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Navigating Sequence Risk in Retirement: Lessons and Strategies for Kohl's Employees

Healthcare Provider Update: Healthcare Provider for Kohl's Kohl's offers a variety of employee health benefits through Aetna. This partnership provides extensive medical coverage options to its employees, including plans that encompass medical, dental, and vision care, ensuring that staff have access to comprehensive health services. Potential Healthcare Cost Increases in 2026 In 2026, healthcare costs are projected to surge dramatically due to a combination of factors, including the expiration of enhanced ACA premium subsidies and ongoing medical inflation. Many employees, particularly those at companies like Kohl's, could see out-of-pocket health insurance premiums rise by over 75%. With insurers requesting steep rate hikes-some exceeding 60% in states like New York-employees should brace for significant financial impacts. As they consider their healthcare options, it's critical to stay informed and proactive in managing potential expenses in the coming year. Click here to learn more

'Kohl's employees approaching retirement should recognize that the sequence of market returns in their early years can influence the longevity of their income far more than the average return itself, making disciplined withdrawal strategies and diversified income planning essential.' – Brent Wolf, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

'Kohl's employees nearing retirement can benefit from understanding how market downturns early in retirement may have lasting effects, and from adopting flexible, research-based withdrawal and allocation strategies to help sustain their income over time.' – Paul Bergeron, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

In this article we will discuss:

Historical examples of sequence-of-returns risk and their effects on retirement income.
Why the first years of retirement are most critical for portfolio sustainability.
Research‑backed strategies for managing sequence risk and supporting long‑term retirement goals.

Contributed by Paul Bergeron and Brent Wolf of Wealth Enhancement

For Fortune 500 employees approaching retirement, recognizing the timing of returns—not just the average return—can be critical to keeping income going over the long term. This concept, known as sequence-of‑returns risk, shows how poor early market performance in retirement can have a lasting impact on a withdrawal plan, even if long-term averages seem strong. Historical market data provides clear examples of this risk and offers practical methods for responding to it.

Historical examples of sequence risk

Fortune 500 retirees entering retirement during tough market cycles face situations similar to the declines seen in the late 1960s, when the market hit two bear markets (1968–70 and 1973–74) alongside high inflation. The S&P 500 dropped roughly 48% during the 1973–74 bear market, compounding inflation-related difficulties. ¹ Likewise, those retiring in 2000 endured two severe bear markets in the decade, while 2022 proved one of the toughest years for balanced portfolios, with sharp drops in both U.S. stocks and high-quality bonds.

Why the early years matter most

For a Fortune 500 retiree, significant losses in the first five to ten years of retirement—combined with regular withdrawals—can shrink the number of shares left to rebound when markets recover. Academic studies and industry research repeatedly show that even with the same average return, the order of gains and losses plays a huge role in retirement outcomes.

Research-backed strategies to manage sequence risk

One effective method for Fortune 500 retirees is keeping a mix of asset types to help weather downturns. Cash and bonds can act as “shock absorbers” for immediate expenses, reducing the need to sell stocks during market dips. Flexible withdrawal approaches—such as adjusting withdrawals within set guardrails—have been shown to support portfolio longevity better than fixed-dollar withdrawal methods.

Staging risk in a retirement portfolio—by holding one to two years of expenses in cash-like assets and several years in short‑ to intermediate‑term bonds—may give equities time to recover before they're tapped for income. For some Fortune 500 retirees, delaying income sources like Social Security can help raise total lifetime income and lessen the need to tap investments during volatile times. Thoughtful rebalancing and managing tax lots, especially during downturns, can also help maintain equity exposure and extend portfolio lifespan.

Implications for retirement planning

While higher stock allocations may offer greater long-term growth potential, they also increase sequence risk in early retirement for Fortune 500 workers. Historically, balanced portfolios—often with 30% to 50% equities for income-focused funds—have supported more resilient initial withdrawal rates compared to all-stock strategies. ² Strong early-market results can set up long-term success, but disciplined spending limits, guardrails, and rebalancing remain key.

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Sources:

1.The New York Times. ' What Happens When Stock Markets Become Bears ,' by William Davis, Karl Russell, and Stephen Gandel. 13 June 2022.

2. Vanguard UK. ' Sustainable Spending Rates in Turbulent Markets ,' by Daga, Ankul, et al. Mar. 2021, pp. 1–7.

Other Resources:

1. Guyton, Jonathan T., and William J. Klinger. “ Decision Rules and Maximum Initial Withdrawal Rates .” Journal of Financial Planning , vol. 19, no. 3, Mar. 2006, pp. 48–50, 52–54, 56–58. Financial Planning Association.

2. “ Timeline of U.S. Stock Market Crashes .” Investopedia , 30 Oct. 2024, section “The 1973–74 Oil Crisis Bear Market.”

3. ' When to Start Receiving Retirement Benefits. ' Social Security Administration, Pub. No. 05-10147, May 2024, pp. 1–2.

4. Arnott, Amy C., CFA, and Ivanna Hampton. “ Why More Diversification Doesn’t Mean Better Returns .” Morningstar , 7 June 2024.

What type of retirement savings plan does Kohl's offer to its employees?

Kohl's offers a 401(k) retirement savings plan to help employees save for their future.

