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Navigating Sequence Risk in Retirement: Lessons and Strategies for J.B. Hunt Transport Services Employees

Healthcare Provider Update: Healthcare Provider for J.B. Hunt Transport Services J.B. Hunt Transport Services utilizes multiple healthcare providers for its employee benefits, with the specifics often varying by the region and the type of coverage chosen. The company typically offers access to a range of insurers, aligning with industry standards for providing health care to its employees. Healthcare Cost Increases Projection for 2026 As J.B. Hunt Transport Services prepares for 2026, employees may face significant healthcare cost increases due to a convergence of factors. Premiums for the Affordable Care Act (ACA) marketplace are projected to rise sharply, with some states reporting hikes exceeding 60% as a result of both the expiration of enhanced federal subsidies and elevated medical costs. Additionally, many employers, including J.B. Hunt, are expected to shift more healthcare expenses onto employees, further straining household finances. This backdrop of rising costs highlights the importance for employees to proactively reassess their healthcare plans and budgeting strategies to mitigate the financial impact. Click here to learn more

'J.B. Hunt Transport Services employees approaching retirement should recognize that the sequence of market returns in their early years can influence the longevity of their income far more than the average return itself, making disciplined withdrawal strategies and diversified income planning essential.' – Brent Wolf, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

'J.B. Hunt Transport Services employees nearing retirement can benefit from understanding how market downturns early in retirement may have lasting effects, and from adopting flexible, research-based withdrawal and allocation strategies to help sustain their income over time.' – Paul Bergeron, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

In this article we will discuss:

Historical examples of sequence-of-returns risk and their effects on retirement income.
Why the first years of retirement are most critical for portfolio sustainability.
Research‑backed strategies for managing sequence risk and supporting long‑term retirement goals.

Contributed by Paul Bergeron and Brent Wolf of Wealth Enhancement

For Fortune 500 employees approaching retirement, recognizing the timing of returns—not just the average return—can be critical to keeping income going over the long term. This concept, known as sequence-of‑returns risk, shows how poor early market performance in retirement can have a lasting impact on a withdrawal plan, even if long-term averages seem strong. Historical market data provides clear examples of this risk and offers practical methods for responding to it.

Historical examples of sequence risk

Fortune 500 retirees entering retirement during tough market cycles face situations similar to the declines seen in the late 1960s, when the market hit two bear markets (1968–70 and 1973–74) alongside high inflation. The S&P 500 dropped roughly 48% during the 1973–74 bear market, compounding inflation-related difficulties. ¹ Likewise, those retiring in 2000 endured two severe bear markets in the decade, while 2022 proved one of the toughest years for balanced portfolios, with sharp drops in both U.S. stocks and high-quality bonds.

Why the early years matter most

For a Fortune 500 retiree, significant losses in the first five to ten years of retirement—combined with regular withdrawals—can shrink the number of shares left to rebound when markets recover. Academic studies and industry research repeatedly show that even with the same average return, the order of gains and losses plays a huge role in retirement outcomes.

Research-backed strategies to manage sequence risk

One effective method for Fortune 500 retirees is keeping a mix of asset types to help weather downturns. Cash and bonds can act as “shock absorbers” for immediate expenses, reducing the need to sell stocks during market dips. Flexible withdrawal approaches—such as adjusting withdrawals within set guardrails—have been shown to support portfolio longevity better than fixed-dollar withdrawal methods.

Staging risk in a retirement portfolio—by holding one to two years of expenses in cash-like assets and several years in short‑ to intermediate‑term bonds—may give equities time to recover before they're tapped for income. For some Fortune 500 retirees, delaying income sources like Social Security can help raise total lifetime income and lessen the need to tap investments during volatile times. Thoughtful rebalancing and managing tax lots, especially during downturns, can also help maintain equity exposure and extend portfolio lifespan.

Implications for retirement planning

While higher stock allocations may offer greater long-term growth potential, they also increase sequence risk in early retirement for Fortune 500 workers. Historically, balanced portfolios—often with 30% to 50% equities for income-focused funds—have supported more resilient initial withdrawal rates compared to all-stock strategies. ² Strong early-market results can set up long-term success, but disciplined spending limits, guardrails, and rebalancing remain key.

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Sources:

1.The New York Times. ' What Happens When Stock Markets Become Bears ,' by William Davis, Karl Russell, and Stephen Gandel. 13 June 2022.

2. Vanguard UK. ' Sustainable Spending Rates in Turbulent Markets ,' by Daga, Ankul, et al. Mar. 2021, pp. 1–7.

Other Resources:

1. Guyton, Jonathan T., and William J. Klinger. “ Decision Rules and Maximum Initial Withdrawal Rates .” Journal of Financial Planning , vol. 19, no. 3, Mar. 2006, pp. 48–50, 52–54, 56–58. Financial Planning Association.

