Interest rates are a key driver of most financial assets. While most often referenced in relation to the bond market, rates are also a key input in traditional equity valuation models, which incorporate market interest rates to determine the appropriate rate to discount future cash flows. Interest rates are an essential element in bond pricing and the yield that investors require to own a particular fixed-income security. Since hitting an all-time low in 2020, interest rates increased in 2021 and have continued that climb higher thus far in 2022. This has put pressure on fixed incomes and certain areas of the equity market, which has led to stress in certain areas of the stock market, such as growth stocks, which can be sensitive to interest rate shocks. With that in mind, let’s examine why rates have been moving up, and whether this should be a cause for concern for Unisys Corporation employees.
MORE AGGRESSIVE FEDERAL RESERVE
The Federal Reserve (Fed) has already raised interest rates by 75 basis points this year. A 25 basis point hike in March followed by a 50 basis point hike in May. The Fed is currently expected to hike rates by 50 basis points in both the June and July meetings and will continue to hike through the better part of 2022. With inflation running hot and the job market showing strength, the fact that the Fed is finally moving away from zero shows confidence in the health of the job market. But the speed with which interest rates are expected to go up underscores its concern about the soaring cost of living. Americans living in areas like California or New York will experience this policy shift through higher borrowing costs: No longer will it be insanely cheap to take out mortgages or car loans and this along with higher inflation may lead to less investment in the market and more spending on needs, which is a main reason for market volatility, and important for Unisys Corporation employees and retirees to keep in mind.
INFLATION CONCERNS
Inflation is also a primary determinant of long-term interest rates. Rising inflation has the potential to eat away at fixed-income returns, so naturally, inflation expectations are a component of the yield that investors require to own fixed income. Put simply, inflation is a result of too much money chasing too few goods, and there are concerns that the increase in the level of money in circulation may lead to this. The extraordinary level of fiscal and monetary stimulus put in place to combat the economic damage of Coronavirus caused a significant increase in the M2 money supply. As a result, we are currently seeing this increase in the level of money in circulation translate to a pickup in consumer spending, but also elevated inflation.
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RISKS OF A RECESSION
Now that the pandemic has started to recede, the Fed has once again started to raise short-
term interest rates. This policy change has caused market volatility to spike for the three
major reasons to the right.
Today as the Fed begins to aggressively hike interest rates, market participants worry we may endure a period of high inflation alongside weakening economic growth — otherwise known as stagflation.
This environment is another example of why we believe in and suggest to our clients from Unisys Corporation that staying diversified is the best way to insulate portfolios from being too exposed to one risk factor.
Economic Definitions
M2 Money Supply: The M2 Money Supply, also referred to as “M2” or “Money Stock,” measures the amount of currency in circulation. M2 includes M1 (physical cash and checkable deposits) as well as less liquid money, such as saving bank accounts.
What specific retirement options are available to employees of Unisys, and how do these options vary in terms of financial benefits, including considerations for early retirement vs. normal retirement age? In the context of the Unisys Pension Plan, what implications do these options have on long-term financial planning for employees at Unisys?
Retirement Options at Unisys: The Unisys Pension Plan provides options for normal, early, and unreduced retirement. Normal retirement is at age 65, and early retirement is available between ages 55 and 65, though benefits may be reduced for early retirement. Employees with at least 20 years of vesting service can retire without reductions from age 62. These options influence long-term financial planning as choosing early retirement may result in reduced benefits due to longer payout periods(Unisys_Corporation_Summ…).
How are pay credits calculated under the Unisys Pension Plan, and what factors might influence an employee's monthly pay credit pertaining to their Retirement Accumulation Account? Moreover, what are the potential impacts on retirement benefits if employees experience changes in their eligible pay during employment at Unisys?
Pay Credits Calculation: Pay credits under the Unisys Pension Plan were calculated at 4% of an employee’s eligible monthly pay from January 1, 2003, through December 31, 2006. Interest credits continue to accrue after this period until benefits are distributed. Changes in an employee’s eligible pay during employment will affect the total pay credits, thus impacting their retirement accumulation account(Unisys_Corporation_Summ…).
