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Understanding the Impact of High Inflation: Insights for Textron Employees and Retirees

Healthcare Provider Update: Textron, an aerospace and defense company, primarily uses UnitedHealthcare as its healthcare provider for employee health plans. In 2026, healthcare costs are anticipated to rise significantly, with many Affordable Care Act (ACA) marketplace insurers projecting premium increases. A combination of factors-including the potential expiration of enhanced federal premium subsidies-could lead to out-of-pocket costs skyrocketing for millions of consumers. For instance, without these subsidies, many individuals may face premium hikes of over 75%. States like New York and Arkansas are expecting the most severe increases, with some premiums rising by up to 66.4%. This trend underscores the rising burden of healthcare costs, making it imperative for consumers to strategize their healthcare expenditures ahead of 2026. Click here to learn more

In March 2022, the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), the most common measure of inflation, rose at an annual rate of 8.5%, the highest level since December 1981. ¹ It's not surprising that a Gallup poll at the end of March found that one out of six Americans considers inflation to be the most important problem facing the United States. ²

When inflation began rising in the spring of 2021, many economists, including policymakers at the Federal Reserve, believed the increase would be transitory and subside over a period of months. One year later, inflation has proven to be more stubborn than expected. It may be helpful for Textron employees and retirees to look at some of the forces behind rising prices, the Fed's plan to combat them, and early signs that inflation may be easing.

Hot Economy Meets Russia and China
The fundamental cause of rising inflation continues to be the growing pains of a rapidly opening economy — a combination of pent-up consumer demand, supply-chain slowdowns, and not enough workers to fill open jobs. Loose Federal Reserve monetary policies and billions of dollars in government stimulus helped prevent a deeper recession but added fuel to the fire when the economy reopened.

More recently, the Russian invasion of Ukraine has placed upward pressure on already high global fuel and food prices. ³ At the same time, a COVID resurgence in China led to strict lockdowns that have closed factories and tightened already struggling supply chains for Chinese goods. The volume of cargo handled by the port of Shanghai, the world's busiest port, dropped by an estimated 40% in early April. ⁴

Behind the Headlines
Although the 8.5% year-over-year 'headline' inflation in March is a daunting number for our Textron clients to consider, monthly numbers provide a clearer picture of the current trend. The month-over-month increase of 1.2% was extremely high, but more than half of it was due to gasoline prices, which rose 18.3% in March alone. ⁵ Despite the Russia-Ukraine conflict and increased seasonal demand, U.S. gas prices dropped in April, but the trend was moving upward by the end of the month. ⁶ The federal government's decision to release one million barrels of oil per day from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the next six months and allow summer sales of higher-ethanol gasoline may help moderate prices. ⁷

Core inflation, which strips out volatile food and energy prices, rose 6.5% year-over-year in March, the highest rate since 1982. However, it's important that our Textron clients consider that the month-over-month increase from February to March was just 0.3%, the slowest pace in six months. Another positive sign was the price of used cars and trucks, which rose more than 35% over the last 12 months (a prime driver of general inflation) but dropped 3.8% in March. ⁸

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Wages and Consumer Demand
In March, average hourly earnings increased by 5.6% — but not enough to keep up with inflation and blunt the effects that impacted a variety of businesses, as well as many Textron employees and retirees around the country. Lower-paid service workers received higher increases, with wages jumping by almost 15% for non-management employees in the leisure and hospitality industry. Although inflation has cut deeply into wage gains over the last year, wages have increased at about the same rate as inflation over the two-year period of the pandemic. ⁹

One of the big questions going forward is whether rising wages will enable consumers to continue to pay higher prices, which can lead to an inflationary spiral of ever-increasing wages and prices. Recent signals are mixed. The official measure of consumer spending increased 1.1% in March, but an early April poll found that two out of three Americans had cut back on spending due to inflation. ^10-11

Soft or Hard Landing?
The current inflationary situation has raised many questions among our Textron clients in regard to what the solution is. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) of the Federal Reserve has laid out a plan to fight inflation by raising interest rates and tightening the money supply. After dropping the benchmark federal funds rate to near zero in order to stimulate the economy at the onset of the pandemic, the FOMC raised the rate by 0.25% at its March 2022 meeting and projected the equivalent of six more quarter-percent increases by the end of the year and three or four more in 2024. ¹² This would bring the rate to around 2.75%, just above what the FOMC considers a 'neutral rate' that will neither stimulate nor restrain the economy. ¹³

These moves were projected to bring the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, down to 4.3% by the end of 2022, 2.7% by the end of 2023, and 2.3% by the end of 2024. ¹⁴ PCE inflation — which was 6.6% in March — tends to run below CPI, so even if the Fed achieves these goals, CPI inflation will likely remain somewhat higher. ¹⁵

Fed policymakers have signaled a willingness to be more aggressive, if necessary, and the FOMC raised the fund's rate by 0.5% at its May meeting, as opposed to the more common 0.25% increase. This was the first half-percent increase since May 2000, and there may be more to come. The FOMC also began reducing the Fed's bond holdings to tighten the money supply. New projections to be released in June will provide an updated picture of the Fed's intentions for the federal funds rate. ¹⁶

The question facing the FOMC is how fast it can raise interest rates and tighten the money supply while maintaining optimal employment and economic growth. The ideal is a 'soft landing,' similar to what occurred in the 1990s, when inflation was tamed without damaging the economy. At the other extreme is the 'hard landing' of the early 1980s, when the Fed raised the fund's rate to almost 20% in order to control runaway double-digit inflation, throwing the economy into a recession. ¹⁸

Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledges that a soft landing will be difficult to achieve, but he believes the strong job market may help the economy withstand aggressive monetary policies. Supply chains are expected to improve over time, and workers who have not yet returned to the labor force might fill open jobs without increasing wage and price pressures. ¹⁹

The next few months will be a key period to reveal the future direction of inflation and monetary policy, and we recommend that Textron employees and retirees keep this topic in mind. The hope is that March represented the peak and inflation will begin to trend downward. But even if that proves to be true, it could be a painfully slow descent.

