Interest rates are a key driver of most financial assets. While most often referenced in relation to the bond market, rates are also a key input in traditional equity valuation models, which incorporate market interest rates to determine the appropriate rate to discount future cash flows. Interest rates are an essential element in bond pricing and the yield that investors require to own a particular fixed-income security. Since hitting an all-time low in 2020, interest rates increased in 2021 and have continued that climb higher thus far in 2022. This has put pressure on fixed incomes and certain areas of the equity market, which has led to stress in certain areas of the stock market, such as growth stocks, which can be sensitive to interest rate shocks. With that in mind, let’s examine why rates have been moving up, and whether this should be a cause for concern for Jabil employees.
MORE AGGRESSIVE FEDERAL RESERVE
The Federal Reserve (Fed) has already raised interest rates by 75 basis points this year. A 25 basis point hike in March followed by a 50 basis point hike in May. The Fed is currently expected to hike rates by 50 basis points in both the June and July meetings and will continue to hike through the better part of 2022. With inflation running hot and the job market showing strength, the fact that the Fed is finally moving away from zero shows confidence in the health of the job market. But the speed with which interest rates are expected to go up underscores its concern about the soaring cost of living. Americans living in areas like California or New York will experience this policy shift through higher borrowing costs: No longer will it be insanely cheap to take out mortgages or car loans and this along with higher inflation may lead to less investment in the market and more spending on needs, which is a main reason for market volatility, and important for Jabil employees and retirees to keep in mind.
INFLATION CONCERNS
Inflation is also a primary determinant of long-term interest rates. Rising inflation has the potential to eat away at fixed-income returns, so naturally, inflation expectations are a component of the yield that investors require to own fixed income. Put simply, inflation is a result of too much money chasing too few goods, and there are concerns that the increase in the level of money in circulation may lead to this. The extraordinary level of fiscal and monetary stimulus put in place to combat the economic damage of Coronavirus caused a significant increase in the M2 money supply. As a result, we are currently seeing this increase in the level of money in circulation translate to a pickup in consumer spending, but also elevated inflation.
Featured Video
Articles you may find interesting:
- Corporate Employees: 8 Factors When Choosing a Mutual Fund
- Use of Escrow Accounts: Divorce
- Medicare Open Enrollment for Corporate Employees: Cost Changes in 2024!
- Stages of Retirement for Corporate Employees
- 7 Things to Consider Before Leaving Your Company
- How Are Workers Impacted by Inflation & Rising Interest Rates?
- Lump-Sum vs Annuity and Rising Interest Rates
- Internal Revenue Code Section 409A (Governing Nonqualified Deferred Compensation Plans)
- Corporate Employees: Do NOT Believe These 6 Retirement Myths!
- 401K, Social Security, Pension – How to Maximize Your Options
- Have You Looked at Your 401(k) Plan Recently?
- 11 Questions You Should Ask Yourself When Planning for Retirement
- Worst Month of Layoffs In Over a Year!
- Corporate Employees: 8 Factors When Choosing a Mutual Fund
- Use of Escrow Accounts: Divorce
- Medicare Open Enrollment for Corporate Employees: Cost Changes in 2024!
- Stages of Retirement for Corporate Employees
- 7 Things to Consider Before Leaving Your Company
- How Are Workers Impacted by Inflation & Rising Interest Rates?
- Lump-Sum vs Annuity and Rising Interest Rates
- Internal Revenue Code Section 409A (Governing Nonqualified Deferred Compensation Plans)
- Corporate Employees: Do NOT Believe These 6 Retirement Myths!
- 401K, Social Security, Pension – How to Maximize Your Options
- Have You Looked at Your 401(k) Plan Recently?
- 11 Questions You Should Ask Yourself When Planning for Retirement
- Worst Month of Layoffs In Over a Year!
RISKS OF A RECESSION
Now that the pandemic has started to recede, the Fed has once again started to raise short-
term interest rates. This policy change has caused market volatility to spike for the three
major reasons to the right.
Today as the Fed begins to aggressively hike interest rates, market participants worry we may endure a period of high inflation alongside weakening economic growth — otherwise known as stagflation.
This environment is another example of why we believe in and suggest to our clients from Jabil that staying diversified is the best way to insulate portfolios from being too exposed to one risk factor.
Economic Definitions
M2 Money Supply: The M2 Money Supply, also referred to as “M2” or “Money Stock,” measures the amount of currency in circulation. M2 includes M1 (physical cash and checkable deposits) as well as less liquid money, such as saving bank accounts.
How does Jabil Circuit ensure the long-term sustainability of its Pension Scheme, and what role do the trustees play in this? In what ways does the investment strategy align with Jabil Circuit's overall business goals and the financial security of its employees?
