Interest rates are a key driver of most financial assets. While most often referenced in relation to the bond market, rates are also a key input in traditional equity valuation models, which incorporate market interest rates to determine the appropriate rate to discount future cash flows. Interest rates are an essential element in bond pricing and the yield that investors require to own a particular fixed-income security. Since hitting an all-time low in 2020, interest rates increased in 2021 and have continued that climb higher thus far in 2022. This has put pressure on fixed incomes and certain areas of the equity market, which has led to stress in certain areas of the stock market, such as growth stocks, which can be sensitive to interest rate shocks. With that in mind, let’s examine why rates have been moving up, and whether this should be a cause for concern for Harsco employees.
MORE AGGRESSIVE FEDERAL RESERVE
The Federal Reserve (Fed) has already raised interest rates by 75 basis points this year. A 25 basis point hike in March followed by a 50 basis point hike in May. The Fed is currently expected to hike rates by 50 basis points in both the June and July meetings and will continue to hike through the better part of 2022. With inflation running hot and the job market showing strength, the fact that the Fed is finally moving away from zero shows confidence in the health of the job market. But the speed with which interest rates are expected to go up underscores its concern about the soaring cost of living. Americans living in areas like California or New York will experience this policy shift through higher borrowing costs: No longer will it be insanely cheap to take out mortgages or car loans and this along with higher inflation may lead to less investment in the market and more spending on needs, which is a main reason for market volatility, and important for Harsco employees and retirees to keep in mind.
INFLATION CONCERNS
Inflation is also a primary determinant of long-term interest rates. Rising inflation has the potential to eat away at fixed-income returns, so naturally, inflation expectations are a component of the yield that investors require to own fixed income. Put simply, inflation is a result of too much money chasing too few goods, and there are concerns that the increase in the level of money in circulation may lead to this. The extraordinary level of fiscal and monetary stimulus put in place to combat the economic damage of Coronavirus caused a significant increase in the M2 money supply. As a result, we are currently seeing this increase in the level of money in circulation translate to a pickup in consumer spending, but also elevated inflation.
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RISKS OF A RECESSION
Now that the pandemic has started to recede, the Fed has once again started to raise short-
term interest rates. This policy change has caused market volatility to spike for the three
major reasons to the right.
Today as the Fed begins to aggressively hike interest rates, market participants worry we may endure a period of high inflation alongside weakening economic growth — otherwise known as stagflation.
This environment is another example of why we believe in and suggest to our clients from Harsco that staying diversified is the best way to insulate portfolios from being too exposed to one risk factor.
Economic Definitions
M2 Money Supply: The M2 Money Supply, also referred to as “M2” or “Money Stock,” measures the amount of currency in circulation. M2 includes M1 (physical cash and checkable deposits) as well as less liquid money, such as saving bank accounts.
How does the Harsco Pension Scheme ensure that investment strategies align with the financial goals of its members, and what measures are in place to assess the adequacy of these strategies over time? Given the complexities involved in managing a pension scheme, understanding the decision-making processes and the criteria for evaluating fund performance is crucial for members to make informed retirement choices.
Investment Strategy Alignment: The Harsco Pension Scheme ensures that its investment strategies align with members' financial goals by regularly reviewing its Statement of Investment Principles (SIP) and adjusting strategies based on quarterly performance monitoring. The Trustees use tools such as LCP Visualise to track investment returns and funding levels, ensuring the Scheme is on track for full funding by 2025. This review process helps guarantee that the investment strategies are adequately meeting long-term goals and adapting to market conditions(Harsco Pension Scheme_3…).
In what ways does the Harsco Pension Scheme engage with its investment managers to ensure transparency and stewardship in voting on significant shareholder resolutions? Exploring how Harsco collaborates with these managers can shed light on the efficacy of decision-making and the importance of governance in the scheme's investment practices.
Engagement with Investment Managers: The Harsco Pension Scheme engages closely with its investment managers, delegating stewardship activities like voting on shareholder resolutions. These managers, such as BlackRock, follow rigorous voting and engagement policies, which are reviewed regularly. The Trustees ensure transparency by monitoring managers’ ESG integration and voting behaviors and by addressing significant issues, such as modern slavery or climate risks(Harsco Pension Scheme_3…).