We'd like to remind our clients from Textron that projections are based on current conditions, are subject to change, and may not come to pass.

1, 5, 8-9) U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2022
2) Gallup, March 29, 2022
3, 7) The New York Times, April 12, 2022
4) CNBC, April 7, 2022
6) AAA, April 25 & 29, 2022
10, 15) U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, 2022
11) CBS News, April 11, 2022
12, 14, 16) Federal Reserve, 2022
13, 17) The Wall Street Journal, April 18, 2022
18) The New York Times, March 21, 2022

How does the retirement process at Textron Systems begin for employees, and what initial actions should they consider taking leading up to their retirement date? What are the key timelines and steps involved in initiating their retirement plan with Textron Systems, and how can these impact their retirement benefits?

Retirement Process Initiation: Employees planning retirement with Textron Systems should start by preparing 180 days before their desired retirement date. This involves confirming eligibility for the pension plan, ensuring it is within 180 days of their pension benefit commencement date, and reviewing their current pension benefit options on Fidelity's website. The retirement election process begins by contacting the Fidelity Benefits Service Center to request the necessary forms 45 to 90 days before the desired benefit start date(Textron Systems_Getting…).

What are the eligibility criteria for retiring employees under the Textron retirement plan, specifically regarding service hours and plan details? Furthermore, how do any past employment records with AVCO Corporation influence retiree benefits under Textron Systems?

Eligibility Criteria and AVCO Corporation Influence: Employees become eligible for the Textron Retirement Plan by completing at least 1,000 compensated hours per year. If the employee worked for AVCO Corporation before the merger with Textron, they may have additional retirement benefits, such as federal tax exclusions on part of their pension, if they kept their contributions in the AVCO Retirement Plan(Textron Systems_Getting…)(Textron Systems_Getting…).

How are the various pension benefit options structured within the Textron Systems retirement program, and what considerations should employees keep in mind when choosing between these options? Additionally, what happens if an employee wishes to change their payment option after retirement?

Pension Benefit Options: Textron Systems offers multiple pension payment options, including Single Life Annuity, Joint and Survivor Annuities, and Year Certain and Continuous Annuities. The chosen option is crucial, as it impacts retirement income and cannot be changed once the pension payments begin. Employees should consider their financial situation and consult a financial advisor before making a decision(Textron Systems_Getting…).

What documentation is necessary for Textron Systems employees to gather and submit in order to collect their pension benefits? How does the provision of accurate and complete data affect the processing of their retirement applications with Textron Systems?

Required Documentation: Employees must gather specific documents, such as birth certificates (for both the employee and spouse if applicable), marriage certificates, and a voided check for direct deposit. Providing accurate and complete information helps avoid delays in the retirement application process(Textron Systems_Getting…).

What tax implications should Textron Systems employees be aware of concerning their pension benefits, particularly in relation to IRS regulations? Additionally, how can employees explore the possibility of non-taxable portions of their retirement income?

Tax Implications: Pension payments are generally considered taxable income by the IRS and the state, except in some cases for former AVCO Corporation employees. Employees should consult a tax advisor for more specific information regarding potential tax exclusions(Textron Systems_Getting…).

In what ways does Textron Systems provide for the continuation of health insurance for spouses of retiring employees, particularly if the spouse is under 65? What specific documentation is required, and how does this process differ from regular health insurance enrollment?

Health Insurance for Spouses: If a retiring employee’s spouse is under 65, Textron Systems requires a letter from a Textron HR representative to verify prior coverage under the company's medical plan. This differs from regular enrollment, as the new insurer may require proof of prior coverage(Textron Systems_Getting…).

How does the decision to retire before the age of 65 affect an individualâ€™s pension benefits within the Textron retirement plan? What specific reductions and conditions should potential retirees consider when making this decision?

Retirement Before Age 65: Retiring before age 65 results in a permanent reduction in pension benefits. Typically, the reduction is 5% per year under the age of 65, though some employees may be eligible for an unreduced pension based on certain age and service requirements(Textron Systems_Getting…).

What strategies can Textron Systems employees adopt to prepare for their transition into retirement in a way that ensures a smoother process? How can employees manage emotional and practical aspects of retirement to facilitate this major life change?

Retirement Transition Strategies: Employees are encouraged to start retirement planning well in advance to ensure a smooth transition. Engaging with financial planners, addressing emotional and practical aspects, and having clear goals can help manage the complexities of retirement(Textron Systems_Getting…).

What steps should employees take if they experience difficulties accessing their retirement benefits through Fidelityâ€™s services as coordinated by Textron Systems? In what ways does Textron Systems support employees in resolving such issues?

Accessing Benefits Through Fidelity: If employees face difficulties accessing their retirement benefits through Fidelity, they should contact Fidelity’s Benefits Service Center. Textron Systems provides support through coordinators who help resolve such issues(Textron Systems_Getting…).

How can Textron Systems employees reach out for additional information about their retirement process and benefits packages? What are the specific contact details for reaching a retirement benefits coordinator at Textron, and what resources does the company offer to assist employees in their retirement planning?

Contacting Retirement Coordinators: Employees can reach out to the Fidelity Benefits Service Center at 1-866-698-9847 for assistance with their retirement benefits. Fidelity’s website, www.netbenefits.fidelity.com, is also available for reviewing pension options and benefits(Textron Systems_Getting…)(Textron Systems_Getting…).