New Update: Healthcare Costs Increasing by Over 60% in Some States. Will you be impacted?

Understanding the Impact of High Inflation: Insights for Southwest Gas Holdings Employees and Retirees

Healthcare Provider Update: Healthcare Provider for Southwest Gas Holdings Southwest Gas Holdings provides healthcare benefits through a variety of insurers, primarily utilizing Aetna for their healthcare plans. This partnership enables employees to access a broad network of healthcare services. Expected Healthcare Cost Increases in 2026 As we approach 2026, healthcare costs are anticipated to soar, significantly impacting those affiliated with Southwest Gas Holdings. This expected surge stems from factors such as the expiration of enhanced federal subsidies for Affordable Care Act (ACA) plans, which could lead to a staggering increase of over 75% in out-of-pocket premiums for many enrollees. Moreover, aggressive rate hikes from major insurers, combined with rising medical costs, suggest that employees and retirees may face a challenging financial landscape in the coming year. Proactive management of health benefits and planning will be crucial for individuals navigating these increasing costs. Click here to learn more

In March 2022, the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), the most common measure of inflation, rose at an annual rate of 8.5%, the highest level since December 1981. ¹ It's not surprising that a Gallup poll at the end of March found that one out of six Americans considers inflation to be the most important problem facing the United States. ²

When inflation began rising in the spring of 2021, many economists, including policymakers at the Federal Reserve, believed the increase would be transitory and subside over a period of months. One year later, inflation has proven to be more stubborn than expected. It may be helpful for Southwest Gas Holdings employees and retirees to look at some of the forces behind rising prices, the Fed's plan to combat them, and early signs that inflation may be easing.

Hot Economy Meets Russia and China
The fundamental cause of rising inflation continues to be the growing pains of a rapidly opening economy — a combination of pent-up consumer demand, supply-chain slowdowns, and not enough workers to fill open jobs. Loose Federal Reserve monetary policies and billions of dollars in government stimulus helped prevent a deeper recession but added fuel to the fire when the economy reopened.

More recently, the Russian invasion of Ukraine has placed upward pressure on already high global fuel and food prices. ³ At the same time, a COVID resurgence in China led to strict lockdowns that have closed factories and tightened already struggling supply chains for Chinese goods. The volume of cargo handled by the port of Shanghai, the world's busiest port, dropped by an estimated 40% in early April. ⁴

Behind the Headlines
Although the 8.5% year-over-year 'headline' inflation in March is a daunting number for our Southwest Gas Holdings clients to consider, monthly numbers provide a clearer picture of the current trend. The month-over-month increase of 1.2% was extremely high, but more than half of it was due to gasoline prices, which rose 18.3% in March alone. ⁵ Despite the Russia-Ukraine conflict and increased seasonal demand, U.S. gas prices dropped in April, but the trend was moving upward by the end of the month. ⁶ The federal government's decision to release one million barrels of oil per day from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the next six months and allow summer sales of higher-ethanol gasoline may help moderate prices. ⁷

Core inflation, which strips out volatile food and energy prices, rose 6.5% year-over-year in March, the highest rate since 1982. However, it's important that our Southwest Gas Holdings clients consider that the month-over-month increase from February to March was just 0.3%, the slowest pace in six months. Another positive sign was the price of used cars and trucks, which rose more than 35% over the last 12 months (a prime driver of general inflation) but dropped 3.8% in March. ⁸

Articles you may find interesting:

Wages and Consumer Demand
In March, average hourly earnings increased by 5.6% — but not enough to keep up with inflation and blunt the effects that impacted a variety of businesses, as well as many Southwest Gas Holdings employees and retirees around the country. Lower-paid service workers received higher increases, with wages jumping by almost 15% for non-management employees in the leisure and hospitality industry. Although inflation has cut deeply into wage gains over the last year, wages have increased at about the same rate as inflation over the two-year period of the pandemic. ⁹

One of the big questions going forward is whether rising wages will enable consumers to continue to pay higher prices, which can lead to an inflationary spiral of ever-increasing wages and prices. Recent signals are mixed. The official measure of consumer spending increased 1.1% in March, but an early April poll found that two out of three Americans had cut back on spending due to inflation. ^10-11

