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Navigating Sequence Risk in Retirement: Lessons and Strategies for Wells Fargo Employees

Healthcare Provider Update: Healthcare Provider for Wells Fargo Wells Fargo partners with UnitedHealthcare as its primary healthcare provider, offering plans that cater to both employees and their families. This partnership includes a range of health insurance options, providing coverage for medical, dental, and vision expenses, while also supporting wellness programs designed to enhance employees' overall health. Potential Healthcare Cost Increases in 2026 In 2026, health insurance premiums in the Affordable Care Act (ACA) marketplace are expected to surge dramatically, with some states experiencing increases exceeding 60%. This anticipated spike is driven by several factors, including rising medical costs, potential expiration of enhanced federal subsidies, and aggressive rate hikes from major insurers. For Wells Fargo employees relying on these plans, the average out-of-pocket premium could rise by over 75% if these subsidies are not extended, compounding the financial pressure on many families during this tumultuous period., 'sources': [], 'images': [] Click here to learn more

'Wells Fargo employees approaching retirement should recognize that the sequence of market returns in their early years can influence the longevity of their income far more than the average return itself, making disciplined withdrawal strategies and diversified income planning essential.' – Brent Wolf, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

'Wells Fargo employees nearing retirement can benefit from understanding how market downturns early in retirement may have lasting effects, and from adopting flexible, research-based withdrawal and allocation strategies to help sustain their income over time.' – Paul Bergeron, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

In this article we will discuss:

Historical examples of sequence-of-returns risk and their effects on retirement income.
Why the first years of retirement are most critical for portfolio sustainability.
Research‑backed strategies for managing sequence risk and supporting long‑term retirement goals.

Contributed by Paul Bergeron and Brent Wolf of Wealth Enhancement

For Fortune 500 employees approaching retirement, recognizing the timing of returns—not just the average return—can be critical to keeping income going over the long term. This concept, known as sequence-of‑returns risk, shows how poor early market performance in retirement can have a lasting impact on a withdrawal plan, even if long-term averages seem strong. Historical market data provides clear examples of this risk and offers practical methods for responding to it.

Historical examples of sequence risk

Fortune 500 retirees entering retirement during tough market cycles face situations similar to the declines seen in the late 1960s, when the market hit two bear markets (1968–70 and 1973–74) alongside high inflation. The S&P 500 dropped roughly 48% during the 1973–74 bear market, compounding inflation-related difficulties. ¹ Likewise, those retiring in 2000 endured two severe bear markets in the decade, while 2022 proved one of the toughest years for balanced portfolios, with sharp drops in both U.S. stocks and high-quality bonds.

Why the early years matter most

For a Fortune 500 retiree, significant losses in the first five to ten years of retirement—combined with regular withdrawals—can shrink the number of shares left to rebound when markets recover. Academic studies and industry research repeatedly show that even with the same average return, the order of gains and losses plays a huge role in retirement outcomes.

Research-backed strategies to manage sequence risk

One effective method for Fortune 500 retirees is keeping a mix of asset types to help weather downturns. Cash and bonds can act as “shock absorbers” for immediate expenses, reducing the need to sell stocks during market dips. Flexible withdrawal approaches—such as adjusting withdrawals within set guardrails—have been shown to support portfolio longevity better than fixed-dollar withdrawal methods.

Staging risk in a retirement portfolio—by holding one to two years of expenses in cash-like assets and several years in short‑ to intermediate‑term bonds—may give equities time to recover before they're tapped for income. For some Fortune 500 retirees, delaying income sources like Social Security can help raise total lifetime income and lessen the need to tap investments during volatile times. Thoughtful rebalancing and managing tax lots, especially during downturns, can also help maintain equity exposure and extend portfolio lifespan.

