Interest rates are a key driver of most financial assets. While most often referenced in relation to the bond market, rates are also a key input in traditional equity valuation models, which incorporate market interest rates to determine the appropriate rate to discount future cash flows. Interest rates are an essential element in bond pricing and the yield that investors require to own a particular fixed-income security. Since hitting an all-time low in 2020, interest rates increased in 2021 and have continued that climb higher thus far in 2022. This has put pressure on fixed incomes and certain areas of the equity market, which has led to stress in certain areas of the stock market, such as growth stocks, which can be sensitive to interest rate shocks. With that in mind, let’s examine why rates have been moving up, and whether this should be a cause for concern for Baker Hughes employees.
MORE AGGRESSIVE FEDERAL RESERVE
The Federal Reserve (Fed) has already raised interest rates by 75 basis points this year. A 25 basis point hike in March followed by a 50 basis point hike in May. The Fed is currently expected to hike rates by 50 basis points in both the June and July meetings and will continue to hike through the better part of 2022. With inflation running hot and the job market showing strength, the fact that the Fed is finally moving away from zero shows confidence in the health of the job market. But the speed with which interest rates are expected to go up underscores its concern about the soaring cost of living. Americans living in areas like California or New York will experience this policy shift through higher borrowing costs: No longer will it be insanely cheap to take out mortgages or car loans and this along with higher inflation may lead to less investment in the market and more spending on needs, which is a main reason for market volatility, and important for Baker Hughes employees and retirees to keep in mind.
INFLATION CONCERNS
Inflation is also a primary determinant of long-term interest rates. Rising inflation has the potential to eat away at fixed-income returns, so naturally, inflation expectations are a component of the yield that investors require to own fixed income. Put simply, inflation is a result of too much money chasing too few goods, and there are concerns that the increase in the level of money in circulation may lead to this. The extraordinary level of fiscal and monetary stimulus put in place to combat the economic damage of Coronavirus caused a significant increase in the M2 money supply. As a result, we are currently seeing this increase in the level of money in circulation translate to a pickup in consumer spending, but also elevated inflation.
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RISKS OF A RECESSION
Now that the pandemic has started to recede, the Fed has once again started to raise short-
term interest rates. This policy change has caused market volatility to spike for the three
major reasons to the right.
Today as the Fed begins to aggressively hike interest rates, market participants worry we may endure a period of high inflation alongside weakening economic growth — otherwise known as stagflation.
This environment is another example of why we believe in and suggest to our clients from Baker Hughes that staying diversified is the best way to insulate portfolios from being too exposed to one risk factor.
Economic Definitions
M2 Money Supply: The M2 Money Supply, also referred to as “M2” or “Money Stock,” measures the amount of currency in circulation. M2 includes M1 (physical cash and checkable deposits) as well as less liquid money, such as saving bank accounts.
What strategies can Baker McKenzie implement to enhance the understanding of how Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) factors can impact pension scheme investments among its employees, and what resources are available for them to access this knowledge within the company?
Enhancing ESG Understanding among Employees: Baker McKenzie can enhance understanding of ESG factors impacting pension investments by implementing comprehensive training programs and workshops dedicated to ESG topics. They can develop internal resources such as newsletters, dedicated intranet sections, and regular updates about ESG impacts and opportunities. Additionally, engaging employees through interactive seminars with ESG experts and providing access to online courses or subscriptions to ESG-focused publications can foster a deeper understanding and commitment.
How is Baker McKenzie addressing the evolving legal landscape regarding pension schemes in the UK and other jurisdictions, particularly concerning the integration of ESG considerations into their investment policies, and what implications does this have for employees contributing to these pension plans?
Addressing the Evolving Legal Landscape: Baker McKenzie addresses the evolving legal landscape regarding ESG integration into pension schemes by staying abreast of legislative changes across different jurisdictions, particularly in the UK. The firm can ensure compliance and adapt strategies by integrating ESG considerations into investment policies, which is increasingly codified in laws such as the UK's amendments to pension investment regulations. This approach helps protect employee contributions by aligning pension investments with broader, sustainable financial interests that consider long-term environmental and social impacts.
In what ways can Baker McKenzie support employees in understanding their retirement options, especially regarding the impact of ESG policies on their pension benefits and investment choices, and what role do these policies play in enhancing the sustainability of retirement plans?
