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'CME Group employees should recognize that recent rate shifts underscore the importance of regularly reviewing retirement cash flow plans and adapting to evolving economic conditions, rather than waiting for perfect data to act.' — Michael Corgiat, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.
'With the Federal Reserve adjusting rates despite limited economic data, CME Group employees should view this as a reminder to stay proactive and flexible in planning long-term retirement income strategies.' — Brent Wolf, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.
In this article, we will discuss:
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How recent Federal Reserve decisions could impact retirement and investment planning.
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The effects of interest rate cuts and balance sheet policy changes on borrowing, savings, and markets.
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How The Retirement Group can assist with navigating these economic developments.
Important Takeaways
The Federal Reserve lowered the federal funds rate by 25 basis points at its most recent October meeting, even though the federal government shutdown caused delays in releasing key economic data. This development may be particularly relevant for CME Group employees who monitor economic trends for retirement and investment planning.
The benchmark federal funds rate was reduced to its lowest level since September 2022, and now ranges between 3.75% and 4.00%. 1
Along with the rate cut, the Federal Reserve announced it would end its quantitative tightening (QT), or balance sheet reduction process.
These policy shifts may affect savings rates, short-term borrowing costs, and overall market behaviour—factors that could influence retirement decisions for CME Group employees.
The Fed’s Decision Despite Limited Data
The Federal Reserve typically relies on government-issued economic data to support policy decisions. However, during the government shutdown, many federal reports—including updates on employment and payroll growth—were paused. A delayed Consumer Price Index (CPI) report showed ~3% inflation in September. But no new unemployment or payroll data was available after early September. 2
Despite limited data, the Fed acted based on viewpoints shared at its September meeting, when many members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) signalled further rate cuts before year-end, supported by prior trends.
Before the shutdown began, interest rate levels were considered “restrictive”—meaning high enough to slow economic activity—and earlier reports signalled weakening labor market conditions that could be meaningful to CME Group employees.
What the Rate Cut Means for Consumers and Investors
While the Federal Reserve controls short-term interest rates, it does not directly set rates for mortgages, bonds, or certificates of deposit (CDs).
Typical short-term effects of a rate cut can include:
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- Changes to prime rate-linked borrowing costs, such as adjustable rate mortgages, certain credit cards, and home equity lines of credit.
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- Lower returns on short-term fixed income vehicles, like money market funds, short-term Treasuries, and CDs.
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- Potential support for financial markets—particularly equities—depending on broader economic conditions, which may be relevant to CME Group retirement accounts or company stockholders.
Changes to the Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet Strategy
During the COVID-19 pandemic, the Federal Reserve used quantitative easing (QE) to aid markets by purchasing large quantities of Treasury and mortgage-backed securities.
In 2022, the Fed shifted to quantitative tightening (QT), reducing its holdings primarily by not reinvesting maturing securities.
At its latest meeting, the Fed announced it would fully end QT rather than simply slow it.
Although these balance sheet adjustments may not be immediately obvious in day-to-day life, they can affect liquidity in the financial system and lending conditions, which may indirectly influence CME Group employees.
How The Retirement Group Can Assist
Understanding how interest rate cuts, inflation trends, and Federal Reserve policy affect your retirement savings can be challenging. The Retirement Group can help you review how these economic shifts may relate to pension options, investment income planning, and retirement strategies tailored to your situation. For help, you can reach us at (800) 900-5867.
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Sources:
1. nerdwallet. ' Fed Rate Drops for Second Time in 2025 ,' by Cara Smith. 21 Nov. 2025.
2. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. ' Consumer Price Index ,' 24 Oct. 2025.
Other Resources:
1. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. “Federal Reserve Issues FOMC Statement.” FederalReserve.gov, 29 Oct. 2025, https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20251029a.htm .
2. Schneider, Howard. “Fed Lowers Rates, but Powell Suggests Move May Be the Last of 2025.” Reuters, 29 Oct. 2025, https://www.reuters.com/business/fed-in-fog-it-heads-toward-another-rate-cut-2025-10-29/ .
3. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. “September 2025 CPI Release Rescheduled.” BLS.gov, 10 Oct. 2025, https://www.bls.gov/bls/092025-cpi-reschedule-notice.htm .
4. Ackerman, Andrew. “Consumer Prices in September Rise to a Pace Not Seen Since January.” The Washington Post, 24 Oct. 2025, https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2025/10/24/delayed-inflation-report-tariffs/ .
5. Foster, Sarah. “6 Ways the Fed’s Interest Rate Decisions Impact Your Money.” Bankrate, 2025, https://www.bankrate.com/banking/federal-reserve/how-federal-reserve-impacts-your-money/
What is the CME Group 401(k) plan?
The CME Group 401(k) plan is a retirement savings plan that allows employees to save for their future by contributing a portion of their salary on a pre-tax or after-tax (Roth) basis.
How can I enroll in the CME Group 401(k) plan?
Employees can enroll in the CME Group 401(k) plan by accessing the benefits portal or contacting the HR department for enrollment instructions.
What is the employer match for the CME Group 401(k) plan?
CME Group offers an employer match on employee contributions, which is typically a percentage of the employee's contributions, subject to certain limits.
Are there any fees associated with the CME Group 401(k) plan?
Yes, the CME Group 401(k) plan may have administrative fees and investment-related fees, which are disclosed in the plan documents.
What investment options are available in the CME Group 401(k) plan?
The CME Group 401(k) plan offers a variety of investment options, including mutual funds, target-date funds, and other investment vehicles to help employees diversify their portfolios.
Can I change my contribution rate for the CME Group 401(k) plan?
Yes, employees can change their contribution rate for the CME Group 401(k) plan at any time by accessing the benefits portal.
What is the vesting schedule for CME Group's 401(k) employer match?
The vesting schedule for CME Group's 401(k) employer match typically follows a graded vesting schedule, which means employees earn ownership of the employer contributions over time.
Can I take a loan from my CME Group 401(k) plan?
Yes, employees may have the option to take a loan from their CME Group 401(k) plan, subject to specific terms and conditions outlined in the plan documents.
What happens to my CME Group 401(k) plan if I leave the company?
If you leave CME Group, you have several options for your 401(k) plan, including rolling it over to another retirement account, cashing it out, or leaving it in the CME Group plan if allowed.
How often can I change my investment allocations in the CME Group 401(k) plan?
Employees can typically change their investment allocations in the CME Group 401(k) plan at any time, though there may be restrictions on frequent trading.



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