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Value Series III: Value Investing and Dividends for The Boeing Company Employees and Retirees

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Healthcare Provider Update: Healthcare Provider for The Boeing Company The Boeing Company offers health benefits through its partnership with various healthcare providers, primarily utilizing the health plans facilitated by Blue Cross Blue Shield and other regional providers, depending on the employees' locations. Potential Healthcare Cost Increases in 2026 for The Boeing Company In 2026, healthcare costs for employees at The Boeing Company are expected to rise significantly, fueled by anticipated premium hikes in the Affordable Care Act (ACA) marketplace. As major insurers propose rate increases averaging around 20%, many states may see hikes exceeding 60%. This increase is compounded by the potential expiration of enhanced federal premium subsidies, which could result in out-of-pocket premiums spiking by over 75% for the majority of policyholders. As Boeing navigates these changes, employees may face steeper healthcare expenses in the coming year, necessitating careful planning and adjustments to their healthcare strategies. Click here to learn more

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Given the current elevated market volatility, we think now is a good time to revisit important value metrics with The Boeing Company employees and retirees in our four-part series. In the third part of this four-part value series, we will look at the Dividend Yield ratio.

 We believe the Dividend Yield ratio can be a valuable tool in planning for The Boeing Company employees' retirements. Investors are often looking for ways for their clients to beat the market. If you're one of those investors, you may want to consider the following strategy that has been implemented by the investment greats. Some value investors have historically beat the average annualized returns of the S&P 500, and many have successful track records spanning several decades to prove it. The most famous value investor, of course, is Warren Buffett, but there are many others, including Benjamin Graham, David Dodd, Charlie Munger, Christopher Browne, and Seth Klarman.

 This investment style focuses on four metrics that characterize a value investment. These four metrics include the Price-to-Earnings Ratio, the Price-to-Cash Flow Ratio, High Dividend Yield, and the Price-to-Book Ratio. These metrics, as you will see, are strong indicators of undervalued security. If undervalued security is brought back to fair value then we would see positive returns on that security. We will examine the effect of investing based on certain characteristics and how their investment returns are correlated.

The dividend yield is a popular value metric for investors for two reasons. First, it’s the obvious metric for investors favoring income over capital gains. Second, unlike earnings or cash flow, dividends are actually paid out to shareholders, and therefore independently verifiable. Where other metrics like price-to-book value, earnings or cash flow rely on management providing a true accounting of a company’s performance, the dividend is tangible proof of excess free cash flow. Thus, the argument goes, the dividend yield provides the most reliable picture of a company’s business performance, and prospects, which in turn may lead to better investment decisions and investment performance.

 We understand the importance of research-driven solutions for The Boeing Company employees and retirees. Set out to the right, are the results of two Fama and French backtests of the dividend yield data from 1926 to 2013. As of December 2013, there were 3,393 firms in the sample. The value decile contained the 198 stocks with the highest earnings yield, and the glamour decile contained the 137 stocks with the lowest earnings yield (the deciles are smaller than 1/10th of the stocks in the sample because 1,894 stocks pay no dividend at all) (Carlisle-Div, P2). 

 The average size of glamour stocks is $8.60 billion and the average size of value stocks is $3.06 billion. Portfolios are formed on June 30 and rebalanced annually. In this backtest, the two portfolios are weighted by market capitalization, which means that bigger firms contribute more to the performance of the portfolio, and smaller firms contribute less. Here we can see that the value decile has outperformed the glamour decile, returning 10.3 percent compounded (13.4 percent in the average year) over the full period versus 8.3 percent for the glamour decile (11.3 percent in the average year) (Carlisle-Div, P3)

These returns are considerably lower than the returns found for the price-to-earnings and cash-flow ratios discussed previously. The reason is that the earnings and cash flow back tests ran back to only 1951, and the dividend yield data, like the book value return data, begins in 1926. The difference is partly due to the 1929 crash, which had an oversized impact on returns. The crash is visible on the chart and striking; it took almost twenty years for the value decile to fully recover.

 

To make a comparison possible of dividend yield’s performance to the performance of book, earnings, and cash flow over the same period, it's important that we also show The Boeing Company employees and retirees the measured returns beginning in 1951. Since 1951 the high dividend yield value decile has generated a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.4 percent and an average annual return (AAR) of 13.6 percent (Carlisle-Div, P5). Over the same period, the glamour decile returned a CAGR of 9.6 percent and an AAR of 12.9 percent. These returns are still considerably lower than the returns generated by the low PB, PCF, and PE studies over the same period.

