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Don't Panic: A Bull Case for Equities Target

In light of recent market swings discussed in the article, Target employees should keep a conservative portfolio,' said the report. Adapting your Retirement strategy to weather market volatilities can protect your future financial security without sacrificing growth as you approach Retirement, says Tyson Mavar of the Retirement Group.

Given recent steep dives in both stocks and bonds, Wesley Boudreaux of the Retirement Group says Target employees should do some serious financial planning. This mitigates risks and positions you to profit from market recoveries - a resilient investment strategy in the face of economic uncertainty. '

In this article, we will discuss:

1. Market Volatility and Retirement: How market fluctuations affect retirees' savings and why a diversified investment portfolio is important.

2. Historical Market Recovery: History of how stocks have rebounded from corrections and the value of historical data in predicting market trends.

3. Economic Fundamentals and Projections: The robustness of U.S. economy fundamentals and their ability to contain short-term market volatilities.

DON'T PANIC

Several studies suggest that extreme market volatility may be especially difficult for retirees or those approaching retirement age to recover from possible losses. According to a report in October 2021 from Fidelity Investments, market volatility could wipe out retirement savings of up to 26% for those in their 60s. That underscores the need for a diversified investment portfolio and a solid retirement plan that reflects possible market volatility.

Stocks are off to among the worst starts in history for both markets. The S&P 500 Index was down 12.92% and other broad market indices were down double digits through April 2022. (1)

And worse than that, investors like those in Texas or New York are losing nearly as much as they are on the equity side of their portfolios. The Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index measures domestic fixed income and posted its sharpest quarterly loss since 1980 to start the year (2) and is down -9.50% through April end. The current environment has left investors with nowhere to run and some have left markets or gone to cash - so we feel it important to bring this up with our Target clients.

A hasty reaction could leave investors missing out on a rebound, since historical equity performance following market corrections and solid underlying economic fundamentals point to a stock market rebound sooner rather than later. Contact retirement-focused advisors today if you're unsure of your situation.

A BULL CASE FOR EQUITIES:

OUR GUIDE - HISTORY. The S&P 500 entered correction territory again 22 trading days after exiting; it makes its fastest return to negative 10% performance since November 2008, when the Great Financial Crisis began. (3) For our Target clients, the table below excludes periods where a correction turned into a bear market and shows how the S&P 500 fared after exiting a correction. In the S&P 500, the average gain after exiting a correction was nearly 14%, based on data going back to 1928. (4)

Not every bad start to the year is indicative of things to come, we remind our Target clients. It marks the third worst start to 2022 for the S&P 500 Index.

In spite of this, stocks recover nicely after the worst starts - on average - and rise 10%. Double digit gains are certainly possible in the last eight months of the year based on statistics for our Target clients. (5)

FOR MARKETS IT IS A BULL CASE: STRONG ECONOMIC FUNDAMENTALS Aside from historical performance that backed a second-half rally in equities, fundamentals for the U.S. economy remain solid. Demand resilience, robust corporate and consumer financial positioning, and rising earnings may provide shock absorbers during the near- to medium-term volatility that market observers expect to remain.

Initial expectations for first-quarter economic development showed a surprise contraction. US real GDP lost 1.4% (adjusted for inflation) from +6.9% in the previous quarter. This sharp slowdown was due to a drag from exports, a drop in inventory spending after a large uptick in the prior quarter and, less notably, in government spending. Moreover, consumer expenditure grew at a healthy pace - it makes up almost 70% of the U.S. economy. Personal consumption grew by 2.7% from 2.5% in the previous month, with increased expenditure on services. Over the previous decade, consumer spending grew an average of 2.3% per year. (1)

Business investment jumped by 9.2%, the highest level in a year - another positive economic indicator. If companies accelerate automation and investment to cope with persistent labor shortages, the broad momentum in capital expenditures should continue. Overall, the extremely constrained labor market and wage growth help consumers. We think consumption will continue to support above-average economic growth this year as the effects of the pandemic are easing - and remind our Target clients of this. One last caveat: economic growth can differ greatly from stock market growth - as the markets currently stand.

