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Interest rates are a key driver of most financial assets. While most often referenced in relation to the bond market, rates are also a key input in traditional equity valuation models, which incorporate market interest rates to determine the appropriate rate to discount future cash flows. Interest rates are an essential element in bond pricing and the yield that investors require to own a particular fixed-income security. Since hitting an all-time low in 2020, interest rates increased in 2021 and have continued that climb higher thus far in 2022. This has put pressure on fixed incomes and certain areas of the equity market, which has led to stress in certain areas of the stock market, such as growth stocks, which can be sensitive to interest rate shocks. With that in mind, let’s examine why rates have been moving up, and whether this should be a cause for concern for Campbell Soup employees.
MORE AGGRESSIVE FEDERAL RESERVE
The Federal Reserve (Fed) has already raised interest rates by 75 basis points this year. A 25 basis point hike in March followed by a 50 basis point hike in May. The Fed is currently expected to hike rates by 50 basis points in both the June and July meetings and will continue to hike through the better part of 2022. With inflation running hot and the job market showing strength, the fact that the Fed is finally moving away from zero shows confidence in the health of the job market. But the speed with which interest rates are expected to go up underscores its concern about the soaring cost of living. Americans living in areas like California or New York will experience this policy shift through higher borrowing costs: No longer will it be insanely cheap to take out mortgages or car loans and this along with higher inflation may lead to less investment in the market and more spending on needs, which is a main reason for market volatility, and important for Campbell Soup employees and retirees to keep in mind.
INFLATION CONCERNS
Inflation is also a primary determinant of long-term interest rates. Rising inflation has the potential to eat away at fixed-income returns, so naturally, inflation expectations are a component of the yield that investors require to own fixed income. Put simply, inflation is a result of too much money chasing too few goods, and there are concerns that the increase in the level of money in circulation may lead to this. The extraordinary level of fiscal and monetary stimulus put in place to combat the economic damage of Coronavirus caused a significant increase in the M2 money supply. As a result, we are currently seeing this increase in the level of money in circulation translate to a pickup in consumer spending, but also elevated inflation.
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RISKS OF A RECESSION
Now that the pandemic has started to recede, the Fed has once again started to raise short-
term interest rates. This policy change has caused market volatility to spike for the three
major reasons to the right.
Today as the Fed begins to aggressively hike interest rates, market participants worry we may endure a period of high inflation alongside weakening economic growth — otherwise known as stagflation.
This environment is another example of why we believe in and suggest to our clients from Campbell Soup that staying diversified is the best way to insulate portfolios from being too exposed to one risk factor.
Economic Definitions
M2 Money Supply: The M2 Money Supply, also referred to as “M2” or “Money Stock,” measures the amount of currency in circulation. M2 includes M1 (physical cash and checkable deposits) as well as less liquid money, such as saving bank accounts.
What are the eligibility requirements for participating in the retirement plan at the Campbell Soup Company, and how does this affect employees who are newly hired or rehired after December 31, 2010? Understanding these eligibility criteria is crucial for current and prospective employees of the Campbell Soup Company, as it dictates participation in the retirement benefits that can provide financial security upon retirement.
Eligibility for Participation: Employees hired or rehired after December 31, 2010, are not eligible for the Campbell Soup Company's Retirement and Pension Plan. However, regular full-time or part-time employees scheduled to work at least 20 hours per week become immediately eligible for participation. Temporary or part-time employees scheduled to work less than 20 hours per week become eligible after working 1,000 hours in their first 12 months, or in subsequent 12-month periods(Campbell_Soup_Company_R…).
Can you explain the differences between the Cash Balance Benefit and the Grandfathered Benefit under the Campbell Soup Company's retirement plan? This distinction is important for employees to understand how their length of service and date of hire could significantly influence their retirement earnings and options, potentially impacting their financial planning for retirement.
Cash Balance Benefit vs. Grandfathered Benefit: The Cash Balance Benefit provides credits based on a percentage of pay, while the Grandfathered Benefit applies to those hired before May 1, 1999. The Grandfathered Benefit is based on the Final Average Pay and years of service. Employees eligible for the Grandfathered Benefit receive the greater of the Cash Balance or Grandfathered Benefit, potentially resulting in higher retirement earnings based on their tenure(Campbell_Soup_Company_R…).
