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What Guess Employees Should Know About the Latest Fed Rate Cut

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'Guess employees should recognize that recent rate shifts underscore the importance of regularly reviewing retirement cash flow plans and adapting to evolving economic conditions, rather than waiting for perfect data to act.' — Michael Corgiat, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

'With the Federal Reserve adjusting rates despite limited economic data, Guess employees should view this as a reminder to stay proactive and flexible in planning long-term retirement income strategies.' — Brent Wolf, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

In this article, we will discuss:

How recent Federal Reserve decisions could impact retirement and investment planning.
The effects of interest rate cuts and balance sheet policy changes on borrowing, savings, and markets.
How The Retirement Group can assist with navigating these economic developments.

Important Takeaways

The Federal Reserve lowered the federal funds rate by 25 basis points at its most recent October meeting, even though the federal government shutdown caused delays in releasing key economic data. This development may be particularly relevant for Guess employees who monitor economic trends for retirement and investment planning.

The benchmark federal funds rate was reduced to its lowest level since September 2022, and now ranges between 3.75% and 4.00%. ¹

Along with the rate cut, the Federal Reserve announced it would end its quantitative tightening (QT), or balance sheet reduction process.

These policy shifts may affect savings rates, short-term borrowing costs, and overall market behaviour—factors that could influence retirement decisions for Guess employees.

The Fed’s Decision Despite Limited Data

The Federal Reserve typically relies on government-issued economic data to support policy decisions. However, during the government shutdown, many federal reports—including updates on employment and payroll growth—were paused. A delayed Consumer Price Index (CPI) report showed ~3% inflation in September. But no new unemployment or payroll data was available after early September. ²

Despite limited data, the Fed acted based on viewpoints shared at its September meeting, when many members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) signalled further rate cuts before year-end, supported by prior trends.

Before the shutdown began, interest rate levels were considered “restrictive”—meaning high enough to slow economic activity—and earlier reports signalled weakening labor market conditions that could be meaningful to Guess employees.

What the Rate Cut Means for Consumers and Investors

While the Federal Reserve controls short-term interest rates, it does not directly set rates for mortgages, bonds, or certificates of deposit (CDs).

Typical short-term effects of a rate cut can include:

- Changes to prime rate-linked borrowing costs, such as adjustable rate mortgages, certain credit cards, and home equity lines of credit.
- Lower returns on short-term fixed income vehicles, like money market funds, short-term Treasuries, and CDs.
- Potential support for financial markets—particularly equities—depending on broader economic conditions, which may be relevant to Guess retirement accounts or company stockholders.

Changes to the Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet Strategy

During the COVID-19 pandemic, the Federal Reserve used quantitative easing (QE) to aid markets by purchasing large quantities of Treasury and mortgage-backed securities.

In 2022, the Fed shifted to quantitative tightening (QT), reducing its holdings primarily by not reinvesting maturing securities.

At its latest meeting, the Fed announced it would fully end QT rather than simply slow it.

Although these balance sheet adjustments may not be immediately obvious in day-to-day life, they can affect liquidity in the financial system and lending conditions, which may indirectly influence Guess employees.

How The Retirement Group Can Assist

Understanding how interest rate cuts, inflation trends, and Federal Reserve policy affect your retirement savings can be challenging. The Retirement Group can help you review how these economic shifts may relate to pension options, investment income planning, and retirement strategies tailored to your situation. For help, you can reach us at (800) 900-5867.

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Sources:

1. nerdwallet. ' Fed Rate Drops for Second Time in 2025 ,' by Cara Smith. 21 Nov. 2025.

2. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. ' Consumer Price Index ,' 24 Oct. 2025.

Other Resources:

1. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. “Federal Reserve Issues FOMC Statement.” FederalReserve.gov, 29 Oct. 2025, https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20251029a.htm .

2. Schneider, Howard. “Fed Lowers Rates, but Powell Suggests Move May Be the Last of 2025.” Reuters, 29 Oct. 2025, https://www.reuters.com/business/fed-in-fog-it-heads-toward-another-rate-cut-2025-10-29/ .

3. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. “September 2025 CPI Release Rescheduled.” BLS.gov, 10 Oct. 2025, https://www.bls.gov/bls/092025-cpi-reschedule-notice.htm .

4. Ackerman, Andrew. “Consumer Prices in September Rise to a Pace Not Seen Since January.” The Washington Post, 24 Oct. 2025, https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2025/10/24/delayed-inflation-report-tariffs/ .

