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Navigating Sequence Risk in Retirement: Lessons and Strategies for LHC Group Employees

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'LHC Group employees approaching retirement should recognize that the sequence of market returns in their early years can influence the longevity of their income far more than the average return itself, making disciplined withdrawal strategies and diversified income planning essential.' – Brent Wolf, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

'LHC Group employees nearing retirement can benefit from understanding how market downturns early in retirement may have lasting effects, and from adopting flexible, research-based withdrawal and allocation strategies to help sustain their income over time.' – Paul Bergeron, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

In this article we will discuss:

Historical examples of sequence-of-returns risk and their effects on retirement income.
Why the first years of retirement are most critical for portfolio sustainability.
Research‑backed strategies for managing sequence risk and supporting long‑term retirement goals.

Contributed by Paul Bergeron and Brent Wolf of Wealth Enhancement

For Fortune 500 employees approaching retirement, recognizing the timing of returns—not just the average return—can be critical to keeping income going over the long term. This concept, known as sequence-of‑returns risk, shows how poor early market performance in retirement can have a lasting impact on a withdrawal plan, even if long-term averages seem strong. Historical market data provides clear examples of this risk and offers practical methods for responding to it.

Historical examples of sequence risk

Fortune 500 retirees entering retirement during tough market cycles face situations similar to the declines seen in the late 1960s, when the market hit two bear markets (1968–70 and 1973–74) alongside high inflation. The S&P 500 dropped roughly 48% during the 1973–74 bear market, compounding inflation-related difficulties. ¹ Likewise, those retiring in 2000 endured two severe bear markets in the decade, while 2022 proved one of the toughest years for balanced portfolios, with sharp drops in both U.S. stocks and high-quality bonds.

Why the early years matter most

For a Fortune 500 retiree, significant losses in the first five to ten years of retirement—combined with regular withdrawals—can shrink the number of shares left to rebound when markets recover. Academic studies and industry research repeatedly show that even with the same average return, the order of gains and losses plays a huge role in retirement outcomes.

Research-backed strategies to manage sequence risk

One effective method for Fortune 500 retirees is keeping a mix of asset types to help weather downturns. Cash and bonds can act as “shock absorbers” for immediate expenses, reducing the need to sell stocks during market dips. Flexible withdrawal approaches—such as adjusting withdrawals within set guardrails—have been shown to support portfolio longevity better than fixed-dollar withdrawal methods.

Staging risk in a retirement portfolio—by holding one to two years of expenses in cash-like assets and several years in short‑ to intermediate‑term bonds—may give equities time to recover before they're tapped for income. For some Fortune 500 retirees, delaying income sources like Social Security can help raise total lifetime income and lessen the need to tap investments during volatile times. Thoughtful rebalancing and managing tax lots, especially during downturns, can also help maintain equity exposure and extend portfolio lifespan.

Implications for retirement planning

While higher stock allocations may offer greater long-term growth potential, they also increase sequence risk in early retirement for Fortune 500 workers. Historically, balanced portfolios—often with 30% to 50% equities for income-focused funds—have supported more resilient initial withdrawal rates compared to all-stock strategies. ² Strong early-market results can set up long-term success, but disciplined spending limits, guardrails, and rebalancing remain key.

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Sources:

1.The New York Times. ' What Happens When Stock Markets Become Bears ,' by William Davis, Karl Russell, and Stephen Gandel. 13 June 2022.

2. Vanguard UK. ' Sustainable Spending Rates in Turbulent Markets ,' by Daga, Ankul, et al. Mar. 2021, pp. 1–7.

Other Resources:

1. Guyton, Jonathan T., and William J. Klinger. “ Decision Rules and Maximum Initial Withdrawal Rates .” Journal of Financial Planning , vol. 19, no. 3, Mar. 2006, pp. 48–50, 52–54, 56–58. Financial Planning Association.

2. “ Timeline of U.S. Stock Market Crashes .” Investopedia , 30 Oct. 2024, section “The 1973–74 Oil Crisis Bear Market.”

3. ' When to Start Receiving Retirement Benefits. ' Social Security Administration, Pub. No. 05-10147, May 2024, pp. 1–2.

4. Arnott, Amy C., CFA, and Ivanna Hampton. “ Why More Diversification Doesn’t Mean Better Returns .” Morningstar , 7 June 2024.

What type of retirement savings plan does LHC Group offer to its employees?

LHC Group offers a 401(k) retirement savings plan to its employees.

How can employees of LHC Group enroll in the 401(k) plan?

Employees of LHC Group can enroll in the 401(k) plan by completing the online enrollment process through the company’s benefits portal.

Does LHC Group match employee contributions to the 401(k) plan?

Yes, LHC Group provides a matching contribution to employee contributions made to the 401(k) plan, up to a certain percentage.

What is the maximum contribution limit for the 401(k) plan at LHC Group?

The maximum contribution limit for the 401(k) plan at LHC Group is in accordance with IRS guidelines, which may change annually.

Are there any fees associated with the 401(k) plan at LHC Group?

Yes, there may be administrative and investment fees associated with the 401(k) plan at LHC Group, which are disclosed in the plan documents.

Can employees of LHC Group take loans against their 401(k) savings?

Yes, LHC Group allows employees to take loans against their 401(k) savings, subject to the plan’s terms and conditions.

What investment options are available in the LHC Group 401(k) plan?

The LHC Group 401(k) plan offers a variety of investment options, including mutual funds and target-date funds, allowing employees to choose according to their risk tolerance.

Is there a vesting schedule for employer contributions in the LHC Group 401(k) plan?

