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Navigating Sequence Risk in Retirement: Lessons and Strategies for Sonoco Products Employees

Healthcare Provider Update: Healthcare Provider for Sonoco Products Sonoco Products, a global packaging solutions company, collaborates with various healthcare providers to manage the health benefits of its employees. While specific providers may vary by location and plan selections, many large employers like Sonoco typically partner with prominent insurance carriers such as UnitedHealthcare, Anthem, and Cigna. Potential Healthcare Cost Increases in 2026 In 2026, healthcare costs for employees of Sonoco Products may experience significant increases due to anticipated premium hikes related to the Affordable Care Act (ACA). With projections indicating that premiums could rise by as much as 18% to 66% in certain states, many employees may face sharp out-of-pocket costs, particularly if enhanced federal subsidies expire. These increases will be driven by soaring medical costs and insurers' need to adjust for both economic inflation and the potential loss of critical financial support, raising concerns about accessibility and affordability for many subscribers. Click here to learn more

'Sonoco Products employees approaching retirement should recognize that the sequence of market returns in their early years can influence the longevity of their income far more than the average return itself, making disciplined withdrawal strategies and diversified income planning essential.' – Brent Wolf, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

'Sonoco Products employees nearing retirement can benefit from understanding how market downturns early in retirement may have lasting effects, and from adopting flexible, research-based withdrawal and allocation strategies to help sustain their income over time.' – Paul Bergeron, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

In this article we will discuss:

Historical examples of sequence-of-returns risk and their effects on retirement income.
Why the first years of retirement are most critical for portfolio sustainability.
Research‑backed strategies for managing sequence risk and supporting long‑term retirement goals.

Contributed by Paul Bergeron and Brent Wolf of Wealth Enhancement

For Fortune 500 employees approaching retirement, recognizing the timing of returns—not just the average return—can be critical to keeping income going over the long term. This concept, known as sequence-of‑returns risk, shows how poor early market performance in retirement can have a lasting impact on a withdrawal plan, even if long-term averages seem strong. Historical market data provides clear examples of this risk and offers practical methods for responding to it.

Historical examples of sequence risk

Fortune 500 retirees entering retirement during tough market cycles face situations similar to the declines seen in the late 1960s, when the market hit two bear markets (1968–70 and 1973–74) alongside high inflation. The S&P 500 dropped roughly 48% during the 1973–74 bear market, compounding inflation-related difficulties. ¹ Likewise, those retiring in 2000 endured two severe bear markets in the decade, while 2022 proved one of the toughest years for balanced portfolios, with sharp drops in both U.S. stocks and high-quality bonds.

Why the early years matter most

For a Fortune 500 retiree, significant losses in the first five to ten years of retirement—combined with regular withdrawals—can shrink the number of shares left to rebound when markets recover. Academic studies and industry research repeatedly show that even with the same average return, the order of gains and losses plays a huge role in retirement outcomes.

Research-backed strategies to manage sequence risk

One effective method for Fortune 500 retirees is keeping a mix of asset types to help weather downturns. Cash and bonds can act as “shock absorbers” for immediate expenses, reducing the need to sell stocks during market dips. Flexible withdrawal approaches—such as adjusting withdrawals within set guardrails—have been shown to support portfolio longevity better than fixed-dollar withdrawal methods.

Staging risk in a retirement portfolio—by holding one to two years of expenses in cash-like assets and several years in short‑ to intermediate‑term bonds—may give equities time to recover before they're tapped for income. For some Fortune 500 retirees, delaying income sources like Social Security can help raise total lifetime income and lessen the need to tap investments during volatile times. Thoughtful rebalancing and managing tax lots, especially during downturns, can also help maintain equity exposure and extend portfolio lifespan.

Implications for retirement planning

While higher stock allocations may offer greater long-term growth potential, they also increase sequence risk in early retirement for Fortune 500 workers. Historically, balanced portfolios—often with 30% to 50% equities for income-focused funds—have supported more resilient initial withdrawal rates compared to all-stock strategies. ² Strong early-market results can set up long-term success, but disciplined spending limits, guardrails, and rebalancing remain key.

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Sources:

1.The New York Times. ' What Happens When Stock Markets Become Bears ,' by William Davis, Karl Russell, and Stephen Gandel. 13 June 2022.

2. Vanguard UK. ' Sustainable Spending Rates in Turbulent Markets ,' by Daga, Ankul, et al. Mar. 2021, pp. 1–7.

Other Resources:

1. Guyton, Jonathan T., and William J. Klinger. “ Decision Rules and Maximum Initial Withdrawal Rates .” Journal of Financial Planning , vol. 19, no. 3, Mar. 2006, pp. 48–50, 52–54, 56–58. Financial Planning Association.

2. “ Timeline of U.S. Stock Market Crashes .” Investopedia , 30 Oct. 2024, section “The 1973–74 Oil Crisis Bear Market.”

3. ' When to Start Receiving Retirement Benefits. ' Social Security Administration, Pub. No. 05-10147, May 2024, pp. 1–2.

