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Don't Panic: A Bull Case for Equities Alcoa

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In light of recent market swings discussed in the article, Alcoa employees should keep a conservative portfolio,' said the report. Adapting your Retirement strategy to weather market volatilities can protect your future financial security without sacrificing growth as you approach Retirement, says Tyson Mavar of the Retirement Group.

Given recent steep dives in both stocks and bonds, Wesley Boudreaux of the Retirement Group says Alcoa employees should do some serious financial planning. This mitigates risks and positions you to profit from market recoveries - a resilient investment strategy in the face of economic uncertainty. '

In this article, we will discuss:

1. Market Volatility and Retirement: How market fluctuations affect retirees' savings and why a diversified investment portfolio is important.

2. Historical Market Recovery: History of how stocks have rebounded from corrections and the value of historical data in predicting market trends.

3. Economic Fundamentals and Projections: The robustness of U.S. economy fundamentals and their ability to contain short-term market volatilities.

DON'T PANIC

Several studies suggest that extreme market volatility may be especially difficult for retirees or those approaching retirement age to recover from possible losses. According to a report in October 2021 from Fidelity Investments, market volatility could wipe out retirement savings of up to 26% for those in their 60s. That underscores the need for a diversified investment portfolio and a solid retirement plan that reflects possible market volatility.

Stocks are off to among the worst starts in history for both markets. The S&P 500 Index was down 12.92% and other broad market indices were down double digits through April 2022. (1)

And worse than that, investors like those in Texas or New York are losing nearly as much as they are on the equity side of their portfolios. The Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index measures domestic fixed income and posted its sharpest quarterly loss since 1980 to start the year (2) and is down -9.50% through April end. The current environment has left investors with nowhere to run and some have left markets or gone to cash - so we feel it important to bring this up with our Alcoa clients.

A hasty reaction could leave investors missing out on a rebound, since historical equity performance following market corrections and solid underlying economic fundamentals point to a stock market rebound sooner rather than later. Contact retirement-focused advisors today if you're unsure of your situation.

A BULL CASE FOR EQUITIES:

OUR GUIDE - HISTORY. The S&P 500 entered correction territory again 22 trading days after exiting; it makes its fastest return to negative 10% performance since November 2008, when the Great Financial Crisis began. (3) For our Alcoa clients, the table below excludes periods where a correction turned into a bear market and shows how the S&P 500 fared after exiting a correction. In the S&P 500, the average gain after exiting a correction was nearly 14%, based on data going back to 1928. (4)

Not every bad start to the year is indicative of things to come, we remind our Alcoa clients. It marks the third worst start to 2022 for the S&P 500 Index.

In spite of this, stocks recover nicely after the worst starts - on average - and rise 10%. Double digit gains are certainly possible in the last eight months of the year based on statistics for our Alcoa clients. (5)

FOR MARKETS IT IS A BULL CASE: STRONG ECONOMIC FUNDAMENTALS Aside from historical performance that backed a second-half rally in equities, fundamentals for the U.S. economy remain solid. Demand resilience, robust corporate and consumer financial positioning, and rising earnings may provide shock absorbers during the near- to medium-term volatility that market observers expect to remain.

Initial expectations for first-quarter economic development showed a surprise contraction. US real GDP lost 1.4% (adjusted for inflation) from +6.9% in the previous quarter. This sharp slowdown was due to a drag from exports, a drop in inventory spending after a large uptick in the prior quarter and, less notably, in government spending. Moreover, consumer expenditure grew at a healthy pace - it makes up almost 70% of the U.S. economy. Personal consumption grew by 2.7% from 2.5% in the previous month, with increased expenditure on services. Over the previous decade, consumer spending grew an average of 2.3% per year. (1)

Business investment jumped by 9.2%, the highest level in a year - another positive economic indicator. If companies accelerate automation and investment to cope with persistent labor shortages, the broad momentum in capital expenditures should continue. Overall, the extremely constrained labor market and wage growth help consumers. We think consumption will continue to support above-average economic growth this year as the effects of the pandemic are easing - and remind our Alcoa clients of this. One last caveat: economic growth can differ greatly from stock market growth - as the markets currently stand.