Soft or Hard Landing?
The current inflationary situation has raised many questions among our Southwest Gas Holdings clients in regard to what the solution is. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) of the Federal Reserve has laid out a plan to fight inflation by raising interest rates and tightening the money supply. After dropping the benchmark federal funds rate to near zero in order to stimulate the economy at the onset of the pandemic, the FOMC raised the rate by 0.25% at its March 2022 meeting and projected the equivalent of six more quarter-percent increases by the end of the year and three or four more in 2024. ¹² This would bring the rate to around 2.75%, just above what the FOMC considers a 'neutral rate' that will neither stimulate nor restrain the economy. ¹³

These moves were projected to bring the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, down to 4.3% by the end of 2022, 2.7% by the end of 2023, and 2.3% by the end of 2024. ¹⁴ PCE inflation — which was 6.6% in March — tends to run below CPI, so even if the Fed achieves these goals, CPI inflation will likely remain somewhat higher. ¹⁵

Fed policymakers have signaled a willingness to be more aggressive, if necessary, and the FOMC raised the fund's rate by 0.5% at its May meeting, as opposed to the more common 0.25% increase. This was the first half-percent increase since May 2000, and there may be more to come. The FOMC also began reducing the Fed's bond holdings to tighten the money supply. New projections to be released in June will provide an updated picture of the Fed's intentions for the federal funds rate. ¹⁶

The question facing the FOMC is how fast it can raise interest rates and tighten the money supply while maintaining optimal employment and economic growth. The ideal is a 'soft landing,' similar to what occurred in the 1990s, when inflation was tamed without damaging the economy. At the other extreme is the 'hard landing' of the early 1980s, when the Fed raised the fund's rate to almost 20% in order to control runaway double-digit inflation, throwing the economy into a recession. ¹⁸

Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledges that a soft landing will be difficult to achieve, but he believes the strong job market may help the economy withstand aggressive monetary policies. Supply chains are expected to improve over time, and workers who have not yet returned to the labor force might fill open jobs without increasing wage and price pressures. ¹⁹

The next few months will be a key period to reveal the future direction of inflation and monetary policy, and we recommend that Southwest Gas Holdings employees and retirees keep this topic in mind. The hope is that March represented the peak and inflation will begin to trend downward. But even if that proves to be true, it could be a painfully slow descent.

We'd like to remind our clients from Southwest Gas Holdings that projections are based on current conditions, are subject to change, and may not come to pass.

1, 5, 8-9) U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2022
2) Gallup, March 29, 2022
3, 7) The New York Times, April 12, 2022
4) CNBC, April 7, 2022
6) AAA, April 25 & 29, 2022
10, 15) U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, 2022
11) CBS News, April 11, 2022
12, 14, 16) Federal Reserve, 2022
13, 17) The Wall Street Journal, April 18, 2022
18) The New York Times, March 21, 2022

How does the Southwest Carpenters Pension Plan accommodate changes in benefits for employees who have been affected by the COVID-19 pandemic, and what specific provisions have been implemented to ensure continuity of pension credit during such interruptions? Employees of the Southwest Carpenters Pension Plan are particularly encouraged to review how these provisions may impact their retirement plans and benefits, especially given the unprecedented circumstances of the pandemic.

The Southwest Carpenters Pension Plan accommodated changes due to COVID-19 by extending various deadlines for participants, such as the 12-month deadline to apply for pension credit for periods of disability, and other deadlines regarding claims and appeals. These extensions were applied from March 1, 2020, to a period of up to one year after the original deadline or 60 days after the end of the COVID-19 national emergency, ensuring continuity of pension credit during the pandemic interruptions(Southwest Carpenters Pe…).

What enhancements to pension benefit calculations have been introduced for the years following January 1, 2021, under the Southwest Carpenters Pension Plan, and how do these changes affect participants working more than 1,800 hours? This question emphasizes the implications of increased benefit accrual rates and the actual processes employees must follow to calculate their pensions effectively.

Enhancements to pension benefit calculations effective January 1, 2021, under the Southwest Carpenters Pension Plan include an increase in the monthly benefit accrual rate for participants working 1,800 hours or more. The rate increased from $100 to $200, and for those working more than 1,800 hours, a maximum benefit accrual rate of $244.44 was introduced(Southwest Carpenters Pe…).

