear markets in the decade, while 2022 proved one of the toughest years for balanced portfolios, with sharp drops in both U.S. stocks and high-quality bonds.

Why the early years matter most

For a Fortune 500 retiree, significant losses in the first five to ten years of retirement—combined with regular withdrawals—can shrink the number of shares left to rebound when markets recover. Academic studies and industry research repeatedly show that even with the same average return, the order of gains and losses plays a huge role in retirement outcomes.

Research-backed strategies to manage sequence risk

One effective method for Fortune 500 retirees is keeping a mix of asset types to help weather downturns. Cash and bonds can act as “shock absorbers” for immediate expenses, reducing the need to sell stocks during market dips. Flexible withdrawal approaches—such as adjusting withdrawals within set guardrails—have been shown to support portfolio longevity better than fixed-dollar withdrawal methods.

Staging risk in a retirement portfolio—by holding one to two years of expenses in cash-like assets and several years in short‑ to intermediate‑term bonds—may give equities time to recover before they're tapped for income. For some Fortune 500 retirees, delaying income sources like Social Security can help raise total lifetime income and lessen the need to tap investments during volatile times. Thoughtful rebalancing and managing tax lots, especially during downturns, can also help maintain equity exposure and extend portfolio lifespan.

Implications for retirement planning

While higher stock allocations may offer greater long-term growth potential, they also increase sequence risk in early retirement for Fortune 500 workers. Historically, balanced portfolios—often with 30% to 50% equities for income-focused funds—have supported more resilient initial withdrawal rates compared to all-stock strategies. 2  Strong early-market results can set up long-term success, but disciplined spending limits, guardrails, and rebalancing remain key.

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Sources:

1.The New York Times. ' What Happens When Stock Markets Become Bears ,' by William Davis, Karl Russell, and Stephen Gandel. 13 June 2022. 

2. Vanguard UK. ' Sustainable Spending Rates in Turbulent Markets ,' by Daga, Ankul, et al. Mar. 2021, pp. 1–7. 

Other Resources:

1. Guyton, Jonathan T., and William J. Klinger. “ Decision Rules and Maximum Initial Withdrawal Rates .”  Journal of Financial Planning , vol. 19, no. 3, Mar. 2006, pp. 48–50, 52–54, 56–58. Financial Planning Association.

2. “ Timeline of U.S. Stock Market Crashes .”  Investopedia , 30 Oct. 2024, section “The 1973–74 Oil Crisis Bear Market.”

3. ' When to Start Receiving Retirement Benefits. ' Social Security Administration, Pub. No. 05-10147, May 2024, pp. 1–2.

4. Arnott, Amy C., CFA, and Ivanna Hampton. “ Why More Diversification Doesn’t Mean Better Returns .”  Morningstar , 7 June 2024.

What retirement savings options does Franchise Group offer to its employees?

Franchise Group offers a 401(k) savings plan to help employees save for retirement.

How can employees at Franchise Group enroll in the 401(k) plan?

Employees at Franchise Group can enroll in the 401(k) plan by completing the enrollment forms provided during orientation or through the employee portal.

Does Franchise Group match employee contributions to the 401(k) plan?

Yes, Franchise Group offers a matching contribution up to a certain percentage of employee contributions to the 401(k) plan.

What is the vesting schedule for the 401(k) match at Franchise Group?

The vesting schedule for the 401(k) match at Franchise Group typically follows a graded vesting schedule over a period of time, which will be detailed in the plan documents.

Are there any fees associated with the Franchise Group 401(k) plan?

Yes, there may be administrative fees associated with the Franchise Group 401(k) plan, which will be disclosed in the plan documents.

Can employees take loans against their 401(k) balance at Franchise Group?

Yes, Franchise Group allows employees to take loans against their 401(k) balance, subject to the plan's terms and conditions.

What investment options are available in the Franchise Group 401(k) plan?

The Franchise Group 401(k) plan offers a variety of investment options, including mutual funds, target-date funds, and company stock.

How often can employees change their contribution amounts to the Franchise Group 401(k) plan?

