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Is the U.S. Economy Facing a Recession? Insights for Entergy Employees and Retirees

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Healthcare Provider Update: For Entergy, the healthcare provider is typically UnitedHealthcare, which offers a range of health insurance plans to its employees and their families. As the backdrop of rising healthcare costs intensifies, Entergy may face significant healthcare cost increases in 2026. With the upcoming expiration of enhanced federal premium subsidies, millions of Americans could experience a staggering jump in monthly out-of-pocket costs-potentially exceeding 75% for those benefiting from the Affordable Care Act marketplace. Factors contributing to these surges include aggressive premium hikes from major insurers, coupled with higher medical costs attributed to inflation and increased healthcare utilization. As such, it will be imperative for Entergy and its employees to strategize and prepare for these escalating expenses to mitigate financial impacts in the coming year. Click here to learn more

In an early July poll, 58% of Americans said they thought the U.S. economy was in a recession, up from 53% in June and 48% in May. 1  Yet many economic indicators, notably employment, remain strong. The current situation is unusual, and there is little consensus among economists as to whether a recession has begun or may be coming soon. As a Entergy employee, it is imperative to keep track of current events that may affect your workplace.

Considering the high level of public concern, it may be helpful for Entergy employees and retirees to look at how a recession is officially determined and some current indicators that suggest strength or weakness in the U.S. economy.

Business Cycle Dating
U.S. recessions and expansions are officially measured and declared by the Business Cycle Dating Committee of the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), a private nonpartisan organization that began dating business cycles in 1929. The committee, which was formed in 1978, includes eight economists who specialize in macroeconomic and business cycle research. As a Entergy employee looking to allocate assets into the market, understanding the metrics for recessions and expansions is of utmost importance.

The NBER defines a recession as 'a significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy and lasts more than a few months.' The committee looks at the big picture and makes exceptions as appropriate. For example, the economic decline of March and April 2020 was so extreme that it was declared a recession even though it lasted only two months. 4

As a Entergy employee, it is important to understand that to determine peaks and troughs of economic activity, the committee studies a range of monthly economic data, with special emphasis on six indicators: personal income, consumer spending, wholesale-retail sales, industrial production, and two measures of employment. Because official data is typically reported with a delay of a month or two — and patterns may be clear only in hindsight — it generally takes some time before the committee can identify a peak or trough. Some short recessions (including the 2020 downturn) were over by the time they were officially announced.5 This information is useful for Entergy employees making investment decisions as it enlightens the concept of market timing and break down how information is circulated.


Strong Employment
As a Entergy employee, you may have noticed how over the last few months economic data has been mixed. Consumer spending declined in May when adjusted for inflation, but bounced back in June. 6  Retail sales were strong in June, but manufacturing output dropped for a second month. 7  The strongest and most consistent data has been employment. The economy added 372,000 jobs in June, the third consecutive month of gains in that range. Total nonfarm employment is now just 0.3% below the pre-pandemic level, and private-sector employment is actually higher (offset by losses in government employment).

The unemployment rate has been 3.6% for four straight months, essentially the same as before the pandemic (3.5%), which was the lowest rate since 1969. 9  Initial unemployment claims ticked up slightly in mid-July but remained near historic lows. 10  In the 12 recessions since World War II, the unemployment rate has always risen, with a median increase of 3.5 percentage points. 11  As a Fortune 500 employee, it is imperative to take advantage of this distinguishing metric and re-evaluate your outlook on the market and the economy.

Negative GDP Growth
As a Entergy employee, it is important to know the common definition of a recession (a decrease in real gross domestic product (GDP) for two consecutive quarters), and how the current situation meets that criterion. Real (inflation-adjusted) GDP dropped at an annual rate of 1.6% in the first quarter of 2022 and by 0.9% in the second quarter. 12  Because GDP is reported on a quarterly basis, the NBER committee cannot use it to measure monthly economic activity, but the committee does look at it for defining recessions more broadly. Understanding how a recession is defined is certainly beneficial for those in Entergy companies as it allows for educated moves in the market during times where most retail investors are considerably more uncertain.

Since 1948, the U.S. economy has never experienced two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth without a recession being declared. Despite that, as a Entergy employee it is important to consider how the current situation could be an exception, due to the strong employment market and some anomalies in the GDP data. 13

Negative first-quarter GDP was largely due to a record U.S. trade deficit, as businesses and consumers bought more imported goods to satisfy demand. This was a sign of economic strength rather than weakness. Consumer spending and business investment — the two most important components of GDP — both increased for the quarter. 14

 With that under consideration, those employed in Entergy companies should consider how the Initial second-quarter GDP data showed a strong positive trade balance but slower growth in consumer spending, with an increase in spending on services and a decrease in spending on goods. The biggest negative factors were a slowdown in residential construction and a substantial cutback in growth of business inventories. 15  Although inventory reductions can precede a recession, it's too early to tell whether they signal trouble or are simply a return to more appropriate levels. 16  Economists may not know whether the economy is contracting until there is additional monthly data.