Jabil Circuit Sustainability of Pension Scheme: Jabil Circuit ensures the long-term sustainability of its pension scheme by setting clear investment objectives that align with the interests of its members and beneficiaries. The trustees, operating under Jabil Pension Trustees Limited (JPT), focus on meeting the scheme's obligations and achieving asset returns above gilts over the long term, while balancing risk control and return generation. The investment strategy is designed to be consistent with return assumptions used by the scheme actuary, considering Jabil's interests in employer contribution payments.
What are the primary objectives of the investment policy for the Jabil Circuit Pension Scheme, and how do these objectives impact the decision-making process regarding asset allocation and risk management? Additionally, how do Jabil Circuit’s obligations to its beneficiaries shape these objectives?
Investment Policy Objectives: The primary objectives of Jabil Circuit's pension scheme investment policy are to meet the scheme's obligations to beneficiaries and to achieve long-term asset returns above gilts. These objectives influence decision-making in asset allocation and risk management by ensuring a balance between risk control and return generation. Jabil Circuit's obligations to beneficiaries shape these objectives by prioritizing financial security and the interests of the members.
Can you elaborate on the Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) policies of Jabil Circuit and how these policies influence investment decisions made by the Jabil Circuit Pension Scheme? In what ways does Jabil Circuit engage with its investment managers to uphold these ESG principles?
ESG Policies Influence: Jabil Circuit incorporates Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) policies into its investment decisions through a structured policy that includes climate change considerations. This policy guides the trustee's engagement with investment managers, ensuring ESG factors are considered in the investment process. Regular reviews and training provided by Mercer help reinforce these principles and ensure they are integrated into the pension scheme's investment strategy.
How do climate change considerations factor into Jabil Circuit's investment approach, particularly in the context of the Pension Scheme? What measures does Jabil Circuit take to assess and manage climate-related risks associated with its investment portfolio?
Climate Change Considerations: Climate change is a significant factor in Jabil Circuit's investment approach, particularly for the pension scheme. The trustees undertake climate scenario modeling and stress testing annually, aligning the investment portfolio with climate-related financial disclosure recommendations and the Paris Agreement objectives. This approach helps manage climate-related risks and ensures the portfolio is positioned to handle various climate scenarios.
What strategies does Jabil Circuit employ to communicate and engage with employees regarding their pension benefits and retirement options? How can employees participate in discussions about changes or updates to the Jabil Circuit Pension Scheme?
Employee Communication and Engagement: Jabil Circuit employs strategies to actively engage with employees regarding their pension benefits and retirement options. Regular reporting and updates are provided, and employees have opportunities to participate in discussions about changes to the pension scheme. This open communication ensures employees are well-informed and can make knowledgeable decisions about their retirement planning.
In the context of the current IRS limits for 2024, how does Jabil Circuit assist employees in understanding their retirement savings options, particularly in relation to contributions to the Pension Scheme? What resources are available for employees to navigate these changes?
Understanding Retirement Savings Options: In light of the current IRS limits for 2024, Jabil Circuit assists employees by providing resources and guidance on retirement savings options, particularly concerning contributions to the pension scheme. Educational materials and support systems are in place to help employees understand how these changes affect their retirement planning and contributions.
How does the Jabil Circuit Pension Scheme address the issue of responsible investing, and what are the specific exclusions that have been put in place? How does Jabil Circuit balance ethical investment practices with the need for financial returns?
Responsible Investing: Jabil Circuit addresses responsible investing through clear exclusions and ethical investment practices within its pension scheme. The scheme excludes investments in controversial and civilian weapons and tobacco from its active fixed income funds. This approach balances ethical considerations with the need for financial returns, adhering to broader corporate responsibility standards.
What is the frequency and nature of the reporting provided to Jabil Circuit regarding the performance of the Pension Scheme investments? How does this reporting influence the strategic decisions made by the trustees in managing the scheme?
Investment Performance Reporting: The frequency and nature of reporting on the pension scheme's investment performance involve regular updates from Mercer, the investment consultant. These reports influence the trustees' strategic decisions by providing insights into asset performance, risk management, and compliance with investment objectives. This systematic reporting ensures that the trustees are well-informed to manage the scheme effectively.
How has the trustee board of the Jabil Circuit Pension Scheme evolved over time, and what qualifications or experiences do board members bring to their roles? In what ways do these factors contribute to effective oversight of the Pension Scheme?
Evolution and Qualifications of Trustee Board: The trustee board of the Jabil Circuit Pension Scheme has evolved to include members with specific qualifications and experiences that contribute to effective oversight. Regular training sessions and strategic reviews help trustees stay informed and capable of managing complex investment decisions, ensuring the pension scheme is managed with expertise and due diligence.
How can employees contact Jabil Circuit to learn more about their specific benefits under the Pension Scheme and to seek guidance during the retirement process? What channels are available for employees to access this information effectively?
Contacting Jabil Circuit for Pension Benefits: Employees seeking information about their benefits under the Jabil Circuit Pension Scheme can contact the human resources department or designated pension scheme administrators. Multiple channels, including direct consultations, informational seminars, and online resources, are available to ensure employees have effective access to guidance throughout their retirement process.