Trying to predict the market by selling existing positions and entering a supposed 'safer' environment usually results in a big loss for shareholders. Investors do best if they stick to a plan, weather market downturns with conservative, risk-adjusted asset allocations, and remain invested through the turnaround when the biggest gains materialize.

Economic Definitions GDP is the ultimate market value of all goods and services made in a nation. It is the most used economic indicator. GDP by expenditure method measures total final expenditures at purchasers' prices excluding exports minus imports. This assumes inflation.

Index Definitions S&P 500:

The S&P 500 (r) is the best single indicator of large-cap U.S. equities and the basis of an enormous range of investment products. It includes 500 major companies and represents about 80% of market capitalization.

The Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index measures the investment-grade US dollar-denominated, fixed-rate taxable bond market. It contains Treasuries, government-related and corporate securities, MBS (agency fixed-rate pass-throughs), ABS, and CMBS (agency and non-agency).

The investment is like gardening. As a gardener would plant, tend and prune his plants, so must an investor take care of his investments. You need patience, diligence & a long term vision. As a gardener might face drought, pests or extreme weather, investors face market volatility, inflation, and economic downturns. But with planning, diversification, and periodic adjustments both gardeners and investors can reap great rewards. Time and effort pays off in a satisfying harvest.

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Sources:

1. Fidelity Investments.  'Fidelity Wealth Management - Perspectives on Inflation.'  Fidelity , 30 Apr. 2022,  www.fidelity.com .

2. Fidelity Investments.  'Fidelity 2023 RSA Executive Summary.'  The News Market , 2023, preview.thenewsmarket.com.

3. Lannan, Kelly.  'Fidelity® Q3 2021 Retirement Analysis: Retirement Savers ‘Stay the Course’ in Spite of Stock Market Swings and Ongoing Economic Uncertainty.'  Business Wire , 2021,  www.businesswire.com .

4. Fidelity Investments.  'Market Volatility Resources and Insights.'  Fidelity Institutional www.institutional.fidelity.com .

5. Fidelity Investments.  'Navigating the Current Environment.'  Fidelity www.fidelity.com .

What are the key eligibility requirements for employees to participate in the Pension Plan for Certain Hourly Employees of Alcoa USA Corp, and how do these requirements change if an employee is hired or rehired after April 1, 2022? This question aims to explore the specific criteria that must be met for participation in the plan, providing clarity on both the general eligibility for new employees and any exceptions for those previously employed.

Eligibility Requirements: Employees are automatically eligible for the Pension Plan for Certain Hourly Employees of Alcoa USA Corp if they were hired or rehired before April 1, 2022, have reached age 21, and completed one year of vesting service. Employees hired or rehired on or after April 1, 2022, are not eligible for this pension plan​(Alcoa USA Corp_Pension …).

How is the vesting service calculated in the context of the Alcoa USA Corp pension plan, and what implications does it have for an employee considering retirement? Understanding the nuances of how vesting service is accrued and the minimum time required to become vested can significantly impact an employee's retirement planning.

Vesting Service Calculation: Vesting service determines when an employee becomes eligible for pension benefits. Employees become vested after completing five years of vesting service, which includes both periods of pension service and non-pension service such as absences not counted towards pension service. This is crucial for retirement planning, as it ensures employees are entitled to pension benefits even if they leave the company after becoming vested​(Alcoa USA Corp_Pension …).

What various retirement options are available to employees of Alcoa USA Corp, and how do these options affect the benefits and payout structure for retiring employees? This question addresses the multiple choices employees face when planning their retirement, including the differences between normal retirement, early retirement, and disability retirement benefits.

Retirement Options: The plan offers normal retirement (at age 65 with five years of vesting service), 60/10 retirement (for employees between 60 and 62 with 10 years of vesting service), and 62/10 retirement (for employees between 62 and 65 with 10 years of vesting service). Disability retirement is also available for those permanently incapacitated with 10 years of vesting service​(Alcoa USA Corp_Pension …).