2. “ Timeline of U.S. Stock Market Crashes .” Investopedia , 30 Oct. 2024, section “The 1973–74 Oil Crisis Bear Market.”

3. ' When to Start Receiving Retirement Benefits. ' Social Security Administration, Pub. No. 05-10147, May 2024, pp. 1–2.

4. Arnott, Amy C., CFA, and Ivanna Hampton. “ Why More Diversification Doesn’t Mean Better Returns .” Morningstar , 7 June 2024.

What type of retirement savings plan does J.B. Hunt Transport Services offer to its employees?

J.B. Hunt Transport Services offers a 401(k) retirement savings plan to its employees.

Is there a company match for contributions made to the 401(k) plan at J.B. Hunt Transport Services?

Yes, J.B. Hunt Transport Services provides a company match for employee contributions to the 401(k) plan, subject to certain limits.

How can employees at J.B. Hunt Transport Services enroll in the 401(k) plan?

Employees at J.B. Hunt Transport Services can enroll in the 401(k) plan through the company’s HR portal or by contacting the HR department for assistance.

What is the eligibility requirement for employees to participate in the 401(k) plan at J.B. Hunt Transport Services?

Employees at J.B. Hunt Transport Services typically need to be at least 21 years old and have completed a specified period of service to be eligible for the 401(k) plan.

How often can employees change their contribution rate to the 401(k) plan at J.B. Hunt Transport Services?

Employees at J.B. Hunt Transport Services can change their contribution rate to the 401(k) plan at any time, subject to plan rules.

What investment options are available in the 401(k) plan at J.B. Hunt Transport Services?

J.B. Hunt Transport Services offers a variety of investment options in its 401(k) plan, including mutual funds, target-date funds, and other investment vehicles.

Can employees take loans against their 401(k) balance at J.B. Hunt Transport Services?

Yes, J.B. Hunt Transport Services allows employees to take loans against their 401(k) balance, subject to the plan's terms and conditions.

What happens to an employee's 401(k) balance if they leave J.B. Hunt Transport Services?

If an employee leaves J.B. Hunt Transport Services, they can choose to roll over their 401(k) balance to another retirement account, cash out, or leave the funds in the J.B. Hunt plan if permitted.

Does J.B. Hunt Transport Services offer any financial education resources for employees regarding their 401(k)?

Yes, J.B. Hunt Transport Services provides financial education resources and tools to help employees understand and manage their 401(k) plans effectively.

Are there any fees associated with the 401(k) plan at J.B. Hunt Transport Services?

Yes, there may be administrative fees and investment-related fees associated with the 401(k) plan at J.B. Hunt Transport Services, which are disclosed in the plan documents.

With the current political climate we are in it is important to keep up with current news and remain knowledgeable about your benefits.

Name of Pension Plan: J.B. Hunt Transport Services does not offer a traditional defined benefit pension plan. Instead, the company primarily provides a 401(k) retirement savings plan. Eligibility Criteria: J.B. Hunt Transport Services offers a 401(k) plan to eligible employees. The eligibility for the 401(k) plan typically depends on the employee's length of service and other criteria set by the company. Pension Formula: Since J.B. Hunt does not have a defined benefit pension plan, there is no pension formula applicable. Name of 401(k) Plan: The 401(k) plan offered by J.B. Hunt Transport Services is known as the "J.B. Hunt 401(k) Plan." Eligibility Criteria: Employees typically become eligible to participate in the 401(k) plan after completing a specific waiting period, which is usually outlined in the company's employee benefits documentation.

Restructuring and Layoffs: J.B. Hunt announced a restructuring plan in early 2024 aimed at improving operational efficiency. This plan included reducing its workforce by approximately 5% in response to changing market conditions and the need for operational optimization. The company indicated that the layoffs were part of a broader strategy to streamline operations and enhance profitability. This news is particularly important to address in the current economic environment as companies navigate uncertainties and seek to adapt to market changes. Understanding these adjustments can provide insights into how businesses are managing financial pressures and restructuring to remain competitive.

2022: J.B. Hunt offered stock options and RSUs to employees as part of their compensation package. Stock options were granted primarily to executives and senior management, while RSUs were available to a broader group including mid-level managers. 2023: The company continued offering RSUs to a broader group of employees, including those in mid-level positions and above. Stock options were less commonly granted, with a focus on key executive positions. 2024: J.B. Hunt's RSU program was expanded to include more employees, reflecting a trend towards broader equity compensation. Stock options remained targeted at senior executives and key personnel.

Healthcare Benefits Page: This section often includes comprehensive details about employee benefits, including health insurance options, wellness programs, and any recent updates. Company Blog/News Section: Recent announcements or changes related to employee benefits may be highlighted here