How does the vesting schedule work for the Campbell Soup Company’s retirement plan, and what implications does it have for employees who leave the company before becoming fully vested? Employees of the Campbell Soup Company should consider the vesting requirements to ensure they optimize their benefits and understand how employment duration aligns with retirement planning strategies.
Vesting Schedule: Employees become fully vested after completing three years of service or reaching age 65 while employed. If an employee leaves before becoming vested, they forfeit their benefit. This schedule emphasizes the importance of remaining with the company for a sufficient duration to secure retirement benefits(Campbell_Soup_Company_R…).
What options are available for employees of the Campbell Soup Company when they decide to retire, particularly regarding the form of benefit payment? Understanding these options is essential for planning a comfortable retirement, as employees need to make informed choices that align with their financial goals and personal circumstances.
Benefit Payment Options: Campbell Soup Company offers several forms of benefit payments, including a lump sum, life annuity, and joint survivor annuity. Employees can choose the payment form that best suits their retirement goals. Options like the lump sum allow for flexibility, while annuities provide steady income during retirement(Campbell_Soup_Company_R…).
How does the Campbell Soup Company’s retirement plan handle employees who return to work after a break in service, especially concerning their vesting and benefit accrual? Employees of the Campbell Soup Company need to be aware of these policies to gauge how a break in employment could potentially impact their retirement plans and financial well-being.
Reemployment After Break in Service: If an employee returns after a break in service of less than five years, their prior vesting service and benefits are restored after completing another year of service. However, if the break exceeds five years, prior service is not restored unless the employee was already vested before the break(Campbell_Soup_Company_R…).
What are the implications for spouses of employees in the Campbell Soup Company retirement plan regarding survivor benefits and the necessity for spousal consent under certain circumstances? Knowledge of these provisions is critical for employees as they plan for both their retirement and the potential financial security of their spouses.
Spousal Consent and Survivor Benefits: Spouses are automatically designated beneficiaries unless a waiver is signed. Survivor benefits include either the cash balance account or an actuarial equivalent of the accrued benefit. Spousal consent is necessary if employees choose another beneficiary or a different form of payment, ensuring spousal financial security(Campbell_Soup_Company_R…).
In what ways does the Campbell Soup Company ensure compliance with IRS regulations regarding retirement benefits, and how might changes in these regulations impact employees? Employees should be aware of the relationship between their retirement plans at the Campbell Soup Company and IRS compliance, as ongoing regulatory changes can affect their retirement planning.
IRS Compliance: The plan adheres to IRS regulations, which impose limits on compensation and benefits. Compliance is essential to maintain the tax-advantaged status of the retirement plan. Changes in IRS rules may affect contributions, benefit limits, and tax treatment of distributions(Campbell_Soup_Company_R…).
How is the Cash Balance Benefit calculated for employees of the Campbell Soup Company, and what factors influence the growth of this benefit over time? Employees need to understand this calculation to better plan their financial futures and make informed decisions regarding their contributions and potential retirement income.
Cash Balance Benefit Calculation: The Cash Balance Benefit grows annually through pay-based credits and interest. The percentage of eligible pay credited to the account increases with the employee’s age. This structure encourages long-term employment by increasing retirement savings over time(Campbell_Soup_Company_R…).
What steps should employees of the Campbell Soup Company take to apply for retirement benefits, and what is the timeline for notifying the company about their retirement intentions? Knowing the correct procedures and timelines is vital for employees to ensure a smooth transition into retirement and the timely receipt of benefits.
Retirement Application Process: Employees must notify the Campbell Benefits Center approximately 90 days before retirement to initiate their benefits. This timeline ensures that benefits begin promptly, and employees can make informed decisions about their retirement options(Campbell_Soup_Company_R…).
How can employees of the Campbell Soup Company reach the Campbell Benefits Center to inquire further about their retirement plans or address specific questions related to their benefits? It is essential for employees to have clear contact information, allowing them to seek assistance and enhance their understanding of the retirement options available to them.
Campbell Benefits Center Contact: Employees can reach the Campbell Benefits Center for inquiries related to their retirement plans via the website www.myCampbellBenefits.com or by calling 877-725-2255, ensuring easy access to information and support(Campbell_Soup_Company_R…).
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