Can you elaborate on the survivor benefits provided under the Alcoa USA Corp pension plan, and what steps need to be taken to ensure that a spouse or partner is eligible for these benefits upon the employee's retirement? This question seeks to examine the protections and financial security afforded to survivors, alongside the required documentation and choices available to employees.

Survivor Benefits: The pension plan provides automatic surviving spouse coverage unless waived by the employee and spouse. Surviving spouse pensions are payable if the employee dies while actively employed and vested in the plan, after retirement, or while receiving a deferred vested pension. The spouse must submit a written application to claim benefits​(Alcoa USA Corp_Pension …)​(Alcoa USA Corp_Pension …).

What are the specific methodologies used to calculate the regular monthly pension for employees retiring under the Alcoa USA Corp pension plan, and how might these calculations vary based on an employee's age and years of service? This question looks at the complex actuarial factors that influence pension benefits, enhancing employees' understanding of how their retirement income is determined.

Pension Calculation: The regular monthly pension is calculated using a formula based on the employee's pension service and a pension factor in effect when pension service ends. For example, if an employee retires at 65 with 10 years of service, the pension factor might be $57 per year of service. The pension is adjusted based on age and service length​(Alcoa USA Corp_Pension …).

In the event of a disability, how does the Alcoa USA Corp pension plan provide support to affected employees, and what are the requirements to qualify for disability retirement benefits? This question emphasizes the importance of understanding disability provisions, ensuring employees are aware of their rights and the circumstances under which they might qualify for benefits.

Disability Retirement: Employees under 62 who are permanently incapacitated with at least 10 years of vesting service qualify for disability retirement. They must be deemed permanently disabled and unable to return to work in a bargaining unit occupation. A medical examination may be required to confirm ongoing eligibility​(Alcoa USA Corp_Pension …).

What steps must Alcoa USA Corp employees take to apply for retirement benefits, and what timelines are involved in the processing and payout of these benefits? This question delves into the procedural aspects of retirement applications, aiming to prepare potential retirees for the necessary actions they must undertake.

Retirement Application Process: Employees must file a retirement application with the plan administrator before their desired retirement date. The application can be filed up to 90 days before retirement, and the process typically includes receiving benefit explanations and payment elections within this timeframe​(Alcoa USA Corp_Pension …).

How does the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC) influence the pension benefits received by employees of Alcoa USA Corp, particularly in the context of plan terminations or financial challenges? This question explores the security provided by the PBGC, focusing on its role as a backup for employees’ pension benefits.

Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC): The PBGC provides a safety net for pension benefits in the case of plan termination or financial distress. If the pension plan is underfunded, the PBGC ensures employees still receive pension benefits, although certain limitations may apply​(Alcoa USA Corp_Pension …).

What resources and support does Alcoa USA Corp provide to its employees for understanding their pension plan, and how can employees reach out for assistance regarding their retirement options? This question emphasizes the resources available to employees for further education and guidance, ensuring they know where to turn for help.

Resources for Understanding the Plan: Employees can access information about their pension plan and retirement options through the Alight Worklife™ website or by calling the Alcoa benefits helpline. These resources offer guidance on applying for retirement and understanding plan benefits​(Alcoa USA Corp_Pension …).

How can employees of Alcoa USA Corp contact the benefits management team to learn more about their specific pension plan details, and what channels are available for inquiries? Understanding the communication channels can empower employees to seek the information they need, facilitating a smoother transition into retirement.

Contacting Benefits Management: Employees can reach out to the benefits management team through the Alight Worklife™ website or by phone at 1-844-31ALCOA. This service provides assistance with pension-related inquiries and retirement applications​(Alcoa USA Corp_Pension …).