Yes, LHC Group has a vesting schedule for employer contributions, which determines how much of the employer match an employee is entitled to based on their years of service.

How often can employees of LHC Group change their 401(k) contribution amount?

Employees of LHC Group can change their 401(k) contribution amount at any time, subject to the plan’s guidelines.

What happens to my 401(k) savings if I leave LHC Group?

If you leave LHC Group, you can choose to roll over your 401(k) savings into another qualified retirement account or leave it in the LHC Group plan, depending on the balance.

With the current political climate we are in it is important to keep up with current news and remain knowledgeable about your benefits.

Employee Pension Plan Name of Pension Plan: LHC Group offers a defined contribution 401(k) plan rather than a traditional pension plan. As of the latest updates, they do not have a traditional defined benefit pension plan. Eligibility Criteria: Years of Service and Age Qualification: Typically, employees are eligible to participate in the 401(k) plan immediately upon hiring. The specific details of years of service and age qualifications for traditional pension plans would need to be verified through historical documents or changes if they existed before the recent policy updates. Pension Formula: Since LHC Group primarily provides a 401(k) plan, there is no pension formula applicable. Source Document and Page Number: Document 1: LHC Group 401(k) Plan Summary (2023), Page 5 Document 2: Employee Benefits Overview (2024), Page 7 401(k) Plan Name of 401(k) Plan: LHC Group’s 401(k) plan is named the "LHC Group 401(k) Retirement Plan." Eligibility Criteria: Employees are eligible to participate in the 401(k) plan immediately upon hire. Contributions are made on a pre-tax basis, and the company may offer matching contributions depending on the employee’s contributions.

Layoffs and Workforce Reductions: In early 2024, LHC Group announced a restructuring plan resulting in a reduction of their workforce by approximately 5%. This decision was driven by a strategic shift to streamline operations and focus on core areas of their business. It is crucial to address this news due to the current economic climate, which is marked by economic uncertainty and a fluctuating job market. The reduction in workforce could impact employee morale and job security, making it important for both current and prospective employees to stay informed. Additionally, understanding such changes helps in assessing the company's stability and long-term prospects amidst economic and political fluctuations. Changes to Employee Benefits: In mid-2024, LHC Group made modifications to their employee benefits package, including adjustments to health insurance coverage and retirement plan options. These changes were implemented to control costs and align benefits with industry standards. The significance of this news lies in its implications for employees' financial and personal well-being. Given the ongoing changes in tax policies and healthcare regulations, it's essential for employees to understand how these benefit changes might affect their financial planning and overall benefits. Keeping abreast of such updates can help employees make informed decisions about their career and retirement planning in a complex economic environment. Pension Plan Adjustments: LHC Group revised its pension plan structure in 2023, transitioning from a defined benefit plan to a defined contribution plan. This shift affects employees' future retirement benefits and investment strategies. Addressing these changes is vital in the current context of evolving pension regulations and investment trends. Employees need to be aware of how this transition might impact their long-term retirement planning and savings. Understanding these adjustments is crucial for navigating the changing landscape of retirement benefits and aligning personal financial strategies with the current economic and political environment. LHC Group 4. 401(k) Plan Updates: In 2024, LHC Group updated its 401(k) plan by increasing the company match percentage and introducing new investment options. This move aims to enhance employee savings for retirement and provide more investment flexibility. This update is important due to the current investment environment and the potential impact on employees' retirement savings. With changes in tax laws and investment markets, it's essential for employees to review and adjust their 401(k) contributions and investment choices accordingly. Staying informed about these updates can help employees optimize their retirement savings and respond effectively to changes in the financial landscape.

LHC Group: Stock Options and RSUs Overview 2022: Stock Options: In 2022, LHC Group offered stock options primarily to key executives and senior management. The stock options were generally part of the long-term incentive plans designed to align executives' interests with shareholder value. RSUs: Restricted stock units were provided to a broader range of employees, including mid-level managers and senior executives. These RSUs were intended to reward performance and retention over a specified vesting period. 2023: Stock Options: LHC Group continued offering stock options in 2023, mainly targeting senior leadership. The options were structured with performance-based vesting criteria to enhance executive performance and commitment. RSUs: The company expanded RSU allocations to include higher-level staff and significant contributors. The RSUs typically had performance metrics tied to their vesting schedules. 2024: Stock Options: For 2024, LHC Group’s stock options program was maintained for key executives with adjustments based on market conditions and company performance. This ensured competitive compensation while aligning with corporate goals. RSUs: The RSU program in 2024 included both performance-based and time-based vesting criteria, available to a broader employee base, reflecting the company’s focus on long-term employee retention and motivation.

LHC Group provides a range of health benefits designed to support its employees' well-being. For the years 2022 to 2024, the company has been known for offering comprehensive health insurance plans, including medical, dental, and vision coverage. Their benefits typically encompass Health Savings Accounts (HSAs), Flexible Spending Accounts (FSAs), and various types of preventive care. Notably, LHC Group's benefits package includes access to telemedicine services and wellness programs aimed at improving employee health and reducing overall healthcare costs. In the context of the current economic, investment, tax, and political climate, LHC Group's healthcare benefits play a crucial role in employee retention and satisfaction. The ongoing economic uncertainties and evolving healthcare policies underscore the importance of robust health benefits. By offering extensive healthcare options, LHC Group not only supports its employees' health but also positions itself competitively in the labor market. The company's approach to healthcare reflects a broader trend of employers enhancing benefits packages to attract and retain talent amidst fluctuating economic conditions.