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Understanding the Rise in Interest Rates: What It Means for Oneok Employees and Their Retirement Plans

Interest rates are a key driver of most financial assets. While most often referenced in relation to the bond market, rates are also a key input in traditional equity valuation models, which incorporate market interest rates to determine the appropriate rate to discount future cash flows. Interest rates are an essential element in bond pricing and the yield that investors require to own a particular fixed-income security. Since hitting an all-time low in 2020, interest rates increased in 2021 and have continued that climb higher thus far in 2022. This has put pressure on fixed incomes and certain areas of the equity market, which has led to stress in certain areas of the stock market, such as growth stocks, which can be sensitive to interest rate shocks. With that in mind, let’s examine why rates have been moving up, and whether this should be a cause for concern for Oneok employees.

MORE AGGRESSIVE FEDERAL RESERVE
The Federal Reserve (Fed) has already raised interest rates by 75 basis points this year. A 25 basis point hike in March followed by a 50 basis point hike in May. The Fed is currently expected to hike rates by 50 basis points in both the June and July meetings and will continue to hike through the better part of 2022. With inflation running hot and the job market showing strength, the fact that the Fed is finally moving away from zero shows confidence in the health of the job market. But the speed with which interest rates are expected to go up underscores its concern about the soaring cost of living. Americans living in areas like California or New York will experience this policy shift through higher borrowing costs: No longer will it be insanely cheap to take out mortgages or car loans and this along with higher inflation may lead to less investment in the market and more spending on needs, which is a main reason for market volatility, and important for Oneok employees and retirees to keep in mind.

INFLATION CONCERNS
Inflation is also a primary determinant of long-term interest rates. Rising inflation has the potential to eat away at fixed-income returns, so naturally, inflation expectations are a component of the yield that investors require to own fixed income. Put simply, inflation is a result of too much money chasing too few goods, and there are concerns that the increase in the level of money in circulation may lead to this. The extraordinary level of fiscal and monetary stimulus put in place to combat the economic damage of Coronavirus caused a significant increase in the M2 money supply. As a result, we are currently seeing this increase in the level of money in circulation translate to a pickup in consumer spending, but also elevated inflation.

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RISKS OF A RECESSION
Now that the pandemic has started to recede, the Fed has once again started to raise short-
term interest rates. This policy change has caused market volatility to spike for the three
major reasons to the right.

Today as the Fed begins to aggressively hike interest rates, market participants worry we may endure a period of high inflation alongside weakening economic growth — otherwise known as stagflation.

This environment is another example of why we believe in and suggest to our clients from Oneok that staying diversified is the best way to insulate portfolios from being too exposed to one risk factor.

Economic Definitions
M2 Money Supply: The M2 Money Supply, also referred to as “M2” or “Money Stock,” measures the amount of currency in circulation. M2 includes M1 (physical cash and checkable deposits) as well as less liquid money, such as saving bank accounts.

What specific factors does ONEOK, Inc. consider when determining an employee's eligibility for retirement benefits, and how do these factors align with commonly understood retirement planning principles in the context of the ONEOK, Inc. Retirement Plan?

Eligibility Factors: ONEOK, Inc. considers several factors when determining eligibility for its retirement plan, such as date of hire, age, and participation in certain programs like the Profit Sharing Plan. Employees must have been hired before January 1, 2005, and must meet the minimum age of 21 to be eligible(ONEOK_Inc_Retirement_Pl…). These factors align with common retirement planning principles, such as ensuring long-term employment and participation in benefit programs.

How does the structure of the ONEOK, Inc. Retirement Plan impact the financial planning strategies of employees who are nearing retirement age, particularly in relation to their final average earnings and years of credited service?

Plan Structure and Financial Planning: The ONEOK Retirement Plan uses a formula based on Final Average Earnings and Years of Credited Service. This structure impacts employees' financial planning, as it encourages maximizing years of service and optimizing earnings in the final years before retirement(ONEOK_Inc_Retirement_Pl…). Employees nearing retirement should focus on maximizing both variables for a stronger financial outcome.

In what ways can changes to the IRS limits in 2024 affect the retirement planning of employees participating in the ONEOK, Inc. Retirement Plan, and how can they adapt their strategies to accommodate these changes?

IRS Limits and Impact on Planning: Changes to IRS limits, such as increases in contribution caps or income thresholds, could affect employees’ ability to defer taxes and maximize savings(ONEOK_Inc_Retirement_Pl…). Employees can adapt by adjusting their contributions to their 401(k) or other retirement accounts in line with new limits, ensuring they stay within allowable tax advantages.

For employees considering early retirement, what are the implications of selecting this option under the ONEOK, Inc. Retirement Plan compared to waiting for normal retirement benefits, and what should they consider regarding potential reductions in benefits?

Early Retirement vs. Normal Retirement: Opting for early retirement under the ONEOK Plan can lead to a reduction in benefits, as payments are reduced based on the Early Retirement Benefit Reduction Schedule(ONEOK_Inc_Retirement_Pl…). Employees should consider their financial needs and health before making this decision, as waiting until normal retirement age results in higher monthly benefits.

How does the process for applying for retirement benefits at ONEOK, Inc. work, and what specific documentation and timelines should employees be prepared to navigate in order to ensure a smooth transition into retirement?

Retirement Application Process: Employees must request a retirement estimate online or through HR, and submit retirement forms and documentation to initiate benefits(ONEOK_Inc_Retirement_Pl…). Timely submission is key to ensure a smooth transition, and benefits usually begin the first of the month after retirement.

What options are available to employees of ONEOK, Inc. if they wish to change their designated beneficiaries in the retirement plan, and how can they ensure that these changes are executed properly?

Changing Beneficiaries: Employees can change their designated beneficiaries by submitting a pre-retirement death beneficiary form(ONEOK_Inc_Retirement_Pl…). Spousal consent is required for changes that involve someone other than the spouse, and notarization is needed to ensure proper execution.

How does ONEOK, Inc. manage the investment of its retirement plan assets, and what guidelines are in place to ensure that participants' funds are invested prudently and in alignment with their retirement goals?

Investment Management: ONEOK manages its retirement plan assets in a trust, with investments overseen by plan fiduciaries following an investment policy(ONEOK_Inc_Retirement_Pl…). This policy ensures that funds are invested prudently, balancing risk and returns in alignment with participants' retirement goals.

In terms of employee rights under ERISA, what recourse do employees of ONEOK, Inc. have if they believe their benefits are being mismanaged or if they encounter issues when filing claims related to their retirement benefits?

ERISA Rights and Recourse: Employees have rights under ERISA, including the ability to file claims and appeals if they believe their benefits are being mismanaged(ONEOK_Inc_Retirement_Pl…). If claims are denied, they can appeal and ultimately take legal action under Section 502(a) of ERISA if necessary.

What procedures does ONEOK, Inc. have in place for communicating changes to the retirement plan, and how can employees stay informed about updates that may affect their benefits or retirement planning?

Plan Updates and Communication: ONEOK communicates changes to its retirement plan through electronic and physical notices(ONEOK_Inc_Retirement_Pl…). Employees are encouraged to stay updated by regularly reviewing these communications and contacting HR if they need clarification.

How can employees of ONEOK, Inc. reach out for additional information regarding the retirement plan, and what are the best practices for utilizing the resources available for retirement planning assistance?

Accessing Retirement Information: Employees can contact ONEOK HR Solutions or access the Employee Self-Service platform for detailed information about their retirement plan(ONEOK_Inc_Retirement_Pl…). Best practices include regular consultations with HR to stay informed and plan effectively for retirement.