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Navigating Sequence Risk in Retirement: Lessons and Strategies for Windstream Holdings Employees

'Windstream Holdings employees approaching retirement should recognize that the sequence of market returns in their early years can influence the longevity of their income far more than the average return itself, making disciplined withdrawal strategies and diversified income planning essential.' – Brent Wolf, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

'Windstream Holdings employees nearing retirement can benefit from understanding how market downturns early in retirement may have lasting effects, and from adopting flexible, research-based withdrawal and allocation strategies to help sustain their income over time.' – Paul Bergeron, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

In this article we will discuss:

Historical examples of sequence-of-returns risk and their effects on retirement income.
Why the first years of retirement are most critical for portfolio sustainability.
Research‑backed strategies for managing sequence risk and supporting long‑term retirement goals.

Contributed by Paul Bergeron and Brent Wolf of Wealth Enhancement

For Fortune 500 employees approaching retirement, recognizing the timing of returns—not just the average return—can be critical to keeping income going over the long term. This concept, known as sequence-of‑returns risk, shows how poor early market performance in retirement can have a lasting impact on a withdrawal plan, even if long-term averages seem strong. Historical market data provides clear examples of this risk and offers practical methods for responding to it.

Historical examples of sequence risk

Fortune 500 retirees entering retirement during tough market cycles face situations similar to the declines seen in the late 1960s, when the market hit two bear markets (1968–70 and 1973–74) alongside high inflation. The S&P 500 dropped roughly 48% during the 1973–74 bear market, compounding inflation-related difficulties. ¹ Likewise, those retiring in 2000 endured two severe bear markets in the decade, while 2022 proved one of the toughest years for balanced portfolios, with sharp drops in both U.S. stocks and high-quality bonds.

Why the early years matter most

For a Fortune 500 retiree, significant losses in the first five to ten years of retirement—combined with regular withdrawals—can shrink the number of shares left to rebound when markets recover. Academic studies and industry research repeatedly show that even with the same average return, the order of gains and losses plays a huge role in retirement outcomes.

Research-backed strategies to manage sequence risk

One effective method for Fortune 500 retirees is keeping a mix of asset types to help weather downturns. Cash and bonds can act as “shock absorbers” for immediate expenses, reducing the need to sell stocks during market dips. Flexible withdrawal approaches—such as adjusting withdrawals within set guardrails—have been shown to support portfolio longevity better than fixed-dollar withdrawal methods.

Staging risk in a retirement portfolio—by holding one to two years of expenses in cash-like assets and several years in short‑ to intermediate‑term bonds—may give equities time to recover before they're tapped for income. For some Fortune 500 retirees, delaying income sources like Social Security can help raise total lifetime income and lessen the need to tap investments during volatile times. Thoughtful rebalancing and managing tax lots, especially during downturns, can also help maintain equity exposure and extend portfolio lifespan.

Implications for retirement planning

While higher stock allocations may offer greater long-term growth potential, they also increase sequence risk in early retirement for Fortune 500 workers. Historically, balanced portfolios—often with 30% to 50% equities for income-focused funds—have supported more resilient initial withdrawal rates compared to all-stock strategies. ² Strong early-market results can set up long-term success, but disciplined spending limits, guardrails, and rebalancing remain key.

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Sources:

1.The New York Times. ' What Happens When Stock Markets Become Bears ,' by William Davis, Karl Russell, and Stephen Gandel. 13 June 2022.

2. Vanguard UK. ' Sustainable Spending Rates in Turbulent Markets ,' by Daga, Ankul, et al. Mar. 2021, pp. 1–7.

Other Resources:

1. Guyton, Jonathan T., and William J. Klinger. “ Decision Rules and Maximum Initial Withdrawal Rates .” Journal of Financial Planning , vol. 19, no. 3, Mar. 2006, pp. 48–50, 52–54, 56–58. Financial Planning Association.

2. “ Timeline of U.S. Stock Market Crashes .” Investopedia , 30 Oct. 2024, section “The 1973–74 Oil Crisis Bear Market.”

3. ' When to Start Receiving Retirement Benefits. ' Social Security Administration, Pub. No. 05-10147, May 2024, pp. 1–2.

4. Arnott, Amy C., CFA, and Ivanna Hampton. “ Why More Diversification Doesn’t Mean Better Returns .” Morningstar , 7 June 2024.

What are the implications of the Windstream Pension Plan for employees who wish to retire early, specifically regarding the eligibility criteria and benefit calculations that will affect their financial planning? How does Windstream address concerns for employees who may be contemplating retirement before reaching the defined Normal Retirement Age of 65?

Early Retirement and Financial Planning: Employees may retire early at age 55 with 20 or more years of service, though the pension benefit will be reduced. The reduction is by 1/180th for the first 60 months and 1/360th for each of the next 60 months that commencement precedes the normal retirement date of age 65. This ensures early retirees can still receive benefits, though at a lower amount than if they had waited until age 65(Windstream_Pension_Plan…).