Can you explain the differences between credited service, eligibility service, and vesting service as defined by Unisys? What importance do these distinctions have on an employee's ability to access their retirement benefits, and how does each type of service contribute to the overall calculation of an employee's pension under the Unisys plan?
Service Types at Unisys: Credited service refers to the period used to calculate pension benefits, vesting service determines eligibility for receiving benefits, and eligibility service is the time required to become a participant in the plan. These distinctions are critical because credited service directly affects the benefit calculation, while vesting and eligibility service ensure employees qualify for benefits(Unisys_Corporation_Summ…).
What steps must Unisys employees take to initiate their pension benefits, and what specific information will they need to provide during the application process to ensure a smooth transition into retirement? Additionally, how does Unisys support employees in navigating this process, and what potential delays should employees be aware of?
Initiating Pension Benefits: To initiate pension benefits, employees must contact the Unisys Benefits Service Center and apply for their benefits. They must provide personal and employment details, including retirement age and chosen payout method (lump sum or annuity). Unisys supports employees through this process via their benefits service center, but delays can occur due to incomplete information or processing times(Unisys_Corporation_Summ…).
In what ways does the Unisys Pension Plan ensure protection for employees' benefits under federal law, particularly through the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC)? How does this insurance work in practice, and what types of benefits are specifically covered or not covered by the PBGC for Unisys employees?
PBGC Insurance: Unisys Pension Plan benefits are protected under the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC), ensuring employees receive guaranteed benefits even if the plan is terminated. However, certain benefits, such as non-qualified plans or supplemental executive retirement plans, may not be covered under PBGC(Unisys_Corporation_Summ…).
How might changes or amendments to the Unisys Pension Plan affect existing and future employees? In particular, what provisions does Unisys have in place to communicate significant changes in the plan to its employees, and what rights do employees have under ERISA if they disagree with these changes?
Impact of Plan Amendments: Any amendments to the Unisys Pension Plan could affect both existing and future employees. Unisys communicates significant changes through written notifications. Employees have rights under ERISA, including the right to challenge plan changes if they disagree with amendments that negatively affect their benefits(Unisys_Corporation_Summ…).
What considerations should employees of Unisys keep in mind regarding their benefits if they are nearing retirement age? Additionally, how can employees effectively prepare for potential changes to their health or work circumstances that could impact their retirement planning, given the options provided by Unisys?
Retirement Preparation: Employees nearing retirement should consider the timing of benefit elections, such as early or normal retirement. Preparing for potential health changes or shifts in work circumstances is essential, as these factors may alter retirement needs and benefit choices under the Unisys Pension Plan(Unisys_Corporation_Summ…).
What are the options available for Unisys employees who wish to designate beneficiaries for their retirement benefits, and how do these designations affect benefit distributions? Specifically, what criteria must be met for naming a contingent annuitant, and what restrictions might apply under the Unisys plan?
Beneficiary Designation: Unisys employees can designate beneficiaries for their retirement benefits. If a spouse is not the beneficiary, spousal consent may be required. A contingent annuitant can also be designated under certain restrictions, affecting the distribution of retirement benefits based on Unisys’ rules(Unisys_Corporation_Summ…).
How does the Unisys Benefits Service Center operate, and what resources are available for employees seeking information about their pension plans or retirement benefits? What are the best practices for contacting the Unisys Benefits Service Center to ensure that employees receive timely and accurate answers to their inquiries?
Unisys Benefits Service Center: The Unisys Benefits Service Center provides employees with resources for pension inquiries and applications. Best practices for contacting them include preparing all necessary personal and employment details to ensure timely and accurate responses(Unisys_Corporation_Summ…).
What are the most important elements of the Unisys Pension Plan that employees should review before retirement, and how can employees leverage the information provided in the summary plan description to optimize their retirement income? What role does employee education play in enhancing knowledge about these elements and ensuring informed decision-making about retirement benefits at Unisys?
Critical Pension Plan Elements: Employees should review their Retirement Accumulation Account, service years, and payout options before retirement. The summary plan description is a valuable resource for understanding how to maximize retirement income, and Unisys offers educational tools to help employees make informed decisions(Unisys_Corporation_Summ…).