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Navigating Sequence Risk in Retirement: Lessons and Strategies for Ingles Markets Employees

Healthcare Provider Update: Ingles Markets, a regional grocery store chain, partners with UnitedHealthcare for its employee healthcare benefits. As we look ahead to 2026, potential healthcare cost increases for Ingles Markets and similar employers are concerning. The projected rise in health insurance premiums linked to the Affordable Care Act (ACA) suggests many employees could see out-of-pocket costs soar by over 75%. This surge is driven by several factors, including higher medical expenses, the potential expiration of enhanced federal subsidies, and significant rate hikes from major insurers, all of which combine to create a challenging financial landscape for both employers and their employees. Click here to learn more

'Ingles Markets employees approaching retirement should recognize that the sequence of market returns in their early years can influence the longevity of their income far more than the average return itself, making disciplined withdrawal strategies and diversified income planning essential.' – Brent Wolf, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

'Ingles Markets employees nearing retirement can benefit from understanding how market downturns early in retirement may have lasting effects, and from adopting flexible, research-based withdrawal and allocation strategies to help sustain their income over time.' – Paul Bergeron, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

In this article we will discuss:

Historical examples of sequence-of-returns risk and their effects on retirement income.
Why the first years of retirement are most critical for portfolio sustainability.
Research‑backed strategies for managing sequence risk and supporting long‑term retirement goals.

Contributed by Paul Bergeron and Brent Wolf of Wealth Enhancement

For Fortune 500 employees approaching retirement, recognizing the timing of returns—not just the average return—can be critical to keeping income going over the long term. This concept, known as sequence-of‑returns risk, shows how poor early market performance in retirement can have a lasting impact on a withdrawal plan, even if long-term averages seem strong. Historical market data provides clear examples of this risk and offers practical methods for responding to it.

Historical examples of sequence risk

Fortune 500 retirees entering retirement during tough market cycles face situations similar to the declines seen in the late 1960s, when the market hit two bear markets (1968–70 and 1973–74) alongside high inflation. The S&P 500 dropped roughly 48% during the 1973–74 bear market, compounding inflation-related difficulties. ¹ Likewise, those retiring in 2000 endured two severe bear markets in the decade, while 2022 proved one of the toughest years for balanced portfolios, with sharp drops in both U.S. stocks and high-quality bonds.

Why the early years matter most

For a Fortune 500 retiree, significant losses in the first five to ten years of retirement—combined with regular withdrawals—can shrink the number of shares left to rebound when markets recover. Academic studies and industry research repeatedly show that even with the same average return, the order of gains and losses plays a huge role in retirement outcomes.

Research-backed strategies to manage sequence risk

One effective method for Fortune 500 retirees is keeping a mix of asset types to help weather downturns. Cash and bonds can act as “shock absorbers” for immediate expenses, reducing the need to sell stocks during market dips. Flexible withdrawal approaches—such as adjusting withdrawals within set guardrails—have been shown to support portfolio longevity better than fixed-dollar withdrawal methods.

Staging risk in a retirement portfolio—by holding one to two years of expenses in cash-like assets and several years in short‑ to intermediate‑term bonds—may give equities time to recover before they're tapped for income. For some Fortune 500 retirees, delaying income sources like Social Security can help raise total lifetime income and lessen the need to tap investments during volatile times. Thoughtful rebalancing and managing tax lots, especially during downturns, can also help maintain equity exposure and extend portfolio lifespan.

Implications for retirement planning

While higher stock allocations may offer greater long-term growth potential, they also increase sequence risk in early retirement for Fortune 500 workers. Historically, balanced portfolios—often with 30% to 50% equities for income-focused funds—have supported more resilient initial withdrawal rates compared to all-stock strategies. ² Strong early-market results can set up long-term success, but disciplined spending limits, guardrails, and rebalancing remain key.

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Sources:

1.The New York Times. ' What Happens When Stock Markets Become Bears ,' by William Davis, Karl Russell, and Stephen Gandel. 13 June 2022.

2. Vanguard UK. ' Sustainable Spending Rates in Turbulent Markets ,' by Daga, Ankul, et al. Mar. 2021, pp. 1–7.

Other Resources:

1. Guyton, Jonathan T., and William J. Klinger. “ Decision Rules and Maximum Initial Withdrawal Rates .” Journal of Financial Planning , vol. 19, no. 3, Mar. 2006, pp. 48–50, 52–54, 56–58. Financial Planning Association.