Implications for retirement planning

While higher stock allocations may offer greater long-term growth potential, they also increase sequence risk in early retirement for Fortune 500 workers. Historically, balanced portfolios—often with 30% to 50% equities for income-focused funds—have supported more resilient initial withdrawal rates compared to all-stock strategies. ² Strong early-market results can set up long-term success, but disciplined spending limits, guardrails, and rebalancing remain key.

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Sources:

1.The New York Times. ' What Happens When Stock Markets Become Bears ,' by William Davis, Karl Russell, and Stephen Gandel. 13 June 2022.

2. Vanguard UK. ' Sustainable Spending Rates in Turbulent Markets ,' by Daga, Ankul, et al. Mar. 2021, pp. 1–7.

Other Resources:

1. Guyton, Jonathan T., and William J. Klinger. “ Decision Rules and Maximum Initial Withdrawal Rates .” Journal of Financial Planning , vol. 19, no. 3, Mar. 2006, pp. 48–50, 52–54, 56–58. Financial Planning Association.

2. “ Timeline of U.S. Stock Market Crashes .” Investopedia , 30 Oct. 2024, section “The 1973–74 Oil Crisis Bear Market.”

3. ' When to Start Receiving Retirement Benefits. ' Social Security Administration, Pub. No. 05-10147, May 2024, pp. 1–2.

4. Arnott, Amy C., CFA, and Ivanna Hampton. “ Why More Diversification Doesn’t Mean Better Returns .” Morningstar , 7 June 2024.

What is the Wells Fargo 401(k) plan?

The Wells Fargo 401(k) plan is a retirement savings plan that allows employees to save a portion of their paycheck before taxes are taken out, helping them build a nest egg for retirement.

How can I enroll in the Wells Fargo 401(k) plan?

Employees can enroll in the Wells Fargo 401(k) plan through the company’s benefits portal during the enrollment period or after they become eligible.

What are the contribution limits for the Wells Fargo 401(k) plan?

For the Wells Fargo 401(k) plan, the contribution limits are set by the IRS and may change annually. Employees should check the latest IRS guidelines for the current limits.

Does Wells Fargo offer a company match for the 401(k) plan?

Yes, Wells Fargo offers a company match for contributions made to the 401(k) plan, which helps employees maximize their retirement savings.

When can I start withdrawing from my Wells Fargo 401(k) plan?

Employees can typically start withdrawing from their Wells Fargo 401(k) plan without penalties at age 59½, but specific rules may apply based on the plan provisions.

Can I take a loan against my Wells Fargo 401(k) plan?

Yes, Wells Fargo allows participants to take loans against their 401(k) balance, subject to certain terms and conditions outlined in the plan.

What investment options are available in the Wells Fargo 401(k) plan?

The Wells Fargo 401(k) plan offers a variety of investment options, including mutual funds, target-date funds, and other investment vehicles to help employees diversify their portfolios.

How often can I change my contributions to the Wells Fargo 401(k) plan?

Employees can change their contribution amounts to the Wells Fargo 401(k) plan at any time, subject to the plan's guidelines and payroll processing timelines.

What happens to my Wells Fargo 401(k) if I leave the company?

If you leave Wells Fargo, you have several options for your 401(k), including leaving the funds in the plan, rolling them over to a new employer’s plan, or transferring them to an IRA.

Is there a vesting schedule for the Wells Fargo 401(k) company match?

Yes, Wells Fargo has a vesting schedule for the company match, meaning that employees must work for a certain period before they fully own the matched contributions.

With the current political climate we are in it is important to keep up with current news and remain knowledgeable about your benefits.

Wells Fargo offers both a traditional defined benefit pension plan and a defined contribution 401(k) plan. The defined benefit plan provides retirement income based on years of service and final average pay. The 401(k) plan features company matching contributions and various investment options, including target-date funds and mutual funds. Wells Fargo provides financial education and planning resources to help employees manage their retirement savings.

Wells Fargo grants RSUs that vest over time, providing shares to employees upon vesting. The company also offers stock options, allowing employees to buy shares at a set price.