In the context of the Southwest Carpenters Pension Plan, could you explain the eligibility criteria for receiving a Service Pension and how employees can accumulate the necessary Pension Credits more quickly? This consideration is vital for members who wish to understand the retirement options available to them and the strategies they might employ in their careers to maximize their benefits under the Southwest Carpenters Pension Plan.

Employees of the Southwest Carpenters Pension Plan are eligible for a Service Pension after earning 30 years of Pension Credit. Additional Service Pension Eligibility Credit was introduced, allowing employees working over 1,800 hours annually to accumulate credits more quickly, up to a maximum of 2,200 hours(Southwest Carpenters Pe…).

How do temporary disability benefits interact with the accumulation of Pension Credits within the Southwest Carpenters Pension Plan? Specifically, employees may have questions about how their working history and service time might be affected should they take leave for health-related reasons, highlighting the intricate balance between pay and benefits during challenging times.

Temporary disability benefits under the Southwest Carpenters Pension Plan allow participants to accumulate Pension Credits during non-working periods if they are on short-term disability or receiving workers' compensation. Pension Credits can be granted for up to 1,200 hours annually, depending on the nature of the disability and employment history(Southwest Carpenters Pe…).

What are the implications of the revised definitions under the Required Beginning Date as specified by the Southwest Carpenters Pension Plan, particularly in compliance with the SECURE Act (Setting Every Community Up for Retirement Enhancement Act)? Employees should understand how these legislative changes affect their retirement strategies, especially in light of penalties for failing to comply with mandatory commencement dates.

The Required Beginning Date for the Southwest Carpenters Pension Plan was revised to comply with the SECURE Act. Participants born on or after July 1, 1949, must begin receiving benefits by April 1 of the calendar year following the year they turn 72. Failure to comply with this could result in a 50% excise tax(Southwest Carpenters Pe…).

How can employees of the Southwest Carpenters Pension Plan navigate the process for applying for pension credit during periods of Temporary Disability, and what specific documentation is required? This inquiry encourages a deeper understanding of protocol surrounding disability applications and the associated benefits that participants are entitled to under the Plan.

Employees applying for pension credit during periods of Temporary Disability must submit a written application within one year of the onset of the disability, and provide documentation such as state-approved short-term disability certification or workers' compensation benefits(Southwest Carpenters Pe…).

What are the implications of the retroactive increases to the Southwest Carpenters Pension Plan benefits aimed at participants who accrued credit during the years 2011 to 2020, and how can affected employees determine their eligibility for said increases? Employees often seek clarification on how historical contributions can manifest in current benefits.

Retroactive increases to the Southwest Carpenters Pension Plan benefits for the years 2011 to 2020 apply to participants who worked at least 1,000 hours in 2020 or under specific collective bargaining agreements. A 50% increase in benefit accrual rates was applied to these years, and eligible employees can determine their eligibility based on their hours worked(Southwest Carpenters Pe…).

What role does the Southwest Carpenters Administrative Office play in assisting employees who have questions regarding modifiability in their pension plans, and what are the best methods for contacting them for assistance? This question highlights the importance of communication within the organization concerning employee inquiries and issue resolution.

The Southwest Carpenters Administrative Office assists employees with questions regarding modifications to their pension plans. Participants can contact them at (213) 386-8590 or (800) 293-1370 for personalized assistance(Southwest Carpenters Pe…).

Can you detail the factors influencing the Benefit Accrual Rate for participants of the Southwest Carpenters Pension Plan for the calendar years after 2021, and how might employees calculate their expected pension benefits? Participants will want to understand the nuances of how their benefits are computed to make informed decisions regarding their retirement planning.

The Benefit Accrual Rate for participants of the Southwest Carpenters Pension Plan after 2021 increased to $200 for 1,800 hours worked, with higher accrual rates for additional hours. Employees can calculate their benefits by multiplying their benefit accrual rate by the applicable benefit factor(Southwest Carpenters Pe…).

In the event of legal actions regarding benefits under ERISA against the Southwest Carpenters Pension Plan, what venue restrictions apply, and what does this mean for participants seeking resolution in disputes? Employees need to be informed of the legal frameworks governing their benefits and understand their rights and the procedures that affect their claims within the Southwest Carpenters Pension Plan.

Legal actions regarding benefits under ERISA against the Southwest Carpenters Pension Plan must be filed in Federal District Court in Los Angeles County, California. This venue restriction defines the jurisdiction where participants must file claims(Southwest Carpenters Pe…).