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Navigating Sequence Risk in Retirement: Lessons and Strategies for Hillenbrand Employees

Healthcare Provider Update: Hillenbrand Healthcare Provider Overview: Hillenbrand, Inc., a global diversified industrial company headquartered in Batesville, Indiana, primarily functions in markets related to advanced funeral and cremation equipment, medical devices, and industrial process solutions. As of recent data, Hillenbrand does not specifically provide healthcare services or insurance directly but operates through significant subsidiaries in the healthcare sector, such as the medical equipment arm of its subsidiary, Batesville. Potential Healthcare Cost Increases in 2026: In 2026, healthcare costs are projected to surge significantly, primarily due to the looming expiration of enhanced federal premium subsidies under the Affordable Care Act (ACA). This situation could lead to a rise in out-of-pocket premiums by over 75% for nearly 22 million enrollees, pushing some states to see increases exceeding 60%. Factors such as escalating medical expenses and substantial insurer rate hikes are contributing to this unprecedented increase. This perfect storm of conditions may leave many individuals priced out of essential healthcare coverage, negatively impacting their financial stability and access to necessary medical services. Click here to learn more

'Hillenbrand employees approaching retirement should recognize that the sequence of market returns in their early years can influence the longevity of their income far more than the average return itself, making disciplined withdrawal strategies and diversified income planning essential.' – Brent Wolf, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

'Hillenbrand employees nearing retirement can benefit from understanding how market downturns early in retirement may have lasting effects, and from adopting flexible, research-based withdrawal and allocation strategies to help sustain their income over time.' – Paul Bergeron, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

In this article we will discuss:

Historical examples of sequence-of-returns risk and their effects on retirement income.
Why the first years of retirement are most critical for portfolio sustainability.
Research‑backed strategies for managing sequence risk and supporting long‑term retirement goals.

Contributed by Paul Bergeron and Brent Wolf of Wealth Enhancement

For Fortune 500 employees approaching retirement, recognizing the timing of returns—not just the average return—can be critical to keeping income going over the long term. This concept, known as sequence-of‑returns risk, shows how poor early market performance in retirement can have a lasting impact on a withdrawal plan, even if long-term averages seem strong. Historical market data provides clear examples of this risk and offers practical methods for responding to it.

Historical examples of sequence risk

Fortune 500 retirees entering retirement during tough market cycles face situations similar to the declines seen in the late 1960s, when the market hit two bear markets (1968–70 and 1973–74) alongside high inflation. The S&P 500 dropped roughly 48% during the 1973–74 bear market, compounding inflation-related difficulties. ¹ Likewise, those retiring in 2000 endured two severe bear markets in the decade, while 2022 proved one of the toughest years for balanced portfolios, with sharp drops in both U.S. stocks and high-quality bonds.

Why the early years matter most

For a Fortune 500 retiree, significant losses in the first five to ten years of retirement—combined with regular withdrawals—can shrink the number of shares left to rebound when markets recover. Academic studies and industry research repeatedly show that even with the same average return, the order of gains and losses plays a huge role in retirement outcomes.

Research-backed strategies to manage sequence risk

One effective method for Fortune 500 retirees is keeping a mix of asset types to help weather downturns. Cash and bonds can act as “shock absorbers” for immediate expenses, reducing the need to sell stocks during market dips. Flexible withdrawal approaches—such as adjusting withdrawals within set guardrails—have been shown to support portfolio longevity better than fixed-dollar withdrawal methods.

Staging risk in a retirement portfolio—by holding one to two years of expenses in cash-like assets and several years in short‑ to intermediate‑term bonds—may give equities time to recover before they're tapped for income. For some Fortune 500 retirees, delaying income sources like Social Security can help raise total lifetime income and lessen the need to tap investments during volatile times. Thoughtful rebalancing and managing tax lots, especially during downturns, can also help maintain equity exposure and extend portfolio lifespan.

Implications for retirement planning

While higher stock allocations may offer greater long-term growth potential, they also increase sequence risk in early retirement for Fortune 500 workers. Historically, balanced portfolios—often with 30% to 50% equities for income-focused funds—have supported more resilient initial withdrawal rates compared to all-stock strategies. ² Strong early-market results can set up long-term success, but disciplined spending limits, guardrails, and rebalancing remain key.

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Sources:

1.The New York Times. ' What Happens When Stock Markets Become Bears ,' by William Davis, Karl Russell, and Stephen Gandel. 13 June 2022.

2. Vanguard UK. ' Sustainable Spending Rates in Turbulent Markets ,' by Daga, Ankul, et al. Mar. 2021, pp. 1–7.

Other Resources:

1. Guyton, Jonathan T., and William J. Klinger. “ Decision Rules and Maximum Initial Withdrawal Rates .” Journal of Financial Planning , vol. 19, no. 3, Mar. 2006, pp. 48–50, 52–54, 56–58. Financial Planning Association.