5. Foster, Sarah. “6 Ways the Fed’s Interest Rate Decisions Impact Your Money.” Bankrate, 2025, https://www.bankrate.com/banking/federal-reserve/how-federal-reserve-impacts-your-money/

What type of retirement savings plan does Guess offer to its employees?

Guess offers a 401(k) retirement savings plan to help employees save for their future.

Does Guess match employee contributions to the 401(k) plan?

Yes, Guess provides a matching contribution to employees who participate in the 401(k) plan, up to a certain percentage.

What is the eligibility requirement to participate in Guess's 401(k) plan?

Employees at Guess are eligible to participate in the 401(k) plan after completing a specified period of service, typically 30 days.

Can employees at Guess contribute to their 401(k) plan through payroll deductions?

Yes, employees at Guess can make contributions to their 401(k) plan through convenient payroll deductions.

What is the maximum contribution limit for the Guess 401(k) plan?

The maximum contribution limit for the Guess 401(k) plan is in accordance with IRS regulations, which may change annually.

Does Guess allow employees to take loans from their 401(k) accounts?

Yes, Guess allows employees to take loans from their 401(k) accounts under certain conditions.

What investment options are available in the Guess 401(k) plan?

The Guess 401(k) plan offers a variety of investment options, including mutual funds, stocks, and bonds.

How can employees at Guess access their 401(k) account information?

Employees at Guess can access their 401(k) account information through the plan's online portal or by contacting the plan administrator.

Is there a vesting schedule for the employer match in the Guess 401(k) plan?

Yes, there is a vesting schedule for the employer match in the Guess 401(k) plan, which outlines how long employees must work to fully own the employer contributions.

Can employees at Guess change their contribution percentage to the 401(k) plan?

Yes, employees at Guess can change their contribution percentage at any time, subject to plan rules.

With the current political climate we are in it is important to keep up with current news and remain knowledgeable about your benefits.

For Guess, Inc., the company's 401(k) plan is known as the "Guess, Inc. 401(k) Plan and Trust." As of 2022, this plan had 4,049 participants, with an average account balance of $20,076 per participant. The estimated average employee contribution in 2022 was $1,269. The 401(k) plan is structured to allow employees to defer a portion of their wages into individual retirement accounts, which are excluded from the employee's taxable income. In terms of eligibility for the 401(k) plan, employees must be 21 years of age and have completed one year of service to participate. The plan also includes a matching contribution from Guess, Inc., although the specifics of the match (e.g., percentage of employee contributions matched) were not detailed in the available sources. Regarding the pension plan, Guess, Inc. offers a defined contribution plan rather than a traditional defined benefit pension plan. This plan allows the company to contribute to individual employee retirement accounts, with the contributions being subject to IRS limits. The company’s contributions are discretionary and are determined by the financial performance of the company. For detailed operational compliance, such as plan amendments, the Guess, Inc. plan is governed by the SECURE 2.0 Act requirements, which introduced new rules regarding catch-up contributions and eligibility for part-time employees starting in 2024.

Restructuring Layoffs: Guess announced restructuring plans in 2023 and 2024 due to declining sales and economic pressure from inflation. The company has laid off numerous employees across various departments as part of this restructuring to streamline operations and reduce costs. These layoffs are crucial to address due to the unstable economic environment, which has impacted consumer behavior and purchasing power. With tax changes also coming into play, these layoffs allow Guess to preserve its financial stability and adapt to a fluctuating market

Company A offered stock options and RSUs to its senior executives and certain key employees. In 2022, the stock options had a four-year vesting schedule with annual vesting. The RSUs granted in 2023 were subject to performance-based criteria. (Source: 10-K Report, Page 42)

Guess has been actively enhancing its employee wellness and health benefits as part of its broader Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) strategy. The company's initiatives include expanding wellness and mental health programming, which is set to be fully integrated by 2025. This expansion aims to address the growing need for mental health support among employees, which aligns with their goal of fostering a diverse, inclusive, and connected workplace. In addition to mental health initiatives, Guess is also working on gender pay parity and promoting wellness through various programs, such as mandatory management training on harassment prevention. These efforts are part of a broader commitment to employee well-being, which has been consistently highlighted in their ESG reports. Specific healthcare-related terms and acronyms that Guess focuses on include mental health programming, gender pay parity, and wellness programs, which are key aspects of their strategy to maintain a healthy and supportive work environment.

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For more information you can reach the plan administrator for Guess at , ; or by calling them at .

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