New Update: Healthcare Costs Increasing by Over 60% in Some States. Will you be impacted?

Understanding the Impact of High Inflation: Insights for Penske Automotive Group Employees and Retirees

Healthcare Provider Update: Healthcare Provider for Penske Automotive Group Penske Automotive Group employees typically receive healthcare coverage through a variety of providers depending on their specific plan selections, with major national insurers like Kaiser Permanente, UnitedHealthcare, and Anthem BlueCross BlueShield being among the options available. The exact provider often varies by location and the specific plan chosen during open enrollment. Healthcare Cost Projections for 2026 The healthcare landscape is set for significant upheaval in 2026, with potential premium hikes expected to exceed 75% for many Affordable Care Act (ACA) marketplace enrollees, largely due to the expiration of enhanced federal subsidies. Penske Automotive Group employees, particularly those nearing retirement, may face steep increases in their healthcare costs as insurers respond to rising medical expenses and price inflation. With the ACA marketplace seeing some state requests for premium increases reaching as high as 66%, careful financial planning will be essential for employees heading into another challenging year in healthcare affordability. Click here to learn more

In March 2022, the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), the most common measure of inflation, rose at an annual rate of 8.5%, the highest level since December 1981. ¹ It's not surprising that a Gallup poll at the end of March found that one out of six Americans considers inflation to be the most important problem facing the United States. ²

When inflation began rising in the spring of 2021, many economists, including policymakers at the Federal Reserve, believed the increase would be transitory and subside over a period of months. One year later, inflation has proven to be more stubborn than expected. It may be helpful for Penske Automotive Group employees and retirees to look at some of the forces behind rising prices, the Fed's plan to combat them, and early signs that inflation may be easing.

Hot Economy Meets Russia and China
The fundamental cause of rising inflation continues to be the growing pains of a rapidly opening economy — a combination of pent-up consumer demand, supply-chain slowdowns, and not enough workers to fill open jobs. Loose Federal Reserve monetary policies and billions of dollars in government stimulus helped prevent a deeper recession but added fuel to the fire when the economy reopened.

More recently, the Russian invasion of Ukraine has placed upward pressure on already high global fuel and food prices. ³ At the same time, a COVID resurgence in China led to strict lockdowns that have closed factories and tightened already struggling supply chains for Chinese goods. The volume of cargo handled by the port of Shanghai, the world's busiest port, dropped by an estimated 40% in early April. ⁴

Behind the Headlines
Although the 8.5% year-over-year 'headline' inflation in March is a daunting number for our Penske Automotive Group clients to consider, monthly numbers provide a clearer picture of the current trend. The month-over-month increase of 1.2% was extremely high, but more than half of it was due to gasoline prices, which rose 18.3% in March alone. ⁵ Despite the Russia-Ukraine conflict and increased seasonal demand, U.S. gas prices dropped in April, but the trend was moving upward by the end of the month. ⁶ The federal government's decision to release one million barrels of oil per day from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the next six months and allow summer sales of higher-ethanol gasoline may help moderate prices. ⁷

Core inflation, which strips out volatile food and energy prices, rose 6.5% year-over-year in March, the highest rate since 1982. However, it's important that our Penske Automotive Group clients consider that the month-over-month increase from February to March was just 0.3%, the slowest pace in six months. Another positive sign was the price of used cars and trucks, which rose more than 35% over the last 12 months (a prime driver of general inflation) but dropped 3.8% in March. ⁸

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Wages and Consumer Demand
In March, average hourly earnings increased by 5.6% — but not enough to keep up with inflation and blunt the effects that impacted a variety of businesses, as well as many Penske Automotive Group employees and retirees around the country. Lower-paid service workers received higher increases, with wages jumping by almost 15% for non-management employees in the leisure and hospitality industry. Although inflation has cut deeply into wage gains over the last year, wages have increased at about the same rate as inflation over the two-year period of the pandemic. ⁹