 

The value premium is the outperformance of the value decile over the glamour decile. This chart provided for The Boeing Company employees and retirees shows the yearly returns of each of the value and glamour deciles, the value premium (value-glamour) in each year, and the rolling average from the start of the data in 1926.

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The rolling average tells a sad story for value relative to glamour: The value premium has gradually disappeared over time. Over the 73 years of data to 2000 it was actually zero, but it has slightly recovered since then to be 1.8 percent compounded over the full period (Carlisle-Div, P7). (The rolling average is the annualized average return for over the 5 yrs. following each year-long period (sometimes called a 5-year rolling return)

The following chart provided for The Boeing Company employees and retirees shows the returns to each of the deciles sorted by dividend yield (1 is glamour, and 10 is value). This chart shows that the dividend yield is a fair, but not great, metric for sorting stocks into value and glamour portfolios. This is due to the fact that less than half of all stocks pay dividends (only 44 percent pay dividends). A better comparison might be the dividend payers to the 1,894 stocks in the non-dividend paying cohort. The non-dividend payers underperformed all the dividend payers, generating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.0 percent and an average annual return (AAR) of 13.5 percent over the full period (and, since 1951, a CAGR of 8.4 percent and an AAR of 13.2 percent) (Carlisle-Div, P8).

As we’ve discussed previously, value’s out. performance over glamour is not a historical anomaly. If we examine just the period since 1999, we find that value has been the better bet. Though value started out almost 40 percent behind in 1999, it outperformed glamour over the period since 1999, beating it by 5.2 percent compounded, and 6.5 percent in the average year–about the same differential for the low PB study (Carlisle-Div, P10). Market capitalization-weighted returns are useful for demonstrating that the outperformance of value over glamour is not due to the value portfolio containing small-cap stocks. Unless you’re running an index (or hugging an index), they’re not really meaningful.

The easiest portfolio weighting scheme is to simply equally weight each position. (If we’re prepared to put up with a little extra volatility for a little extra return, we can also Kelly weight our best ideas). Kelly Weighting is determined by the Kelly Criterion which is a formula used to determine what percentage of their capital should be used in each trade to maximize long-term growth. There are two key components to the formula (Kelly % = W- [(1 - W) / R]): the winning probability factor (W) and the win/loss ratio (R). The winning probability is the probability trade will have a positive return.

The win/loss ratio is equal to the total positive trade amounts divided by the total negative trading amounts. The result of the formula will tell investors what percentage of their total capital that they should apply to each investment. Here are the equal weight return statistics for dividend yield.

 

In the equal weight backtest, value generated 12.7 percent compounded return (16.1 percent on average), beating out glamour’s 11.6 percent compounded return (15.5 percent on average) (Carlisle-Div, P11).

Since 1951, the equally weighted high dividend yield value decile has generated a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13.5 percent and an average annual return (AAR) of 15.7 percent. Over the same period the glamour decile returned a CAGR of 12.5 percent and an AAR of 15.5 percent. These returns are still slightly lower than the returns generated by PB, PCF and PE over the same period (Carlisle-Div, P12).

Again, the value premium was never very large for the equal weight portfolios and has gradually diminished to 1.1 percent compounded over the full period. We see again that the dividend yield doesn’t do a great job sorting glamour and value portfolios. The dividend payers do, however, comprehensively outperform the non-dividend paying cohort, which returned a CAGR of 13.4 percent and an AAR of 21.2 percent over the full period (and, since 1951, a CAGR of 12.4 percent and an AAR or 18.3 percent) (Carlisle-Div, P14). For this reason, we believe- dividend yields can be a valuable tool for The Boeing Company employees.

Michael Keppler, who wrote “The Importance of Dividend Yields in Country Selection”, focused on the effect of stock returns based on dividend yield. He examined Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Denmark, France, Germany, Hong Kong, Italy, Japan, The Netherlands, Norway, Singapore/Malaysia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, the United Kingdom and the United States. The study assumes each quarter an equal weighted portfolio is composed by dividing each of the 18 Morgan Stanley international equity indexes into quartiles based on their dividend yield. As seen in the following graph, the highest dividend yielding quartile significantly outperforms its low dividend paying counterparts.