Trying to predict the market by selling existing positions and entering a supposed 'safer' environment usually results in a big loss for shareholders. Investors do best if they stick to a plan, weather market downturns with conservative, risk-adjusted asset allocations, and remain invested through the turnaround when the biggest gains materialize.

Economic Definitions GDP is the ultimate market value of all goods and services made in a nation. It is the most used economic indicator. GDP by expenditure method measures total final expenditures at purchasers' prices excluding exports minus imports. This assumes inflation.

Index Definitions S&P 500:

The S&P 500 (r) is the best single indicator of large-cap U.S. equities and the basis of an enormous range of investment products. It includes 500 major companies and represents about 80% of market capitalization.

The Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index measures the investment-grade US dollar-denominated, fixed-rate taxable bond market. It contains Treasuries, government-related and corporate securities, MBS (agency fixed-rate pass-throughs), ABS, and CMBS (agency and non-agency).

The investment is like gardening. As a gardener would plant, tend and prune his plants, so must an investor take care of his investments. You need patience, diligence & a long term vision. As a gardener might face drought, pests or extreme weather, investors face market volatility, inflation, and economic downturns. But with planning, diversification, and periodic adjustments both gardeners and investors can reap great rewards. Time and effort pays off in a satisfying harvest.

Articles you may find interesting:

Sources:

1. Fidelity Investments. 'Fidelity Wealth Management - Perspectives on Inflation.' Fidelity , 30 Apr. 2022, www.fidelity.com .

2. Fidelity Investments. 'Fidelity 2023 RSA Executive Summary.' The News Market , 2023, preview.thenewsmarket.com.

3. Lannan, Kelly. 'Fidelity® Q3 2021 Retirement Analysis: Retirement Savers ‘Stay the Course’ in Spite of Stock Market Swings and Ongoing Economic Uncertainty.' Business Wire , 2021, www.businesswire.com .

4. Fidelity Investments. 'Market Volatility Resources and Insights.' Fidelity Institutional , www.institutional.fidelity.com .

5. Fidelity Investments. 'Navigating the Current Environment.' Fidelity , www.fidelity.com .

What are the key benefits provided by Target Corporation's Personal Pension Account and Traditional Plan for employees approaching retirement, and how do these plans ensure financial security during retirement years? Understanding the synergy between these two plans is essential for retirees, as they work together alongside Social Security and personal savings to replace a portion of an employee's paycheck after retirement.

Key Benefits of the Personal Pension Account and Traditional Plan: Target Corporation's pension plan includes two components: the Personal Pension Account and the Traditional Plan. These plans work in tandem to replace a portion of an employee's paycheck during retirement. The Personal Pension Account provides pay credits and interest that accumulate over time, while the Traditional Plan uses a final average pay formula. Together with Social Security and personal savings, these plans help ensure financial security in retirement(Target Corporation_Dece…).

How can employees elect different payment options, such as the Single Life Annuity or the Joint and Survivor Annuities, within Target Corporation's pension plans? It is crucial for employees to grasp not only the financial implications of these choices but also the necessary spousal consent required when designating a joint annuitant, particularly if the chosen joint annuitant is not the employee's spouse.

Payment Options and Spousal Consent: Employees can elect different payment options, including the Single Life Annuity, which provides the highest monthly benefit and ceases at the retiree’s death, or the Joint and Survivor Annuity, which continues payments to a surviving spouse. To elect a non-spouse as a joint annuitant, spousal consent is required, and this must be notarized to ensure compliance with plan rules(Target Corporation_Dece…).

In what circumstances might benefits not be paid under the Traditional Plan, and what steps can employees take to ensure they remain eligible for their pension benefits upon termination of employment? Target Corporation's policy outlines several scenarios where benefits could be denied, making it necessary for employees to be proactive in understanding their rights and responsibilities concerning plan participation.

Circumstances for Denial of Benefits under the Traditional Plan: Benefits under the Traditional Plan may not be paid if an employee leaves before becoming vested (less than three years of service). Employees should ensure they meet the vesting requirements and maintain eligibility by avoiding termination before they reach the minimum service period(Target Corporation_Dece…).