4. Arnott, Amy C., CFA, and Ivanna Hampton. “ Why More Diversification Doesn’t Mean Better Returns .” Morningstar , 7 June 2024.

In the context of the retirement benefits provided by Sonoco Products Company, what are the different scenarios that could lead an employee to choose either the Normal Retirement Benefit or the Early Retirement Benefit, and what factors should be considered in making this decision? Additionally, how do these benefits interact with the vesting service and benefit service calculations specified by Sonoco Products Company?

Normal Retirement Benefit: Available at age 65, provides full monthly pension calculated by a predetermined formula. Early Retirement Benefit: Available from age 55 with 15 years of service, but monthly payments are reduced to account for the longer payment period. Employees must weigh the reduction in monthly benefits against the potential need or desire to retire early. Considerations: The choice largely depends on personal financial needs, health status, and employment circumstances. Early retirement reduces monthly benefits, which could impact long-term financial stability.

Considering the details about tax implications in the Sonoco Pension Plan, what steps should employees take to ensure they understand the taxation of both monthly annuity payments and lump sum payments when they retire from Sonoco Products Company? What resources does Sonoco offer to assist employees in navigating these tax obligations effectively?

Monthly Annuity Payments: Subject to federal income tax; state and local taxes may also apply. Employees can choose whether or not to have taxes withheld. Lump Sum Payments: Subject to mandatory 20% federal withholding if not rolled over into another qualified plan. Employees must consult with tax professionals to understand the taxation and potential penalties, especially if under age 59½. Resources: Sonoco provides access to benefits specialists through their Benefits Center and recommends consultation with tax advisors to manage tax obligations effectively.

How does Sonoco Products Company define and calculate the "Maximum Plan Benefit," and what impact do IRS limits have on the benefits that employees may receive upon retirement? Furthermore, how does this ensure that employees understand their entitlements under the plan?

Defined by IRS limits, which cap the annual benefits an employee can receive. For 2018, the limit was $220,000. Impact: Ensures high earners are aware of the maximum pension they can draw annually, and helps in planning additional retirement savings if necessary.

For employees at Sonoco Products Company who may be considering reemployment after retirement, what are the potential impacts on their pension benefits, and what guidelines does the company provide regarding how these benefits are recalculated upon re-entering the workforce?

Pension benefits cease during reemployment and resume upon re-retirement, recalculated based on additional service. This could affect decisions on returning to work post-retirement. Guidelines: Sonoco outlines how benefits are recalculated and emphasizes consulting with the Benefits Center to understand the specific impacts.

In what ways can employees of Sonoco Products Company calculate their required service years to determine pension eligibility, and what nuances exist in the vesting and benefit service calculations? How do these calculations affect the retirement planning process for long-term employees?

Vesting Service: Determines eligibility for a pension. A minimum of five years is required for a vested pension benefit. Benefit Service: Used to calculate the amount of pension. It includes periods of employment but may exclude certain leaves or breaks in service. Implications: Understanding these definitions helps employees plan their career and retirement timing to maximize benefits.

Employees at Sonoco Products Company are often curious about the various forms of payment they can choose for their pension. What are the available options, and how do these options differ in terms of financial implications for the retiree and their beneficiaries?

Options: Single life annuity, joint and survivor annuities (50%, 75%, 100% survivor benefits). Financial Implications: Each option impacts the monthly benefit amount and the security it provides to beneficiaries, necessitating careful consideration based on marital status and financial needs.

Understanding the process of applying for plan benefits can be complex for many employees. What are the specific steps that Sonoco Products Company employees need to follow to apply for their pension benefits, and what resources are available to help streamline this process?

Process: Initiated via Sonoco Benefits Center, involving choosing a retirement date, understanding benefit options, and completing necessary paperwork. Resources: Detailed support through retirement specialists aids in navigating the process smoothly.

Many employees may not be aware of their rights under ERISA as participants in the Sonoco Pension Plan. What specific rights and protections do employees have, and how can they assert these rights if there are disputes or issues regarding their pension benefits at Sonoco Products Company?

Provides specific rights regarding plan information, appeal processes for denied claims, and protections against plan abuses. Asserting Rights: Outlines steps to take if there are disputes over pension benefits, including the right to sue after exhausting administrative remedies.

If a Sonoco Products Company employee experiences a significant life change, such as divorce or a domestic relations order, what procedures must they follow regarding their pension benefits, and how does Sonoco manage such situations under the guidelines laid out in the plan documentation?

Procedures: Employees must follow specific procedures for dividing pension benefits in the event of divorce, under a Qualified Domestic Relations Order (QDRO). Management: Sonoco’s Benefits Center provides guidance and necessary documentation to ensure compliance with legal requirements.

For employees looking to learn more about their retirement options and benefits at Sonoco Products Company, what contact information is available for them to reach out for assistance? How can employees utilize these resources effectively to gain a clearer understanding of their retirement planning?

Available through the Sonoco Benefits Center, offering comprehensive support for retirement planning and benefit queries, essential for effective retirement planning.