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Navigating Sequence Risk in Retirement: Lessons and Strategies for McCormick Employees

Healthcare Provider Update: Healthcare Provider for McCormick: McCormick & Company primarily provides its employees with health insurance through various insurers, including a selection of major national providers such as UnitedHealthcare, Anthem, and Cigna. These partnerships are aimed at offering comprehensive healthcare coverage tailored to the needs of their workforce. Potential Healthcare Cost Increases in 2026: In 2026, McCormick may face significant increases in healthcare costs due to escalating premiums in the Affordable Care Act (ACA) marketplace. Experts anticipate that some states will see premium hikes surpassing 60%, driven by a combination of rising medical costs, the potential loss of enhanced federal premium subsidies, and aggressive rate actions from leading insurers. If these trends continue unmitigated, many employees could experience a staggering rise in their out-of-pocket healthcare expenses, making it crucial for McCormick to strategize on how to manage these impending challenges effectively. Click here to learn more

'McCormick employees approaching retirement should recognize that the sequence of market returns in their early years can influence the longevity of their income far more than the average return itself, making disciplined withdrawal strategies and diversified income planning essential.' – Brent Wolf, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

'McCormick employees nearing retirement can benefit from understanding how market downturns early in retirement may have lasting effects, and from adopting flexible, research-based withdrawal and allocation strategies to help sustain their income over time.' – Paul Bergeron, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

In this article we will discuss:

Historical examples of sequence-of-returns risk and their effects on retirement income.
Why the first years of retirement are most critical for portfolio sustainability.
Research‑backed strategies for managing sequence risk and supporting long‑term retirement goals.

Contributed by Paul Bergeron and Brent Wolf of Wealth Enhancement

For Fortune 500 employees approaching retirement, recognizing the timing of returns—not just the average return—can be critical to keeping income going over the long term. This concept, known as sequence-of‑returns risk, shows how poor early market performance in retirement can have a lasting impact on a withdrawal plan, even if long-term averages seem strong. Historical market data provides clear examples of this risk and offers practical methods for responding to it.

Historical examples of sequence risk

Fortune 500 retirees entering retirement during tough market cycles face situations similar to the declines seen in the late 1960s, when the market hit two bear markets (1968–70 and 1973–74) alongside high inflation. The S&P 500 dropped roughly 48% during the 1973–74 bear market, compounding inflation-related difficulties. ¹ Likewise, those retiring in 2000 endured two severe bear markets in the decade, while 2022 proved one of the toughest years for balanced portfolios, with sharp drops in both U.S. stocks and high-quality bonds.

Why the early years matter most

For a Fortune 500 retiree, significant losses in the first five to ten years of retirement—combined with regular withdrawals—can shrink the number of shares left to rebound when markets recover. Academic studies and industry research repeatedly show that even with the same average return, the order of gains and losses plays a huge role in retirement outcomes.

Research-backed strategies to manage sequence risk

One effective method for Fortune 500 retirees is keeping a mix of asset types to help weather downturns. Cash and bonds can act as “shock absorbers” for immediate expenses, reducing the need to sell stocks during market dips. Flexible withdrawal approaches—such as adjusting withdrawals within set guardrails—have been shown to support portfolio longevity better than fixed-dollar withdrawal methods.

Staging risk in a retirement portfolio—by holding one to two years of expenses in cash-like assets and several years in short‑ to intermediate‑term bonds—may give equities time to recover before they're tapped for income. For some Fortune 500 retirees, delaying income sources like Social Security can help raise total lifetime income and lessen the need to tap investments during volatile times. Thoughtful rebalancing and managing tax lots, especially during downturns, can also help maintain equity exposure and extend portfolio lifespan.

Implications for retirement planning

While higher stock allocations may offer greater long-term growth potential, they also increase sequence risk in early retirement for Fortune 500 workers. Historically, balanced portfolios—often with 30% to 50% equities for income-focused funds—have supported more resilient initial withdrawal rates compared to all-stock strategies. ² Strong early-market results can set up long-term success, but disciplined spending limits, guardrails, and rebalancing remain key.

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Sources:

1.The New York Times. ' What Happens When Stock Markets Become Bears ,' by William Davis, Karl Russell, and Stephen Gandel. 13 June 2022.

2. Vanguard UK. ' Sustainable Spending Rates in Turbulent Markets ,' by Daga, Ankul, et al. Mar. 2021, pp. 1–7.

Other Resources:

1. Guyton, Jonathan T., and William J. Klinger. “ Decision Rules and Maximum Initial Withdrawal Rates .” Journal of Financial Planning , vol. 19, no. 3, Mar. 2006, pp. 48–50, 52–54, 56–58. Financial Planning Association.

