Understanding the Yield Curve: What It Means for Calumet Specialty Products Partners Employees and Your Retirement Planning

Healthcare Provider Update: Healthcare Provider for Calumet Specialty Products Partners Calumet Specialty Products Partners typically offers health insurance through major national providers including UnitedHealthcare and Anthem Blue Cross Blue Shield. They provide a range of health plans designed to meet the needs of their employees, including options that align with the Affordable Care Act (ACA) guidelines. Brief Overview of Potential Healthcare Cost Increases in 2026 As Calumet Specialty Products Partners faces potential healthcare cost increases in 2026, employees may encounter significant challenges stemming from the anticipated hikes in ACA premiums. With projections indicating national average increases of around 18%-and in some states, jumps exceeding 60%-the convergence of expiring federal subsidies and rising medical costs could lead to out-of-pocket premium costs escalating by as much as 75% for many. Key factors driving these increases include ongoing inflation in medical services, high-cost specialty drugs, and the broader impacts of regulatory changes that are set to reshape the healthcare landscape. As a result, proactive financial planning will be essential for those wishing to mitigate the impact of these rising costs. Click here to learn more

As a Calumet Specialty Products Partners employee or retiree, you may have recently seen some headlines talking about an 'inverted yield curve' and what it may mean for the economy. An inverted yield curve is just one indicator of the economy's possible direction, and putting these headlines into context is valuable to those affiliated with Calumet Specialty Products Partners.

First, what is the yield curve, and what does it show? The yield curve is a graphical representation of interest rates (yields) paid out by US Treasury bonds. A normal yield curve shows increasingly higher yields for longer-dated bonds, creating an upward swing. An inverted curve has a downward slope, indicating that shorter-dated bonds yield more than longer-dated bonds, which isn't typical. As a Calumet Specialty Products Partners employee, being able to distinguish between these yield curves is important as it will allow better comprehension of interest rates paid out by U.S Treasury bonds.

Does an inverted yield curve mean we’re headed for a recession? Based on the historical track record of this indicator, yes, an inverted yield suggests a recession may be coming. As a Calumet Specialty Products Partners employee, it might be advantageous to do some financial planning to be fully prepared for unexpected events. Since 1976, a recession has followed an inverted curve every time. However, there are some important caveats that you, as a Calumet Specialty Products Partners employee, might benefit from reading here:

An inverted yield curve needs to remain inverted to be considered an indicator. It’s normal for markets to fluctuate as conditions and investor sentiment ebb and flow. But, according to the experts, for an inverted curve to be a recession indicator it needs to stay inverted for a month or more, historically. As a Calumet Specialty Products Partners employee, it is imperative to keep track of indicators and their trends as to be better versed in current market situations.

Source: PGIM

As a Calumet Specialty Products Partners employee it is also worthy to consider how recessions aren’t instantaneous. An inverted yield curve doesn’t mean a recession is just around the corner. Since 1976, the average time between an inverted yield curve and an official recession has been around 18 months; the longest was nearly three years. That’s plenty of time to prepare for what's to come, especially for those living in Texas!

As a Calumet Specialty Products Partners employee, It’s also worthy to note how an inverted yield curve doesn’t cause a recession. The yield curve reflects bond market sentiment – it doesn’t drive it. The yield curve inverts when bond market investors feel like something may be up and, in response, favor shorter-term bonds over longer-term ones. For a Calumet Specialty Products Partners employee, keeping track of bond market sentiment and the yield curve's response to changes in market is beneficial as it promotes better understanding of future market movements.

Featured Video

Articles you may find interesting:

It’s a deceptive signal for your portfolio. An inverted yield curve doesn’t mean it’s time to sell! Historically, the market continues to advance following an inverted yield curve, gaining an average of 11.5% real return (net of inflation) since 1976. As a Calumet Specialty Products Partners employee, it is important to not let one indicator spook you!

The takeaway here is that while an inverted yield curve may be unnerving, it’s by no means cause to panic. For fortune 500 employees, it’s an opportunity to assess your specific situation. Our team of retirement-focused advisors are closely monitoring the economic conditions and will proactively alert you should we feel action needs to be taken. In the meantime, feel free to call us if you have any questions or concerns.