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The Inflation Factor
With employment at such high levels, it may be questionable to characterize the current economic situation as a recession. However, it's important for Entergy employees to keep in consideration that the employment market could change, and recessions can be driven by fear as well as by fundamental economic weakness.

The fear factor is inflation, which ran at an annual rate of 9.1% in June, the highest since 1981. 17  Entergy employees may notice how wages have increased, but not enough to make up for the erosion of spending power, making many consumers more cautious despite the strong job market. 18  If consumer spending slows significantly, a recession is certainly possible, even if it is not already underway.

Inflation has forced the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates aggressively, with a 0.50% increase in the benchmark federal funds rate in May, followed by 0.75% increases in June and July. 19  It takes time for the effect of higher rates to filter through the economy, and it remains to be seen whether there will be a 'soft landing' or a more jarring stop that throws the economy into a recession.

No one has a crystal ball, and economists' projections range widely, from a remote chance of a recession to an imminent downturn with a moderate recession in 2023. 20  If that turns out to be the case, or if a recession arrives sooner, it's important for Entergy employees and retirees to remember that recessions are generally short-lived, lasting an average of just 10 months since World War II. By contrast, economic expansions have lasted 64 months. 21  To put it simply: The good times typically last longer than the bad.

Projections are based on current conditions, are subject to change, and may not come to pass.

1) Investor's Business Daily, July 12, 2022
2) The Wall Street Journal, July 17, 2022
3–5) National Bureau of Economic Research, 2021
6, 12, 15, 21) U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, 2022
7) Reuters, July 15, 2022
8–9, 17–18) U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2022
10) The Wall Street Journal, July 14, 2022
11) The Wall Street Journal, July 4, 2022
13–14) MarketWatch, July 5, 2022
16) The Wall Street Journal, July 28, 2022
19) Federal Reserve, 2022
20) The New York Times, July 1, 2022

 

How does Entergy Nuclear Operations, Inc. determine the eligibility criteria for employees participating in the pension plan, and what specific conditions must be met for an employee to qualify for benefits under Appendix G of the Plan?

Eligibility Criteria for Pension Plan: Entergy Nuclear Operations, Inc. determines pension eligibility based on Vesting Service and age. Employees generally become 100% vested after five years of service or upon reaching age 61 while employed. Special provisions may apply to employees who participated in the Vermont Yankee Plan as of July 31, 2002​(Entergy_Nuclear_Operati…).

What are the specific steps and necessary documentation required for an employee of Entergy Nuclear Operations, Inc. to commence their pension benefits once they reach retirement age, and how does this process differ for those with previous employment at other participating companies?

Commencing Pension Benefits: To commence pension benefits, an employee must file an application with the Entergy Pension Resource Center (EPRC). This includes providing necessary documentation, such as proof of age and employment history. Employees who have worked for other participating companies must account for service under prior employers, which may impact the pension calculation​(Entergy_Nuclear_Operati…).

In what ways does Entergy Nuclear Operations, Inc. ensure that employees understand their rights under the Employee Retirement Income Security Act (ERISA), and what resources are available for employees seeking clarification on their pension benefits?

ERISA Rights and Resources: Entergy Nuclear Operations, Inc. ensures employees understand their rights under the Employee Retirement Income Security Act (ERISA) by providing access to the plan documents and offering assistance through the Entergy Pension Resource Center. Employees can request clarification on pension benefits by contacting EPRC​(Entergy_Nuclear_Operati…).

How does the non-bargaining and bargaining employee classification at Entergy Nuclear Operations, Inc. impact the pension benefits available, and what should employees consider when planning for retirement in light of these classifications?

Impact of Non-Bargaining and Bargaining Classifications: The classification between non-bargaining and bargaining employees affects pension benefits. Non-bargaining employees are covered under Appendix G of the Plan, which may provide different accrual rates and benefit options compared to bargaining employees. These classifications impact retirement planning, as different rules may apply depending on the classification​(Entergy_Nuclear_Operati…).

What provisions are in place at Entergy Nuclear Operations, Inc. for beneficiaries to receive benefits upon an employee's death, and how do these benefits differ based on whether the employee had already commenced their pension?

Death Benefits for Beneficiaries: In the event of an employee's death, the Entergy pension plan provides benefits to beneficiaries. If the employee has already commenced pension payments, the form of payment selected will determine the survivor benefits. If the employee passes away before starting pension benefits, the spouse may receive pre-retirement survivor benefits​(Entergy_Nuclear_Operati…).

How does Entergy Nuclear Operations, Inc. calculate the normal retirement pension, and what factors play a crucial role in determining an employee's monthly benefit under Appendix G of the Plan?