What procedures should employees follow to report changes in marital status, address, or beneficiaries to ensure compliance with the requirements of Target Corporation's pension plan? Employees must understand the importance of timely reporting these changes to avoid potential issues with their retirement benefits and ensure that their pension plan information remains up-to-date.

Reporting Changes in Marital Status or Beneficiaries: Employees must promptly report changes in marital status, address, or beneficiaries to Target's Benefits Center to ensure their pension records remain up-to-date. Failing to do so can lead to delays or issues in processing pension benefits(Target Corporation_Dece…).

How does Target Corporation determine the final average pay used to calculate retirement benefits under its pension plans, and what factors may affect this calculation? Employees nearing retirement should be fully informed about how their compensation is considered in determining their pension benefits, including aspects such as bonuses and overtime that may influence their final average pay calculation.

Final Average Pay Calculation: Target Corporation calculates final average pay based on the five highest years of earnings out of the last 10 years of service. This includes regular pay, overtime, bonuses, and commissions but excludes items like workers' compensation or long-term disability payments(Target Corporation_Dece…).

How can employees begin the process of rolling over their Target 401(k) accounts into the Pension Plan, and what advantages does this Pension Purchase Program offer? Understanding this rollover option is vital for maximizing retirement benefits, as it can provide employees with a stable income stream while avoiding unnecessary fees typically associated with purchasing annuities outside the plan.

Rolling Over 401(k) into the Pension Plan: Employees can roll over their 401(k) accounts into the Pension Plan using the Pension Purchase Program. This option offers several advantages, including avoiding fees associated with purchasing annuities outside the plan and receiving a stable income stream during retirement(Target Corporation_Dece…).

What are the implications of a participant's age and joint annuitant's age on the payment amounts under the various Joint and Survivor Annuity options at Target Corporation? Employees should be aware of how age differences can impact their pension payouts, as the specific percentages payable under these options may vary based on the ages of both the participant and their designated joint annuitant.

Effect of Participant and Joint Annuitant’s Age on Payments: The Joint and Survivor Annuity options are influenced by the ages of both the participant and the joint annuitant. The younger the joint annuitant, the lower the monthly payout due to actuarial adjustments. Employees should consider these factors when selecting an annuity option(Target Corporation_Dece…).

How are retirement benefits managed during potential plan terminations or amendments at Target Corporation, and what protections are in place for employees in these scenarios? Employees should be well-informed regarding their rights in the event of changes to the pension plan, including how benefits would be distributed and under what circumstances they may remain fully vested.

Plan Terminations or Amendments: In case of plan terminations or amendments, vested benefits are protected, and employees will receive their earned pension. If the plan is amended or terminated, Target ensures that vested benefits are distributed according to the plan's terms(Target Corporation_Dece…).

For employees retiring or leaving Target Corporation, what options are available with respect to unused vacation time and how might this be factored into pension calculations? Understanding how accrued time off translates into benefits could have a significant impact on an employee's financial positioning upon retirement.

Unused Vacation Time and Pension Calculations: Unused vacation time does not directly affect pension benefits but can be included in eligible earnings calculations that determine final average pay. Employees nearing retirement should consult with Target’s Benefits Center to understand how unused time may impact their overall benefits(Target Corporation_Dece…).

How can employees contact Target Corporation for assistance with their retirement benefits to address any questions or concerns they may have about their pension plans? Accessing the right resources and support is essential for employees to navigate their retirement benefits effectively. They can reach out to the Target Benefits Center at 800-828-5850 for more specific inquiries related to their personal circumstances. These questions aim to enhance employees' understanding of their retirement benefits, ensuring they are well-prepared for their transition into retirement.

Contacting Target for Pension Assistance: Employees can contact the Target Benefits Center at 800-828-5850 for assistance with their retirement and pension plans. This center provides support with any questions related to pension options, payments, and administrative requirements(Target Corporation_Dece…).

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For more information you can reach the plan administrator for Target at 10 South Dearborn Street 48th Floor Chicago, IL 60603; or by calling them at 1-800-440-0680.