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Navigating Sequence Risk in Retirement: Lessons and Strategies for General Dynamics Employees

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'General Dynamics employees approaching retirement should recognize that the sequence of market returns in their early years can influence the longevity of their income far more than the average return itself, making disciplined withdrawal strategies and diversified income planning essential.' – Brent Wolf, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

'General Dynamics employees nearing retirement can benefit from understanding how market downturns early in retirement may have lasting effects, and from adopting flexible, research-based withdrawal and allocation strategies to help sustain their income over time.' – Paul Bergeron, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

In this article we will discuss:

Historical examples of sequence-of-returns risk and their effects on retirement income.
Why the first years of retirement are most critical for portfolio sustainability.
Research‑backed strategies for managing sequence risk and supporting long‑term retirement goals.

Contributed by Paul Bergeron and Brent Wolf of Wealth Enhancement

For Fortune 500 employees approaching retirement, recognizing the timing of returns—not just the average return—can be critical to keeping income going over the long term. This concept, known as sequence-of‑returns risk, shows how poor early market performance in retirement can have a lasting impact on a withdrawal plan, even if long-term averages seem strong. Historical market data provides clear examples of this risk and offers practical methods for responding to it.

Historical examples of sequence risk

Fortune 500 retirees entering retirement during tough market cycles face situations similar to the declines seen in the late 1960s, when the market hit two bear markets (1968–70 and 1973–74) alongside high inflation. The S&P 500 dropped roughly 48% during the 1973–74 bear market, compounding inflation-related difficulties. ¹ Likewise, those retiring in 2000 endured two severe bear markets in the decade, while 2022 proved one of the toughest years for balanced portfolios, with sharp drops in both U.S. stocks and high-quality bonds.

Why the early years matter most

For a Fortune 500 retiree, significant losses in the first five to ten years of retirement—combined with regular withdrawals—can shrink the number of shares left to rebound when markets recover. Academic studies and industry research repeatedly show that even with the same average return, the order of gains and losses plays a huge role in retirement outcomes.

Research-backed strategies to manage sequence risk

One effective method for Fortune 500 retirees is keeping a mix of asset types to help weather downturns. Cash and bonds can act as “shock absorbers” for immediate expenses, reducing the need to sell stocks during market dips. Flexible withdrawal approaches—such as adjusting withdrawals within set guardrails—have been shown to support portfolio longevity better than fixed-dollar withdrawal methods.

Staging risk in a retirement portfolio—by holding one to two years of expenses in cash-like assets and several years in short‑ to intermediate‑term bonds—may give equities time to recover before they're tapped for income. For some Fortune 500 retirees, delaying income sources like Social Security can help raise total lifetime income and lessen the need to tap investments during volatile times. Thoughtful rebalancing and managing tax lots, especially during downturns, can also help maintain equity exposure and extend portfolio lifespan.

Implications for retirement planning

While higher stock allocations may offer greater long-term growth potential, they also increase sequence risk in early retirement for Fortune 500 workers. Historically, balanced portfolios—often with 30% to 50% equities for income-focused funds—have supported more resilient initial withdrawal rates compared to all-stock strategies. ² Strong early-market results can set up long-term success, but disciplined spending limits, guardrails, and rebalancing remain key.

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Sources:

1.The New York Times. ' What Happens When Stock Markets Become Bears ,' by William Davis, Karl Russell, and Stephen Gandel. 13 June 2022.

2. Vanguard UK. ' Sustainable Spending Rates in Turbulent Markets ,' by Daga, Ankul, et al. Mar. 2021, pp. 1–7.

Other Resources:

1. Guyton, Jonathan T., and William J. Klinger. “ Decision Rules and Maximum Initial Withdrawal Rates .” Journal of Financial Planning , vol. 19, no. 3, Mar. 2006, pp. 48–50, 52–54, 56–58. Financial Planning Association.

2. “ Timeline of U.S. Stock Market Crashes .” Investopedia , 30 Oct. 2024, section “The 1973–74 Oil Crisis Bear Market.”

3. ' When to Start Receiving Retirement Benefits. ' Social Security Administration, Pub. No. 05-10147, May 2024, pp. 1–2.

4. Arnott, Amy C., CFA, and Ivanna Hampton. “ Why More Diversification Doesn’t Mean Better Returns .” Morningstar , 7 June 2024.

How does General Dynamics Corporation ensure that employees understand their eligibility for retirement benefits under the General Dynamics retirement plan? What resources are available to help employees navigate the complexities of the plan, and how does the company assist employees in applying for these benefits?

General Dynamics Corporation ensures that employees understand their eligibility for retirement benefits under the General Dynamics retirement plan by providing detailed plan documents and resources such as the General Dynamics Service Center. This center assists employees in navigating the complexities of the retirement plan and in applying for benefits. Employees can contact the service center for further guidance through the phone number and website provided in the retirement plan documentation(General_Dynamics_Corpor…).