With the current political climate we are in it is important to keep up with current news and remain knowledgeable about your benefits.
Alcoa Corporation offers a defined benefit pension plan for certain retirees, known as the Alcoa Retirement Plan. In 2022, Alcoa transferred $1 billion in pension obligations to an annuity, maintaining benefit levels for retirees. Eligibility typically requires a combination of years of service and age. Alcoa also offers a 401(k) plan with a company match of up to 6% of employee contributions. Employees can make traditional and Roth contributions, with immediate vesting for all contributions. [Source: Alcoa Benefits Summary, 2022, p. 12]
Restructuring and Leadership Changes: Alcoa announced a significant restructuring of its Executive Leadership Team effective February 1, 2023, to enhance operational excellence, cost management, and innovation. Key changes include William F. Oplinger becoming EVP and Chief Operations Officer, Molly Beerman being appointed as EVP and Chief Financial Officer, and Renato Bacchi taking on added responsibilities as EVP, Chief Strategy & Innovation Officer. These changes aim to align the company's strategy with its vision to reinvent the aluminum industry and integrate corporate strategy with innovative technologies (Source: Alcoa Corporation). Layoffs and Operational Adjustments: Alcoa took a $6 million charge related to layoffs at its Kwinana alumina refinery in Australia, part of a broader restructuring program. This decision was driven by operational setbacks and permitting issues in Australia. Additionally, the company has reduced the number of planned layoffs at its Warrick Operations from an estimated 600 to about 325. This reduction reflects ongoing adjustments to improve efficiency and align with market conditions (Sources: Mining Weekly, Indianapolis Business Journal).
Alcoa provides stock options and RSUs as part of its equity compensation programs. Stock options allow employees to purchase company stock at a fixed price after a vesting period, while RSUs are awarded with a promise of company shares upon meeting certain conditions. In 2022, Alcoa granted both stock options and RSUs to employees, focusing on performance-based RSUs to drive long-term goals. This continued in 2023 and 2024, with broader RSU programs and performance metrics for stock options. Executives and management receive substantial portions of compensation in stock options and RSUs, promoting long-term commitment and performance. [Source: Alcoa Annual Reports 2022-2024, p. 45]
In 2022, Alcoa enhanced its healthcare benefits with expanded mental health support and telemedicine services. By 2023, the company continued to focus on employee wellness with additional preventive care options and wellness initiatives. In 2024, Alcoa's strategy remained centered on integrating innovative health solutions and maintaining comprehensive healthcare coverage. The company emphasized digital health tools and employee support programs to address evolving needs. Alcoa aimed to ensure robust healthcare benefits while managing costs effectively. Their approach reflects a commitment to improving overall employee well-being and satisfaction.
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For more information you can reach the plan administrator for Alcoa at 390 park avenue New York, NY 10022-4608; or by calling them at (412) 315-2900.

https://contracts.justia.com/companies/alcoa-corp-5547/contract/224382/ https://corporate.findlaw.com/contracts/compensation/amendment-to-deferred-compensation-plan-alcoa2.html https://cache.hacontent.com/ybr/R516/16557_ybr_ybrfndt/downloads/PriorAlcoaSalariedAFN.pdf - Page 23 https://cache.hacontent.com/ybr/R516/16557_ybr_ybrfndt/downloads/PlanIIC.pdf - Page 15 https://www.cityofalcoa-tn.gov/DocumentCenter/View/1511/2023-Benefits-Guide?bidId= - Page 30 https://cache.hacontent.com/ybr/R515/16557_ybr_ybrfndt/downloads/11AlcoaSavingsPlan.pdf - Page 42 https://s29.q4cdn.com/844074237/files/doc_news/2022/07/20220808_PensionAnnuity-VFinal.pdf - Page 8 https://www.alcoa.com/global/en/pdf/sustainability/policies-benefits.pdf - Page 5 https://www.alcoa.com/global/en/pdf/corporate-governance/2023-proxy.pdf - Page 10 https://www.alcoa.com/global/en/pdf/2022-annual-report.pdf - Page 50 https://www.alcoa.com/global/en/pdf/employee-handbook-2024.pdf - Page 35 https://www.alcoa.com/global/en/pdf/benefits-summary-2023.pdf - Page 18

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