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Navigating Sequence Risk in Retirement: Lessons and Strategies for Genesco Employees

Healthcare Provider Update: For Genesco, the healthcare provider is primarily through Aetna, which is part of CVS Health and provides a range of health insurance plans and services tailored to meet the needs of Genesco employees and their families. In 2026, the healthcare landscape could see significant challenges for Genesco due to anticipated insurance premium hikes driven by multiple factors. With the potential expiration of enhanced federal subsidies for Affordable Care Act (ACA) plans, over 22 million Americans could face out-of-pocket premium increases of more than 75%. In addition, rising medical costs, including hospital and prescription drug prices, are expected to further burden employees, potentially leading Genesco to reconsider its benefits strategy, such as shifting more costs onto workers to mitigate rising expenditures. These cumulative factors suggest a critical need for strategic planning in navigating the financial impact of healthcare in the coming year. Click here to learn more

'Genesco employees approaching retirement should recognize that the sequence of market returns in their early years can influence the longevity of their income far more than the average return itself, making disciplined withdrawal strategies and diversified income planning essential.' – Brent Wolf, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

'Genesco employees nearing retirement can benefit from understanding how market downturns early in retirement may have lasting effects, and from adopting flexible, research-based withdrawal and allocation strategies to help sustain their income over time.' – Paul Bergeron, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

In this article we will discuss:

Historical examples of sequence-of-returns risk and their effects on retirement income.
Why the first years of retirement are most critical for portfolio sustainability.
Research‑backed strategies for managing sequence risk and supporting long‑term retirement goals.

Contributed by Paul Bergeron and Brent Wolf of Wealth Enhancement

For Fortune 500 employees approaching retirement, recognizing the timing of returns—not just the average return—can be critical to keeping income going over the long term. This concept, known as sequence-of‑returns risk, shows how poor early market performance in retirement can have a lasting impact on a withdrawal plan, even if long-term averages seem strong. Historical market data provides clear examples of this risk and offers practical methods for responding to it.

Historical examples of sequence risk

Fortune 500 retirees entering retirement during tough market cycles face situations similar to the declines seen in the late 1960s, when the market hit two bear markets (1968–70 and 1973–74) alongside high inflation. The S&P 500 dropped roughly 48% during the 1973–74 bear market, compounding inflation-related difficulties. ¹ Likewise, those retiring in 2000 endured two severe bear markets in the decade, while 2022 proved one of the toughest years for balanced portfolios, with sharp drops in both U.S. stocks and high-quality bonds.

Why the early years matter most

For a Fortune 500 retiree, significant losses in the first five to ten years of retirement—combined with regular withdrawals—can shrink the number of shares left to rebound when markets recover. Academic studies and industry research repeatedly show that even with the same average return, the order of gains and losses plays a huge role in retirement outcomes.

Research-backed strategies to manage sequence risk

One effective method for Fortune 500 retirees is keeping a mix of asset types to help weather downturns. Cash and bonds can act as “shock absorbers” for immediate expenses, reducing the need to sell stocks during market dips. Flexible withdrawal approaches—such as adjusting withdrawals within set guardrails—have been shown to support portfolio longevity better than fixed-dollar withdrawal methods.

Staging risk in a retirement portfolio—by holding one to two years of expenses in cash-like assets and several years in short‑ to intermediate‑term bonds—may give equities time to recover before they're tapped for income. For some Fortune 500 retirees, delaying income sources like Social Security can help raise total lifetime income and lessen the need to tap investments during volatile times. Thoughtful rebalancing and managing tax lots, especially during downturns, can also help maintain equity exposure and extend portfolio lifespan.

Implications for retirement planning

While higher stock allocations may offer greater long-term growth potential, they also increase sequence risk in early retirement for Fortune 500 workers. Historically, balanced portfolios—often with 30% to 50% equities for income-focused funds—have supported more resilient initial withdrawal rates compared to all-stock strategies. ² Strong early-market results can set up long-term success, but disciplined spending limits, guardrails, and rebalancing remain key.

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Sources:

1.The New York Times. ' What Happens When Stock Markets Become Bears ,' by William Davis, Karl Russell, and Stephen Gandel. 13 June 2022.

2. Vanguard UK. ' Sustainable Spending Rates in Turbulent Markets ,' by Daga, Ankul, et al. Mar. 2021, pp. 1–7.

Other Resources:

1. Guyton, Jonathan T., and William J. Klinger. “ Decision Rules and Maximum Initial Withdrawal Rates .” Journal of Financial Planning , vol. 19, no. 3, Mar. 2006, pp. 48–50, 52–54, 56–58. Financial Planning Association.