One of the big questions going forward is whether rising wages will enable consumers to continue to pay higher prices, which can lead to an inflationary spiral of ever-increasing wages and prices. Recent signals are mixed. The official measure of consumer spending increased 1.1% in March, but an early April poll found that two out of three Americans had cut back on spending due to inflation. ^10-11

Soft or Hard Landing?
The current inflationary situation has raised many questions among our Penske Automotive Group clients in regard to what the solution is. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) of the Federal Reserve has laid out a plan to fight inflation by raising interest rates and tightening the money supply. After dropping the benchmark federal funds rate to near zero in order to stimulate the economy at the onset of the pandemic, the FOMC raised the rate by 0.25% at its March 2022 meeting and projected the equivalent of six more quarter-percent increases by the end of the year and three or four more in 2024. ¹² This would bring the rate to around 2.75%, just above what the FOMC considers a 'neutral rate' that will neither stimulate nor restrain the economy. ¹³

These moves were projected to bring the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, down to 4.3% by the end of 2022, 2.7% by the end of 2023, and 2.3% by the end of 2024. ¹⁴ PCE inflation — which was 6.6% in March — tends to run below CPI, so even if the Fed achieves these goals, CPI inflation will likely remain somewhat higher. ¹⁵

Fed policymakers have signaled a willingness to be more aggressive, if necessary, and the FOMC raised the fund's rate by 0.5% at its May meeting, as opposed to the more common 0.25% increase. This was the first half-percent increase since May 2000, and there may be more to come. The FOMC also began reducing the Fed's bond holdings to tighten the money supply. New projections to be released in June will provide an updated picture of the Fed's intentions for the federal funds rate. ¹⁶

The question facing the FOMC is how fast it can raise interest rates and tighten the money supply while maintaining optimal employment and economic growth. The ideal is a 'soft landing,' similar to what occurred in the 1990s, when inflation was tamed without damaging the economy. At the other extreme is the 'hard landing' of the early 1980s, when the Fed raised the fund's rate to almost 20% in order to control runaway double-digit inflation, throwing the economy into a recession. ¹⁸

Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledges that a soft landing will be difficult to achieve, but he believes the strong job market may help the economy withstand aggressive monetary policies. Supply chains are expected to improve over time, and workers who have not yet returned to the labor force might fill open jobs without increasing wage and price pressures. ¹⁹

The next few months will be a key period to reveal the future direction of inflation and monetary policy, and we recommend that Penske Automotive Group employees and retirees keep this topic in mind. The hope is that March represented the peak and inflation will begin to trend downward. But even if that proves to be true, it could be a painfully slow descent.

We'd like to remind our clients from Penske Automotive Group that projections are based on current conditions, are subject to change, and may not come to pass.

1, 5, 8-9) U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2022
2) Gallup, March 29, 2022
3, 7) The New York Times, April 12, 2022
4) CNBC, April 7, 2022
6) AAA, April 25 & 29, 2022
10, 15) U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, 2022
11) CBS News, April 11, 2022
12, 14, 16) Federal Reserve, 2022
13, 17) The Wall Street Journal, April 18, 2022
18) The New York Times, March 21, 2022

What are the specific eligibility criteria for participation in the Penske Cash Balance Plan, and how can employees of Penske ensure they meet these requirements as they work towards retirement? Furthermore, how does the plan address the transition from being a participant to receiving benefits once the eligibility criteria are met?

Eligibility Criteria: Employees of Penske automatically become participants in the Penske Cash Balance Plan after completing a year in which they work 1,000 or more hours, as long as they are in an eligible group. To ensure they meet the eligibility requirements, employees should confirm they meet these conditions annually and consult the Summary Plan Description for details(Penske Cash Balance Pla…).

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Plan Differences: The Penske Cash Balance Plan is a defined benefit plan, offering benefits similar to a defined contribution plan but providing additional options like lump-sum distributions and annuities. Employees should carefully evaluate these options, as lump sums provide immediate access to funds, while annuities ensure steady long-term payments. Both choices impact long-term financial stability(Penske Cash Balance Pla…).