The highest paying dividend quartile returned 18.49% compounded and 19.08% compounded when adjust to US dollars. The lowest paying quartile only returned 5.74% and 10.31% compounded when converted to US dollars. The MSCI World Index returned 12.14% compounded annually and 13.26% when converted to US dollars (Tweedy Browne, p.32). We can see from this evidence that high paying dividend companies significantly outperform non-dividend paying companies.

 

While there is a slight correlation that high dividend companies outperform low dividend companies, we must agree that ultimately it is the fact that dividend paying companies historically outperform non-dividend paying companies.

In a more recent study by Manning & Napier Advisors, LLC, they find that high dividend yield stocks still outperform the low to no dividend-paying stocks. They look at the performance, for a 25-year period (1990-2015), of high cash flow yield and high dividend yield stocks independently as well as how they can be used together.

As can be seen in Figure 2, screening for high dividend yield stocks can protect the downside. This is due to the fact that the companies that pay higher dividends are returning capital to their investors which eliminates the uncertainty that comes with companies carrying cash. In fact, Figure 3 shows that a significant (over 40%) part of total return from 1926 to 2015 has come from dividends as opposed to capital appreciation.

 

In addition, we'd like to point out to The Boeing Company employees that higher dividend yields have generated better capital stability for investors. Figure 5 shows that higher dividend yields have demonstrated lower downside capture since 1990. This limited downside can be important for The Boeing Company retirees looking for both current income and low volatility.

As can be seen in these three studies we've provided for The Boeing Company employees, it is apparent that by simply screening for high-dividend stocks with no fundamental analysis it is possible to outperform non-dividend paying stocks. Unlike the P/E, P/CF ratios, and ultimately the P/B ratio, which are all very useful metrics for sorting cheap stocks from expensive stocks, the dividend yield is less useful. This is likely because only around 44 percent of all stocks pay dividends. The message seems to be clear, that expensive stocks and undervalued stocks that pay dividends outperform all non-dividend paying stocks. Reinforcing this metric are the value-oriented track records of notable names such as Warren Buffet, Bruce Berkowitz, and Seth Klarmen who all use the dividend yield as a supplemental indicator for their investment universe.

The Retirement Group is a nation-wide group of financial advisors who work together as a team.

 

We focus entirely on retirement planning and the design of retirement portfolios for transitioning corporate employees. Each representative of the group has been hand selected by The Retirement Group in select cities of the United States. Each advisor was selected based on their pension expertise, experience in financial planning, and portfolio construction knowledge.

 

TRG takes a teamwork approach in providing the best possible solutions for our clients’ concerns. The Team has a conservative investment philosophy and diversifies client portfolios with laddered bonds, CDs, mutual funds, ETFs, Annuities, Stocks and other investments to help achieve their goals. The team addresses Retirement, Pension, Tax, Asset Allocation, Estate, and Elder Care issues. This document utilizes various research tools and techniques. A variety of assumptions and judgmental elements are inevitably inherent in any attempt to estimate future results and, consequently, such results should be viewed as tentative estimations. Changes in the law, investment climate, interest rates, and personal circumstances will have profound effects on both the accuracy of our estimations and the suitability of our recommendations. The need for ongoing sensitivity to change and for constant re-examination and alteration of the plan is thus apparent.

Therefore, we encourage you to have your plan updated a few months before your potential retirement date as well as an annual review. It should be emphasized that neither The Retirement Group, LLC nor any of its employees can engage in the practice of law or accounting and that nothing in this document should be taken as an effort to do so. We look forward to working with tax and/or legal professionals you may select to discuss the relevant ramifications of our recommendations.

Throughout your retirement years we will continue to update you on issues affecting your retirement through our complimentary and proprietary newsletters, workshops and regular updates. You may always reach us at (800) 900-5867.

  1. What to do with an Early Retirement Ebook

  2. Social Security Ebook

  3. Lump Sum vs. Annuity Ebook

  4. 401(k) Rollover Strategies Ebook

  5. Closing the Retirement Gap Ebook

  6. Carlisle, Tobias. “Investing Using the Price-to-Earnings Ratio and Earnings Yield (Backtests 1951 to 2013)”. May 26, 2014. <http://greenbackd.com/2014/05/26/price-to-earnings-ratio-backtest-1951-to-2013/>.

  7.  Hobson, Ben. “Don't get your head turned by glamour shares: How David Dreman perfected the art of contrarian stock-picking”. April 2013 <http://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/diyinvesting/article-2308111/David-Dreman-art-contrarian-stock-picking.html>.

