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Navigating Sequence Risk in Retirement: Lessons and Strategies for MSC Industrial Direct Employees

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'MSC Industrial Direct employees approaching retirement should recognize that the sequence of market returns in their early years can influence the longevity of their income far more than the average return itself, making disciplined withdrawal strategies and diversified income planning essential.' – Brent Wolf, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

'MSC Industrial Direct employees nearing retirement can benefit from understanding how market downturns early in retirement may have lasting effects, and from adopting flexible, research-based withdrawal and allocation strategies to help sustain their income over time.' – Paul Bergeron, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

In this article we will discuss:

Historical examples of sequence-of-returns risk and their effects on retirement income.
Why the first years of retirement are most critical for portfolio sustainability.
Research‑backed strategies for managing sequence risk and supporting long‑term retirement goals.

Contributed by Paul Bergeron and Brent Wolf of Wealth Enhancement

For Fortune 500 employees approaching retirement, recognizing the timing of returns—not just the average return—can be critical to keeping income going over the long term. This concept, known as sequence-of‑returns risk, shows how poor early market performance in retirement can have a lasting impact on a withdrawal plan, even if long-term averages seem strong. Historical market data provides clear examples of this risk and offers practical methods for responding to it.

Historical examples of sequence risk

Fortune 500 retirees entering retirement during tough market cycles face situations similar to the declines seen in the late 1960s, when the market hit two bear markets (1968–70 and 1973–74) alongside high inflation. The S&P 500 dropped roughly 48% during the 1973–74 bear market, compounding inflation-related difficulties. ¹ Likewise, those retiring in 2000 endured two severe bear markets in the decade, while 2022 proved one of the toughest years for balanced portfolios, with sharp drops in both U.S. stocks and high-quality bonds.

Why the early years matter most

For a Fortune 500 retiree, significant losses in the first five to ten years of retirement—combined with regular withdrawals—can shrink the number of shares left to rebound when markets recover. Academic studies and industry research repeatedly show that even with the same average return, the order of gains and losses plays a huge role in retirement outcomes.

Research-backed strategies to manage sequence risk

One effective method for Fortune 500 retirees is keeping a mix of asset types to help weather downturns. Cash and bonds can act as “shock absorbers” for immediate expenses, reducing the need to sell stocks during market dips. Flexible withdrawal approaches—such as adjusting withdrawals within set guardrails—have been shown to support portfolio longevity better than fixed-dollar withdrawal methods.

Staging risk in a retirement portfolio—by holding one to two years of expenses in cash-like assets and several years in short‑ to intermediate‑term bonds—may give equities time to recover before they're tapped for income. For some Fortune 500 retirees, delaying income sources like Social Security can help raise total lifetime income and lessen the need to tap investments during volatile times. Thoughtful rebalancing and managing tax lots, especially during downturns, can also help maintain equity exposure and extend portfolio lifespan.

Implications for retirement planning

While higher stock allocations may offer greater long-term growth potential, they also increase sequence risk in early retirement for Fortune 500 workers. Historically, balanced portfolios—often with 30% to 50% equities for income-focused funds—have supported more resilient initial withdrawal rates compared to all-stock strategies. ² Strong early-market results can set up long-term success, but disciplined spending limits, guardrails, and rebalancing remain key.

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Sources:

1.The New York Times. ' What Happens When Stock Markets Become Bears ,' by William Davis, Karl Russell, and Stephen Gandel. 13 June 2022.

2. Vanguard UK. ' Sustainable Spending Rates in Turbulent Markets ,' by Daga, Ankul, et al. Mar. 2021, pp. 1–7.

Other Resources:

1. Guyton, Jonathan T., and William J. Klinger. “ Decision Rules and Maximum Initial Withdrawal Rates .” Journal of Financial Planning , vol. 19, no. 3, Mar. 2006, pp. 48–50, 52–54, 56–58. Financial Planning Association.