2. “ Timeline of U.S. Stock Market Crashes .” Investopedia , 30 Oct. 2024, section “The 1973–74 Oil Crisis Bear Market.”

3. ' When to Start Receiving Retirement Benefits. ' Social Security Administration, Pub. No. 05-10147, May 2024, pp. 1–2.

4. Arnott, Amy C., CFA, and Ivanna Hampton. “ Why More Diversification Doesn’t Mean Better Returns .” Morningstar , 7 June 2024.

What type of retirement plan does Ingles Markets offer to its employees?

Ingles Markets offers a 401(k) retirement savings plan to its employees.

How can employees of Ingles Markets enroll in the 401(k) plan?

Employees of Ingles Markets can enroll in the 401(k) plan by completing the enrollment process through the company's HR portal or by contacting the HR department for assistance.

Does Ingles Markets provide any matching contributions to the 401(k) plan?

Yes, Ingles Markets provides matching contributions to the 401(k) plan, subject to certain conditions and limits.

What is the eligibility requirement to participate in the Ingles Markets 401(k) plan?

Employees of Ingles Markets typically become eligible to participate in the 401(k) plan after completing a specified period of service, as outlined in the plan documents.

Can employees of Ingles Markets change their contribution percentage to the 401(k) plan?

Yes, employees of Ingles Markets can change their contribution percentage to the 401(k) plan at any time, following the guidelines set forth in the plan.

What investment options are available in the Ingles Markets 401(k) plan?

The Ingles Markets 401(k) plan offers a variety of investment options, including mutual funds, target date funds, and other investment vehicles.

Is there a loan provision available in the Ingles Markets 401(k) plan?

Yes, the Ingles Markets 401(k) plan may allow participants to take loans against their account balance, subject to specific terms and conditions.

At what age can employees of Ingles Markets begin to withdraw funds from their 401(k) plan without penalties?

Employees of Ingles Markets can typically begin to withdraw funds from their 401(k) plan without penalties at age 59½, following IRS regulations.

How does Ingles Markets communicate changes to the 401(k) plan to its employees?

Ingles Markets communicates changes to the 401(k) plan through employee newsletters, meetings, and updates on the HR portal.

Are there any fees associated with the Ingles Markets 401(k) plan?

Yes, there may be administrative and investment fees associated with the Ingles Markets 401(k) plan, which are detailed in the plan documents.

With the current political climate we are in it is important to keep up with current news and remain knowledgeable about your benefits.

Name of Pension Plan: Ingles Markets does not appear to have a traditional defined benefit pension plan. Instead, they offer a 401(k) plan with company matching. Years of Service and Age Qualification: Ingles Markets primarily offers a 401(k) plan rather than a pension plan. For specific qualifications related to pension plans, further details would need to be reviewed from additional sources or contact Ingles Markets directly. Name of 401(k) Plan: Ingles Markets 401(k) Plan. Who Qualifies: Employees of Ingles Markets who are at least 21 years old and have completed 90 days of service are eligible to participate in the Ingles Markets 401(k) Plan. 401(k) Plan Details: Matching Contributions: Ingles Markets offers a match of 50% on the first 6% of employee contributions. Vesting: The employee’s contributions are always vested; company contributions vest according to a specified schedule.

Layoffs and Restructuring: In 2023, Ingles Markets underwent a significant restructuring plan aimed at optimizing their operations. The company announced a reduction in its workforce in several departments to streamline processes and cut costs. This move was largely driven by the need to adapt to changing market conditions and enhance efficiency. As economic pressures continue, such restructurings become crucial for companies to remain competitive and financially stable.

Ingles Markets offers stock options and RSUs as part of its compensation package. The stock options typically include stock option grants with specific vesting schedules. RSUs are awarded to certain employees based on performance and seniority.

Health Insurance: Ingles Markets offers health insurance plans, including medical, dental, and vision coverage. They provide options for both employees and their dependents. Flexible Spending Accounts (FSAs): Employees can use FSAs for medical expenses. 401(k) Retirement Plan: Includes company matching contributions. Paid Time Off: Includes vacation days, personal days, and sick leave. Employee Assistance Program (EAP): Provides support for personal and professional challenges.