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Interest rates are a key driver of most financial assets. While most often referenced in relation to the bond market, rates are also a key input in traditional equity valuation models, which incorporate market interest rates to determine the appropriate rate to discount future cash flows. Interest rates are an essential element in bond pricing and the yield that investors require to own a particular fixed-income security. Since hitting an all-time low in 2020, interest rates increased in 2021 and have continued that climb higher thus far in 2022. This has put pressure on fixed incomes and certain areas of the equity market, which has led to stress in certain areas of the stock market, such as growth stocks, which can be sensitive to interest rate shocks. With that in mind, let’s examine why rates have been moving up, and whether this should be a cause for concern for TD Synnex employees.
MORE AGGRESSIVE FEDERAL RESERVE
The Federal Reserve (Fed) has already raised interest rates by 75 basis points this year. A 25 basis point hike in March followed by a 50 basis point hike in May. The Fed is currently expected to hike rates by 50 basis points in both the June and July meetings and will continue to hike through the better part of 2022. With inflation running hot and the job market showing strength, the fact that the Fed is finally moving away from zero shows confidence in the health of the job market. But the speed with which interest rates are expected to go up underscores its concern about the soaring cost of living. Americans living in areas like California or New York will experience this policy shift through higher borrowing costs: No longer will it be insanely cheap to take out mortgages or car loans and this along with higher inflation may lead to less investment in the market and more spending on needs, which is a main reason for market volatility, and important for TD Synnex employees and retirees to keep in mind.
INFLATION CONCERNS
Inflation is also a primary determinant of long-term interest rates. Rising inflation has the potential to eat away at fixed-income returns, so naturally, inflation expectations are a component of the yield that investors require to own fixed income. Put simply, inflation is a result of too much money chasing too few goods, and there are concerns that the increase in the level of money in circulation may lead to this. The extraordinary level of fiscal and monetary stimulus put in place to combat the economic damage of Coronavirus caused a significant increase in the M2 money supply. As a result, we are currently seeing this increase in the level of money in circulation translate to a pickup in consumer spending, but also elevated inflation.
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RISKS OF A RECESSION
Now that the pandemic has started to recede, the Fed has once again started to raise short-
term interest rates. This policy change has caused market volatility to spike for the three
major reasons to the right.
Today as the Fed begins to aggressively hike interest rates, market participants worry we may endure a period of high inflation alongside weakening economic growth — otherwise known as stagflation.
This environment is another example of why we believe in and suggest to our clients from TD Synnex that staying diversified is the best way to insulate portfolios from being too exposed to one risk factor.
Economic Definitions
M2 Money Supply: The M2 Money Supply, also referred to as “M2” or “Money Stock,” measures the amount of currency in circulation. M2 includes M1 (physical cash and checkable deposits) as well as less liquid money, such as saving bank accounts.
What are the key features of the retirement plans offered by TD that differentiate it from other companies in the industry, and how do these features benefit employees nearing retirement? Employees might be interested in understanding the specifics of the defined benefit pension plan, the 401(k) options, and any contributory plans, particularly how TD's offerings can provide financial security in their retirement years.
Key Features of TD Retirement Plans: TD offers an industry-leading, fully bank-paid defined benefit pension plan, particularly for eligible employees with salaries up to the Canada Pension Plan (CPP) or Quebec Pension Plan (QPP) maximum pensionable earnings. For salaries exceeding that threshold, an optional contributory pension plan is available. Additionally, TD provides a 401(k) retirement plan, including a bank contribution between 2% and 6% of pay and a match up to 4.5%, allowing employees to receive up to 10.5% in retirement savings contributions. This combination of pension and 401(k) benefits ensures robust financial security for employees nearing retirement(TD_Overview_of_Benefits…).
How can TD employees maximize their pension contributions and benefits to ensure a comfortable retirement, and what steps can they take to optimize their participation in TD's Employee Future Builder Program? This question would help employees understand the importance of planning and how maximizing contributions can lead to enhanced retiree financial security, particularly with the added benefits TD provides.
Maximizing Pension Contributions and Benefits: TD employees can maximize their pension contributions and benefits by fully utilizing both the defined benefit plan and the 401(k) retirement plan. By contributing the maximum amount to the 401(k), employees can take full advantage of TD's matching contributions, significantly boosting their retirement savings. Participation in the Employee Future Builder Program, which encourages saving through payroll deductions and lump sums, can also help employees optimize their retirement outcomes(TD_Overview_of_Benefits…).