Employees at Franchise Group can change their contribution amounts to the 401(k) plan typically on a quarterly basis or as specified in the plan documents.

What is the minimum contribution percentage for the Franchise Group 401(k) plan?

The minimum contribution percentage for the Franchise Group 401(k) plan is usually set at 1% of the employee's salary, but employees are encouraged to contribute more if possible.

Can employees at Franchise Group access their 401(k) funds before retirement?

Employees at Franchise Group may access their 401(k) funds before retirement under certain circumstances, such as financial hardship or termination of employment.

With the current political climate we are in it is important to keep up with current news and remain knowledgeable about your benefits.
Franchise Group, like many companies, offers retirement plans to its employees, including both pension and 401(k) plans. As of 2022, 2023, and continuing into 2024, Franchise Group aligns its retirement benefits with federal legislation, including the SECURE Act and SECURE 2.0 enhancements​ (RSM US)​ (National Law Review). For its 401(k) plan, employees are automatically enrolled at a contribution rate of 3% of their salary, which escalates annually up to 10%, per changes beginning in 2024. Employees have the option to opt out, but this automatic enrollment is designed to help employees build savings consistently. Franchise Group’s 401(k) plan also offers employer matching contributions​ (CLA). Part-time employees become eligible to participate after two consecutive years of at least 500 hours of service​
Restructuring and Layoffs: In early 2023, Franchise Group announced a significant restructuring plan aimed at streamlining operations and improving efficiency. This move included layoffs affecting approximately 10% of the workforce across various departments. The restructuring was driven by a need to adapt to changing market conditions and enhance financial performance. Company Benefit Changes: As part of the restructuring, Franchise Group also revised its employee benefits package. Changes included reduced health insurance coverage options and modifications to retirement plan contributions. These adjustments were made to better align with the company's new strategic goals and financial outlook.
Franchise Group provides stock options as part of its employee compensation package. These options allow employees to purchase company stock at a set price within a specific timeframe. Franchise Group typically grants stock options to senior management and key employees, based on performance and tenure. Franchise Group options are generally vested over several years, with certain performance metrics required for full vesting. Franchise Group RSUs (2022-2024): Franchise Group also offers Restricted Stock Units (RSUs) to its employees. RSUs are granted to employees but are subject to vesting schedules, which are usually tied to continued employment. Franchise Group grants RSUs to a broader range of employees compared to stock options, including mid-level managers and high performers.
Traditional Group Health Insurance Plans: Franchise Group offers traditional group health insurance plans where the company pays a fixed premium to the insurance carrier. These premiums cover a range of services, including medical, dental, and vision. The insurance carrier assumes the financial risk for claims, offering protection to the company against large, unexpected medical expenses. These plans, however, can become expensive and often require high participation rates from employees​ (StretchDollar). Health Savings Accounts (HSAs): Employees have access to HSAs, which allow them to set aside pre-tax dollars for medical expenses. These accounts are beneficial for both employees and employers, offering flexibility and tax advantages. However, HSAs are only available to employees who have high-deductible health plans (HDHPs), which could limit participation​ (StretchDollar). Individual Coverage Health Reimbursement Arrangement (ICHRA): Franchise Group also offers an ICHRA, which is a newer health benefit option. This allows employers to provide pre-tax funds that employees can use to purchase their own health insurance. This option is flexible and gives employees the freedom to select a plan that fits their needs. It is particularly useful for franchises with smaller workforces or employees located in various regions​ (StretchDollar)​ (Aflac). Compliance with New Regulations: Franchise Group ensures that their health plans comply with the latest federal requirements, including those related to mental health parity and transparency in pricing. The transparency rules require the disclosure of in-network rates, out-of-network allowances, and prescription drug costs, while the mental health parity rules enforce comparative analysis for mental health and substance use disorder treatments​ (Aflac). Recent Developments: The company has also been updating their healthcare offerings to align with new federal mandates regarding surprise billing, transparency in coverage, and parity in mental health services. These changes are designed to enhance employee protections, streamline claims, and provide clarity in pricing, which benefits employees seeking affordable care options​
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