What are the specific retirement benefits available to employees under the Harsco Pension Scheme, and how can members customize their retirement strategies to fit their individual needs? This question addresses the diversity of retirement options and the potential for tailoring plans to meet unique financial situations.
Retirement Benefits Customization: The Harsco Pension Scheme offers a range of retirement options, including default and self-select investment options that reflect member demographics and retirement preferences. Members can customize their retirement strategies through diversified funds, ensuring their investments are aligned with individual needs. The default strategy has been reviewed to ensure appropriateness for the majority, with options for drawdown, lump-sum withdrawals, or annuity purchases(Harsco Pension Scheme_3…).
How does the Harsco Pension Scheme handle the changing demographics of its membership, especially in terms of investment risk and available retirement options? Understanding how the scheme adapts to demographic trends can help employees anticipate changes that may affect their retirement savings and strategies.
Adapting to Demographic Changes: The Trustees monitor demographic trends and adapt the Scheme’s investment strategies accordingly. For example, as the Scheme matures, the investment allocation moves towards lower-risk assets to reflect the changing membership profile. Regular reviews ensure the Scheme adapts to the evolving needs of its members, helping to reduce risk while maintaining adequate returns(Harsco Pension Scheme_3…).
What is the process for Harsco employees to access their pension statements, and how frequently are these updates provided to ensure that members stay informed about their retirement savings progress? Regular communication about contributions and growth can significantly impact an employee's comfort level when planning for retirement.
Pension Statement Access: Harsco employees can access their pension statements through regular updates provided by the Trustees, typically on a quarterly basis. These statements, including detailed reports of contributions, investment growth, and progress toward retirement goals, help members stay informed and make adjustments as necessary(Harsco Pension Scheme_3…).
How does Harsco incorporate Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) considerations into its investment philosophy, and what impact do these principles have on the pension scheme’s performance? A deeper examination into these aspects may enhance employee understanding of socially responsible investing trends within their pension fund.
ESG Considerations: The Harsco Pension Scheme integrates Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) principles into its investment strategy, regularly assessing its managers’ ESG practices. These assessments include human rights, climate change, and CEO pay ratios, ensuring that investments are socially responsible and aligned with long-term sustainability goals(Harsco Pension Scheme_3…).
What are the implications of the current IRS limits on contributions to retirement plans for employees participating in the Harsco Pension Scheme in 2024? Recognizing how these financial regulations impact personal contributions and matching funds can empower employees to maximize their retirement funding strategies.
IRS Limits Impact: The current IRS limits on contributions to retirement plans, such as those applicable in 2024, directly impact Harsco employees by capping how much they can contribute tax-free. Understanding these limits helps employees plan their contributions to maximize employer matching and ensure they take full advantage of their retirement benefits(Harsco Pension Scheme_3…).
With regards to the ongoing performance evaluations, what benchmarks does the Harsco Pension Scheme utilize to measure the success of its investments, and how are these benchmarks selected? This insight can help employees understand the performance metrics that drive the long-term viability of their pension scheme.
Benchmarking Investments: The Harsco Pension Scheme uses various benchmarks to assess the performance of its investments. These benchmarks are selected based on expected risk and return profiles and are reviewed quarterly. Monitoring against these benchmarks ensures that the Scheme’s strategies remain aligned with long-term funding goals and adapt to changing market conditions(Harsco Pension Scheme_3…).
How can Harsco employees obtain more information on the specific investment options available within the pension scheme, including the associated risks and potential returns? Access to comprehensive investment literature is essential for employees to make well-informed decisions regarding their pension scheme participation.
Investment Options and Information: Harsco employees can obtain detailed information about their pension’s investment options, including the associated risks and potential returns, through regular reports from the Trustees and investment consultants. This transparency allows employees to make informed decisions about their pension participation(Harsco Pension Scheme_3…).
What is the preferred method for employees to contact Harsco to gain further clarification on their questions about the pension scheme, and what resources are available for them during the retirement process? Clear communication channels and support mechanisms are vital as employees navigate their retirement preparations. These questions are designed to provoke thought and discussion around the operations, benefits, and governance of the Harsco Pension Scheme while providing employees with a foundation for understanding their retirement options.
Communication Channels: Employees can contact the Trustees of the Harsco Pension Scheme for clarification on pension-related questions through established communication channels. Resources, including personalized financial advice and regular meetings with investment managers, are available to assist employees during the retirement planning process(Harsco Pension Scheme_3…).