Pension Calculation Factors: The normal retirement pension at Entergy Nuclear Operations, Inc. is calculated using a formula based on Average Earnings and years of Benefit Service. The formula includes percentages of earnings, capped at certain limits, and service years to determine the monthly pension benefit under Appendix G​(Entergy_Nuclear_Operati…).

What unique considerations should employees of Entergy Nuclear Operations, Inc. keep in mind regarding service credits, particularly if they have accrued time under a prior employer's defined benefit plan?

Service Credits for Prior Employers: Employees with service under a prior employer's defined benefit plan may have their service credited toward the pension plan at Entergy Nuclear Operations, Inc. This includes specific provisions for employees from companies like Vermont Yankee. Service credits from prior employers may affect both vesting and benefit calculations​(Entergy_Nuclear_Operati…).

How does Entergy Nuclear Operations, Inc. handle the transition of employees who transfer from covered employment with the potential for pension benefits, and what impact does this have on their accrued service time?

Impact of Employee Transfers on Pensions: If an employee transfers from covered employment (i.e., eligible for the pension plan) to a position not covered by the plan, their Benefit Service is frozen. However, Vesting Service continues to accrue as long as the employee remains with the company, and previous service may impact final pension benefits​(Entergy_Nuclear_Operati…).

What specific contact methods are available for employees of Entergy Nuclear Operations, Inc. to reach the Entergy Pension Resource Center for assistance regarding their pension benefits, and what type of inquiries can the center effectively handle?

Contacting the Entergy Pension Resource Center: Employees can contact the Entergy Pension Resource Center (EPRC) for assistance with their pension benefits via phone at 1-855-523-3772 or online at EPRC Website. Inquiries can include questions about benefits, beneficiary designations, and how to commence pension payments​(Entergy_Nuclear_Operati…).

In what scenarios might an employee's pension benefits at Entergy Nuclear Operations, Inc. be suspended, and what steps can be taken to appeal or rectify such situations once they occur?

Suspension of Pension Benefits: Pension benefits may be suspended if an employee is rehired after retirement and works more than 40 hours in a month. Employees who experience benefit suspensions can have their pension recalculated upon final retirement, with offsets for any benefits previously received​(Entergy_Nuclear_Operati…).

With the current political climate we are in it is important to keep up with current news and remain knowledgeable about your benefits.
Entergy Corporation offers a robust retirement plan system for its employees, which includes both pension and 401(k) options. The Entergy Corporation Retirement Plan for Non-Bargaining Employees transitioned to a Cash Balance Plan on July 1, 2014, and underwent further amendments in 2023 and 2024. As of January 1, 2024, accrued benefits for specific participants were transferred to the Entergy Corporation Retirement Plan VI for Non-Bargaining Employees. This shift includes participants who were previously under Appendix J of the former retirement plan, now governed by the new Appendix J of Plan VI​ (SEC.gov). The pension plan utilizes a Cash Balance Equalization formula, which was initially implemented in 2014 and amended in 2023. The plan stipulates that employees accumulate retirement credits based on their compensation and service, with an annual interest credit added to their retirement accounts. Non-bargaining employees with at least five years of service qualify for this pension plan​
Entergy announced in early 2024 a significant restructuring plan aimed at optimizing its operational efficiency. This includes streamlining operations and reducing overhead costs. The plan involves job cuts in non-essential roles and is part of a broader effort to enhance financial stability amid changing energy market conditions. Source: Business Insider
In 2022, Entergy Corporation granted stock options and RSUs as part of their long-term incentive plan. Stock options were available to executives and senior management, while RSUs were provided to a broader group of employees including middle management and high performers. Entergy typically uses the acronym "SO" for stock options and "RSU" for restricted stock units.
Entergy Health Benefits Overview 1. Official Website Website: Entergy Careers Benefits Information: Entergy offers a comprehensive benefits package that includes medical, dental, and vision coverage. They provide a range of plans with varying levels of coverage and cost-sharing options. Employees can also access wellness programs and preventive care services. 2. Benefits Information Website: Entergy Benefits Summary Benefits Information: Entergy's benefits summary highlights health insurance options, including PPO and HMO plans, a Health Savings Account (HSA), and Flexible Spending Accounts (FSA). They also offer mental health support and employee assistance programs. 3. News and Updates Website: Business Insider Recent News: In 2023, Entergy updated its health benefits plan to include enhanced telehealth services and expanded mental health resources in response to increased employee demand and well-being concerns. 4. Healthcare Terms and Acronyms Website: HR Dive Healthcare Terms: Common terms include HSA (Health Savings Account), FSA (Flexible Spending Account), PPO (Preferred Provider Organization), HMO (Health Maintenance Organization), and EAP (Employee Assistance Program). 5. Employee Healthcare News Website: Employee Benefits News Recent News: In 2024, Entergy introduced new wellness initiatives, such as on-site health clinics and enhanced maternity benefits, aimed at improving overall employee health and reducing absenteeism
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For more information you can reach the plan administrator for Entergy at , ; or by calling them at .

https://www.pbgc.gov/

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