How does the concept of vesting apply to the Penske Cash Balance Plan, and what are the steps that employees of Penske should take to ensure they understand their rights to these benefits prior to retirement? Furthermore, what resources are available to help employees fully grasp the nuances of vesting in relation to their individual situations?

Vesting: Vesting refers to an employee's right to receive benefits even if they leave Penske before retirement. Employees must meet specific requirements to become vested, and they can consult the Brief Plan Summary to fully understand their rights(Penske Cash Balance Pla…).

What mechanisms does the Penske Cash Balance Plan have in place to ensure that employees can trust they will receive their benefits? How does this assurance interact with projected benefits and calculations provided through DB Online, and what should employees of Penske do if they have concerns about the accuracy of their benefit estimates?

Benefit Assurance: Benefits from the Penske Cash Balance Plan are paid from a trust fund established by the company and insured by the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC). Employees can rely on the trust fund and the PBGC for benefit security, and should contact the Customer Contact Center if they have concerns about benefit estimates(Penske Cash Balance Pla…).

How are pension benefits from the Penske Cash Balance Plan typically taxed, and what strategies can employees of Penske implement to manage tax implications effectively during their retirement planning? Moreover, what are the possible ways to minimize taxes on lump sum distributions compared to annuity payments?

Taxation: Benefits from the Penske Cash Balance Plan are generally taxed as ordinary income. Employees can manage taxes effectively by rolling over lump-sum distributions to an IRA to defer tax payments. Careful consideration of lump sums versus annuities can minimize taxes over time(Penske Cash Balance Pla…).

What are the various forms of payment options available under the Penske Cash Balance Plan, and how should employees of Penske evaluate their choices regarding life annuities versus lump sum payments? Additionally, how do these payment options affect short-term and long-term financial stability in retirement?

Payment Options: Employees can choose between lump-sum payments and various types of annuities. Evaluating these options is essential for balancing short-term and long-term financial goals, as lump sums offer immediate liquidity, while annuities provide lifetime payments(Penske Cash Balance Pla…).

In the event of a divorce or separation, what specific procedures must employees of Penske follow to protect their pension benefits, and how does a Qualified Domestic Relations Order (QDRO) impact these benefits? What guidance does the Penske Cash Balance Plan provide to ensure that the division of assets is conducted appropriately?

Divorce and QDRO: In the event of a divorce, employees must obtain a Qualified Domestic Relations Order (QDRO) to divide their pension benefits. This court order ensures that the division is legally recognized, and employees should refer to plan procedures for guidance(Penske Cash Balance Pla…).

How can employees of Penske prepare for the multitude of decisions they need to make as they approach retirement, and what resources does the company offer to assist in this decision-making process? Additionally, how do the various teams and services provided by Penske streamline the retirement transition for its employees?

Retirement Preparation: Penske offers specialized retirement counseling and customer support services to help employees navigate retirement decisions. These resources can assist employees in making informed choices and smooth their transition into retirement(Penske Cash Balance Pla…).

What are the major types of annuities offered by the Penske Cash Balance Plan, and how should employees of Penske assess the suitability of these annuity options for their personal retirement needs? What does the company recommend in terms of beneficiaries and their implications for future payments from the plan?

Annuity Options: Penske offers various annuities, including life annuities and joint survivor annuities. Employees should assess these based on their personal needs and consult the company for recommendations regarding beneficiaries to ensure future payments are secure(Penske Cash Balance Pla…).

How can employees of Penske contact the company to inquire further about the Penske Cash Balance Plan and its intricacies? What methods of communication are available, and what information should employees gather beforehand to make their inquiries as productive as possible?

Contact Information: Employees can contact the Penske Cash Balance Plan administrators by calling 1-800-755-5801 for further inquiries. It's advisable to have all relevant documents and questions prepared in advance to make the discussion more productive(Penske Cash Balance Pla…).