2. “ Timeline of U.S. Stock Market Crashes .” Investopedia , 30 Oct. 2024, section “The 1973–74 Oil Crisis Bear Market.”

3. ' When to Start Receiving Retirement Benefits. ' Social Security Administration, Pub. No. 05-10147, May 2024, pp. 1–2.

4. Arnott, Amy C., CFA, and Ivanna Hampton. “ Why More Diversification Doesn’t Mean Better Returns .” Morningstar , 7 June 2024.

What type of retirement plan does MSC Industrial Direct offer to its employees?

MSC Industrial Direct offers a 401(k) retirement savings plan to its employees.

How can employees at MSC Industrial Direct enroll in the 401(k) plan?

Employees at MSC Industrial Direct can enroll in the 401(k) plan through the company’s HR portal or by contacting the HR department for assistance.

Does MSC Industrial Direct offer matching contributions to the 401(k) plan?

Yes, MSC Industrial Direct offers a matching contribution to the 401(k) plan, which helps employees grow their retirement savings.

What is the vesting schedule for the 401(k) matching contributions at MSC Industrial Direct?

The vesting schedule for matching contributions at MSC Industrial Direct typically follows a graded vesting schedule, which means employees earn ownership of the contributions over time.

Can employees at MSC Industrial Direct contribute to their 401(k) on a pre-tax basis?

Yes, employees at MSC Industrial Direct can make pre-tax contributions to their 401(k) plan, reducing their taxable income.

What is the maximum contribution limit for the 401(k) plan at MSC Industrial Direct?

The maximum contribution limit for the 401(k) plan at MSC Industrial Direct follows the IRS guidelines, which are updated annually.

Are there options for Roth contributions in MSC Industrial Direct's 401(k) plan?

Yes, MSC Industrial Direct offers employees the option to make Roth contributions to their 401(k) plan, allowing for tax-free withdrawals in retirement.

What investment options are available in MSC Industrial Direct's 401(k) plan?

MSC Industrial Direct's 401(k) plan offers a variety of investment options, including mutual funds, target-date funds, and other investment vehicles.

How often can employees at MSC Industrial Direct change their 401(k) contribution amounts?

Employees at MSC Industrial Direct can change their 401(k) contribution amounts at any time, subject to the plan's guidelines.

What resources does MSC Industrial Direct provide to help employees understand their 401(k) options?

MSC Industrial Direct provides educational resources, including workshops, online tools, and access to financial advisors to help employees understand their 401(k) options.

With the current political climate we are in it is important to keep up with current news and remain knowledgeable about your benefits.

Name: MSC Industrial Direct Retirement Plan Years of Service Requirement: Typically 5 years Age Requirement: Generally 65 years old for full benefits Pension Formula: Based on average salary and years of service Name: MSC Industrial Direct 401(k) Savings Plan Eligibility: Immediate upon hire

Restructuring and Layoffs: MSC Industrial Direct announced a series of cost-cutting measures in early 2024, including a significant reduction in its workforce. The company has been facing challenges due to fluctuating demand in the industrial sector and increased competition. This restructuring is part of a broader strategy to streamline operations and improve financial stability. Sources: Business Wire, Reuters. Benefits and Pension/401(k) Changes: Alongside workforce reductions, MSC Industrial Direct is also revising its employee benefits package. Changes include adjustments to retirement benefits and a potential overhaul of its 401(k) matching contributions

Description: MSC Industrial Direct offers stock options as part of its employee compensation package. Employees in senior management and certain key roles are eligible for these options. Description: Restricted Stock Units (RSUs) are granted to executive officers and select high-performing employees. The RSUs vest over a period of time, typically tied to performance or tenure.

Health Benefits Overview: MSC Industrial Direct provides a comprehensive health benefits package, including medical, dental, and vision insurance. They also offer health savings accounts (HSAs) and flexible spending accounts (FSAs). Specific plans and coverage options can vary based on employee location and job role.