2. “ Timeline of U.S. Stock Market Crashes .” Investopedia , 30 Oct. 2024, section “The 1973–74 Oil Crisis Bear Market.”

3. ' When to Start Receiving Retirement Benefits. ' Social Security Administration, Pub. No. 05-10147, May 2024, pp. 1–2.

4. Arnott, Amy C., CFA, and Ivanna Hampton. “ Why More Diversification Doesn’t Mean Better Returns .” Morningstar , 7 June 2024.

What is McCormick's 401(k) plan?

McCormick's 401(k) plan is a retirement savings plan that allows employees to save for their future by contributing a portion of their salary on a pre-tax or after-tax basis.

How can I enroll in McCormick's 401(k) plan?

Employees can enroll in McCormick's 401(k) plan by completing the enrollment process through the employee benefits portal or by contacting the HR department for assistance.

Does McCormick match employee contributions to the 401(k) plan?

Yes, McCormick offers a matching contribution to the 401(k) plan, which helps employees maximize their retirement savings.

What is the vesting schedule for McCormick's 401(k) matching contributions?

McCormick has a vesting schedule that outlines how long employees must work at the company to fully own the matching contributions made to their 401(k) accounts.

Can I change my contribution percentage to McCormick's 401(k) plan?

Yes, employees can change their contribution percentage to McCormick's 401(k) plan at any time, typically through the employee benefits portal.

What investment options are available in McCormick's 401(k) plan?

McCormick's 401(k) plan offers a variety of investment options, including mutual funds, target-date funds, and other investment vehicles to suit different risk tolerances.

How often can I make changes to my investments in McCormick's 401(k) plan?

Employees can typically make changes to their investment allocations in McCormick's 401(k) plan on a quarterly basis or as specified in the plan documents.

Is there a loan option available in McCormick's 401(k) plan?

Yes, McCormick's 401(k) plan may allow employees to take loans against their account balance, subject to certain terms and conditions.

What happens to my 401(k) plan if I leave McCormick?

If you leave McCormick, you have several options for your 401(k) plan, including rolling it over to an IRA or a new employer's plan, cashing it out, or leaving it in the McCormick plan if permitted.

Are there any fees associated with McCormick's 401(k) plan?

Yes, there may be administrative and investment fees associated with McCormick's 401(k) plan, which are disclosed in the plan documents.

With the current political climate we are in it is important to keep up with current news and remain knowledgeable about your benefits.

McCormick's primary pension plan is the "McCormick & Company, Inc. Pension Plan." Years of Service and Age Qualification: Employees generally need a minimum of 5 years of service to qualify for benefits. The typical age qualification for full benefits is 65, although early retirement options may be available with reduced benefits. Pension Formula: The pension formula is generally based on years of service and average salary during the highest earning years, though specific formulas may vary by plan specifics and employee tenure. McCormick offers a 401(k) plan named the "McCormick & Company, Inc. 401(k) Plan." Qualifications for 401(k) Plan: Eligibility is typically available to employees after completing 30 days of service. Employees can contribute a portion of their salary to the 401(k) plan and may receive company match contributions based on the plan's terms.

Layoffs and Restructuring: In early 2024, McCormick announced a significant restructuring plan aimed at streamlining operations and improving efficiency. This includes the elimination of approximately 1,000 jobs globally, which represents around 5% of its workforce. The company cited the need to adapt to changing market conditions and enhance its competitiveness in the industry. This move is crucial to monitor due to its impact on employees and the broader implications for the food industry. The current economic climate, characterized by inflation and shifting consumer behavior, underscores the importance of understanding such corporate strategies and their long-term effects. Company Benefits and 401k Changes: Alongside the layoffs, McCormick is revising its employee benefits package, including adjustments to its 401k matching contributions. The company is reducing its 401k match from 6% to 4% and modifying healthcare benefits to reduce costs. These changes are part of a broader effort to control expenses amid economic uncertainty. It is essential to stay informed about these developments, as they reflect broader trends in corporate benefits adjustments driven by the current economic, investment, and tax environment. Understanding these changes can help employees better prepare for their financial futures.

McCormick & Company offers stock options and RSUs as part of their compensation package. For 2022, eligible employees include senior executives and other high-level employees based on their performance and role. McCormick uses acronyms like SOP (Stock Option Plan) and RSU (Restricted Stock Unit) in their documentation.

Healthcare Plans: McCormick offers a variety of healthcare plans including medical, dental, and vision insurance. They have multiple plan options to cater to different needs, such as PPO and HMO plans. Benefits Overview: McCormick provides comprehensive coverage with preventive care, prescription drug benefits, and wellness programs. They also have a telemedicine option and employee assistance programs (EAP). Recent Updates: The company has been updating its benefits to include more mental health resources and virtual care services.