In what ways does the Windstream Pension Plan protect the interests of employees during a potential plan termination? Specifically, how does the plan ensure that accrued benefits are preserved and what procedures are in place to inform employees about their rights under the Employee Retirement Income Security Act of 1974 (ERISA)?

Plan Termination Protections: In the event of plan termination, Windstream ensures all accrued pensions are fully vested. The plan assets will be used exclusively to meet accrued pension obligations before any surplus may revert to the company. Participants are also protected by the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC), which guarantees most pension benefits(Windstream_Pension_Plan…).

How does Windstream determine the necessary contributions to the Pension Plan, and what role does an independent actuarial assessment play in this process? Additionally, how does this funding approach impact the overall financial stability of the Windstream Pension Plan and the benefits it promises to its participants?

Contribution Determination and Actuarial Role: Windstream’s contributions to the pension plan are determined by an independent actuary who evaluates the plan annually to recommend adjustments based on experience. This approach ensures that the plan remains financially stable and capable of meeting its promised benefits(Windstream_Pension_Plan…).

What options are available to employees of Windstream regarding the forms of pension benefit payouts upon retirement, and how do these options like the Joint and Survivor Annuities differ in terms of financial implications for both the retiring employee and their spouse?

Benefit Payout Options: Windstream offers several pension payout options, including Joint and 100% Survivor Annuity, Joint and 50% Survivor Annuity, and a 10-Year Certain and Life Annuity. These options differ in terms of the benefit reduction applied to ensure payments continue for the life of the spouse, impacting both the retiree’s and the spouse’s financial planning(Windstream_Pension_Plan…).

How should Windstream employees approach the process of claiming pension benefits, especially if their claims have been denied? What recourse is available for employees who are facing issues with their pension claim and wish to understand their rights and the appeal process?

Claiming Pension Benefits and Denied Claims: If an employee's pension claim is denied, they will receive a written notice explaining the reasons for the denial and the specific plan provisions involved. Employees may appeal the decision within 60 days, and the appeal process must be completed within 60 days of the request, with the right to file a civil lawsuit if necessary(Windstream_Pension_Plan…).

Given the frozen status of the Windstream Pension Plan, what should employees understand about their service years and how these years contribute to their pension benefits? How does Windstream communicate these rules to ensure clarity among its employees?

Service Years and Frozen Status: Since the Windstream Pension Plan is frozen, no additional benefits accrue after December 31, 2007. However, employees continue to earn years of service, which count toward eligibility for early retirement and vesting. Windstream provides clear communication through its summary plan description and resources to ensure employees understand these rules(Windstream_Pension_Plan…).

What strategies can Windstream employees employ to maximize their pension benefits and ensure they are making informed decisions about their retirement? How does Windstream support its employees in accessing the necessary resources and information to facilitate effective retirement planning?

Maximizing Pension Benefits: Employees are encouraged to consider their timing of retirement carefully, as delaying retirement closer to the normal retirement age of 65 reduces benefit reductions. Windstream supports retirement planning through its pension resources and access to Merrill Service Representatives who can assist with planning tools(Windstream_Pension_Plan…).

How does Windstream ensure that employees are aware of their obligations under the plan regarding the filing of claims and maintaining updated personal information? What measures does the company take to keep communication channels open for any inquiries or updates employees might need?

Maintaining Updated Information: Windstream emphasizes the importance of keeping personal information up to date, including changes to contact information. Employees are responsible for filing claims in a timely manner, and failure to do so may result in delays or forfeiture of benefits(Windstream_Pension_Plan…).

In the event of the death of a vested Windstream employee, what benefits are guaranteed to eligible spouses under the plan, and how do survivors initiate the process for claiming these benefits? What steps should surviving spouses take to ensure they receive the necessary support and information from Windstream?

Survivor Benefits and Claim Process: In the event of the death of a vested employee, the spouse is entitled to receive a pre-retirement survivor annuity, which may start on or after the employee’s earliest retirement age. The spouse must contact Windstream to initiate the claim process and may receive a lump sum if the benefit’s present value is below certain thresholds(Windstream_Pension_Plan…).

How can Windstream employees reach out to the companyâ€™s Benefits Committee or Plan Administrator for detailed inquiries about their pension benefits? What contact methods are available, and what information should employees prepare to facilitate effective communication regarding their pension inquiries? These questions will help employees navigate the complexities of the Windstream Pension Plan and ensure they are well-informed as they approach retirement.

Reaching the Benefits Committee: Windstream employees can contact the Benefits Committee or Plan Administrator at Windstream Services, LLC in Little Rock, Arkansas, or via the Merrill Service Center at 1-800-228-4015. Employees should have relevant information, such as personal and employment details, ready to facilitate efficient communication(Windstream_Pension_Plan…).