2. “ Timeline of U.S. Stock Market Crashes .” Investopedia , 30 Oct. 2024, section “The 1973–74 Oil Crisis Bear Market.”

3. ' When to Start Receiving Retirement Benefits. ' Social Security Administration, Pub. No. 05-10147, May 2024, pp. 1–2.

4. Arnott, Amy C., CFA, and Ivanna Hampton. “ Why More Diversification Doesn’t Mean Better Returns .” Morningstar , 7 June 2024.

What type of retirement savings plan does Hillenbrand offer to its employees?

Hillenbrand offers a 401(k) retirement savings plan to its employees.

How can employees at Hillenbrand enroll in the 401(k) plan?

Employees at Hillenbrand can enroll in the 401(k) plan through the company’s HR portal during the open enrollment period or upon hire.

Does Hillenbrand match employee contributions to the 401(k) plan?

Yes, Hillenbrand offers a matching contribution to employee 401(k) plan contributions, subject to certain limits.

What is the maximum contribution limit for Hillenbrand's 401(k) plan?

The maximum contribution limit for Hillenbrand's 401(k) plan aligns with IRS guidelines, which are updated annually.

Can employees at Hillenbrand take loans against their 401(k) savings?

Yes, Hillenbrand allows employees to take loans against their 401(k) savings, subject to specific terms and conditions.

What investment options are available in Hillenbrand's 401(k) plan?

Hillenbrand's 401(k) plan offers a variety of investment options, including mutual funds and target-date funds.

How often can employees at Hillenbrand change their 401(k) contribution amounts?

Employees at Hillenbrand can change their 401(k) contribution amounts during open enrollment or after a qualifying life event.

Does Hillenbrand provide financial education resources for employees regarding their 401(k)?

Yes, Hillenbrand provides financial education resources and tools to help employees make informed decisions about their 401(k) savings.

What happens to my 401(k) plan if I leave Hillenbrand?

If you leave Hillenbrand, you can choose to roll over your 401(k) balance to another qualified plan, cash out, or leave it in the Hillenbrand plan if eligible.

Are there any fees associated with Hillenbrand's 401(k) plan?

Yes, there may be fees associated with managing the 401(k) plan, which are disclosed in the plan documents provided by Hillenbrand.

With the current political climate we are in it is important to keep up with current news and remain knowledgeable about your benefits.

Name of Pension Plan: Hillenbrand does not appear to offer a traditional defined benefit pension plan. Instead, the company focuses on a 401(k) plan as the primary retirement benefit for employees. Qualifications (Years of Service and Age): Since Hillenbrand primarily offers a 401(k) plan, detailed qualifications for a traditional pension plan are not applicable. For the 401(k) plan, there are typically vesting schedules and eligibility requirements, but specifics on years of service and age requirements are usually detailed in the plan documentation provided by the company. 401(k) Plan Overview: Name of 401(k) Plan: Hillenbrand 401(k) Plan Qualifications (Years of Service and Age): Employees generally become eligible for the Hillenbrand 401(k) Plan upon reaching a certain period of service, which is often outlined in the plan document. Eligibility criteria typically include completing a probationary period, if applicable, and reaching a minimum age (usually 21). Plan Details: Contributions to the Hillenbrand 401(k) Plan are typically made via payroll deductions. The company may offer matching contributions up to a specified percentage

Restructuring and Layoffs: In 2023, Hillenbrand undertook significant restructuring efforts to streamline its operations and improve efficiency. The company announced a reduction in its workforce as part of these efforts, impacting various departments. This move was aimed at adapting to changing market conditions and enhancing overall performance. It's crucial to follow these developments due to the current economic climate, which may influence investment decisions, tax implications, and political factors that could affect the company's future.

Hillenbrand provided stock options and RSUs as part of their compensation packages for employees in 2022. Employees eligible for these incentives generally include executives and key personnel. Hillenbrand typically issues stock options and RSUs to attract and retain top talent and align employee interests with shareholder interests. Hillenbrand’s 2022 annual report (Page 35) details these incentives and eligibility criteria.

Hillenbrand Benefits Overview: The official Hillenbrand website provides a comprehensive overview of their employee benefits. The company typically offers a range of health benefits including medical, dental, and vision insurance. Specific details for 2022-2024 may include plans such as High Deductible Health Plans (HDHPs) with Health Savings Accounts (HSAs) and traditional PPO plans. Healthcare Terms: Common acronyms and terms include HDHP (High Deductible Health Plan), PPO (Preferred Provider Organization), HSA (Health Savings Account), and FSA (Flexible Spending Account