In what ways does the structure of the retirement plan at General Dynamics Corporation accommodate long-term employees who may be considering early retirement? Can you detail the benefits available to these employees and the processes they must follow to access these benefits?

The General Dynamics retirement plan accommodates long-term employees considering early retirement by allowing retirement after age 55 with 10 years of continuous service. These employees may receive reduced benefits to account for the extended payment period. The plan provides multiple benefit options, such as immediate commencement or deferral of payments until age 65. Employees must contact the service center to initiate the retirement process(General_Dynamics_Corpor…).

How does General Dynamics Corporation define Continuous Service, and what impact does this definition have on an employee's eligibility for retirement benefits? Discuss the scenarios in which service may be interrupted and the implications of such interruptions on the retirement plan.

Continuous Service is defined as uninterrupted employment with General Dynamics or its subsidiaries. This is crucial in determining eligibility for retirement benefits. Breaks in service, such as leaves of absence or layoffs, can impact an employee's service. However, certain periods, such as military service, may not interrupt Continuous Service if specific conditions are met(General_Dynamics_Corpor…).

What are the financial implications for employees considering a transition from active employment to retirement at General Dynamics Corporation? Describe how the retirement plan initiatives are structured to provide financial security for retiring employees and any related considerations they should be aware of.

Financially, General Dynamics' retirement plan provides stability by incorporating a defined benefit structure that does not require employee contributions. The plan is designed to supplement other retirement income sources, such as Social Security and 401(k) plans. Employees should be mindful of the potential reduction of benefits if they opt for early retirement, as these reductions impact monthly payouts(General_Dynamics_Corpor…).

How does the General Dynamics Corporation retirement plan compare with standard industry practices in terms of benefit offerings and eligibility criteria? Analyze how General Dynamics maintains competitiveness while ensuring the financial sustainability of the retirement plan.

Compared to industry standards, the General Dynamics retirement plan offers competitive benefit structures, including a defined benefit formula based on final average pay. The company maintains competitiveness while ensuring the sustainability of the plan by covering all associated costs and monitoring government regulations to avoid excessive liabilities(General_Dynamics_Corpor…).

What are the specific provisions of the General Dynamics retirement plan regarding death benefits for employees who pass away before retirement? Explain how beneficiaries are determined and what processes beneficiaries should follow to claim these benefits.

In the event of an employee’s death before retirement, the General Dynamics plan provides death benefits to surviving spouses. The benefit is typically structured as a lifetime monthly annuity, and the spouse may defer payments until the employee would have been eligible for retirement. Beneficiaries should contact the service center to initiate the claim process(General_Dynamics_Corpor…).

How does General Dynamics Corporation handle the situation for employees who experience a total disability prior to retirement? Detail the implications of this scenario on benefit accrual and eligibility for retirement benefits once the employee recovers.

If an employee experiences a total disability prior to retirement, the plan may suspend benefit accruals. The employee may still be eligible for retirement benefits once they recover, depending on their service history and the nature of the disability. The impact on their accrued benefits depends on the duration of the disability(General_Dynamics_Corpor…).

In light of changes to IRS limits and regulations, how has General Dynamics Corporation adjusted its retirement plan offerings? Discuss the challenges and strategies the company employs to remain compliant while providing valuable retirement options to employees.

General Dynamics adjusts its retirement plan offerings in response to changes in IRS limits and regulations to remain compliant. The company uses strategies such as modifying contribution and benefit limits and providing employees with updated information on how these changes affect their retirement planning(General_Dynamics_Corpor…).

What role does the General Dynamics Service Center play in the overall administration of retirement benefits? Evaluate the center's capacity to address employee inquiries and its effectiveness in communicating essential information regarding the retirement plan.

The General Dynamics Service Center plays a pivotal role in administering retirement benefits, answering employee inquiries, and guiding them through the process of applying for and receiving benefits. The center's resources, including online tools, help employees make informed decisions about their retirement(General_Dynamics_Corpor…).

How can employees at General Dynamics Corporation contact the company to learn more about their retirement benefits? Provide the various channels available, including direct contacts and online resources, along with a brief overview of what employees can expect when seeking assistance.

Employees can contact General Dynamics to learn more about their retirement benefits through the General Dynamics Service Center at 1-888-GD-BENEFITS (1-888-432-3633) or by visiting www.gdbenefits.com. These resources provide employees with comprehensive support, from understanding eligibility to selecting benefit options(General_Dynamics_Corpor…).

With the current political climate we are in it is important to keep up with current news and remain knowledgeable about your benefits.

General Dynamics provides RSUs and stock options to eligible employees.