In what ways does TD support employees’ health and wellness during their employment and into retirement, and how do these initiatives impact overall employee satisfaction and retention? A discussion on the health risks, preventive measures provided by the wellness programs, and the flexibility of benefits can serve as a roadmap for employees to utilize available resources effectively.
Health and Wellness Support: TD promotes employee health and wellness through a comprehensive benefits plan that covers medical, dental, disability, and vision care. Employees also have access to health consultation services and various wellness tools, such as online health risk assessments and on-site wellness services like massages and flu shots. These initiatives support overall employee well-being and contribute to higher satisfaction and retention rates(TD_Overview_of_Benefits…).
What options do TD employees have for accessing healthcare benefits in retirement, and how does TD ensure continuity of care for retirees with medical and dental plans? This question should focus on the eligibility criteria, coverage details, and support systems that TD has in place to assist employees transitioning into retirement.
Healthcare Benefits in Retirement: TD provides retiree medical and dental benefits to eligible groups, though some of these plans have been closed to new members in the U.S. Continuity of care is ensured through subsidized coverage, helping retirees manage their healthcare needs as they transition from active employment to retirement(TD_Overview_of_Benefits…).
How do the retirement savings plans at TD compare with industry standards in terms of employer contributions and matching programs, and what implications does this have for employees' long-term financial health? Employees would benefit from a comparison that highlights TD's competitive advantages and the potential impact on their retirement savings over time.
Comparison with Industry Standards: TD's retirement savings plans stand out in the industry due to its generous 401(k) matching program, where the bank matches up to 4.5% of employee contributions, alongside a fixed contribution of up to 6%. This level of employer contribution exceeds industry averages, significantly enhancing employees' long-term financial health(TD_Overview_of_Benefits…).
What resources are available to TD employees who need assistance navigating their benefits and retirement options, and how can these resources help with decision-making as they approach retirement? This could cover the Employee Assistance Program, financial advisory services, and other tools that help employees make informed decisions regarding their benefits.
Resources for Navigating Benefits: TD offers several resources to help employees navigate their benefits, including financial advisory services through the Employee Assistance Program (EAP) and tools such as the Employee Future Builder Program. These resources help employees make informed decisions about their benefits, particularly as they approach retirement(TD_Overview_of_Benefits…).
How does participation in TD's Employee Ownership Plan enhance the financial outlook for employees as they prepare for retirement, and why is this plan an attractive option for them? Employees would want to explore the mechanics of this plan, its benefits, and any strategies for maximizing their contributions.
Employee Ownership Plan: TD’s Employee Ownership Plan allows employees to purchase TD shares with the company matching 100% of the first $250 and 50% of additional contributions, up to a maximum of 3.5% of eligible earnings. This plan enhances employees’ financial security by giving them a stake in the company’s success, which can be an attractive retirement savings strategy(TD_Overview_of_Benefits…).
What is the process for TD employees to transition from their current roles to retirement, and what support does TD provide to ensure a smooth transition? Employees might look for details on informational sessions, retirement planning workshops, and personalized support that TD offers to facilitate this important life change.
Transitioning to Retirement: TD supports employees transitioning into retirement through informational resources, such as workshops and planning sessions. Personalized support is available to help employees navigate the various aspects of retirement planning, ensuring a smooth and well-supported transition from work to retirement(TD_Overview_of_Benefits…).
How can employees at TD keep informed about changes in retirement benefits and other important updates, and what channels are available for them to receive this information? This relates to the necessity of ongoing communication between TD and its employees about benefits.
Staying Informed About Benefits: TD communicates changes to retirement benefits through various channels, including internal communication platforms and regular updates from the human resources department. Employees can stay informed about important updates by accessing these resources and participating in informational sessions provided by TD(TD_Overview_of_Benefits…).
How can TD employees contact the company directly to learn more about their retirement options, and what personnel or resources are specifically dedicated to assisting them with retirement planning? Employees need clarity on whom to approach and what methods of communication (such as phone, email, or in-person consultations) they can use to get accurate information.
Contacting TD for Retirement Information: Employees can contact TD directly to learn more about their retirement options through the human resources department or financial advisory services. TD provides dedicated personnel and resources, such as in-person consultations and phone support, to assist employees in retirement planning(TD_Overview_of_Benefits…).
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