Does Kohl's provide a company match for contributions made to the 401(k) plan?

Yes, Kohl's provides a company match on employee contributions to the 401(k) plan, encouraging employees to save for retirement.

What is the eligibility requirement to participate in Kohl's 401(k) plan?

Employees become eligible to participate in Kohl's 401(k) plan after completing a certain period of service, typically outlined in the plan documents.

Can employees at Kohl's choose how to invest their 401(k) contributions?

Yes, employees at Kohl's can choose from a variety of investment options for their 401(k) contributions, allowing them to tailor their investment strategy.

What is the maximum contribution limit for Kohl's 401(k) plan?

The maximum contribution limit for Kohl's 401(k) plan is subject to IRS guidelines, which can change annually. Employees should refer to the latest IRS limits for specifics.

Does Kohl's allow employees to take loans against their 401(k) savings?

Yes, Kohl's 401(k) plan may allow employees to take loans against their savings, subject to certain terms and conditions outlined in the plan.

How can employees at Kohl's access their 401(k) account information?

Employees at Kohl's can access their 401(k) account information online through the plan's designated website or by contacting the plan administrator.

Is there a vesting schedule for Kohl's 401(k) company match?

Yes, Kohl's has a vesting schedule for the company match in the 401(k) plan, which determines when employees fully own the matched funds.

Can part-time employees at Kohl's participate in the 401(k) plan?

Yes, part-time employees at Kohl's may be eligible to participate in the 401(k) plan, depending on their hours worked and the specific eligibility criteria.

What happens to my Kohl's 401(k) if I leave the company?

If you leave Kohl's, you have several options for your 401(k), including leaving the money in the plan, rolling it over to another retirement account, or cashing it out.

With the current political climate we are in it is important to keep up with current news and remain knowledgeable about your benefits.

Kohl's offers a comprehensive retirement savings program for its employees, which includes both a 401(k) plan and a company match program. The specific plan is named the Kohl's Department Stores Inc. Savings Plan, managed through Alight, and covers over 84,000 employees (Kohl's). For the 401(k) plan, full-time employees are eligible to participate immediately upon hire, while part-time employees become eligible after working 1,000 hours within their first 12 months of employment (Capitalize). The company offers a 100% match on employee contributions, up to 5% of their salary (Capitalize). Although Kohl's currently offers no pension plan, the 401(k) remains a critical component of retirement savings for its employees. It allows workers to save with the security of a company match, encouraging long-term financial health.

Kohl's is undergoing significant restructuring efforts as part of its broader business transformation. The company announced the layoff of approximately 250 employees in 2023 as part of this effort to streamline operations and improve profitability. In addition, Kohl’s is focusing on modernizing its brand to align with the Active and Casual lifestyle categories. Key initiatives include expanding its digital business, driving growth in core categories, and enhancing customer loyalty programs, including updates to its Kohl's Card Rewards program. The company is also committed to ESG goals, aiming for Net Zero emissions by 2050 and increasing diversity among suppliers (Kohl's Corporate).

Kohl's offers both Non-Qualified Stock Options (NQSOs) and Restricted Stock Units (RSUs) as part of their equity compensation plans for employees and certain contractors. For stock options, employees can purchase Kohl's shares at a predetermined strike price, with potential tax impacts occurring at the time of exercise. RSUs, on the other hand, are granted as stock units that vest over a set period. Once vested, these RSUs are treated as ordinary income and the shares are automatically transferred to the employee. Both stock options and RSUs are available to Kohl's employees, but only employees are eligible for Incentive Stock Options (ISOs), which have specific tax treatments and holding requirements (Kohl's Corporate) (Kohl's Corporate) (Zajac Group). In 2022, 2023, and 2024, Kohl's continued to offer RSUs to its employees as part of its incentive program. RSUs typically vest over several years, incentivizing employees to remain with the company. NQSOs can be exercised at any time after vesting, with employees being taxed on the spread between the exercise price and the fair market value at the time of exercise

Kohl's offers a comprehensive health benefits package for both full-time and part-time employees working at least 30 hours per week. Key highlights include medical, dental, and vision coverage, which are accessible to all permanent employees. In addition, Kohl's provides a Health Savings Account (HSA) option, contributing up to $700 per year depending on the employee's insurance plan (Kohl's) (Home Page). Recent developments include a renewed focus on mental health and well-being, highlighted by Kohl's continued support for the National Alliance on Mental Illness (NAMI) in 2024 (Home Page). This initiative aligns with their broader goal of enhancing employee well-being through partnerships with organizations that offer mental health resources. The company also offers significant wellness perks, including access to telehealth services, which became particularly relevant during and after the pandemic. Acronyms frequently mentioned within Kohl's benefits package include HSA (Health Savings Account) and PPO (Preferred Provider Organization), commonly available as options for healthcare coverage (Kohl's Investors). This focus on mental and physical health aligns with Kohl's overall strategy of promoting a healthy work-life balance through wellness programs, flexible work schedules, and wellness discounts. These efforts reflect the company’s commitment to improving employee well-being, which has been underscored by corporate announcements and external partnerships in recent years

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For more information you can reach the plan administrator for Kohl's at , ; or by calling them at .

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