Understanding the Yield Curve: What It Means for Colgate-Palmolive Employees and Your Retirement Planning

Healthcare Provider Update: Colgate-Palmolive Healthcare Provider Overview Colgate-Palmolive offers its employees access to healthcare services through various providers, primarily utilizing national insurance carriers such as UnitedHealthcare and Aetna. These partnerships ensure comprehensive coverage for employees across their diverse health needs, including medical, dental, and vision care. Potential Healthcare Cost Increases for Colgate-Palmolive in 2026 In 2026, Colgate-Palmolive employees may face significant healthcare cost increases due to sharp rises in Affordable Care Act (ACA) premiums. As a result of factors such as the anticipated expiration of enhanced federal premium subsidies and accelerated medical inflation, many marketplace enrollees could see their out-of-pocket premiums rise by over 75%. These developments create a financial pressure point for employees, particularly for those considering early retirement, as they will need to account for escalating healthcare expenses in their financial planning. With states like New York expecting premium hikes of up to 66%, careful evaluation of healthcare options will be essential for maintaining financial stability. Click here to learn more

As a Colgate-Palmolive employee or retiree, you may have recently seen some headlines talking about an 'inverted yield curve' and what it may mean for the economy. An inverted yield curve is just one indicator of the economy's possible direction, and putting these headlines into context is valuable to those affiliated with Colgate-Palmolive.

First, what is the yield curve, and what does it show? The yield curve is a graphical representation of interest rates (yields) paid out by US Treasury bonds. A normal yield curve shows increasingly higher yields for longer-dated bonds, creating an upward swing. An inverted curve has a downward slope, indicating that shorter-dated bonds yield more than longer-dated bonds, which isn't typical. As a Colgate-Palmolive employee, being able to distinguish between these yield curves is important as it will allow better comprehension of interest rates paid out by U.S Treasury bonds.

Does an inverted yield curve mean we’re headed for a recession? Based on the historical track record of this indicator, yes, an inverted yield suggests a recession may be coming. As a Colgate-Palmolive employee, it might be advantageous to do some financial planning to be fully prepared for unexpected events. Since 1976, a recession has followed an inverted curve every time. However, there are some important caveats that you, as a Colgate-Palmolive employee, might benefit from reading here:

An inverted yield curve needs to remain inverted to be considered an indicator. It’s normal for markets to fluctuate as conditions and investor sentiment ebb and flow. But, according to the experts, for an inverted curve to be a recession indicator it needs to stay inverted for a month or more, historically. As a Colgate-Palmolive employee, it is imperative to keep track of indicators and their trends as to be better versed in current market situations.

Source: PGIM

As a Colgate-Palmolive employee it is also worthy to consider how recessions aren’t instantaneous. An inverted yield curve doesn’t mean a recession is just around the corner. Since 1976, the average time between an inverted yield curve and an official recession has been around 18 months; the longest was nearly three years. That’s plenty of time to prepare for what's to come, especially for those living in Texas!

As a Colgate-Palmolive employee, It’s also worthy to note how an inverted yield curve doesn’t cause a recession. The yield curve reflects bond market sentiment – it doesn’t drive it. The yield curve inverts when bond market investors feel like something may be up and, in response, favor shorter-term bonds over longer-term ones. For a Colgate-Palmolive employee, keeping track of bond market sentiment and the yield curve's response to changes in market is beneficial as it promotes better understanding of future market movements.

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It’s a deceptive signal for your portfolio. An inverted yield curve doesn’t mean it’s time to sell! Historically, the market continues to advance following an inverted yield curve, gaining an average of 11.5% real return (net of inflation) since 1976. As a Colgate-Palmolive employee, it is important to not let one indicator spook you!

The takeaway here is that while an inverted yield curve may be unnerving, it’s by no means cause to panic. For fortune 500 employees, it’s an opportunity to assess your specific situation. Our team of retirement-focused advisors are closely monitoring the economic conditions and will proactively alert you should we feel action needs to be taken. In the meantime, feel free to call us if you have any questions or concerns.