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Interest rates are a key driver of most financial assets. While most often referenced in relation to the bond market, rates are also a key input in traditional equity valuation models, which incorporate market interest rates to determine the appropriate rate to discount future cash flows. Interest rates are an essential element in bond pricing and the yield that investors require to own a particular fixed-income security. Since hitting an all-time low in 2020, interest rates increased in 2021 and have continued that climb higher thus far in 2022. This has put pressure on fixed incomes and certain areas of the equity market, which has led to stress in certain areas of the stock market, such as growth stocks, which can be sensitive to interest rate shocks. With that in mind, let’s examine why rates have been moving up, and whether this should be a cause for concern for Huntington Ingalls Industries employees.
MORE AGGRESSIVE FEDERAL RESERVE
The Federal Reserve (Fed) has already raised interest rates by 75 basis points this year. A 25 basis point hike in March followed by a 50 basis point hike in May. The Fed is currently expected to hike rates by 50 basis points in both the June and July meetings and will continue to hike through the better part of 2022. With inflation running hot and the job market showing strength, the fact that the Fed is finally moving away from zero shows confidence in the health of the job market. But the speed with which interest rates are expected to go up underscores its concern about the soaring cost of living. Americans living in areas like California or New York will experience this policy shift through higher borrowing costs: No longer will it be insanely cheap to take out mortgages or car loans and this along with higher inflation may lead to less investment in the market and more spending on needs, which is a main reason for market volatility, and important for Huntington Ingalls Industries employees and retirees to keep in mind.
INFLATION CONCERNS
Inflation is also a primary determinant of long-term interest rates. Rising inflation has the potential to eat away at fixed-income returns, so naturally, inflation expectations are a component of the yield that investors require to own fixed income. Put simply, inflation is a result of too much money chasing too few goods, and there are concerns that the increase in the level of money in circulation may lead to this. The extraordinary level of fiscal and monetary stimulus put in place to combat the economic damage of Coronavirus caused a significant increase in the M2 money supply. As a result, we are currently seeing this increase in the level of money in circulation translate to a pickup in consumer spending, but also elevated inflation.
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RISKS OF A RECESSION
Now that the pandemic has started to recede, the Fed has once again started to raise short-
term interest rates. This policy change has caused market volatility to spike for the three
major reasons to the right.
Today as the Fed begins to aggressively hike interest rates, market participants worry we may endure a period of high inflation alongside weakening economic growth — otherwise known as stagflation.
This environment is another example of why we believe in and suggest to our clients from Huntington Ingalls Industries that staying diversified is the best way to insulate portfolios from being too exposed to one risk factor.
Economic Definitions
M2 Money Supply: The M2 Money Supply, also referred to as “M2” or “Money Stock,” measures the amount of currency in circulation. M2 includes M1 (physical cash and checkable deposits) as well as less liquid money, such as saving bank accounts.
How does the Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) pension plan integrate with Social Security benefits for maximizing an employee's retirement income, and what specific strategies can HII employees use to understand this integration better?
HII pension plan integration with Social Security: The HII pension plan works alongside Social Security benefits, with no reduction in pension payments due to Social Security benefits at age 65 or later. However, if an employee receives workers' compensation benefits, the pension may be reduced. To better understand this integration, employees should review their Social Security benefits statement and consult with the HIBC (Huntington Ingalls Benefits Center) for detailed guidance(Huntington Ingalls Indu…).
In relation to the Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) pension plan, what are the eligibility requirements for normal and early retirement, and how do these requirements affect long-term financial planning for HII employees approaching retirement age?
Eligibility for normal and early retirement: Employees are eligible for normal retirement at age 65 or after five years of service, whichever comes first. Early retirement is available from age 55 with at least 10 years of service. Early retirement benefits are reduced to reflect the longer payout period, which can impact financial planning. Employees should consider whether to defer retirement to receive full benefits or take a reduced early retirement benefit(Huntington Ingalls Indu…).
How do changes in employment status, such as promotion or changing between hourly and salaried positions, affect pension benefits for Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) employees, and what should employees consider when anticipating these changes?
Effect of employment status changes: Changes in employment status, such as a promotion or transitioning between hourly and salaried positions, can affect pension eligibility and accrual. For instance, transferring from an hourly to a salaried role might mean cessation of accrual under one plan and ineligibility to return to the previous plan unless specific conditions are met. Employees should check the plan rules and consult with HIBC before making such changes(Huntington Ingalls Indu…).
For employees of Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII), what steps must be taken to ensure that pension benefits are properly claimed and administered upon retirement, and what role does documentation play in this process?
Claiming pension benefits: Employees should notify the HIBC at least two months before their intended retirement date to begin the process of claiming pension benefits. Proper documentation, including a birth certificate, Social Security information, and marriage certificates (if applicable), is essential. Delays in providing this information can result in delays or even forfeiture of benefits(Huntington Ingalls Indu…).
How do the rules surrounding spousal consent impact retirement benefit elections for employees at Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII), and what specific options are available for employees considering different forms of retirement income?
Spousal consent and retirement elections: HII requires spousal consent for retirement elections other than the standard 50%, 75%, or 100% joint and survivor annuity options. This ensures that spouses are aware of and agree to any reduction in survivor benefits. Employees should discuss these options with their spouse and obtain written, notarized consent when necessary(Huntington Ingalls Indu…).
What are the implications of the pension plan provisions related to disability retirement for Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) employees, including the eligibility criteria and the impact on social security benefits that employees should be aware of?
Disability retirement provisions: Disability retirement is available to employees with at least 15 years of service who qualify for Social Security disability benefits. Disability retirement benefits are not reduced for early commencement, making it a beneficial option for qualifying employees. It’s crucial for employees to apply to both HII and the Social Security Administration to claim these benefits(Huntington Ingalls Indu…).
In what ways does the pension plan of Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) accommodate employees who have service credits from other employers or previously merged plans, and what actions should employees take to clarify their benefits?
Service credits from other employers: The HII pension plan may accommodate employees who have service credits from previously merged plans. If an employee has transferred assets from another employer’s plan, they should contact the HIBC to clarify how these credits affect their pension calculation(Huntington Ingalls Indu…).
How do the changes in IRS limits for retirement accounts in 2024 impact the retirement planning for employees of Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII), and what resources does HII provide to assist employees in navigating these changes?
IRS limit changes for 2024: Changes in IRS contribution limits affect retirement planning by capping how much can be saved in tax-advantaged accounts. HII provides access to tools and financial advisors through the HIBC, allowing employees to review how these changes impact their pension and 401(k) contributions(Huntington Ingalls Indu…).
What are the consequences for employees at Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) if they fail to notify the benefits center of their address changes or retirement intentions, particularly concerning the accrual and distribution of their pension benefits?
Consequences of failing to notify benefits center: If an employee fails to update their address or retirement intentions with the HIBC, it may result in delayed pension payments or the loss of benefits. It is crucial to maintain up-to-date contact information to ensure smooth benefit distribution(Huntington Ingalls Indu…)(Huntington Ingalls Indu…).
If an Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) employee wants to learn more about their specific pension benefits or has questions regarding the pension plan, what methods can they use to contact HII for assistance, and what information should they have ready during this communication?
Contacting HII for pension information: Employees can contact the HIBC via phone or the online portal (http://hiibenefits.com) to inquire about their pension benefits. They should have personal identification details such as Social Security numbers, marital status, and anticipated retirement dates ready for efficient assistance(Huntington Ingalls Indu…).
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