2. “ Timeline of U.S. Stock Market Crashes .” Investopedia , 30 Oct. 2024, section “The 1973–74 Oil Crisis Bear Market.”

3. ' When to Start Receiving Retirement Benefits. ' Social Security Administration, Pub. No. 05-10147, May 2024, pp. 1–2.

4. Arnott, Amy C., CFA, and Ivanna Hampton. “ Why More Diversification Doesn’t Mean Better Returns .” Morningstar , 7 June 2024.

What is the primary purpose of Genesco's 401(k) Savings Plan?

The primary purpose of Genesco's 401(k) Savings Plan is to help employees save for retirement by providing a tax-advantaged way to set aside money.

How can Genesco employees enroll in the 401(k) Savings Plan?

Genesco employees can enroll in the 401(k) Savings Plan by completing the enrollment process through the company's designated benefits portal.

Does Genesco offer a company match for contributions made to the 401(k) Savings Plan?

Yes, Genesco offers a company match for employee contributions to the 401(k) Savings Plan, which helps enhance retirement savings.

What types of investment options are available in Genesco's 401(k) Savings Plan?

Genesco's 401(k) Savings Plan typically includes a variety of investment options, such as mutual funds, target-date funds, and other investment vehicles.

Can Genesco employees change their contribution percentage to the 401(k) Savings Plan?

Yes, Genesco employees can change their contribution percentage to the 401(k) Savings Plan at any time, subject to certain guidelines.

What is the minimum age requirement for Genesco employees to participate in the 401(k) Savings Plan?

Genesco employees must be at least 21 years old to participate in the 401(k) Savings Plan.

Are there any fees associated with Genesco's 401(k) Savings Plan?

Yes, there may be administrative fees and investment fees associated with Genesco's 401(k) Savings Plan, which are disclosed in the plan documents.

How often can Genesco employees access their 401(k) account statements?

Genesco employees can access their 401(k) account statements quarterly through the benefits portal.

What happens to Genesco employees' 401(k) savings if they leave the company?

If Genesco employees leave the company, they can roll over their 401(k) savings into another qualified retirement account or withdraw the funds, subject to tax implications.

Does Genesco allow for loans against the 401(k) Savings Plan?

Yes, Genesco allows employees to take loans against their 401(k) Savings Plan balance, subject to specific terms and conditions.

With the current political climate we are in it is important to keep up with current news and remain knowledgeable about your benefits.

Genesco offers its employees both a 401(k) plan and a pension plan to support their financial future. The company provides a matching contribution for the 401(k), with eligible employees receiving a match of $1 for every $1 contributed up to 3%, and an additional $0.50 for every $1 contributed on the next 2% of salary. This creates a significant incentive for employees to maximize their savings within the plan. The company offers several investment options for employees to allocate their funds. In terms of the pension plan, the Genesco Master Plan has been structured to provide long-term benefits for employees who meet specific age and service requirements. Eligibility typically involves full-time employees who have completed a certain number of years of service, though exact details of the formula and qualifying criteria may vary depending on the employee's role and hire date

Restructuring and Layoffs: In early 2024, Genesco announced a significant restructuring plan involving the closure of several retail locations and a reduction of their workforce by approximately 10%. This move is part of their strategy to streamline operations and improve financial performance amidst a challenging retail environment.

Genesco provides stock options and RSUs primarily to its executives and key employees. The stock options are granted with an exercise price equal to the market price on the grant date, while RSUs vest over four years. Genesco's RSUs and stock options are designed to reward long-term performance and retention.

Benefits Overview: Genesco’s official website provides an overview of their employee benefits, including healthcare coverage. Check the company’s careers or benefits section for detailed information on health plans, coverage options, and employee resources. Healthcare Terms: Look for specific terms like PPO (Preferred Provider Organization), HMO (Health Maintenance Organization), FSA (Flexible Spending Account), and HRA (Health Reimbursement Account). Glassdoor Employee Reviews: Employees often share insights about their healthcare benefits on Glassdoor. Look for reviews mentioning health insurance plans, deductibles, and employee satisfaction with the benefits package. Healthcare News: Check for any recent changes or updates in the benefits package as mentioned by current or former employees. Indeed Company Reviews: Indeed provides reviews from employees that might include information on health benefits. Look for specific mentions of health insurance options, provider networks, and employee feedback. Benefits Information: Sometimes, benefits information is summarized in company reviews or Q&A sections. LinkedIn