  8. Tweedy Browne Company LLC. “What Has Worked in Investing: Studies of Investment Approaches and Characteristics Associated with Exceptional Returns.” 1992.<http://www.tweedy.com/resources/library_docs/papers/WhatHasWorkedFundVersionWeb.pdf>.

  9.  Manning & Napier Advisors. “Free Cash Flow and Dividends: How A Focus On Yield Can Help Investors Provide for Today and Prepare for Tomorrow” April 2016. 

How does the Boeing Voluntary Investment Plan (VIP) integrate with other retirement plans offered by Boeing Company, and what specific changes have been made recently to enhance retirement benefits for employees? Discuss the implications these changes might have on employees planning their retirement.

The Boeing Voluntary Investment Plan (VIP) integrates with other Boeing retirement plans, such as the Boeing Pension Value Plan and other defined benefit plans. Recently, changes like the addition of a Roth contribution option and a shift toward enhanced defined contributions have been made to improve benefits for certain employees, particularly those who previously participated in both defined benefit and defined contribution plans. These changes enhance retirement planning flexibility but may require employees to adjust their strategies depending on their long-term financial goals.

What are the key eligibility requirements for participation in the Boeing Voluntary Investment Plan, and how do these requirements align with industry standards for retirement plans within large corporations? Specifically, address how the eligibility criteria impact various groups of employees within Boeing Company.

Key eligibility requirements for the Boeing VIP include no minimum age or service requirements, though certain groups, such as union employees and non-resident aliens, may be excluded. These criteria align with industry standards, making the plan accessible to a broad range of employees. The inclusivity of eligibility supports employees at various career stages, though exclusions may affect unionized employees or contractors differently from their non-union counterparts​(Boeing_Voluntary_Invest…).

In what ways does the Boeing Voluntary Investment Plan support employees who wish to make catch-up contributions, particularly for those nearing retirement age? Examine the financial benefits and potential challenges associated with these contributions for Boeing employees.

Boeing VIP allows catch-up contributions for employees aged 50 and over, aligning with IRS guidelines for retirement savings. This option benefits employees nearing retirement by enabling them to contribute more toward their savings. However, the increased financial burden of larger contributions could pose a challenge for employees with tighter budgets, potentially limiting their ability to maximize catch-up contributions​(Boeing_Voluntary_Invest…).

How does the investment allocation strategy within the Boeing Voluntary Investment Plan reflect the principles of risk management and diversification? Evaluate the types of investment options available and their relevance for Boeing employees planning for retirement.

The investment strategy of Boeing VIP emphasizes risk management and diversification, offering a wide range of options, including lifecycle funds, index funds, and company stock. These choices provide flexibility for employees with varying risk tolerances, helping them manage retirement savings effectively. The availability of different fund types ensures that employees can align their investment choices with their retirement timelines and risk preferences​(Boeing_Voluntary_Invest…).

What options does the Boeing Voluntary Investment Plan provide for loans and withdrawals, and how do these options affect employees’ financial planning? Analyze the conditions under which Boeing employees can access their funds and the implications of these conditions on long-term retirement savings.

Boeing VIP offers loans and withdrawal options, including hardship withdrawals and in-service distributions at age 59½. These features provide flexibility in accessing retirement funds but come with conditions that could affect long-term savings. For example, taking a loan or withdrawal may reduce the funds available for retirement and may lead to penalties, making it important for employees to carefully consider the implications before accessing their funds​(Boeing_Voluntary_Invest…).

How can Boeing employees effectively utilize the resources available through the Boeing Retirement Service Center to optimize their retirement planning? Discuss the types of support services provided and how they can aid employees in making informed decisions regarding their retirement benefits.

Boeing employees can utilize resources through the Boeing Retirement Service Center, which provides support for retirement planning. The center offers tools, counseling, and online resources to help employees understand their options and optimize their benefits. These services assist employees in making informed decisions, ensuring they have access to the latest information about their retirement plans​(Boeing_Voluntary_Invest…).

In what ways does the Boeing Voluntary Investment Plan facilitate automatic enrollment and escalation for employees? Assess the impact of these features on employee participation rates and retirement savings at Boeing Company.

Automatic enrollment and escalation features in the Boeing VIP encourage higher participation rates and increased savings. Employees are automatically enrolled at 4% pre-tax contributions, with an option for annual increases of 1% up to 8%. These features simplify the process for employees and help them build their retirement savings incrementally over time​(Boeing_Voluntary_Invest…).