Supporting Employee Understanding of Retirement Options: Baker McKenzie can support employees by providing clear, accessible information on how ESG policies influence pension benefits and investment choices. Hosting regular financial planning sessions, creating detailed FAQs on pension management websites, and offering one-on-one consultations with ESG-knowledgeable pension plan advisors can help employees make informed decisions. Additionally, explaining the sustainability of retirement plans through these policies can reassure employees about the long-term viability and ethical grounding of their investments.
How does Baker McKenzie monitor and assess the climate-related risks associated with its pension schemes, and what measures are being taken to ensure that employees' retirement savings are effectively protected against these potential threats?
Monitoring and Assessing Climate-Related Risks: To monitor and assess climate-related risks, Baker McKenzie can implement robust risk assessment frameworks that integrate climate risk into the overall risk management strategy for pension schemes. This includes regular reviews of investment portfolios for exposure to climate risks, adopting climate risk assessment tools, and engaging with investment managers to prioritize ESG-compliant investments. Periodic reporting on these activities helps maintain transparency and reassures employees about the safeguarding of their retirement savings.
What are the key differences between the fiduciary responsibilities of trustees in Baker McKenzie’s pension schemes in the UK compared to those in the US, and how do these differences reflect on the investment choices made on behalf of employees?
Differences in Fiduciary Responsibilities: The fiduciary responsibilities of trustees in Baker McKenzie’s pension schemes vary significantly between the UK and the US. In the UK, trustees are encouraged to consider ESG factors as financially material considerations, whereas in the US, recent regulatory changes have made it challenging to integrate ESG factors unless they directly relate to financial returns. These differences influence investment choices by aligning them more closely with regional legal frameworks and societal expectations.
How can Baker McKenzie’s employees actively participate in discussions regarding investment strategies that incorporate ESG factors, and what processes are in place to collect employee feedback on how these strategies align with their values and preferences?
Employee Participation in Investment Strategies: Baker McKenzie can facilitate employee participation in discussing investment strategies by setting up regular pension committee meetings that include employee representatives, conducting surveys to gather employee opinions on ESG matters, and establishing feedback mechanisms through internal communication platforms. This inclusive approach ensures that investment strategies align with employee values and preferences, fostering a sense of ownership and engagement with the firm’s pension strategy.
What information can Baker McKenzie provide regarding the performance of its pension schemes with respect to integrating ESG factors into investment decisions, and how can employees stay informed about the outcomes of these strategies?
Performance of ESG-integrated Investment Strategies: Baker McKenzie can keep employees informed about the performance of pension schemes with integrated ESG factors by publishing annual sustainability reports, including ESG performance in regular pension statements, and holding informational webinars. Transparently sharing successes and areas for improvement in ESG integration helps build trust and encourages continued employee investment in ESG-focused pension options.
Given the importance of transparency in pension management, how does Baker McKenzie plan to communicate with its employees about the governance and performance of its pension schemes, particularly in light of the growing emphasis on ESG accountability?
Communicating Governance and Performance: Transparency in pension management is crucial, and Baker McKenzie can enhance this by regularly updating employees through digital newsletters, detailed annual reports, and interactive Q&A sessions with pension managers. Focusing communications on the governance structures in place and the performance outcomes of pension schemes, especially concerning ESG accountability, ensures that employees are well-informed and confident in the management of their pensions.
How can employees at Baker McKenzie leverage the company's resources to better prepare for their retirement, especially in understanding the long-term impacts of the company’s current pension strategies on their future benefits?
Leveraging Company Resources for Retirement Preparation: Employees at Baker McKenzie can leverage company resources for retirement preparation by utilizing detailed planning tools offered by the firm, attending retirement planning workshops, and accessing personalized advice from financial advisors specializing in pension management. The company can also provide case studies illustrating the long-term benefits of various pension strategies, including those incorporating ESG considerations.
For employees who wish to learn more about Baker McKenzie’s pension plans and ESG initiatives, what is the best way to reach out to the company for more information, and what specific contact points are available to facilitate these inquiries?
Learning More about Pension Plans and ESG Initiatives: For employees interested in learning more about Baker McKenzie’s pension plans and ESG initiatives, the company should establish clear contact points such as dedicated email addresses, hotline numbers for pension plan inquiries, and scheduled office hours with HR representatives specializing in pension management. Providing easy access to this information through the company’s intranet and organizing regular informational sessions can facilitate effective communication and employee engagement.