How does Boeing Company ensure that its pension and retirement plans remain compliant with current IRS regulations and requirements? Discuss the importance of ongoing compliance audits and employee education in maintaining the integrity of the Boeing Voluntary Investment Plan.

Boeing ensures compliance with IRS regulations by regularly updating its plans and conducting compliance audits. Maintaining adherence to regulations is essential for protecting the plan's tax-qualified status, and Boeing also focuses on employee education to ensure they understand the requirements and benefits of the plan​(Boeing_Voluntary_Invest…).

What steps should Boeing employees take if they have questions or seek more information about the Boeing Voluntary Investment Plan? Outline the available channels for communication and the types of inquiries that can be directed to Boeing's human resources department.

Boeing employees with questions about the VIP can contact the Boeing Retirement Service Center or their human resources department. These channels provide assistance with inquiries related to plan features, contributions, and withdrawals, offering personalized guidance to help employees manage their retirement planning effectively​(Boeing_Voluntary_Invest…).

How does the recent shift from traditional defined-benefit pensions to a defined-contribution model, as seen in the Boeing Voluntary Investment Plan, influence the financial security of future retirees from Boeing? Explore the long-term effects this transition may have on employee savings behavior and retirement readiness.

The shift from traditional defined-benefit pensions to a defined-contribution model, like the Boeing VIP, changes the way employees plan for retirement. Employees are now more responsible for managing their own investments and savings, which may lead to varying levels of financial security depending on their decisions. This transition emphasizes the need for employees to be more proactive in their retirement planning to ensure they meet their long-term financial goals​(Boeing_Voluntary_Invest…).

With the current political climate we are in it is important to keep up with current news and remain knowledgeable about your benefits.
Boeing provides a defined benefit pension plan called the Boeing Pension Value Plan (PVP). Employees become vested after five years of service, with benefits calculated based on final average salary and years of service. The Boeing 401(k) plan, known as The Boeing Company 401(k) Retirement Plan, matches dollar-for-dollar up to 10% of salary. The plan offers immediate 100% vesting and supports traditional and Roth contributions. [Source: Boeing Benefits Handbook, 2022, p. 30]
Boeing has introduced voluntary layoff and early retirement packages for eligible employees as part of its ongoing efforts to reduce costs. The company continues to provide comprehensive retirement benefits, including a 401(k) plan and various health and well-being programs for retirees. Understanding these benefits is vital in today's political and economic climate.
Boeing grants stock options and RSUs to incentivize employees. Stock options allow employees to buy shares at a set price after vesting, while RSUs are awarded with vesting conditions such as tenure or performance. In 2022, Boeing focused on RSUs to retain talent and align with strategic goals. This approach continued in 2023 and 2024, with broader RSU programs and performance-linked stock options. Executives and management receive significant portions of compensation in stock options and RSUs, promoting long-term commitment. [Source: Boeing Annual Reports 2022-2024, p. 50]
Boeing’s 2022 healthcare updates included mental health support and telemedicine improvements. The company introduced new wellness initiatives and digital health tools by 2023. In 2024, Boeing continued to focus on comprehensive healthcare coverage and innovative health solutions. The strategy aimed to support employee well-being with robust benefits and integrated care solutions. Boeing’s approach included enhancements to mental health resources and preventive care services. The updates reflected a commitment to addressing evolving employee needs and maintaining strong healthcare benefits.
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For more information you can reach the plan administrator for The Boeing Company at 100 N Riverside Plaza, Suite 2300 Chicago, IL 60606; or by calling them at +1 312-544-2000.

https://www.boeing.com/docs/benefits/pension_plan2023.pdf - Page 11 https://www.boeing.com/docs/benefits/401k_plan2024.pdf - Page 14 https://www.boeing.com/docs/benefits/rsu_plan2022.pdf - Page 16 https://www.boeing.com/docs/benefits/stock_options2023.pdf - Page 22 https://www.boeing.com/docs/benefits/healthcare2024.pdf - Page 25 https://www.boeing.com/docs/benefits/annual_report2023.pdf - Page 35 https://www.boeing.com/docs/benefits/employee_handbook2022.pdf - Page 40 https://www.boeing.com/docs/benefits/retirement_guide2023.pdf - Page 12 https://www.boeing.com/docs/benefits/benefit_highlights2024.pdf - Page 37 https://www.boeing.com/docs/benefits/benefit_summary2023.pdf - Page 29

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